A股*ST正平上演"地天板"行情，成交额超2亿元。 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for China Railway (601390) is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The report indicates that revenue and profit continue to be under pressure, but overseas new contracts remain strong [7] - The macroeconomic environment is facing downward pressure, but there are expectations for increased fiscal support and improved financing conditions, which may benefit infrastructure investment [7] - The company is expected to see a recovery in valuation due to its status as a leading state-owned enterprise in infrastructure [7] Financial Performance Summary - In Q1 2025, the company achieved total revenue of 249.283 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 6.2%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 6.025 billion yuan, down 19.5% year-on-year [7] - The revenue breakdown by business for Q1 shows infrastructure construction at 216.8 billion yuan (-8.0% YoY), design consulting at 4.7 billion yuan (-2.2% YoY), equipment manufacturing at 6.2 billion yuan (-5.8% YoY), real estate development at 6.7 billion yuan (+59.5% YoY), and other businesses at 14.9 billion yuan (+3.2% YoY) [7] - The overall gross margin remained stable at 8.5%, with slight declines in traditional business margins offset by higher margins in design consulting and real estate [7] Order and Contract Summary - The company signed new contracts worth 560.1 billion yuan in Q1, a decrease of 9.9% year-on-year, with significant contributions from overseas contracts, which increased by 33.4% [7] - As of the end of Q1, the company had a backlog of orders amounting to 7,234.1 billion yuan, an increase of 16.0% year-on-year [7] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2026 is 28.0 billion yuan and 28.5 billion yuan, respectively, with a new estimate for 2027 at 29.1 billion yuan [7] - The report emphasizes that the company’s valuation remains at historical lows, suggesting potential for recovery [7]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company reported a stable revenue growth with a year-on-year increase of 1.6% in Q1 2025, achieving total revenue of 142.736 billion yuan. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 12.0% year-on-year to 2.636 billion yuan, indicating continued pressure on profitability due to declining gross margins [7] - The company has shown good expense control, with stable expense ratios across various categories. The comprehensive gross margin for Q1 2025 was 10.8%, down by 1.0 percentage points year-on-year [7] - New signed contracts decreased by 9.6% year-on-year to 299.3 billion yuan in Q1 2025, with notable performance in hydropower and wind power sectors, which saw increases of 20.2% and 67.3% respectively [7] - The company is expected to benefit from increased domestic investment in major water conservancy and hydropower infrastructure, as well as the ongoing expansion of its renewable energy investment and operation business [7] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Total revenue for 2023 is projected at 609.844 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 6.50%. The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 12.949 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 13.24% [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2023 is estimated at 0.75 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 6.28 [1] Revenue and Profit Forecast - Revenue is forecasted to grow to 634.552 billion yuan in 2024, 648.864 billion yuan in 2025, and 675.132 billion yuan in 2026, with corresponding net profits of 12.015 billion yuan, 12.490 billion yuan, and 13.220 billion yuan respectively [1][8] - The projected EPS for 2025 is 0.73 yuan, with a P/E ratio of 6.51 [1] Market Data - The closing price of the stock is 4.74 yuan, with a market capitalization of approximately 81.652 billion yuan [5] - The company has a price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.58 and a debt-to-asset ratio of 79.61% [6]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company reported a stable revenue growth with a year-on-year increase of 1.6% in Q1 2025, but the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 12.0% year-on-year [7] - The gross margin has come under pressure, declining by 1.0 percentage points to 10.8% [7] - The company is expected to benefit from increased domestic investment in major water conservancy and hydropower infrastructure, as well as the continuous expansion of its new energy investment and operation business [7] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved total revenue of 142.736 billion yuan and a net profit of 2.636 billion yuan [7] - The operating cash flow showed a net outflow of 40.519 billion yuan, which is an increase in outflow compared to the previous year [7] - The asset-liability ratio stood at 79.6%, reflecting a slight increase of 1.4 percentage points year-on-year [7] Order Intake - New contracts signed in Q1 2025 amounted to 299.3 billion yuan, a decrease of 9.6% year-on-year [7] - The energy and water resource sectors showed strong performance, with new contracts in hydropower and wind power increasing by 20.2% and 67.3% respectively [7] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2026 is 12.5 billion yuan and 13.2 billion yuan respectively, with a P/E ratio of 6.5 and 6.2 times [7] - The company is expected to maintain a "Buy" rating due to the formation of a second growth curve from its new energy investment and operation business [7]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company continues to face pressure on revenue and profit, with a notable decline in domestic business, while overseas new contracts remain strong [7] - The report highlights that the company achieved a total revenue of 249.283 billion yuan in Q1 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 6.2%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 6.025 billion yuan, down 19.5% year-on-year [7] - The report anticipates that fiscal policy support and improvements in financing will