(责任编辑：叶景) 债市方面，债券市场情绪有所缓和，收益率先上后下。周一公布的经济数据稳定，预计一季度经济 仍能保持较快增长，市场并未关注数据中的结构瑕疵，更多关注总量，叠加情绪较为脆弱，收益率大幅 调整。税期资金面偏紧，但央行连续加量投放，市场情绪转稳，收益率转而下行。 权益市场短期行情有所降温，年初以来美元走弱的宏观交易逻辑在本月逐一落地，美元下行出现边 际放缓，非美元资产的估值修复节奏同步放缓。但与此同时，需要关注总量政策落地节奏以及基本面数 据验证，市场短期仍面临"四月决断"考验。从国内看，1-2月经济基本平稳、有强有弱、分化明显，结 构上延续"供给偏强、需求偏弱"，其中：偏强的是，1-2月工业生产、基建投资、制造业投资增速维持 高位，消费、地产投资环比改善，地产销售跌幅明显收窄则可谓最大的亮点；偏弱的是，1-2月 CPI、 PPI整体延续低位，进口增速大幅走低，信贷结构未见明显改善。 从国外看，上周，3月美联储如期维 持利率不变，宣布放慢缩表，上调通胀预测、下调经济预测，点阵图显示降息次数不变。美联储决定从 4月1日开始放缓QT速度，即降低缩表速率。国债的每月赎回上限从250亿美元减少到50亿美元。 ...

金圆股份51岁实控人离婚"净身出户" 妻子获市值4.2 亿股份被指转移资产 正取保候审的赵辉，试图通过离婚，将上市公司资产全部转移至妻子名下。 3月22日，金圆股份（000546）（000546.SZ）公告，公司获悉赵辉和潘颖已通过协议离婚方式办理 解除婚姻关系手续，赵辉所持金圆股份的股份全部过户至潘颖名下，堪称"净身出户"。 截至3月21日收盘，金圆股份股价达4.96元/股。由此，潘颖此次获得的股份市值达4.24亿元。 一位资产管理师向长江商报记者表示，"赵辉离婚明显是在转移资产，将对公司治理结构、股价稳 定及投资者权益产生深远影响??。" 业绩方面，近三年来，金圆股份扣非净利润持续亏损，累计将亏损超15.78亿元。 妻子潘颖获全部股份 3月22日，金圆股份发布公告显示，近日，上市公司收到公司实际控制人之一赵辉的通知，获悉赵 辉和潘颖已通过协议离婚方式办理解除婚姻关系手续，就股份分割等事宜做出相关安排。上述事项将导 致公司实际控制人及股东权益发生变动。 具体来看，本次权益变动前，金圆股份实际控制人赵璧生、赵辉父子通过直接和间接方式合计持有 公司3.02亿股股份，占公司总股本的38.85%。其中赵辉直接持有公 ...

