冥冥之中，自有天命。 有些传闻只是传闻，很多传闻会成真，当传闻成真的时候，却也不意外。 01 1月8日，万科公告，郁亮到龄辞任万科执行副总裁。 郁亮生于1965年，今年61岁，今年是加入万科的第36年。以北大毕业生的光鲜履历南下，第一站是深圳 外贸集团，此后离职加入万科。巧合的是，原万科董事长辛杰从沈阳工业大学毕业南下，在深圳的第一 站，也是深圳外贸集团。 郁亮后来加入万科，从证券事务部起，直至接班王石，先后出任CEO、董事局主席，又在中年瘦身成 功，成为健康运动达人，职场成就与个人魅力兼具，一时为人追捧，成为"个人奋斗成为精英"的最好诠 释。 关于此番辞任，我们无意推测，其实也无须推测。很多答案就在谜题本身之中。 郁亮的成长经历，已大为人所熟知，此时回顾，没有太大意义。倒是他在万科走向前台，尤其是在历经 万宝之争王石退任接获权杖之后，万科经营战略和风格发生的变化值得思考。 郁亮主政万科期间，销售规模、资产规模快速增长，虽然"第一"被碧桂园、恒大超越，但在企业地位 上，仍是老大；同样是在他主政期间，万科资本运作、资产交易的数量和规模明显增大，有多宗堪 称"漂亮"的资产买卖。正是在此期间，跟投制、"合伙人制"都 ...

Group 1: Macro Trends and Strategy - The report indicates that the overall industry prosperity index has shown signs of a turning point, with PMI exceeding expectations, particularly in upstream resources, public industries, TMT, and essential consumer goods [2] - Key drivers for the recent improvements include price increases in metals, coal, certain chemicals, and paper products, as well as advancements in AI applications, particularly in gaming and software [2] - The report suggests a balanced investment strategy focusing on both growth and cyclical sectors, recommending attention to industries such as non-ferrous metals, chemicals, military industry, storage, gaming, and new energy [2] Group 2: Fixed Income Insights - The report discusses the emergence of "negative duration" strategies in the bond market, which have gained attention due to certain products appreciating despite overall market adjustments [3] - It highlights that the negative duration strategy involves using derivatives and short selling to create a portfolio with a negative duration, which is a more extreme form of hedging [3] - The report notes that while the strategy is gaining traction, it faces challenges such as performance benchmarks and regulatory attitudes in the domestic market [3] Group 3: Real Estate Sector Analysis - The report states that the sales advantages of leading real estate companies continue to consolidate, with the top 100 firms experiencing a narrowing decline in sales compared to the overall market [4] - It emphasizes that the concentration of resources among top firms has increased, with state-owned enterprises outperforming for six consecutive years [4] - The report anticipates that policies aimed at stabilizing the real estate market will benefit leading firms with strong resource acquisition capabilities [4] Group 4: Aerospace and Defense Industry Outlook - The report highlights a significant increase in global defense spending, with the U.S. proposing to raise military expenditure from $1 trillion to $1.5 trillion by FY2027, reflecting heightened international security concerns [5] - It notes that China's military trade market share remains low at 5.87% compared to the U.S. at 42.64%, indicating potential for growth in China's military exports [5] - The report suggests that the internationalization of Chinese military enterprises will be a key focus in the upcoming five-year plan, potentially leading to rapid development in military trade [5] Group 5: Key Company Insights - The report initiates coverage on WeRide (WRD US/800 HK) with a "buy" rating, projecting a target price of HKD 52 and USD 20, citing its dual focus on domestic and international markets [6] - It mentions that WeRide has established a significant Robotaxi fleet in the Middle East and is expanding its product offerings, which may not yet be fully reflected in its valuation [6] - The report also discusses Alibaba's expected revenue growth of 3.7% year-on-year for Q3 FY26, driven by AI cloud demand, although it anticipates challenges in e-commerce profitability due to weak GMV performance [7]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that Shouke Co., Ltd. has experienced fluctuations in its stock price and significant changes in shareholder structure, alongside notable financial performance in recent periods [1][2][3] Group 2 - As of January 9, Shouke's stock price increased by 2.09% to 6.35 CNY per share, with a total market capitalization of 16.38 billion CNY [1] - The company has seen a net inflow of main funds amounting to 1.38 million CNY, with significant buying and selling activities recorded [1] - Year-to-date, Shouke's stock price has decreased by 3.93%, while it has increased by 9.86% over the past 20 days [1] Group 3 - For the period from January to September 2025, Shouke reported a revenue of 23.19 billion CNY, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 60.31%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was -3.11 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 27.51% [2] - The number of shareholders increased by 382.93% to 194,300, while the average number of circulating shares per person decreased by 79.29% to 13,279 shares [2] Group 4 - Shouke has distributed a total of 8.97 billion CNY in dividends since its A-share listing, with 258 million CNY distributed over the past three years [3] - As of September 30, 2025, Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited and Southern CSI Real Estate ETF were among the top ten circulating shareholders, both being new shareholders [3]