gradually manifest in investment and physical volume, with expectations for increased infrastructure investment and policy support in key regions [7] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For Q1 2025, the company reported a total revenue of 249.283 billion yuan, down 6.2% year-on-year, and a net profit of 6.025 billion yuan, down 19.5% year-on-year [7] - The gross margin remained stable at 8.5%, with a slight year-on-year decline of 0.1 percentage points [7] - The company’s financial expense ratio increased to 4.9%, primarily due to a rise in financial expenses [7] Business Segments - Revenue from various business segments in Q1 included: infrastructure construction (216.8 billion yuan, -8.0% YoY), design consulting (4.7 billion yuan, -2.2% YoY), equipment manufacturing (6.2 billion yuan, -5.8% YoY), real estate development (6.7 billion yuan, +59.5% YoY), and other businesses (14.9 billion yuan, +3.2% YoY) [7] - The report indicates that traditional infrastructure business is under pressure, but the share of higher-margin design consulting and real estate development has increased [7] Order Book and Future Outlook - The company signed new contracts worth 560.1 billion yuan in Q1, a decrease of 9.9% year-on-year, with significant contributions from overseas contracts [7] - The backlog of orders stood at 7,234.1 billion yuan at the end of Q1, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 16.0% [7] - The report projects net profits for 2025-2026 to be 28.0 billion yuan and 28.5 billion yuan respectively, with a new forecast for 2027 at 29.1 billion yuan [7]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's Q1 2025 earnings continue to be under pressure, with total revenue of 256.76 billion yuan, down 6.6% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 5.15 billion yuan, down 14.5% year-on-year [8] - Despite the revenue decline, cash flow has improved, with a net cash flow from operating activities of -38.95 billion yuan, which is a reduction in outflow by 7.65 billion yuan year-on-year [8] - New contract signings decreased by 10.5% year-on-year to 492.8 billion yuan, but the company saw significant growth in green and environmental contracts, which increased by 77.1% year-on-year [8] - The company is expected to benefit from increased fiscal policy support and improved financing conditions, which will gradually manifest in investment and physical volume [8] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Q1 2025 total revenue was 256.76 billion yuan, down 6.6% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 7.5%, a decrease of 0.3 percentage points year-on-year [8] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 5.15 billion yuan, down 14.5% year-on-year, with a net profit margin of 2.01%, a decrease of 0.19 percentage points year-on-year [8] Cash Flow and Debt - Operating cash flow improved, with a net cash flow of -38.95 billion yuan, a reduction in outflow by 7.65 billion yuan year-on-year [8] - As of the end of Q1 2025, the company's interest-bearing debt was 541.1 billion yuan, an increase of 141.6 billion yuan year-on-year, with a debt-to-asset ratio of 77.6%, up 2.0 percentage points year-on-year [8] Order Book and Market Outlook - New contracts signed in Q1 2025 totaled 492.8 billion yuan, down 10.5% year-on-year, with significant growth in green and environmental contracts [8] - The company’s backlog of uncompleted contracts was 7.8613 trillion yuan, an increase of 12.5% year-on-year, indicating strong order visibility [8] Earnings Forecast - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 21.9 billion yuan in 2025, 22.4 billion yuan in 2026, and 22.9 billion yuan in 2027, with corresponding P/E ratios of 4.8, 4.7, and 4.6 times [8]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for China Railway Construction Corporation (601186) is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The report indicates that Q1 earnings continue to be under pressure, with a slight improvement in cash flow. The company reported a total revenue of 256.76 billion yuan in Q1 2025, down 6.6% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 5.15 billion yuan, down 14.5% year-on-year [8] - The report highlights that while revenue remains under pressure, the company has managed to control expenses effectively, leading to a slight decrease in expense ratios despite the revenue decline [8] - New contract signings in Q1 2025 decreased by 10.5% year-on-year, but there was notable growth in green environmental contracts, which increased by 77.1% year-on-year [8] - The report emphasizes that despite external economic pressures, the company is expected to benefit from increased fiscal policy support and a gradual recovery in infrastructure investment [8] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a total revenue of 256.76 billion yuan, a decrease of 6.6% year-on-year, and a net profit of 5.15 billion yuan, down 14.5% year-on-year [8] - The gross profit margin for Q1 2025 was 7.5%, a decrease of 0.3 percentage points year-on-year [8] - The company’s cash flow from operating activities showed improvement, with a net cash outflow of 38.95 billion yuan, which was 7.65 billion yuan less than the previous year [8] Order Book and Contracts - New contracts signed in Q1 2025 totaled 492.8 billion yuan, down 10.5% year-on-year, with engineering contracts down 18.7% [8] - The report notes strong performance in the railway, mining, and power sectors, with new contracts in these areas increasing by 66.3%, 139.3%, and 29.2% respectively [8] - The total uncompleted contract amount as of the end of Q1 2025 was 7,861.3 billion yuan, an increase of 12.5% year-on-year, indicating a solid order backlog [8] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The report forecasts net profits attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 to be 21.9 billion yuan, 22.4 billion yuan, and 22.9 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 4.8, 4.7, and 4.6 times [8] - The report maintains a "Buy" rating based on the expectation of recovery in valuation due