-广告- 关注公众号，点击公众号主页右上角" ··· "，设置星标 "⭐" ，关注 鑫椤锂电 资讯~ 本文来源：氟化工有机硅 近日，有投资者向万润新能提问鲁北万润试生产是否顺利完成及正式投产情况，公司回应称 鲁北万润12 万吨磷酸铁锂项目已基本建设完成，并在陆续进行生产调试，另外12万吨磷酸铁锂项目延期至2025年12 月。 公司会根据市场行情及新能源技术发展方向，合理规划产能布局，适时调整产能释放进度。 项目延期至2025年12月，可能是受到多方面因素的影响。一方面是市场行情因素，磷酸铁锂市场的需 求、价格等情况可能发生了变化，公司为了避免产能过剩带来的库存积压和成本增加等问题，选择调整产 能释放进度。另一方面，新能源技术发展方向也会对项目产生影响，如果有新的技术趋势出现，公司可能 需要时间来对项目进行优化和调整，以适应未来市场的需求。 此前项目进展： 2023年11月7日，万润新能于业绩说明会上表示，鲁北万润24万吨/年磷酸铁锂联产24万吨/年磷酸 铁项目，整体土建部分已基本完成，基于市场行情，公司适时调整产能释放进度，已完成12万吨/年 磷酸铁锂主体建设，24万吨/年磷酸铁项目正在调试阶段。当时公司的产 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [2][4] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 14.24 billion yuan in 2024, a decrease of 43.32% year-on-year, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 930 million yuan, down 43.76% [4] - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 1.19 billion yuan, 1.67 billion yuan, and 2.00 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.05 yuan, 1.48 yuan, and 1.78 yuan [4] - The current stock price corresponds to a PE ratio of 19.3, 13.7, and 11.4 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [4] Sales and Production - In 2024, the company’s sales of negative electrode materials exceeded 430,000 tons, with positive electrode materials sales around 20,000 tons [5] - The company has established a production capacity of 575,000 tons per year for negative electrode materials and 63,000 tons per year for positive electrode materials by the end of 2024 [5] - The company is actively expanding its overseas production bases, including an integrated project in Indonesia with an annual production capacity of 80,000 tons for negative electrode materials [5] Market Trends - The global production of negative electrode materials in 2024 reached 2.1673 million tons, a 23% increase, with China accounting for 98.5% of the total [6] - The market for negative electrode materials is showing signs of improvement in supply-demand structure, driven by increased penetration of new energy vehicles and rapid growth in energy storage market demand [6] Financial Summary and Valuation Indicators - The company’s revenue for 2023 was 25.12 billion yuan, with a projected revenue of 16.00 billion yuan for 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 12.4% [8] - The gross margin for 2024 is reported at 23.0%, with a net margin of 6.5% [8] - The return on equity (ROE) is expected to improve from 6.6% in 2024 to 11.1% in 2027 [8]

此前，公司已实际投资9700万元用于该项目，并已对项目土地进行退储处理，公司将办理芳源锂业的注 销等后续事项。 芳源股份主要从事锂电池三元正极材料前驱体和镍电池正极材料的研发、生产和销售，是国内领先的锂 电池NCA正极材料前驱体生产商，主要产品为高端电动汽车用NCA三元正极材料前驱体。2021年8月， 公司在上交所科创板挂牌交易。 不过受金属价格下跌、下游需求增速放缓、产品价格下跌等多种因素影响，芳源股份经营业绩有所下 滑。4月17日晚，芳源股份公布的年报数据显示，2024年公司实现营业收入21.61亿元，较上年同期增加 2.81%；归属于上市公司股东的净利润亏损约4.27亿元，较上年同期亏损幅度有所收窄但仍处于亏损状 态。 2023年2月，芳源股份披露，计划投资不超过20亿元，分两期建设年报废30万吨磷酸铁锂电池回收、年 产8万吨磷酸铁锂正极材料项目。2023年5月，芳源股份设立了全资子公司芳源锂业作为本次投资项目的 实施主体。 2023年6月，芳源股份又发布《关于变更投资项目的公告》，将前述投资项目变更为"电池级碳酸锂生产 及废旧磷酸铁锂电池综合利用项目"。2023年7月，芳源锂业通过公开竞拍的方式竞得项 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a strong potential for investment returns in the upcoming years [8]. Core Insights - The company's 2024 performance met expectations, with a revenue of 15.088 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 33.41% primarily due to price adjustments in response to raw material costs [5]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company for 2024 was 296 million yuan, down 49.06% year-on-year, influenced by intensified market competition and fluctuations in raw material prices [5]. - The company achieved a 20% year-on-year increase in the shipment of ternary materials, totaling 120,000 tons, maintaining its position as the global leader for four consecutive years [6]. - The gross margin for the ternary materials business