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Nebius Group N.V.(NBIS) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-11-11 14:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Q3 group revenue reached $146 million, representing a year-over-year increase of nearly 355% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 39% [7] - Annualized run rate revenue for the core business at the end of September was $551 million, with the core infrastructure business growing 400% year-over-year and 40% sequentially [7][9] - Adjusted EBITDA margin for the core infrastructure business expanded to nearly 19% quarter-over-quarter [7] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The core infrastructure business accounted for nearly 90% of total revenue, with significant growth attributed to capacity constraints limiting revenue growth [7][9] - The company sold out all available capacity in Q3, indicating strong demand and a bottleneck in revenue growth due to capacity limitations [2][4] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company signed a major deal with Meta valued at approximately $3 billion over the next five years, following a previous deal with Microsoft valued between $17.4 billion and $19.4 billion [3][12] - The demand environment is characterized by overwhelming interest in capacity, with a 70% quarter-on-quarter expansion in pipeline generation [22] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on building its core AI cloud business while also pursuing large long-term deals to support growth [3][4] - Plans to grow contracted power to 2.5 gigawatts by the end of 2026, up from 1 gigawatt previously discussed, with significant investments in capacity and infrastructure [4][10] - The launch of new enterprise-ready cloud platform version 3.0, called Aether, and the inference platform Nebius Token Factory aims to expand the addressable market [5][6] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in achieving an annualized run rate revenue of $7 billion to $9 billion by the end of 2026, driven by strong demand and capacity growth [6][17] - The company remains focused on maintaining healthy margins and a sustainable business model while navigating the rapid growth in the AI sector [42][63] Other Important Information - The company is raising its 2025 CapEx guidance from approximately $2 billion to around $5 billion to support aggressive growth plans [10] - The company is actively evaluating financing options, including corporate debt, asset-backed financing, and equity, to support its growth strategy [8][32] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you tell us more about the new Meta deal? - The Meta deal is approximately $3 billion, limited by available capacity, indicating strong demand for larger contracts [12][13] Question: What is included in the $7 billion-$9 billion ARR target? - The target includes contracted power and existing capacity, with more than half already booked [15][17] Question: What is the timeline for infrastructure build-out? - The company is ramping up capacity in various regions, with new data centers expected to come online in 2026 [18][19] Question: How will Microsoft and Meta revenue contribute in 2025? - Microsoft revenue will ramp up in 2026, while Meta is expected to reach full revenue run rate in 2026 [21] Question: What does the demand environment look like? - Demand is accelerating, with a 70% increase in pipeline generation in Q3 [22] Question: Why is incremental ARR down? - Incremental ARR decreased due to capacity constraints, but is expected to increase significantly in Q4 [24] Question: How is the U.K. facility progressing? - The U.K. facility is progressing well, with strong demand leading to pre-sold capacity [35][36] Question: What is the company's approach to financing? - The company is focused on maintaining a disciplined capital structure while exploring various financing options [32][34] Question: How is the enterprise initiative ramping up? - The company is making strides in becoming enterprise-ready with new product launches and compliance certifications [48]
Nebius Group N.V.(NBIS) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-11-11 14:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Q3 group revenue reached $146 million, representing a year-over-year increase of nearly 355% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 39% [9] - Annualized run rate revenue for the core business at the end of September was $551 million, with the core infrastructure business accounting for nearly 90% of total revenue and growing 400% year-over-year [9] - Adjusted EBITDA margin for the core infrastructure business expanded quarter-over-quarter to nearly 19% [9] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The core infrastructure business was the primary driver of revenue growth, with significant contributions from mega deals with Microsoft and Meta [4][9] - The company sold out all available capacity, indicating that revenue growth was limited only by the capacity brought online [9] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The