Core Insights - Expedia reported $2.99 billion in revenue for Q1 2025, a year-over-year increase of 3.4%, with an EPS of $0.40 compared to $0.21 a year ago [1] - The revenue fell short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3.03 billion, resulting in a surprise of -1.27%, while the EPS also missed the consensus estimate of $0.42 by -4.76% [1] Financial Performance Metrics - Gross bookings totaled $31.45 billion, slightly below the average estimate of $31.85 billion [4] - Stayed room nights were 108, exceeding the average estimate of 106, with a growth rate of 6%, lower than the 8.1% average estimate [4] - Merchant gross bookings were $18.21 billion, compared to the estimated $18.83 billion [4] - International revenue was $1.16 billion, below the average estimate of $1.22 billion, but showed a year-over-year increase of 5.6% [4] - U.S. revenue reached $1.83 billion, slightly below the estimated $1.85 billion, reflecting a 2.1% year-over-year increase [4] - B2C revenue was $1.96 billion, below the average estimate of $2.04 billion, while B2B revenue was $947 million, exceeding the estimate of $924.59 million, marking a 13.7% year-over-year increase [4] - Revenue from lodging was $2.29 billion, below the estimate of $2.36 billion, with a year-over-year increase of 2.7% [4] - Revenue from Trivago was $85 million, surpassing the estimate of $74.76 million, with a significant year-over-year increase of 21.4% [4] - Air revenue was $107 million, below the estimated $114.41 million, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 7% [4] - Other revenue was $333 million, below the estimate of $352.60 million, with a slight year-over-year increase of 0.6% [4] Stock Performance - Expedia shares returned +3% over the past month, compared to the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +11.3% change [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating potential performance in line with the broader market in the near term [3]

Market Overview - Markets experienced a rise due to optimistic sentiment surrounding trade deals with U.S. partners, particularly following an agreement with the UK that maintained a +10% tariff [1] - The Dow Jones Industrial Average increased by +254 points (+0.62%), while the S&P 500 rose by +0.58%. The Nasdaq and Russell 2000 saw even larger gains of +1.07% and +1.85%, respectively [2] Earnings Reports - Expedia (EXPE) reported Q1 earnings of $0.40 per share, missing the Zacks consensus of $0.42, despite a +90% year-over-year increase. Revenues were $2.99 billion, below the expected $3.03 billion, leading to a -6.7% decline in after-hours trading [3] - Affirm (AFRM) exceeded bottom line expectations with earnings of +$0.01 per share against a forecast of -$0.08. Revenues matched estimates at $783 million, while Gross Merchandise Value (GMV) rose +36% year over year. However, shares fell -8% in late trading [3] - DraftKings (DKNG) reported a bottom line of -$0.07 per share, an improvement from the projected -$0.30. Revenues of $1.41 billion grew +20% year over year but missed the Zacks consensus of $1.42 billion. The company lowered revenue guidance and adjusted EBITDA forecasts, yet shares rose +3% in post-market trading [4]