improved significantly to 9.34% in 2024, indicating a recovery in profitability [6]. - The company is actively expanding into manganese iron phosphate and sodium battery cathode materials, with significant growth in shipments expected in 2025 [7]. - The first phase of the company's Korean factory has reached full production capacity, and the second phase is expected to begin trial production in the first half of 2025, which will further enhance profitability [7]. - The projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 768 million yuan, 1.022 billion yuan, and 1.287 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 12, 9, and 7 [8]. Financial Summary - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 15.088 billion yuan, with a year-on-year decrease of 33.4% [10]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to recover significantly in the following years, with a forecasted increase of 159.5% in 2025 [10]. - The gross margin is expected to stabilize around 10% in the coming years, with a slight increase to 10.5% by 2027 [10]. - The return on equity (ROE) is anticipated to rise from 3.5% in 2024 to 11.1% by 2027, indicating improved profitability and efficiency [10].

2025，硅基负极产业化驶入新阶段！ 企业端，贝瑞特、杉杉股份、中科电气等头部负极企业领衔，加速技术攻关及项目落地，为硅基负极低成本化打下基础。 技术端，大圆柱电池、固态电池、快充电池等技术进一步成熟， 上车进度大大提前。宁德时代、亿纬锂能、多氟多、创明电池、博力威、睿 恩新能源等代表企业的布局，释放了对 硅基负极的需求信号。 市场端，高端数码、高端电动汽车、无人机等市场的持续爆发，驱动 硅基负极商用提速。 在此背景下， 硅基负极获得资本关注，该领域成功融资的企业数量、金额明显高于其他赛道。 起点锂电注意到，2025年3月至今，硅基负极领域已至少有4家企业获得资本加持。 壹金新能源 企查查显示，3月12日， 北京壹金新能源科技有限公司完成B轮融资 ，融资额未披露，参与投资的机构包括国中资本，国投招商。 壹金新能源成立于2017年11月， 是一家专注于高性能锂电池材料及下一代电池技术研发与生产的高新技术企业， 公司以硅基负极材料（如 氧化亚硅前驱体、硅氧负极等）、高镍三元正极及固态电池技术为核心，覆盖消费电子、动力电池及储能领域。 据悉， 壹金新能源与中国科学院化学研究所签订了科技合作协议，并在江西宜春建设了生 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the current state and future trends of the lithium iron phosphate (LFP) cathode material industry in China, highlighting price stabilization and growth in high-performance LFP material shipments [3]. Group 1: Industry Overview - The processing fees and prices for lithium iron phosphate cathode materials have reached a bottom, with expectations for a rebound in early 2025 [3]. - In 2024, the price of lithium iron phosphate cathode materials is reported to be below 40,000 yuan/ton, with some low-end products dropping to 30,000 yuan/ton [3]. - The rebound in prices is anticipated due to the expected increase in lithium carbonate prices and the recovery of processing fees [3]. Group 2: Market Trends - High-performance lithium iron phosphate materials are seeing rapid shipment growth, with companies like Hunan Youneng and Fulian Precision achieving large-scale shipments of high-density LFP products [6]. - The shipment volume of lithium iron phosphate materials in China is projected to reach 2.46 million tons in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 49.3% and accounting for 74% of the total cathode material shipments, an increase of 7.1 percentage points [6]. - The increase in market share is attributed to improvements in the performance of LFP batteries, a surge in demand for lithium batteries in the energy storage sector (with a year-on-year increase of 64%), and the acceleration of LFP vehicle model launches by European and American automakers [6]. Group 3: Future Projections - The LFP material industry is expected to see further market share expansion against the backdrop of rising nickel and cobalt prices [7]. - Although losses for LFP material companies are expected to narrow, most companies will still operate at a loss [7]. - Despite some companies exiting the market, production capacity remains ample, leading downstream companies to prefer high-quality products, thus accelerating the application of high-end LFP materials [7].