早报消费贷提额延期 央行再提择机降准降息 | | | | | 3月24日 交易提示 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 项目 | 代码简称 | 发行价 | 市盈率 | 参考行业 市盈率 | 参考行业 | 总市值 | 主营 | | 新股申购 | 首航新能 301658 | 11. 80 | 15. 88 | 19. 26 | 电气机械和 器材制造业 | 43.79亿 | 从事新能源电力设备研 发、生产、销售及服务 | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 新股上市 | 矽电股份 301629 | 52. 28 | 26. 23 | 29. 67 | 专用设备制 造业 | 21.82亿 | 半导体专用设备的研发 、生产和销售。 | 宏观新闻 1、李强上周五主持召开国务院常务会议，研究建立健全涉企收费长效监管机制有关举措。会议指出， 要健全涉企收费目录清单制度，将所有收费项目均纳入清单并对社会公开，明确服务内容、服务标准、 收费额度，清单之外一律不得收费，依法依规对存量涉企收费政策进行清理。 2、中共中央政治局委员、国务院副总 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Insights - The company reported a total revenue of 14.5 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 37.04%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 4.52% to 481.82 million yuan [7][8] - The growth in revenue is primarily driven by the resource utilization segment, which saw a significant increase in revenue from hazardous waste recycling [7] - The company is focusing on strategic adjustments in its environmental engineering business, shifting its client base from government to large enterprises and expanding its service model [7] Financial Performance Summary - Total revenue for 2024 is projected at 145 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 37.04% [7] - Gross profit for 2024 is expected to be 2.092 billion yuan, reflecting an 8.5% increase year-on-year, with a gross margin of 14.4%, down 3.8 percentage points [7] - The resource utilization segment generated 11.137 billion yuan in revenue, a 72.2% increase year-on-year, with a gross profit of 1.018 billion yuan, up 89.8% [7] - The environmental operation services segment reported revenue of 1.729 billion yuan, a 6.3% increase, with a gross margin of 49.9% [7] - The environmental engineering segment experienced a decline in revenue to 1.633 billion yuan, down 34.3%, with a significant drop in gross profit [7] Cash Flow and Valuation - The company reported a net cash flow from operating activities of 760 million yuan in 2024, a significant improvement from -950 million yuan in the previous year [7] - The report projects a decrease in net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026, adjusting from 930 million yuan and 1.1 billion yuan to 630 million yuan and 750 million yuan respectively [7] - The projected P/E ratios for 2025 to 2027 are 15, 13, and 11 times respectively [7]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the industry, indicating a positive outlook compared to the broader market [6]. Core Insights - The report highlights significant investment activities in Xinjiang by central enterprises, with over 130 billion yuan expected to be invested in 54 projects across various sectors including energy and new energy storage [4][16]. - The first cross-regional green electricity transaction in China has been successfully completed, marking a milestone in the construction of a unified national electricity market [5][21]. - The Ministry of Ecology and Environment has issued guidelines to promote voluntary disclosure of greenhouse gas emissions by enterprises, aiming to enhance the green transition and international cooperation [25][26]. Summary by Sections Market Review - From March 10 to March 14, the environmental, gas, water, and electricity sectors saw increases of 2.63%, 2.22%, 2.17%, and 1.80% respectively, while the CSI 300 index rose by 1.59% [3][10]. Industry Perspectives - **Investment in Xinjiang**: Central enterprises are heavily investing in Xinjiang, with projects covering energy, new energy storage, and equipment manufacturing, driven by the region's resource advantages and government support [4][16][17]. - **Green Electricity Trading**: The successful completion of the first cross-regional green electricity transaction involved 52.7 million kilowatt-hours, with wind power accounting for 78% and solar power for 22% of the total [5][21][22]. - **Voluntary Emission Disclosure**: The new guidelines aim to establish a comprehensive framework for voluntary greenhouse gas disclosure by 2027, promoting proactive climate responsibility among enterprises [25][26]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on various sectors: for thermal power, it recommends Jiangsu Guoxin and cautiously suggests Sheneng Shares and Zhejiang Energy; for nuclear power, it recommends China Nuclear Power and China General Nuclear Power; for hydropower, it recommends Yangtze Power and cautiously suggests Huaneng Hydropower [6].

ERN DE STER 行业日报 | 北交所 市场震荡调整,深海科技亮相政府工作报告 证券研究报告 2025年03月14日 北交所市场点评 -- -20250313 ● 核心结论 行情回顾:1)指数层面:3月13日北证50 收跌-3.1%,成交额达419.7 亿 元,较昨日下跌 0.6 亿元。2)个股层面:当日北交所264家公司中 112家 上涨,152 家下跌,4 家涨停。其中涨幅前五的个股分别为:凯腾精工 (+30.0%)、克莱特(+30.0%)、美心翼申(+30.0%)、坤博精工(+30.0%)、 安徽风凰(+22.6%),跌幅前五的个股分别为:天铭科技(-12.5%)、华 原股份(-11.1%)、中泰航达(-9.7%)、浩森科技(-8.7%)、威博液压(-8.5%)。 新闻汇总:1)央行:根据国内外经济金融形势和金融市场运行情况,择机 | 分析师 | | --- | | 曹森元 S0800524100001 | | 19821289688 | | caosenyuan@research.xbmail.com.cn | | 相关研究 | | 北交所:定向可转债审批加速,助力北交所再 | | -20250 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Overweight" rating for the environmental sector, consistent with the previous rating [1]. Core Insights - The national carbon market is accelerating its development with the first batch of CCER (Certified Emission Reduction) registrations initiated, indicating a growing demand for carbon credits [8][11]. - The report highlights a significant drop in weekly trading volumes for carbon emissions allowances, with CEA (Carbon Emission Allowance) transactions at 210,300 tons, down 66% from the previous week, and an average price of 87.66 yuan/ton, a decrease of 1% [6][17]. - The CCER methodology has expanded its coverage, with new methodologies introduced for coal mine low-concentration gas utilization and energy-saving in highway tunnel lighting systems [10][11]. Summary by Sections Weekly Investment Perspective - The existing CCER has expired, and the methodology has broadened, with the first batch of methodologies now open for CCER registration. Investment opportunities are recommended in the recycling resources and carbon monitoring sectors [8][9]. - CCER can be used to offset carbon emission allowances in the national carbon market, with a cap of 5% on offsets [9][10]. Environmental Sector Performance - The environmental sector saw a weekly increase of 2.29%, while other sectors like gas and water utilities experienced slight declines [14]. - Top-performing stocks included SanDe Technology (+36.67%) and NingShui Group (+31.87%), while the worst performers were WeiPaiGe (-14.56%) and AnChe Detection (-6.04%) [6][17]. Carbon Neutrality Tracking - The report notes that by 2027, a voluntary disclosure policy for corporate greenhouse gas emissions will be established, with a complete framework expected by 2030 [21]. - The national carbon market is set to expand beyond the power sector to include industries such as cement and steel, with a projected increase in annual greenhouse gas emissions coverage from 4.5 billion tons to 7.5 billion tons [9][10]. Recommendations - The report recommends several companies based on their potential benefits from the evolving carbon market, including: - Snowy Dragon for online monitoring of pollution sources - SanFeng Environment and HanLan Environment for waste incineration - High Energy Environment for recycled metals [12][13].