demand environment in Q3 was described as very strong, with a 70% quarter-on-quarter expansion in pipeline generation [24] - The company expects to achieve a contracted power of 2.5 gigawatts by the end of 2026, up from 1 gigawatt discussed in the previous earnings call [5][11] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on building its core AI cloud business while also pursuing large long-term deals with major clients [4][6] - Investments are being made to secure critical infrastructure, including hardware and power, with a CapEx guidance increase from approximately $2 billion to around $5 billion for 2025 [12] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in achieving an annualized run rate revenue of $7 billion to $9 billion by the end of 2026, driven by strong demand and accelerated capacity growth [6][19] - The company remains focused on maintaining healthy margins and a sustainable business model while navigating the rapidly growing AI market [44] Other Important Information - The company launched its new enterprise-ready cloud platform version 3.0, called Aether, and a new inference platform called Nebius Token Factory, aimed at expanding its addressable market [6] - The company is actively evaluating financing options, including corporate debt, asset-backed financing, and equity, to support its growth plans [10][34] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you tell us more about the new Meta deal? - The new deal with Meta is approximately $3 billion, limited by the capacity available. The company is optimistic about signing more large deals in the future [14] Question: What exactly is in the $7 billion-$9 billion ARR target? - The target includes contracted power and demand from AI startups and enterprises, with more than half already booked [17][19] Question: What gives you confidence that you can reach your 2.5 gigawatts goal of contracted capacity? - The company is ramping up capacity in various regions, including the U.K. and Israel, and has secured a roadmap for 2.5 gigawatts of power [20][21] Question: How should we think about revenue contribution from Microsoft and Meta deals for this year and going forward? - Revenue from Microsoft will ramp up in 2026, while Meta's deployments are expected to conclude in the next three months, with full revenue run rate anticipated in 2026 [22] Question: What does the overall demand environment look like in Q4 and into the next year? - The demand profile is accelerating, with a significant increase in pipeline generation and strong confidence in future growth [24] Question: How are you thinking about CapEx and what is your philosophy on CapEx spending? - The company plans to secure as much capacity as possible, with a focus on building infrastructure in line with visible demand [27][29] Question: Is there any chance that GPUs are oversupplied in the coming year? - The company believes the market will remain supply constrained at least until 2026, with a conservative approach to capital spending [65]
AI spending is not all equal. Wall Street rewards hyperscalers, punishes DoorDash and Duolingo
CNBC· 2025-11-11 12:30
Core Viewpoint - The tech sector is experiencing a divergence in investor sentiment, with large companies benefiting from increased capital expenditure forecasts while smaller firms face skepticism and stock price declines due to rising spending concerns related to profitability [1][2][3]. Group 1: Company Performance - DoorDash's stock dropped 17%, marking its worst decline in five years, after announcing plans to invest "several hundred million dollars" in new products and technology [5][6]. - Duolingo experienced a 25% drop in stock value, now down 41% for the year, despite beating revenue and bookings, as it focuses on user growth over immediate monetization [9][10]. - Roblox shares fell nearly 16% after warning that increased spending on safety and infrastructure could impact margins, with analysts expressing concerns about profitability [18][19]. Group 2: Investment Strategies - DoorDash is investing heavily in autonomous delivery and has spent a total of $5.1 billion on acquisitions, indicating a commitment to future growth despite short-term margin pressures [6][7]. - Duolingo is prioritizing user growth by investing in AI features, suggesting that financial results from these long-term investments may take several quarters to materialize [10][11]. - Roblox's management acknowledges that investments in safety may hinder near-term engagement but are expected to benefit long-term growth [18][19]. Group 3: Analyst Sentiment - Analysts are cautious about smaller companies like DoorDash, Duolingo, and Roblox, expressing skepticism about their ability to generate substantial new revenue from increased spending [2][7][17]. - KeyBanc Capital Markets downgraded Duolingo's stock to hold, citing concerns over the impact of increased investments on near-term bookings and earnings [10][11]. - Benchmark analysts downgraded Roblox shares to hold, anticipating that investments will hinder profitability in the near term [18][19].