Core Viewpoint - The lithium battery key material, vinylene carbonate (VC), is experiencing a wave of capacity expansion led by industry leaders, highlighting robust long-term demand expectations for lithium batteries [2][7]. Group 1: Capacity Expansion Plans - Major companies are announcing large-scale VC expansion plans, with Huasheng Lithium Battery planning to invest approximately 950 million RMB to build a 60,000-ton VC production project in Hubei Province [3]. - Shandong Genyuan New Materials, backed by CATL, has unveiled a more ambitious expansion plan to construct a total of 200,000 tons of VC capacity in three phases, with a total investment of 5 billion RMB [3][4]. - Other companies are also planning smaller-scale expansions, such as Ulaanbaatar Jinda Fine Chemicals and Zaozhuang Huabo Chemical, each planning to add 3,000 tons of VC capacity [4]. Group 2: Market Demand and Trends - The concentrated expansion of VC capacity is interpreted as strong evidence of the lithium battery industry's robust long-term demand, with lithium battery production demand remaining strong [4]. - In April, the production of electrolytes increased by over 5% month-on-month, driven by the release of new electric vehicle models and the implementation of "old-for-new" policies [4][5]. - The addition ratio of VC varies across different types of lithium batteries, with higher ratios in lithium iron phosphate batteries, indicating a growing demand for VC [5]. Group 3: New Growth Drivers - The commercialization of silicon-based anode materials is creating new growth points for VC, as adding VC helps stabilize the solid electrolyte interphase (SEI) membrane, crucial for enhancing battery performance [6]. - The shipment volume of silicon-based composite materials for lithium batteries in China is expected to reach 21,000 tons in 2024, reflecting an 11% year-on-year growth, indicating the increasing demand for VC [6]. Group 4: Market Conditions and Quality Requirements - Despite the expansion wave, VC market prices have remained low, with an average price of approximately 50,000 RMB per ton, although there has been a slight recovery [6]. - Downstream battery manufacturers are raising quality standards for VC products, with some leading companies increasing purity requirements from 99.95% to 99.995% [6].

2025依旧是磷酸铁锂正极材料扩产大年，四川、云南、山东、广东、江西等多个省市项目提速。 3月底，贵州铜仁一磷酸铁锂项目也传来新进展，即将进入投产新阶段。 该项目为 贵州嘉尚 年产25万吨锂离子电池正极材料产业园项目二期，位于 大龙开发区北部工业园区， 目前正在加速建设中， 预计6月完成 交付。 据悉， 年产25万吨锂离子电池正极材料产业园项目建设单位为 贵州嘉尚新能源材料有限公司， 总投资25亿元，主要建设年产10万吨锰酸锂 正极材料生产线、4万吨三元正极材料生产线、1万吨钴酸锂正极材料生产线、10万吨磷酸铁锂正极材料生产线及相关配套设施。全 面投产 后，预计年产值将高达300亿元 资料显示， 贵州嘉尚是 广东嘉尚新能源科技有限公司控股子企业，持股比例为 66.33%。后者 自2015年成立以来，便深耕于锂离子聚合物 电池的研发、生产与销售领域， 产品远销至欧洲、美洲、非洲、东南亚及南亚等多个国家和地区。 在 大龙开发区北部工业园区内，除了 嘉尚项目，还有 凯金新能源负极材料项目、 贵州星茂 废旧电池综合回收利用项目、 贵州博邦山河年 产15万吨一体化锂电池负极材料及石墨项目、 中伟循环 废旧锂电池回收利用 ...

