行业研究 非银行金融 2025 年 06 月 07 日 证 券 研 究 报 告 金融资金面跟踪：量化周报（2025/06/02~2025/06/06） 推荐（维持） 成交量有所提升，基差总体有所收敛 华创证券研究所 证券分析师：徐康 电话：021-20572556 邮箱：xukang@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360518060005 证券分析师：刘潇伟 邮箱：liuxiaowei@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360525020001 上周量化私募总体正超额。上周样本量化私募收益及超额如下：1）300 增强策略周 /月/年初以来平均收益分别为-0.4%/+3%/+1.3%，周/月/年初以来平均超额分别为 +0.6%/+1%/+4.5%；2）500 增强策略周/月/年初以来平均收益分别为+0.7%/+3.5%/+5.6%， 周/月/年初以来平均超额分别为+0.2%/+2.4%/+9.4%；3）A500 增强策略周/月/年初以来平 均收益分别为-0.4%/+3.1%/+8.9%，周/月/年初以来平均超额分别为+0.6%/+1.3%/+12.5%； 4）1000 增强策略周/月/年初以来平均收益分别为 ...

Core Insights - The financial technology (FinTech) industry is experiencing significant growth, driven by technological innovation and policy support, with an expected compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 13.3%, reaching over 650 billion yuan by 2028 [1][8]. Industry Overview - The domestic FinTech market is benefiting from the rapid development of the technology sector and the prosperity of financial markets, leading to a continuous increase in market size [8]. - The focus of financial institutions is shifting from basic digitalization to a more comprehensive and strategic deployment of technology in business operations [11][5]. Policy Analysis - Recent policies emphasize the construction of a technology-finance-industrial cycle, highlighting the diversified and compliant application of data elements in financial business scenarios [4][5]. - The core themes of recent policy guidance are the construction of a technology-finance cycle and the management of data elements [5]. Market Size and Growth - The domestic FinTech market is projected to exceed 650 billion yuan by 2028, with a CAGR of about 13.3%, driven by the recovery of the financial industry post-pandemic and the rise of new technologies [8][23]. - The banking sector's technology investment is expected to grow at a CAGR of 11.85%, reaching over 450 billion yuan by 2028, influenced by the adoption of emerging technologies and the completion of the "Xinchuang" (innovation) goals [22][23]. Sector-Specific Insights Banking Sector - The banking industry is transitioning to a stage of comprehensive application of digital technologies, with a focus on digital ecosystem development [20]. - Technology investments in the banking sector are closely linked to revenue performance, with a notable increase in investment driven by the rise of new technologies [22][23]. Insurance Sector - The insurance industry is witnessing a mature application of technology, particularly in marketing and risk control, with technology investment expected to exceed 100 billion yuan by 2028, growing at a CAGR of 14.83% [32][37]. - The insurance market is benefiting from demographic changes and increased awareness, leading to a rise in premium income and total asset scale [32]. Securities Sector - The securities industry is focusing on enhancing customer service through technology, with significant growth in technology investment expected, projected to exceed 970 billion yuan by 2028, with a CAGR of 19.7% [39][44]. - The sector is recovering from previous downturns, with a strong emphasis on integrating AI and data-driven approaches to improve operational efficiency [39][44]. Technology Trends - The deployment of artificial intelligence (AI) in financial services is expected to grow significantly, with an anticipated CAGR of 30.36%, reaching over 16 billion yuan by 2029 [48]. - The integration of big data technologies is becoming increasingly important, with a focus on data processing capabilities and compliance [57][58]. - Cloud services are emerging as a critical trend in the digital transformation of financial institutions, with a growing emphasis on hybrid cloud solutions [61][64].