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-11-11 12:15
Financial Performance - Nebius' third-quarter sales increased by over 300% [1] Business Development - Nebius announced an AI infrastructure deal with Meta [1] - Nebius predicts rapid growth through 2026 [1]
AI cloud firm Nebius signs $3 billion deal with Meta, posts more than four-fold rise in revenue
Reuters· 2025-11-11 12:03
Core Insights - Nebius Group has signed a deal worth approximately $3 billion with Meta to provide AI infrastructure over a five-year period [1] Company Summary - The agreement with Meta signifies a substantial investment in AI infrastructure, indicating Nebius Group's growing role in the AI sector [1] - The deal reflects Meta's ongoing commitment to enhancing its AI capabilities, which may lead to increased demand for AI services in the industry [1] Financial Summary - The contract is valued at around $3 billion, highlighting the financial scale of the partnership and its potential impact on Nebius Group's revenue over the next five years [1]
CoreWeave Falls As Data Center Issue Hits Capital Spending, 2025 Revenue Outlook
Investors· 2025-11-11 11:26
Core Points - CoreWeave's stock declined due to lowered guidance for capital spending and revenue for 2025, attributed to data center capacity issues [2][3][5] - The company reported a third-quarter loss of $0.22 per share, an improvement from a loss of $1.82 per share a year earlier, with revenue increasing by 133% to $1.365 billion, surpassing Wall Street estimates [7][9] - CoreWeave's remaining performance obligations (RPO) rose to $55.6 billion, an 85% increase from $30 billion in the previous quarter, indicating strong future revenue expectations [8] Financial Outlook - Capital spending guidance for 2025 was reduced by $8.5 billion, or 40% at the midpoint, alongside a decrease in revenue and operating income guidance by $150 million and $110 million, respectively [5] - The company expects a significant increase in capital spending in early 2026 [5] Capacity and Demand - CoreWeave has over 1 gigawatt of uncontracted data center capacity, which will take 12 to 24 months to become operational [6] - The company primarily serves clients in the artificial intelligence sector, with major customers including Microsoft and Meta Platforms [12] Market Performance - CoreWeave's stock fell more than 8% to $96.54 following the earnings report, after previously experiencing a 160% increase in 2025 [9] - The stock reached an all-time high of $187 on June 20, 2025 [9] Strategic Partnerships - Nvidia holds a 7% stake in CoreWeave and is a strategic partner, providing AI accelerators for the company's cloud computing services [9][10]
CoreWeave Stock Dives After Revenue Beats Expectations. This Is Why.
Barrons· 2025-11-11 11:04
Core View - Wall Street has high expectations for CoreWeave, an AI cloud vendor, despite facing some setbacks [1] Company Performance - CoreWeave is experiencing challenges that may impact its growth trajectory [1] - The company is navigating a competitive landscape in the AI cloud market [1] Market Outlook - Analysts remain optimistic about the long-term potential of CoreWeave in the AI sector [1] - The demand for AI cloud services continues to grow, presenting opportunities for CoreWeave [1]
2026 Is Coming: 1 Magnificent Artificial Intelligence (AI) Stock to Buy as Part of Your New Year's Resolution
The Motley Fool· 2025-11-11 09:52
Core Insights - Artificial intelligence (AI) is expected to be a significant theme in the stock market in 2026, with DigitalOcean identified as an undervalued beneficiary of this trend [1][2] Company Overview - DigitalOcean (DOCN) provides cloud computing services primarily to small and mid-sized businesses (SMBs) and has a growing portfolio of AI services attracting high-spending customers [3][4] - The company has built a lucrative business model focused on serving the needs of startups and SMBs, which are often overlooked by larger cloud providers [4] Product and Service Offering - DigitalOcean offers affordable options, transparent pricing, personalized service, and an easy-to-use dashboard, making it suitable for smaller companies with limited resources [5] - The company operates data centers equipped with advanced GPUs from leading manufacturers like Nvidia and AMD, allowing businesses to access fractional capacity for their AI workloads [6] Financial Performance - In Q3, DigitalOcean generated $229.6 million in revenue, a 16% increase year-over-year, with AI revenue more than doubling for the fifth consecutive quarter [9][10] - The company ended Q3 with $110 million in annual recurring revenue from customers spending at least $1 million per year, a 72% increase from the previous year [10] - DigitalOcean's net income surged by 381% to $158.3 million in Q3, driven by stable operating expenses and one-off tax and financing benefits [12] Valuation Metrics - Despite a 44% increase in stock price this year, DigitalOcean is trading at a price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 5.9, which is a 29% discount to its average P/S ratio since going public [13] - The stock's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 23.7, lower than the Nasdaq-100 and S&P 500 indices [15] - The company estimates its total addressable market at $140 billion, indicating significant growth potential [16] Market Sentiment - Major financial institutions, including Bank of America and Canaccord Genuity, have raised their price targets for DigitalOcean stock to $60, suggesting positive market sentiment [17]