去年12月10日至11日在北京举行的中央经济工作会议对今年的房地产工作作出明确部署，要求"着力稳定房地产市场"。 去年12月12日，金融监管总局党委召开会议，传达学习中央经济工作会议精神，结合全国金融系统工作会议部署要求。会议指出，支持稳 定房地产市场，进一步发挥城市房地产融资协调机制作用，助力构建房地产发展新模式。 去年12月22日至23日，全国住房城乡建设工作会议在京举行，指出要着力稳定房地产市场。会议明确指出，进一步发挥房地产项目"白名 单"制度作用，支持房地产企业合理融资需求。 多位全国性银行业务部门负责人向财联社记者证实， 本周监管部门对房地产融资协调机制下发了最新的政策指导。其核心在于，对已经进 入融资协调机制"白名单"的项目，符合一定条件和标准的，可在原贷款银行进行展期。受访银行人士表示，这实际意味着相关贷款可以展期 5年。 "以往进入白名单的项目也能展期，但根据流动资金贷款管理办法，原贷款最长期限是5年，展期只能是原贷款期限的一半，也就是最长两年 半，到期之后不能再展。新政策等于进一步给了一个缓冲，覆盖面不小，这个对贷款占比较多的房地产客户比较利好，对债券融资占比多的 客户影响则相对有限。"一 ...

炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报，权威，专业，及时，全面，助您挖掘潜力主题机会！ 来源：金石杂谈 1月8日，万科发公告称，因到龄退休，郁亮于2026年1月8日向公司董事会提交书面辞职报告，申请辞去 公司董事、执行副总裁职务。辞去上述职务后，郁亮将不再担任公司任何职务。 1990年郁亮就加入了万科，94年成了万科董事，2001年担任公司总裁，2017年担任万科董事局主席， 2019年喊出那句这6年来最响亮的金句"活下去"。2025年1月郁亮辞去董事长。 随着深铁走向台前，深铁原党委书记、万科董事长辛杰掌舵后，对万科进行了大刀阔斧的改革：撤销区 域层级，从区域管辖到直接管理；职能中心优化，集团总部新增审计监察中心、人力资源中心等11个职 能中心，强化风险控制、战略运营等。核心就是权力从放权到集中，地方权力被大幅削弱。 同时，核心管理巨震。董事会主席郁亮、总裁祝九胜、董秘朱旭集体辞任。郁亮职务变为变为集团执行 副总裁，祝九胜不再担任万科的任何职务，朱旭进入长租公寓事业部工作。 辛杰接替郁亮，新任万科集团董事会主席。郁亮、李锋、华翠、李刚任集团执行副总裁，田钧接任董事 会秘书。深圳市地铁集团全面接管万科。 不过，今年10月市 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the content. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The global economy is facing various uncertainties and changes, with different trends in different sectors. The U.S. economy shows signs of a slowdown in growth momentum, while China's economy is expected to continue to recover, with consumption as the main driving force. The bond market is affected by policy and economic factors, and long - term bond yields may show a "first down then up" trend. The commodity market also has different performances in different varieties, such as the recovery of the lithium - battery industry and the rise of the black - series commodities [27]. 3. Summary by Directory Macro Data Overview - In Q3 2025, the U.S. real GDP had a quarterly - on - quarterly annualized rate of 4.3%, exceeding market expectations. The main reasons were the better - than - expected performance of household consumption and net exports. However, the resilience of business investment showed signs of weakening. Considering the impact of the government shutdown on Q4 GDP and the slowdown of the overall economic growth momentum, Q4 real GDP growth is expected to decline compared to Q3 [27]. - In China, in November 2025, indicators such as CPI, PPI, and social financing scale showed different trends. For example, CPI increased year - on - year, while PPI decreased year - on - year. The growth rate of fixed - asset investment decreased, and the growth rate of social consumption showed a certain degree of stability [1]. Commodity Investment Reference Comprehensive - China's export control of dual - use items to Japan aims to stop Japan's "remilitarization" and nuclear - possession attempts, and civilian trade will not be affected [2]. - On January 8, 2026, 39 domestic commodity varieties had positive basis, and 30 had negative basis. Among them, spot prices of nickel, tin, and cotton had the largest premiums over futures, while butadiene rubber, apples, and strong wheat had the largest discounts [2]. - Guangzhou Futures Exchange imposed a 3 - month trading restriction on 10 clients suspected of violating regulations in lithium carbonate futures trading [2]. - Zhengzhou Commodity Exchange adjusted the trading margin and daily price limit of the thermal coal 2701 contract and set a trading limit for non - futures company members and clients [3]. - In December 2025, the national futures market volume and turnover increased significantly year - on - year. The annual cumulative volume and turnover also showed growth [3]. - CME Group raised the performance margin of precious metals and lowered that of most natural gas contracts [3]. - The European natural gas and power trading market is about to reform, and ICE plans to extend the trading hours of relevant contracts to 22 hours a day [4]. Metals - After two years of adjustment, the lithium - battery industry is entering a new development stage, with a cyclical recovery covering the entire chain from lithium mines to materials to batteries [5]. - Gold investment remains popular. Industrial and Commercial Bank of China will raise the risk access level of personal gold accumulation business from January 12. Gold has become the world's largest reserve asset for the first time in 30 years, surpassing U.S. Treasury bonds [5]. - In 2025, global gold ETFs had a record - high annual capital inflow, with North America leading the way. The total asset management scale and holdings of gold ETFs more than doubled [5]. - As of January 7, 2026, the inventory of zinc, nickel, and tin in the London Metal Exchange increased, while that of lead, copper, and aluminum decreased [6]. - The position of the world's largest silver ETF, iShares Silver Trust, increased, and the silver inventory in the London vault also increased in December 2025 [7]. Coal, Coke, Steel, and Minerals - At the beginning of 2026, the black - series commodities in the commodity market rose, with the prices of coking coal and coke futures rising significantly. The spot market procurement sentiment also increased [8]. - Indonesia may approve a coal production quota of about 600 million tons in 2026 and adjust its nickel quota according to industry demand. The domestic nickel ore demand of Indonesian smelters is expected to increase [8]. - The U.S. government is considering investing in Amaroq's key mineral mining project in Greenland [8]. Energy and Chemicals - China National Petroleum Corporation and China National Aviation Fuel Group will be restructured, aiming to reduce costs and promote high - quality development of the industrial chain [9]. - The market regulatory authority has interviewed the China Photovoltaic Industry Association and six polysilicon leading enterprises to prevent monopoly behavior [9]. - The U.S. is strengthening sanctions against Russia, and China's normal economic and trade energy cooperation with Russia should not be interfered with [9]. - The U.S. has different policies towards Venezuela, including supervision, partial sanctions lifting, and aiming to increase Venezuela's oil production [10][11]. - As of January 2, 2025, the U.S. weekly natural gas inventory decreased more than expected [11]. Agricultural Products - Due to the decline in export sales reported by the U.S. Department of Agriculture, the trends of grain futures were different. Corn and soybean net exports decreased, while wheat exports increased [12]. - Brazil is expected to export 2.4 million tons of soybeans in January 2026, higher than the same period last year [12]. - The market is bearish on the future price of Japanese rice, with the 3 - month expected index reaching the lowest level since September 2021 [12]. Financial News Compilation Open Market - On January 8, 2026, the central bank conducted 9.9 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations, with a net investment of 9.9 billion yuan [13]. Important News - The Political Bureau Standing Committee of the CPC Central Committee emphasized the need to achieve a good start in 2026 and strengthen Party building [14]. - The Ministry of Commerce will assess and investigate Meta's acquisition of the artificial intelligence platform Manus and explained the export control of dual - use items to Japan [14]. - The deputy minister of the Ministry of Finance welcomed the London Stock Exchange Group to deepen cooperation with China [14]. - In December 2025, China's consumer market grew steadily, and high - value product exports continued to accelerate. During the New Year's Day holiday in 2026, consumer spending increased significantly [15]. - In the first quarter of 2026, local governments plan to issue more than 2 trillion yuan of local bonds, mainly for new infrastructure and other projects to boost investment and the economy [16]. - The market regulatory authority has interviewed the China Photovoltaic Industry Association and six polysilicon leading enterprises to prevent monopoly behavior [17]. - The four - department joint meeting pointed out the need to regulate the power and energy - storage battery industry to prevent over - capacity [17]. - In 2025, the trading volume and net financing of debt financing instruments supported by the Dealer Association exceeded 60% of the corporate credit bond market, and the outstanding scale increased by 10% year - on - year [17]. - In 2025, 23 insurance companies issued bonds worth 104.2 billion yuan, mainly due to capital replenishment needs and lower borrowing costs [17]. - JD Group is considering issuing dim - sum bonds with a potential scale of about 10 billion yuan [18]. - Yu Liang resigned from Vanke after 35 years [18]. - Gold has become the world's largest reserve asset, surpassing U.S. Treasury bonds [18]. - The U.S. Congress passed three government appropriation bills, moving forward to avoid a government shutdown [19]. - The U.S. Treasury Secretary and Fed officials have different views on interest - rate trends, with expectations of interest - rate cuts in 2026 [19]. - Many bond - related events occurred, including the resumption of trading of some bonds, debt defaults, and credit - rating adjustments [20]. Bond Market Summary - The inter - bank bond market in China has improved, with bond yields generally falling, and bond futures rising. The capital market is relatively loose [21]. - The exchange - traded bond market had different performances for different bonds, with Vanke bonds generally rising [22]. - The convertible bond market also had different trends, with some bonds rising and some falling [22]. - Most money - market interest rates rose, and different bond - issuing institutions had different bid - winning yields and multiples [23][24]. - European and U.S. bond yields showed different trends, with some rising and some falling [25]. Foreign Exchange Market - The on - shore RMB against the U.S. dollar rose, while the central parity rate of the RMB against the U.S. dollar depreciated slightly. The U.S. dollar index rose, and most non - U.S. currencies fell [26]. Research Report Highlights - CITIC Securities expects the U.S. real GDP growth in Q4 2025 to decline compared to Q3, and in China, consumption will continue to recover moderately, and long - term bond yields may show a "first down then up" trend [27]. - Yangtze River Fixed Income believes that the bond market is constrained by the "impossible triangle," and the bond market may have a phased repair opportunity after the supply pressure of ultra - long bonds is digested, possibly in the second half of Q1 2026 [27]. Stock Market News - The A - share market had a narrow - range consolidation, with the Shanghai Composite Index slightly falling but still having 15 consecutive positive lines. The Shenzhen Component Index and the ChiNext Index fell, while the Wind All - A Index rose. The trading volume was 2.83 trillion yuan. Some themes such as commercial space, brain - computer interface, and nuclear fusion were active, while the large - finance and non - ferrous metals sectors were weak [30]. - The Hong Kong stock market declined, with the Hang Seng Index, Hang Seng Tech Index, and Hang Seng China Enterprises Index all falling. The "world's first large - model stock" Zhipu rose more than 13% on its first - listing day. Southbound funds had a net selling of 4.9 billion Hong Kong dollars, while Xiaomi Group received a net purchase [30]. - As of January 7, 2026, the margin trading balance in the A - share market exceeded 2.6 trillion yuan for the first time, reaching a record high [31].

金地集团总部 黄指南/摄 本报记者 张蓓 见习记者 黄指南 深圳报道 季彤离任后，金地悬空的国资代表席位画上句点。 1月7日，金地集团（600383.SH）公告披露，经股东单位推荐与董事会提名委员会审查，福田投资控股 有限公司（下称：福田投控）董事长杨宇球将补选进入金地第十届董事会，填补季彤因工作变动离任后 悬空的国资代表席位。 从治理逻辑来看，补位本在外界预期之内。作为金地第二大股东，福田投控向来以核心管理层派驻保障 股东话语权，杨宇球兼具国资体系深耕背景与企业管理经验，成为派驻代表完全契合市场化治理惯例。 而意料之外的是补位调整形成的时间差差异。接近公司治理层面的知情人士向本报记者透露，与万科较 快完成管理层迭代的核心分野在于股东层级与程序顺位的不同。 据他分析，万科此前的股东代表调整，源于第一大股东更迭，相关前置程序已在股东层面完成闭环，为 标的公司人事衔接扫清障碍；而金地此次补位的主导方为第二大股东，且股东方内部管理层调整先行落 地，标的公司需待股东方核心人选正式就位后，方可启动内部提名、审查与补选全流程，程序顺位差异 客观上导致了人事衔接的时间差。 全域换防收官 当房地产行业的调整进入深水区，人事变 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the booming real estate market in Vietnam, particularly in Hanoi and Ho Chi Minh City, driven by both local and foreign investments, with significant price increases observed in recent years [4][19][40]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - In 2021, property prices in Hanoi surged, with an example of a 130 square meter apartment purchased for 1.6 million RMB now valued at 3.58 million RMB, reflecting over a 100% increase [2]. - The average primary sales price in Hanoi reached approximately 21,000 RMB per square meter in Q3 2024, a 33% increase compared to the same period in 2023 [4]. - The demand for housing has led to a buying frenzy, with reports of crowded sales events and significant competition among buyers [6][7]. Group 2: Buyer Profiles - The primary buyers in Vietnam's real estate market include business owners with operations in Vietnam, who seek properties for personal use or rental income [10]. - A notable trend is the influx of Chinese investors, with some purchasing multiple properties, driven by the potential for high returns compared to traditional banking options [12][18]. - The second and third categories