Group 1 - Constellium SE held its Annual General Meeting of Shareholders on May 15, 2025, and published the voting results on its website [1] - All proposals at the AGM were adopted, including the appointment of Bradley Soultz and the re-appointment of Emmanuel Blot, Martha Brooks, and Lori Walker to the Board of Directors for a three-year term [2] - Constellium is a global leader in developing innovative, value-added aluminum products for various markets, generating $7.3 billion in revenue in 2024 [3]

Core Viewpoint - Alcoa (NYSE:AA) stock is deemed unattractive for purchase at its current price of approximately $29 due to significant concerns regarding its operational performance and financial health, despite a low valuation [1][10]. Revenue Development - Alcoa's revenues have shown notable growth recently, with a 12.7% increase from $11 billion to $12 billion in the last 12 months, compared to a 5.3% growth for the S&P 500 [4]. - Over the last three years, Alcoa's top line has contracted at an average rate of 0.0%, while the S&P 500 has increased by 6.2% [4]. - Quarterly revenues surged 34.3% to $3.5 billion in the most recent quarter from $2.6 billion a year prior, compared to 4.9% growth for the S&P 500 [4]. Profitability - Alcoa's operating income over the last four quarters was $828 million, resulting in a poor operating margin of 7.0%, compared to 13.1% for the S&P 500 [5]. - The operating cash flow (OCF) during this period was $622 million, reflecting a very poor OCF margin of 5.2%, compared to 15.7% for the S&P 500 [5]. - Alcoa's net income for the last four quarters was $60 million, indicating a very poor net income margin of 0.5%, compared to 11.3% for the S&P 500 [5]. Financial Stability - Alcoa's debt stood at $2.8 billion at the end of the most recent quarter, with a market capitalization of $7.5 billion, resulting in a poor debt-to-equity ratio of 43.4%, compared to 21.5% for the S&P 500 [6]. - Cash (including cash equivalents) constitutes $1.1 billion of the $14 billion in total assets for Alcoa, yielding a moderate cash-to-assets ratio of 8.1%, compared to 15.0% for the S&P 500 [6]. Valuation Metrics - Alcoa has a price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 0.5 compared to 2.8 for the S&P 500 [7]. - The company's price-to-free cash flow (P/FCF) ratio is 10.4 compared to 17.6 for the S&P 500 [7]. - Additionally, it has a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 8.1 versus the benchmark's 24.5 [7]. Downturn Resilience - AA stock has suffered significantly more than the S&P 500 during recent downturns, with a 75.4% decrease from a high of $95.06 on March 24, 2022, to $23.41 on October 23, 2023, compared to a peak-to-trough decline of 25.4% for the S&P 500 [9]. - During the COVID pandemic in 2020, AA stock dropped 74.5% from a high of $21.51 on January 1, 2020, to $5.48 on March 20, 2020, compared to a peak-to-trough decline of 33.9% for the S&P 500 [9]. Overall Assessment - Alcoa's performance across key parameters is summarized as follows: Growth is very strong, profitability is extremely weak, financial stability is weak, and downturn resilience is extremely weak, leading to an overall assessment of very weak [12].

氧化铝价格走势研判 20250517 从三月底全行业开工水平 9,360 万吨，到目前 8,650 万吨区间，这一变化主要 源于多方面因素。三月份初期山西奥凯达铝业和森泽铝业因高价矿或自采矿不 足开始点式减产，但大型集团未有新进展。3 月下旬信发减少进口矿使用比例， 自主调整产能；4 月下旬国有集团企业在山西和河南两大四小工厂减产；5 月 第一周山西、山东和云南工厂受波及，全行业出现较大动荡。这些因素导致国 有集团企业在现货市场上购买紧张程度爆发，从而形成当前供应偏紧状态。 氧化铝生产成本上升的原因是什么？ 摘要 • 氧化铝行业经历供应过剩到偏紧的转变，主要由于 3 月底至 5 月初期间， 山西奥凯达、森泽铝业及信发等企业陆续减产，国有集团企业也调动产能， 导致现货市场供应紧张，全行业开工水平从 9,360 万吨降至 8,650 万吨。 • 氧化铝生产成本持续上升，主要受矿石结构成本波动影响。国产矿供应紧 张导致进口矿使用增加，矿石价格从 1,460 元上涨至近 2000 元。各区域 成本差异显著，云南成本最低，广西成本较高，使用进口矿的企业成本与 山东沿海地区接近。 • 几内亚铝土矿价格下降至 70 美元/ ...