5 Warren Buffett Stocks to Hold Forever
The Motley Fool· 2025-11-11 02:02
Core Insights - Warren Buffett's retirement marks the end of an era for Berkshire Hathaway, a company he transformed from a textile manufacturer into a diversified conglomerate with interests in various sectors [1][3] - Over his 60-year career, Buffett has built an investment portfolio valued at over $300 billion, achieving an annual compounded growth rate of 19.9%, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's 10.4% [2] Company Summaries - **American Express**: Berkshire Hathaway holds a 22% stake in American Express, which targets affluent customers and offers unique rewards. The company also generates significant revenue from personal loans, earning $5.97 billion in Q3 from interest [4][6] - **Amazon**: Although Buffett was late to invest, Amazon's dominance in e-commerce and cloud computing (AWS) makes it a strong investment. AWS generated $33 billion in Q3 with a profit margin of 34.6%, while Amazon's overall revenue was $147.16 billion with a 4% profit margin [7][9][10] - **Apple**: Apple remains Berkshire Hathaway's largest holding, comprising 24.1% of its portfolio. Despite a reduction in shares, Apple generated $102.4 billion in sales, with $49 billion from iPhones and $28.7 billion from its Services division, which grew 15.1% year-over-year [10][12][13] - **Kroger**: As a defensive investment, Kroger operates over 2,700 stores and focuses on private-label products that offer higher profit margins. The company is well-positioned to perform during economic downturns [14][15][16] - **Chevron**: Berkshire Hathaway holds a 6% stake in Chevron, which has seen a 27% increase in U.S. production and a 21% increase globally. Despite lower oil prices leading to a revenue decline to $3.53 billion in Q3, Chevron's dividend yield of 4.5% makes it an attractive long-term investment [17][18][19]
CRWV, RKLB, ASTS, RGTI, BBAI: 5 Trending Stocks Today - CoreWeave (NASDAQ:CRWV)
Benzinga· 2025-11-11 01:41
Market Overview - Major U.S. indexes closed higher, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average up 0.8% to 47,368.63, the S&P 500 up 1.54% to 6,832.43, and the Nasdaq up 2.27% to 23,527.17 [1] CoreWeave Inc. (NASDAQ:CRWV) - CoreWeave's stock rose by 1.54%, closing at $105.61, with an intraday high of $110.3 and a low of $102.78; after-hours trading saw a decline of 6.02% to $99.25 [2] - The company reported third-quarter revenue of $1.36 billion, exceeding estimates of $1.29 billion, with an adjusted loss of eight cents per share; revenue backlog nearly doubled to $55.6 billion due to strong demand from AI-focused clients [3] Rocket Lab Corp. (NASDAQ:RKLB) - Rocket Lab's shares increased by 0.50%, closing at $51.90, with an intraday high of $54.50 and a low of $50.76; after-hours trading saw a rise of 7.2% to $55.65 [4] - The company reported third-quarter revenue of $155.05 million, surpassing the consensus estimate of $151.75 million, and secured 17 Electron launch contracts, aiming to break its annual launch record in Q4 [4] AST SpaceMobile Inc. (NASDAQ:ASTS) - AST SpaceMobile's stock fell by 0.71%, closing at $68.70, with an intraday high of $72.36 and a low of $67; it slipped 1.16% to $67.90 in extended trading [5] - The company reported quarterly losses of 45 cents per share, missing the analyst estimate for losses of 23 cents, with quarterly revenue of $14.73 million, below the consensus estimate of $19.93 million [5] Rigetti Computing Inc. (NASDAQ:RGTI) - Rigetti's shares dropped by 2.04%, closing at $33.08, with an intraday high of $34.71 and a low of $32.60; after-hours trading saw a further decline of 1.69% to $32.52 [6] - The company reported quarterly losses of three cents per share, beating the analyst estimate for losses of four cents, but revenues missed expectations at $1.94 million, below the Street estimate of $2.17 million [7] BigBear.ai Holdings (NYSE:BBAI) - BigBear.ai's stock increased by 0.53%, closing at $5.71, with an intraday high of $5.96 and a low of $5.58; it surged over 12.4% to $6.42 in after-hours trading [8] - The company posted third-quarter revenue of $33.14 million, exceeding estimates but marking a 20% year-over-year decline due to reduced Army program volumes; it narrowed its loss to three cents per share and reaffirmed full-year guidance, also announcing plans to acquire generative AI platform Ask Sage [9]