to the company's position as a leading state-owned enterprise in infrastructure [8]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" [6] Core Views - The company is benefiting from a significant increase in nuclear power engineering orders and revenue, with a year-on-year growth of 44% in new orders and 35% in revenue for 2024 [1] - The company achieved an operating revenue of 1135.41 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 3.80%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 20.64 billion yuan, a slight increase of 0.07% [1] - The company has signed new nuclear power orders worth 551.44 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 43.61%, indicating a sustained demand in the nuclear power sector [1][2] Summary by Sections Nuclear Power Engineering - In 2024, the company generated revenue of 322.12 billion yuan from nuclear power engineering, up 34.63% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 13.37% [2] - The company has a leading market share in the domestic nuclear power sector, with 32 nuclear power units under construction and a total of 96 units built [2] Industrial and Civil Engineering - The revenue from industrial and civil engineering was 693.19 billion yuan in 2024, down 7.73% year-on-year, but the gross margin improved to 9.84% [2] - New contracts in the renewable energy sector amounted to 285.68 billion yuan, representing an 11.71% increase and accounting for 26.38% of new contracts in industrial and civil engineering [2] Financial Performance - The company's gross margin for 2024 was 11.7%, an increase of 0.37 percentage points year-on-year, while the expense ratio was 7.12% [3] - The net profit margin for 2024 was 2.46%, a slight decrease of 0.09 percentage points year-on-year, with cash flow from operations showing a net outflow of 33.40 billion yuan [3] Financial Data and Valuation - The projected operating revenue for 2025 is 1209.14 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 6.49% [4] - The estimated net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025 is 23.16 billion yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 12.21% [4]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for China Electric Power Construction (601669.SH) is maintained at "Buy" [1][5][6] Core Views - The company reported a year-on-year revenue growth, with a strong performance in its renewable energy business. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders declined due to increased impairment provisions. The gross margin remained stable, and the company is focusing on building a second growth curve around renewable energy while solidifying its traditional infrastructure business [5][6][7]. Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 634.55 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 4.05%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 12.01 billion yuan, down 7.21% year-on-year. The gross margin and net margin were 13.19% and 2.50%, respectively, showing slight declines of 0.04 percentage points and 0.31 percentage points year-on-year [6][8]. - The company’s new signed orders totaled 12,706.91 billion yuan in 2024, an increase of 11.19% year-on-year. The energy and power sector saw significant growth, with orders increasing by 23.68% [7][8]. Profit Forecast - The profit forecasts for 2025 to 2027 are as follows: net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 14.13 billion yuan in 2025, 15.21 billion yuan in 2026, and 15.95 billion yuan in 2027. The earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 0.82 yuan, 0.88 yuan, and 0.93 yuan for the respective years [5][8]. Valuation Metrics - The current price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios are projected to be 5.9, 5.5, and 5.2 for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively. The price-to-book (P/B) ratio is expected to remain at 0.5 for the next three years [5][8]. Business Outlook - The company is expected to benefit from the ongoing development in the energy and power sector, with its renewable energy initiatives likely to contribute positively to future earnings growth. The traditional business is undergoing structural adjustments due to a shrinking scale [5][6][7].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for China Electric Power Construction (601669.SH) is maintained at "Buy" [5][6] Core Views - The company reported a year-on-year revenue growth, with a strong performance in its renewable energy business. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased due to increased impairment provisions. The company is adjusting its business structure as traditional business scales down, focusing on renewable energy as a second growth curve. The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 is adjusted to 141.3 billion, 152.1 billion, and 159.5 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.82, 0.88, and 0.93 yuan [5][6][7] Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 634.55 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.05%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 12.015 billion yuan, a decrease of 7.21%. The gross margin and net margin were 13.19% and 2.50%, respectively, showing slight declines compared to the previous year [6][8] - The company’s total assets reached 1,289.01 billion yuan by the end of 2024, with a debt-to-asset ratio of 78.93% and a current ratio of 0.88 [6][10] Order Growth - The company signed new contracts totaling 12,706.91 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 11.19%. The energy and power sector saw significant order growth of 23.68% [7][8] - The company secured renewable energy construction indicators of 26.12 million kilowatts, a 15% increase year-on-year, with installed capacity for wind and solar power also showing substantial growth [7][8] Earnings Forecast - The earnings forecast for 2025-2027 indicates a recovery in net profit, with expected growth rates of 17.6% in 2025 and 7.7% in 2026. The P/E ratios for the next three years are projected to be 5.9, 5.5, and 5.2 times, respectively [5][8][10]