Core Viewpoint - Zhongwei Co., Ltd. announced its plan to issue H-shares and list in Hong Kong, aiming to advance its global development strategy and enhance its international capital operation platform [1][2]. Fundraising and Financial Performance - Since its listing on the ChiNext board in December 2020, Zhongwei has raised a total of 107.08 billion yuan through its IPO and two private placements, which raised 50 billion yuan in 2021 and 43.07 billion yuan in 2022 [1][4]. - The company has reported significant revenue growth, with revenues of 74.4 billion yuan in 2020, 200.72 billion yuan in 2021, 303.44 billion yuan in 2022, and 342.73 billion yuan in 2023, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 40.07%, 169.81%, 51.17%, and 12.95% respectively [6]. - Cumulative net profit reached 61.74 billion yuan since its listing, with net profits of 4.2 billion yuan in 2020, 9.39 billion yuan in 2021, 15.43 billion yuan in 2022, and 19.47 billion yuan in 2023, showing year-on-year growth of 133.65%, 123.48%, 64.33%, and 26.15% respectively [6][7]. Global Expansion Strategy - Zhongwei has been actively pursuing a global strategy since 2021, establishing nickel resource smelting bases in Indonesia with a production capacity of nearly 200,000 metal tons [2]. - The company plans to produce over 35,000 metal tons of nickel products in Indonesia by the first half of 2024, with a nearly 40% quarter-on-quarter growth in the second quarter [2]. - In Morocco, Zhongwei is collaborating with AL MADA to build a project that will supply battery materials for over 1 million electric vehicles annually, targeting the European and American markets [2]. - In South Korea, the company is working with POSCO on an integrated nickel refining and precursor production project, with an annual output of 50,000 tons of nickel refining and 110,000 tons of precursor production, sufficient for 1.2 million electric vehicles [2]. Research and Development Investment - Zhongwei has consistently increased its R&D investment, with expenditures of 2.7 billion yuan in 2020, 7.69 billion yuan in 2021, 9.29 billion yuan in 2022, and 10.56 billion yuan in 2023, totaling approximately 37.42 billion yuan since its listing [7].

Core Viewpoint - The demand for lithium battery barium stone in China is expected to grow significantly, reaching 74,000 tons by 2025, driven by the increasing production of lithium batteries and the need for enhanced safety performance in separator coatings [2][6]. Group 1: Market Demand and Growth - In 2024, the global barium stone usage is projected to be 73,000 tons, with China accounting for 59,000 tons, marking a year-on-year increase of 31% [3]. - The rapid growth in China's lithium battery barium stone usage is primarily due to the expected shipment of nearly 1.2 TWh of lithium batteries in 2024, which will drive the demand for barium stone [4]. - The performance of barium stone is improving, with its penetration rate in separator coatings increasing by over 3 percentage points compared to 2023 [4]. Group 2: Market Characteristics - The market for lithium battery barium stone in China is characterized by a trend towards thinner separator coatings, leading to a shift towards smaller particle sizes, from 0.8μm to 0.5μm and 0.3μm [5]. - The price of lithium battery barium stone is on a downward trend, with the price of mainstream products (0.8μm) expected to fall to between 11,000 to 14,000 yuan per ton by the end of December 2024 [5]. - The pace of capacity expansion among enterprises is slowing, resulting in an increase in industry capacity utilization [5]. Group 3: Competitive Landscape - By 2024, the industry concentration ratio (CR3) is expected to reach 73%, indicating a high level of market concentration, with Yishitong holding a 42% market share, an increase of over 2 percentage points from 2023 [6]. - Traditional leading companies like Nabaltec are experiencing a decline in market share, dropping to 10%, a decrease of over 3 percentage points, placing them in third position globally [6]. - Chinese companies are expected to strengthen their market position domestically, with leaders like Yishitong and Jidun further solidifying their global standing [6]. Group 4: Future Projections - The demand for lithium battery barium stone is anticipated to continue rising, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of over 20% expected from 2024 to 2027 in China [6].