Core Insights - Tredegar Corporation's shares have increased by 3.8% since the earnings report for Q1 2025, underperforming compared to the S&P 500's 4.5% growth during the same period [1] - The stock has shown a significant increase of 15.8% over the past month, outperforming the S&P 500's 8.8% growth [1] Financial Performance - For Q1 2025, Tredegar reported a net income from continuing operations of $0.02 per share, down from $0.08 per share in Q1 2024 [2] - Adjusted net income from ongoing operations decreased to $0.10 per share from $0.14 per share year-over-year [2] - Net sales reached $164.7 million, marking a 14.4% increase from $144 million in the same quarter last year [2] Segment Performance - **Aluminum Extrusions (Bonnell Aluminum)**: - Net sales increased by 17% year-over-year to $133.6 million, driven by a 12% rise in sales volume and higher metal costs [4] - EBITDA from ongoing operations fell by 27% to $9.2 million due to unfavorable sales mix, increased input costs, and higher labor and maintenance expenses [4] - Specialty products saw a volume growth of 52.8%, primarily from solar panel applications [4] - **PE Films**: - EBITDA improved by 8.9% to $7.5 million despite a 4% drop in sales volume [5] - Net sales increased by 3.2% to $25.5 million, supported by strong performance in surface protection films [5] Management Commentary - CEO John Steitz highlighted a recovery in Bonnell Aluminum, with a 36% year-over-year increase in net new orders, reaching the highest open orders in two years [6] - The new Section 232 tariffs on aluminum imports are expected to help regain market share lost to underpriced imports [6] - On PE Films, management anticipates normalization in demand in subsequent quarters, remaining cautious about global trade developments [7] Cost and Expense Analysis - The decline in Aluminum Extrusions' EBITDA was attributed to a lower spread between selling prices and metal costs, unfavorable manufacturing yields, and increased labor and maintenance expenses [8] - SG&A costs in this segment rose by 38.5%, primarily due to compensation, travel, and consulting fees [9] Guidance and Financial Position - For 2025, Tredegar forecasts capital expenditures of $17 million for Bonnell Aluminum and $3 million for PE Films [11] - Total debt decreased to $56.6 million as of March 31, 2025, from $61.9 million at the end of 2024, with a net leverage ratio of 1.1x [12] Other Developments - The company completed the sale of its Terphane business, resulting in a $9.4 million gain from discontinued operations [13] - Restructuring activities included the closure of the Richmond, VA, PE Films technical center [13]

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of value investing and highlights Kaiser Aluminum (KALU) as a strong value stock based on its financial metrics and Zacks Rank [1][2][7] Company Overview - Kaiser Aluminum (KALU) currently holds a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy) and has a Value grade of A, indicating strong potential for value investors [4] - The stock has a Forward P/E ratio of 14.58, significantly lower than the industry average of 21.26, suggesting it may be undervalued [4] - Over the past 12 months, KALU's Forward P/E has fluctuated between a high of 26.64 and a low of 11.50, with a median of 14.12 [4] Valuation Metrics - KALU has a Price-to-Sales (P/S) ratio of 0.38, compared to the industry average of 0.81, indicating a favorable valuation [5] - The Price-to-Cash Flow (P/CF) ratio for KALU is 6.92, which is attractive when compared to the industry's average P/CF of 22.61 [6] - In the past year, KALU's P/CF has ranged from a high of 10.80 to a low of 4.85, with a median of 7.47 [6] Investment Outlook - The combination of KALU's strong earnings outlook and favorable valuation metrics suggests that the stock is likely undervalued at present [7]