Q1 FY 2025 Investor Presentation May 2025 Tripadvisor Safe Harbor Statement Forward-Looking Statements. Our presentation today, including the slides contained herein, contains "forward-looking statements" within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements are not historical facts or guarantees of future performance and are based on management's assumptions and expectations, which are inherently subject to difficult to predict uncertainties, risks and changes in circ ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Consolidated revenue for Q1 2025 was $398 million, representing a 1% growth or approximately 3% growth in constant currency, driven by marketplace businesses [6][20] - Consolidated adjusted EBITDA was $44 million, or 11% of revenue, exceeding expectations due to revenue outperformance and lower fixed costs [20][28] - Gross booking value (GBV) grew 10% or 12% in constant currency to approximately $1.1 billion [23] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Viator's revenue grew 10% to $156 million, with bookings growth of 15% [23][24] - Brand TripAdvisor's revenue was $219 million, a decline of 8%, but adjusted EBITDA was $65 million, representing 30% of revenue [10][24] - The Fork's revenue grew 12% or 16% in constant currency to $46 million, with a significant increase in B2B software subscriptions [15][27] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - North America remained the largest source market for Viator, with stable booking windows year over year [22] - The US share of international travel from certain source markets, particularly Canada, is down, while domestic travel share is up [18] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to be the most trusted source for travel and experiences, focusing on diversifying its portfolio and optimizing legacy offerings [5][6] - There is a strong emphasis on leveraging AI to enhance user experience and operational efficiency across all segments [16][17] - The merger with Liberty TripAdvisor Holdings has simplified the capital structure and is expected to unlock new opportunities for growth and shareholder engagement [5][42] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledges macroeconomic uncertainties but remains confident in the long-term growth potential of travel and experiences [19][20] - Travel sentiment remains positive, with consumers planning leisure travel and prioritizing experiences in their budgets [19][68] - The company is closely monitoring early signs of pressure in average booking value and cancellation rates [18][20] Other Important Information - The company raised $350 million in an add-on to its existing Term Loan B and expects to use the proceeds to pay down convertible notes due in 2026 [29][30] - The company plans to restart its share repurchase program with approximately $200 million remaining under its existing authorization [31] Q&A Session Summary Question: Guidance and macro uncertainty - Management is comfortable with the current guidance framework but acknowledges macro uncertainty as a reason for not adjusting guidance upward [39][41] Question: Impact of Liberty buyout - The completion of the Liberty buyout simplifies the capital structure and allows for a clearer focus on value drivers [42][43] Question: Viator margins and marketing - Management believes Viator can achieve OTA-like margins through product-led growth and improved marketing efficiency [48][49] Question: Cross-border exposure and marketing adjustments - Viator is predominantly a North American booker base, making it less susceptible to international trade route pressures [52] Question: Google auction changes - Management is actively involved in optimizing ad placements and formats on Google, viewing it as an opportunity for incremental traffic [58] Question: Average booking value decline - The decline in average booking value is primarily due to a higher mix of third-party bookings, which generally have lower price points [59][60] Question: Travel spending in a slower consumer environment - Historically, consumers defend travel spending, particularly on experiences, even during economic slowdowns [66][68] Question: Hotel Meta pricing improvement - Improvements in user experience and content have driven pricing uplifts in Hotel Meta, contributing to better monetization [70][72] Question: Viator marketing strategy - The marketing strategy for Viator remains focused on utilizing paid channels effectively to convert demand [90][92]

Core Viewpoint - The current economic climate, characterized by a trade war and uncertainty, may not seem favorable for investing in discretionary travel stocks like Booking Holdings [1] Group 1 - The article discusses the potential for investment in Booking Holdings despite the ongoing trade war and economic uncertainty [1] - The author expresses a personal interest in uncovering investment opportunities across various sectors, including equities and cryptocurrencies [1] - The author has a background in communications and an MBA, indicating a level of expertise in investment analysis [1] Group 2 - There is a disclosure stating that the author does not hold any positions in the mentioned companies but may consider initiating a long position in Booking Holdings within the next 72 hours [2] - The article emphasizes that the views expressed are personal opinions and not influenced by any compensation or business relationships [2][4] - The author encourages readers to conduct their own due diligence regarding investment decisions [3]