Group 1 - The overall profitability of the A-share market is weak, with cumulative net profit for non-financial companies down by 3.7% year-on-year, while operating revenue increased by 3.8% [6][15][12] - As of March 8, 2024, 1,066 listed companies have disclosed their performance reports, with 47% having previously issued earnings forecasts [6][12] - The performance of the CSI 500 index is superior, with a net profit growth of 8.7%, outperforming small-cap indices [15][16] Group 2 - The pharmaceutical and non-bank financial sectors are leading, with continuous acceleration in year-on-year growth [23][24] - In the upstream raw materials sector, oil, petrochemicals, and coal show strong performance, while non-ferrous metals experienced a slight decline in Q3 2024 but showed signs of recovery in Q4 2024 [23][24] - The TMT sector, particularly the electronics industry, continues to thrive due to AI-driven demand, with revenue and performance showing positive growth for four consecutive quarters [27][28] Group 3 - The banking and non-bank financial sectors have a high proportion of companies with both revenue and performance growth, indicating a favorable economic environment [36][39] - In the midstream manufacturing sector, all five industries reported negative net profit growth, with only basic chemicals and defense industries showing slight recovery [28][29] - The consumer goods sector, particularly pharmaceuticals and food and beverage, has shown significant growth, while textiles and retail remain weak [28][29] Group 4 - The expected net profit growth for the entire A-share market in 2025 is projected to be around 1.5%, with non-financial companies expected to see a 5% increase [23][24] - The performance of the component and aerospace equipment industries remains high, with significant improvements noted in the battery and military electronics sectors [42][46] - The overall performance of the main board and growth enterprise board is significantly better than that of the sci-tech innovation board and the northern stock exchange [15][16]

严格尾气排放标准，带动催化剂量增价涨 [Table_Industry] 环保 股票研究 /[Table_Date] 2025.02.18 [Table_Invest] 评级： 增持 | | | | [table_Authors] 徐强(分析师) | 于歆(分析师) | | | --- | --- | --- | | 010-83939805 | 021-38038345 | [Table_Report] 相关报告 | | xuqiang@gtjas.com | yuxin024466@gtjas.com | 环保《水资源费改税施行，调价机制加速理顺》 | | 登记编号 S0880517040002 | S0880523050005 | 2025.02.10 | 本报告导读： 上周 CEA 周成交 41 万吨，周成交均价 92 元/吨。地方碳配额周成交 42 万吨，周成 交均价 26 元/吨。全国 CCER 周成交 631 吨。 投资要点： 环保《国六标准加强执行力度，尾气催化剂有望 受益》2025.02.10 环保《焦化行业执行污染物新标，大气治理持续 推进》2025.01.27 环保《科学仪器国产化进程提速 ...

Group 1: Macroeconomic Indicators - January CPI increased by 3.0% year-on-year, exceeding expectations of 2.9% and the previous value of 2.9%, marking the highest level in seven months [7] - Core CPI rose by 3.3% year-on-year, higher than the expected 3.1% and previous 3.2% [7] - January PPI year-on-year was 3.5%, matching the previous value and exceeding the expected 3.2% [7] Group 2: Market Performance - S&P 500 index rose by 1.5% last week, while the Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index surged by 7.3%, marking the highest increase globally [20] - Among the 36 secondary sectors in the U.S. stock market, 27 sectors saw gains, with the top five performing sectors being Electrical Equipment, Real Estate Investment Trusts, Durable Goods, Pharmaceuticals, and Household Products [23] Group 3: Company Performance - 76% of S&P 500 companies reported actual EPS above expectations, slightly below the 5-year average of 77% but above the 10-year average of 75% [5] - Notable companies with significant stock price increases include AMD, Intel, and Airbnb, contributing to the overall positive performance of the S&P 500 [26]