Financial Performance & Outlook - Alcoa reported strong Q1 2025 financial results, with adjusted EBITDA excluding special items increasing to $855 million, compared to $677 million in Q4 2024[48] - Net income attributable to Alcoa Corporation increased significantly to $548 million in Q1 2025, compared to $202 million in Q4 2024[48] - The company's cash balance remains strong at $1.2 billion as of Q1 2025[55] - Alcoa expects alumina production to be between 9.5 and 9.7 million metric tons and aluminum production to be between 2.3 and 2.5 million metric tons for FY25[57] Market Dynamics - The spot alumina price was $349 per metric ton as of May 6th, with over 80% of Chinese refineries being unprofitable at current prices[21] - LME aluminum price is at $2,364 per metric ton, with the Midwest premium fluctuating in response to proposed tariffs[25] - U S primary aluminum apparent consumption is 4.1 million metric tons, with Canada being the most strategic supplier at 2.9 million metric tons[31] Strategic Initiatives - Alcoa completed a $1 billion debt offering in Australia, primarily used to repay existing debt[15] - The company formed a joint venture for the San Ciprián smelter and is resuming production, with an expected EBITDA loss of approximately $70 million to $90 million in 2025[16, 73] - Alcoa is targeting an adjusted net debt between $10 billion and $15 billion[32] Sustainability & Product Offerings - 87% of Alcoa's aluminum smelting portfolio was powered by renewable energy sources in 2023, exceeding the 85% target set for 2024[13] - Alcoa offers EcoSource alumina with low carbon emitting processes and Sustana brand EcoLum (low carbon) and EcoDura (recycled content) aluminum products[13] - Alcoa is committed to reducing GHG emission intensity by 30% by 2025 and 50% by 2030 from a 2015 baseline[109]

Company Overview - Alcoa Corporation is a pure-play aluminum company organized into two business segments: alumina and aluminum [4] - The company operates 26 locations across nine countries on six continents and employs approximately 13,900 employees [4] Business Objectives and State - The company is focused on objectives for 2025, with an emphasis on understanding aluminum as a critical mineral [2][3] - Alcoa is actively working with the U.S. administration on tariff relief, which could provide an annual value of about $400 million for the business [4] Key Catalysts - The CEO, Bill Oplinger, is participating in the U.S. Saudi Investment Summit to promote the importance of aluminum [3] - The company is leveraging opportunities to engage with the U.S. administration to enhance its business prospects [3]