Group 1 - The domestic tourism market in China shows a strong recovery during the "May Day" holiday, with multiple trends emerging, including family travel and pet-friendly outings [2][3] - Long-distance travel destinations have performed exceptionally well, with ticket sales for scenic spots in regions like Qinghai, Xinjiang, Ningxia, and Gansu seeing significant year-on-year growth of 1-2 times [2] - The number of inbound travel orders has surged by 130% compared to last year, with new experiences such as agricultural tourism and "China shopping" becoming popular among foreign tourists [2] Group 2 - The trend of family travel is on the rise, with 35% of car rental orders on Ctrip being for family trips, an increase of 11 percentage points [3] - The self-driving travel market is experiencing an upgrade in consumption, with average car rental spending increasing by 24% year-on-year and the average rental duration extending to 4 days [3] - The cruise tourism market has fully recovered, with bookings for cruise products during the holiday increasing by 120% compared to last year and 140% compared to 2019 [4] Group 3 - The integration of national cultural elements into tourism is deepening, with searches for intangible cultural heritage-themed tours skyrocketing and related ticket bookings increasing by 132% [4] - A reverse tourism trend is emerging, focusing on escaping crowds and enhancing experiences, with rural tourism bookings rising by nearly 20% during the holiday [4] - The market is shifting from "scale expansion" to "quality upgrade," reflecting a strong demand for differentiated experiences in tourism [5]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for stocks, indicating an expected relative return of over 20% within six months [30] - The industry investment rating is "Outperform," suggesting an expected industry index increase of over 5% within the same timeframe [30] Core Insights - The Hong Kong stock market indices rose, with a net inflow of 1.185 billion CNY from the Hong Kong Stock Connect over five trading days, totaling 568.747 billion CNY year-to-date, which is 76.44% of the total net inflow for 2024 [1] - Major stocks receiving significant southbound capital inflows include Meituan (4.949 billion CNY), Alibaba (1.355 billion CNY), and Kangfang Biotech (0.753 billion CNY) [1][25] - The Hang Seng Technology Index is currently at a relatively low valuation, with a projected PE of 14 times for 2026 [1] Summary by Sections AI Developments - Alibaba Cloud launched the Qwen3 series, with flagship model Qwen3-235B achieving a score of 70.7 in benchmark tests [2] - Xiaomi released its first inference model, MiMo-7B, which outperformed larger models in mathematical reasoning and coding tasks [9] Smart Driving - Short-term policy tightening on low-level smart driving promotions is expected, but high-level smart driving may still receive policy support [2] - The trend of mainstream manufacturers adopting LiDAR technology is confirmed, with a positive outlook for leading manufacturers like XPeng, Xiaomi, and Li Auto [2] OTA and Tourism - Domestic tourism remains strong, with a nearly 20% year-on-year increase in domestic scenic spot ticket bookings and a 141% increase in inbound travel orders [3] - The AI application "Ask One" by Fliggy has received positive feedback, indicating a growing trend for AI agents in travel services [3] Cross-Border E-commerce - The U.S. has ended the tariff exemption for small packages from China valued under 800 USD, leading to price increases on platforms like TEMU and Shein [3] - A shift from full to semi-managed and local warehousing is anticipated, with a recommendation to monitor policy implementation closely [3] New Listings - Companies like Seres and Mingming Hen Mang have submitted IPO applications, with Seres focusing on electric vehicles and Mingming Hen Mang being the largest chain retailer in China [4] Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index closed at 21,980.74 points, reflecting a 2.74% increase [10] - The report highlights the performance of various stocks, with Alibaba's market cap at 205.12 billion CNY and a projected PE of 12 for 2025 [20]

Core Viewpoint - Expedia Group (EXPE) is expected to report first-quarter 2025 results on May 8, with revenues estimated at $3.03 billion, reflecting a 4.76% increase year-over-year, and earnings per share projected at 42 cents, indicating a 100% increase from the previous year [1][4]. Financial Performance - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for EXPE's first-quarter 2025 revenues is $3.03 billion, a 4.76% increase from the prior year's quarter [1]. - The earnings consensus is 42 cents per share, revised down by 2 cents in the last 30 days, but still suggests a 100% increase year-over-year [1]. Historical Performance - EXPE has exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings in the last four quarters, with an average surprise of 45.86% [2]. Growth Factors - The company's performance is anticipated to be influenced by international demand, strategic investments, and cost discipline [4]. - Gross bookings are projected to grow by 4% to 6%, with revenue growth expected between 3% to 5%, excluding a two-point foreign exchange headwind and the Easter shift [5]. - Underlying growth, when excluding these factors, is expected to be between 7% to 9% [5]. Segment Performance - Vrbo is likely to continue its growth momentum, supported by expanded urban inventory and improved supply quality [6]. - Brand Expedia is expected to benefit from merchandising actions in air and package products, driving incremental bookings without additional marketing costs [6]. - The B2B segment, which accounted for 27% of total bookings in 2024, is expected to remain strong, particularly in the APAC region [7]. - Advertising revenues, which grew by 25% in the fourth quarter, are anticipated to continue being a significant contributor to top-line growth [8]. Profitability Metrics - Adjusted EBITDA margins for the first quarter are expected to remain flat to slightly up year-over-year, reflecting sustained overhead and marketing efficiency [9]. - Cost-saving actions taken in 2024 are expected to support profitability despite seasonal and foreign exchange pressures [9]. Earnings Outlook - According to the Zacks model, EXPE has a positive Earnings ESP of +14.86% and a Zacks Rank of 3, indicating a favorable outlook for an earnings beat [10].