Macro Insights - The People's Bank of China will conduct a 10 billion yuan buyout reverse repurchase operation with a term of 3 months to maintain ample liquidity in the banking system [4] - The Ministry of Commerce responded to the "involution" competition in the automotive industry, stating that it will strengthen comprehensive rectification and compliance guidance [31] Company and Industry Alerts - The China Securities Regulatory Commission is working on a comprehensive policy document to enhance the protection of small and medium investors in the capital market [12] - The China Weapon Equipment Group is undergoing a split, with its automotive business becoming an independent central enterprise [13] - The price of Feitian Moutai has dropped below 2000 yuan per bottle in some regions, with retail prices around 2100 yuan [14] - The National Medical Products Administration announced a reward system for internal whistleblowers reporting quality and safety violations in pharmaceuticals and medical devices [32] Legal and Financial Issues - Guizhou Hongcai Investment Group is involved in two major lawsuits with a total execution amount exceeding 600 million yuan [6] - Zhangzhou Economic Development Group was ordered to pay 297.8 million yuan plus interest due to a construction contract dispute [7] - Sichuan Liangshan Development Group must pay 21.1151 million yuan plus interest following a final judgment in a construction contract dispute [8] - Huai'an Hongxin State-owned Assets Investment Management Company is facing an arbitration ruling for failing to pay construction fees, with a total amount of approximately 261 million yuan [10] International Developments - The U.S. announced visa restrictions for international students at Harvard University due to non-compliance with federal information requests [20] - Alaska Airlines plans to reduce flight numbers due to increased tariffs affecting new aircraft purchases [21] - The U.S. has raised steel and aluminum tariffs from 25% to 50%, which may lead to significant price increases for various goods [22]

近年来，云南省深入贯彻落实国家相关部署，聚焦老年人的急难愁盼，从政策支持、科技赋能、产业发 展、社会协同等多维度发力，大力发展银发经济，以更好的适老化产品和服务满足多元化养老需求，全 省银发经济实现稳步发展。 2024年，云南省出台发展银发经济增进老年人福祉的实施意见，从健全助老服务体系、提升产品供给质 量、大力培育潜力产业、拓展旅居服务业态等方面发力，促进银发经济规模化、标准化、集群化、品牌 化发展。 创新推进养老服务智慧化。围绕"5+13+N"全省公共数据资源体系，初步建成人口基础数据库，积极推 动云南数字老龄平台建设，利用大数据、大模型、人工智能与养老服务平台深度融合，推进老龄数据开 发利用和互换共享，探索打造养老服务人工智能(AI)应用场景。 深入推进多种场景、不同群体的适老化改造。2024年，全省共实施适老化无障碍改造小区563个，对1万 户分散供养特困人员范围的高龄、失能、残疾老年人家庭开展适老化改造。截至目前，已完成6.4万户 特殊困难老年人家庭适老化改造。 不断创新养老金融产品和服务，多维度满足市场需求。创新"安享存""养盈存"等专属养老金融产品，稳 妥推进"惠民保"城市定制型商业医疗保险业务 ...

● 本报记者 李静 周亮表示，将指导金融机构进一步加强科技金融产品体系、服务机制、专业水平和风控能力建设，围绕 科技创新金融需求，加大信贷投放，提升金融服务适配性。进一步强化保险保障。深化"贷款+外部直 投"联动，推进金融资产投资公司股权投资试点和科技企业并购贷款试点，鼓励银行联合投资机构投 早、投小、投长期、投硬科技。 "截至3月末，全国高新技术企业贷款余额17.7万亿元，同比增长20%，高于各项贷款平均增速12.6个百 分点。保险业一季度提供科技保险保障近2万亿元。"周亮说。 金融服务科技创新取得积极成效。周亮介绍，金融监管总局已先后出台支持高水平科技自立自强、科技 型企业全生命周期金融服务、科技金融高质量发展实施方案等政策，初步构建起科技金融政策框架。最 近，金融监管总局联合六部委制定印发《加快构建科技金融体制 有力支撑高水平科技自立自强的若干 政策举措》，形成跨部门支持合力。金融监管总局还牵头印发了《支持小微企业融资的若干措施》，对 科技型小微企业加大支持力度。 金融监管总局副局长周亮6月5日在2025天津五大道金融论坛上表示，将持续加大对科技创新的金融支持 力度。他透露，金融监管总局正在研究制定科技 ...