Alcoa (AA) 2025 Conference Summary Company Overview - Alcoa is a pure play aluminum company organized into two segments: Alumina and Aluminum, operating 26 locations across nine countries with 13,900 employees [3][4] - The company is focused on increasing domestic aluminum production and is actively engaging with the US administration for tariff relief valued at approximately $400 million annually [3][5] Key Financials and Targets - Alcoa reported strong cash generation in Q1, exceeding historical first-quarter performance [4] - The adjusted net debt target is set between $1 billion and $1.5 billion, with a current debt level of $2.1 billion [5][50] - The company aims to continue deleveraging efforts throughout 2025 [5][51] Tariff and Market Dynamics - The company is facing challenges with tariffs, as the London Metal Exchange (LME) prices have dropped over $200, negatively impacting US producers [7][8] - Alcoa is advocating for tariff relief while emphasizing the need for new smelters to meet US aluminum demand, which currently relies heavily on imports [9][10] - The Midwest premium has not risen sufficiently, attributed to market uncertainty and prior metal influx before tariffs [11][12] Geopolitical Impacts - The ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict has shifted trade flows, with Russian aluminum now primarily directed to China, not significantly impacting the US market [14][15][16] - The company does not anticipate major changes in LME prices due to the geopolitical situation, as global supply and demand remain stable [16] Bauxite and Alumina Markets - The bauxite market has eased, with customers reporting no issues in obtaining orders, particularly from Guinea [17][18] - Alcoa expects a 35% year-over-year increase in bauxite supply from Guinea to China [18] - Alumina prices have corrected significantly, but support is seen around $3.50 due to China's economic actions [19][20] Capital Expenditure and New Projects - The capital expenditure (CapEx) for new aluminum construction varies by region, with estimates ranging from $2,500 to $5,000 per ton [21] - Alcoa is on track for approvals for higher-grade bauxite in Australia by early 2026, with production expected to increase by about 1 million metric tons per year once operational [25][26] Spanish Operations - The San Ciprian smelter faced a power outage, impacting operations, but recovery efforts are underway [27][29] - The partnership with Ignis for renewable energy is crucial for the profitability of Spanish assets, with potential power agreements expected by 2028 [31][32] Elysis Technology and Innovation - Alcoa continues to support the Elysis partnership, contributing $50 million annually, while focusing on R&D for new aluminum production technologies [37][38] Asset Monetization and Capital Allocation - Alcoa is on track to close the sale of its Middle Eastern smelting assets for $1.3 billion in June, with plans for potential monetization of shares post-lockup [46][47] - The company is balancing deleveraging with capital returns and growth opportunities as it approaches its debt target [51]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is classified as Attractive [6]. Core Insights - More steel mills have received production control notices, indicating tighter supply conditions in the steel market [9]. - Cement and long steel products consumption were affected by holidays and rainy weather, leading to fluctuations in demand [9]. - Planned production in the lithium battery supply chain has seen a mild increase in May, reflecting ongoing investment in this sector [9]. - Total investment in projects that started construction in April was approximately Rmb 3.2 trillion, representing a decrease of 8% month-over-month and 20% year-over-year, while the year-to-date figure is up 16% year-over-year [9]. Summary by Sections Production and Sales - Jiangsu and Shaanxi provinces have been ordered to reduce their annual crude steel production by 6 million tons and 1 million tons, respectively [2]. - Daily output of crude steel from key enterprises was reported at 2.202 million tons at the end of April, showing a decrease of 1.2% compared to mid-April but a slight increase of 0.1% year-over-year [2]. Market Activity - PV retail sales reached 1.755 million units in April, marking a year-over-year increase of 14.5% but a month-over-month decline of 9.4% [3]. - NEV sales totaled 905,000 units in April, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 33.9% but a month-over-month decrease of 8.7% [3]. - Excavator sales in April were estimated at around 22,000 units, up 17% year-over-year [3]. Building Materials - Weekly cement shipments in May were reported at 175.3 billion Rmb, with North China showing a 51% share, down 3.3 percentage points year-over-year [4]. - The investment in new projects started in April was Rmb 3.2 trillion, down 8% month-over-month and 20% year-over-year [4]. Consumption Trends - Weekly steel apparent consumption was reported at 21.8 million tons year-to-date, with long products down 23% and flat products down 6% compared to the previous year [4]. - Glass inventory increased by 3% month-over-month and 6% year-over-year, indicating stable demand in the glass sector [4].

Core Viewpoint - Century Aluminum Company (CENX) reported earnings of 28 cents per share for Q1 2025, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 53 cents, but showing improvement from a loss of 39 cents per share in the prior year [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - CENX's net sales reached $633.9 million, a 29.5% increase year over year, but fell short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $643.8 million [2] - Primary aluminum shipments were 168,672 tons, reflecting a decrease of approximately 3.4% year over year [2] - The company had cash and cash equivalents of $44.9 million at the end of the quarter, up 36.5% from the previous quarter [3] - Net cash provided by operating activities was $72.3 million for the quarter ended March 31, 2025 [3] Group 2: Future Outlook - For Q2 2025, CENX forecasts adjusted EBITDA to be in the range of $80 million to $90 million, influenced by increased Midwest regional premiums and lower energy costs, partially offset by planned major maintenance and seasonal labor expenses [4] Group 3: Stock Performance - Shares of Century Aluminum have increased by 0.6% over the past year, compared to the industry's growth of 10.2% [5] Group 4: Zacks Rank and Comparisons - CENX currently holds a Zacks Rank of 5 (Strong Sell), while competitors like Brenntag SE and Contango Ore, Inc. have better rankings [7]