"与此同时，游玩体验的多样性和趣味性越发重要，海岛度假、雨林徒步、沙漠骆驼骑行、星空露营、 茶山采风等玩法备受消费者青睐，避开人流、躺平式度假、深度体验在地文化等需求集中释放。"飞猪 旅行相关负责人表示。 "近年来，高速公路、高铁及机场网络不断拓展，为低线城市游客的出行提供了极大的便利，三四线城 市游客旅游渗透率不断提高，并逐渐成为旅游市场的新兴力量。"途牛旅游网相关负责人表示，今年"五 一"假期，六盘水、葫芦岛、漳州、遵义等客源地出游人次同比增长均超过了70%。此外，大同、营 口、揭阳、宿迁、南平、阜阳等地用户的出游热情也保持了较高的增长趋势。 新华财经北京5月6日电（记者丁雅雯、李唐宁）旅游平台的数据显示，今年"五一"假期，"反向旅游"再 度走热，县城高星酒店预定火爆。 （文章来源：新华财经） "五一"假期，不少人将目光投向了性价比更高的县域地区。美团旅行显示，今年"五一"假期，县城高星 酒店预订量同比增长超80%。相比拥堵的热门城市，"诗画江南"浙江桐庐县、"长诗圣地"安徽怀宁 县、"皖北江南"安徽凤台县、"上梅古镇、蚩尤故里"湖南新化县均成为人们寻找"松弛感"的热门之选。 "'味蕾游'的走红也让众多小 ...

Core Viewpoint - Analysts project that Expedia (EXPE) will report quarterly earnings of $0.42 per share, reflecting a 100% year-over-year increase, with revenues expected to reach $3.03 billion, a 4.8% increase from the same quarter last year [1]. Earnings Estimates - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 4.9% lower over the last 30 days, indicating a reevaluation of initial estimates by analysts [2]. - Prior to earnings releases, revisions to earnings projections are crucial for predicting investor behavior, as empirical studies show a strong correlation between earnings estimate trends and short-term stock performance [3]. Revenue Projections - Analysts predict 'Revenue- B2B' will reach $924.59 million, marking an 11% increase year-over-year [5]. - 'Revenue by Service Type- Lodging' is expected to be $2.36 billion, reflecting a 6.1% year-over-year change [5]. - 'Revenue- Trivago' is projected at $74.76 million, indicating a 6.8% increase from the prior year [5]. - 'Revenue by Service Type- Air' is estimated at $114.41 million, suggesting a slight decline of 0.5% year-over-year [6]. - 'Revenue- Advertising, Media and other' is expected to reach $277.37 million, a 12.3% increase from the previous year [6]. - 'Revenue- International' is projected at $1.22 billion, reflecting an 11.3% increase year-over-year [7]. - 'Revenue- United States' is estimated at $1.85 billion, indicating a 3.3% year-over-year change [7]. Gross Bookings - Analysts forecast 'Gross bookings - Total' to reach $31.85 billion, compared to $30.16 billion from the previous year [7]. - 'Gross bookings - Merchant' is expected to be $18.83 billion, up from $16.86 billion year-over-year [8]. - 'Gross bookings - Agency' is projected at $13.81 billion, compared to $13.30 billion from the prior year [9]. Key Metrics - The consensus estimate for 'Stayed room nights/ Booked room nights' stands at 106, up from 101 year-over-year [8]. - 'Stayed Room Night /Booked room nights Growth' is expected to be 8.1%, compared to 7% in the same quarter last year [8]. Stock Performance - Over the past month, shares of Expedia have returned +14.1%, significantly outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +0.4% [9].