Core Viewpoint - The rise of fast-return annuity products is driven by low interest rates on bank deposits and concerns over real estate depreciation, offering consumers a stable investment alternative with quick returns and guaranteed principal [1][5]. Group 1: Product Characteristics - Fast-return annuities allow for early cash withdrawals, typically after three to five years, distinguishing them from traditional retirement annuities [2][3]. - These products can be categorized based on payment frequency and duration, with options for fixed annual payouts or larger sums after a few years, and can offer both short-term and lifetime coverage [2][3]. - The internal rate of return (IRR) for fast-return annuities generally ranges from 2.0% to 2.4%, which is higher than current bank deposit rates, making them an attractive option for consumers seeking stable returns [3][5]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The current economic environment, characterized by declining bank deposit rates and increased market volatility, has led to a surge in demand for fast-return annuities as a secure financial tool [4][5]. - Fast-return annuities are often compared to bank deposits and real estate, highlighting their ability to provide predictable cash flow without the complexities of property management [4][5]. Group 3: Target Consumer Segments - Fast-return annuities are particularly suitable for three main consumer groups: those planning for mid-term financial needs (like education funds), conservative investors seeking capital preservation, and high-net-worth individuals looking for wealth transfer solutions [6][7]. - The younger demographic, particularly those around 30, is increasingly becoming a key market for these products, utilizing the short-term payment and lifetime payout structure to create a "retirement-like" cash flow in their 40s [7]. Group 4: Consumer Guidance - Consumers are advised to focus on cash value and ensure that the cash value exceeds the premiums paid after five years to avoid losses upon early withdrawal [8]. - It is recommended to understand the product's yield structure, distinguishing between guaranteed returns and those dependent on variable accounts, to avoid misleading high yield expectations [8].

Core Insights - The poultry farming industry in Yanggu County, Shandong Province, is undergoing an innovative insurance transformation to address various risks faced by farmers [1][2] - Traditional poultry insurance primarily covers disease-related risks, but there is a growing need for coverage against natural disasters and unexpected incidents [2][3] - A new specialized insurance product has been developed to cover major disaster risks, including power outages, natural disasters, and accidents, effectively filling a market gap [2][5] Industry Challenges - Poultry farmers are particularly concerned about risks such as power outages and natural disasters, which can significantly impact their operations [2][3] - The reliance on modern temperature control facilities makes the industry vulnerable to sudden disruptions, necessitating comprehensive insurance solutions [2] Product Innovation - The new insurance product, set to launch in June 2024, includes coverage for three major risk categories: power outages leading to temperature control failures, natural disasters like storms and floods, and accidents such as fires and explosions [2][5] - This product is designed to meet the specific needs of the poultry farming industry, providing a tailored solution to address critical risks [2] Service Enhancement - The insurance company has introduced a subsidy-based insurance model to lower costs for poultry farmers, combining government subsidies with commercial insurance [5][6] - A collaborative mechanism between the government and the insurance company has been established to ensure effective implementation of the insurance scheme [5][6] Financial Impact - The new insurance initiative has attracted significant social investment, with a reported leverage of 5.3 times the government subsidy [6] - As of April 2025, the insurance has covered over 7 million poultry, providing risk protection exceeding 200 million yuan [6] Commitment to Rural Development - The insurance company aims to enhance service efficiency, promising rapid response times for claims and payments [6] - The company is committed to supporting national agricultural policies and promoting innovative insurance solutions tailored to local agricultural characteristics [6]

2020年，美国受疫情冲击开启无限QE，美联储开动印钞机，每月上千亿地购买各期限国债。而现在， 美国在前两轮低利率周期发的国债陆续到期，只能高利率发新债去置换。如果36万亿美债未来全都换成 4%利率，光利息支出每年就有1.5万亿美元。如果再大规模增发国债，就隐隐有种高息QE的味道了，开 启一个以5%利率印钞购债的壮举，就像一个走投无路的人被迫借下高利贷，解决燃眉之急，但未来违 约的风险更大了。所以哪怕美债上限再度提高，美债危机的风险也只是暂时解除，未来的风险反而更 高。 有人可能会说，年年都说美债要爆，但为什么美债还是好好的？ 数十年来，投资人把美国政府国债视为终极安全资产，每当危机来袭，即使是美国本土爆发的危机，例 如2008年次贷危机，美国国债买气有增而无减，因为全球投资人相信美国政府严肃治国，不履行债务的 情境难以想像。 但现在川普2.0政府执政，关税政策和大而美法案吓坏金融市场，导致诡异现象：美债收益率攀升，美 元却往下栽。 一场悬在人类经济之上的无声风暴正在酝酿——美国国债总额已突破36万亿美元，这座堆积如山的债务 大厦，随时可能在一声巨响中轰然倒塌。 目前，美债违约已经进入倒计时，之后100天，全 ...

富邦人寿：近期逢低买入台股，后市审慎乐观。 ...

Group 1 - The core point of the article is that Fubon Life has NT$27 billion in foreign currency reserves as of May, which can fully offset exchange rate losses [1] Group 2 - The company holds a significant amount of foreign currency reserves, indicating a strong position to manage currency fluctuations [1]