of buyers are those looking for overseas asset diversification and pure investors attracted by lower entry prices compared to other markets [18]. Group 3: Economic Context - Vietnam's real estate sector attracted 5.72 billion USD in foreign investment as of November 2022, accounting for 20.7% of total foreign investment, with significant contributions from Singapore and China [19]. - The overall real estate prices in Vietnam have increased by 59% over the past five years, outpacing growth in other countries like the US and Australia [24]. - The ongoing shift of manufacturing from China to Vietnam, influenced by geopolitical factors, has further stimulated the real estate market [26][28]. Group 4: Supply and Demand - The supply of new housing units in Vietnam has been insufficient to meet the rising demand, with only about 30,000 units available annually, while over 200,000 people migrate to major cities each year [36]. - The local population's income levels have risen, contributing to increased purchasing power in the real estate market [33]. Group 5: Market Risks and Challenges - The Vietnamese real estate market is characterized by a limit on foreign ownership, with only 30% of units in a high-rise project available to foreign buyers, indicating that local demand remains the primary driver [29][30]. - There are concerns regarding the reliability of property developers and the potential for delays in project completion, which can pose risks for investors [47][49]. - The lack of property titles for many buyers creates legal uncertainties, as transactions often rely on contracts rather than formal ownership documents [49][50].

Market Overview - As of January 8, the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.07% to 4082.98 points, while the STAR 50 Index rose by 0.82% to 1455.17 points. The Shenzhen Component Index decreased by 0.51% to 13959.48 points, and the ChiNext Index dropped by 0.82% to 3302.31 points [1] - In the U.S. stock market, the Dow Jones Industrial Average increased by 270.03 points, closing at 49266.11 points, a rise of 0.55%. The S&P 500 Index rose by 0.53 points to 6921.46 points, a change of 0.01%, while the Nasdaq Composite Index fell by 104.26 points to 23480.02 points, a decline of 0.44% [1] Oil Prices - International oil prices saw a significant increase on January 8. The price of light crude oil futures for February delivery rose by $1.77 to $57.76 per barrel, marking a 3.16% increase. The March delivery of Brent crude oil futures increased by $2.03 to $61.99 per barrel, a rise of 3.39% [1] Industry Developments - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, along with other regulatory bodies, held a meeting to discuss the regulation of the power and energy storage battery industry. The meeting highlighted the rapid development of the industry and the need to address irrational competition and overcapacity risks. Measures will include strengthening market supervision, enhancing product quality checks, and promoting industry self-regulation [2] - A meeting focused on the development and implementation of the "Mobile Power Safety Technical Specifications" was held, emphasizing the need for standardization to prevent safety incidents related to mobile power sources. This initiative is seen as crucial for ensuring public safety and promoting high-quality industry development [3] - The State Administration for Market Regulation has reportedly conducted discussions with major companies in the photovoltaic industry regarding monopoly risks and has issued corrective measures to ensure fair competition and prevent price collusion [4] - China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation and China Aviation Oil Group have received approval for a merger, which aims to leverage their integrated refining and aviation fuel supply advantages to reduce costs [5] Company News - Vanke Enterprise Co., Ltd. announced that its executive vice president, Yu Liang, will resign due to retirement age, effective January 8, 2026 [6] - Wens Foodstuff Group Co., Ltd. projected a net profit of 5 billion to 5.5 billion yuan for 2025, representing a year-on-year decline of 40.73% to 46.12% [6] - Semiconductor equipment manufacturer Zhongwei Semiconductor Equipment (Shanghai) Co., Ltd. announced plans for a share reduction by its major shareholder, which may involve up to 12.52 million shares, or 2% of the total share capital [7]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights significant developments in various companies and industries, including IPOs, leadership changes, and market strategies [2][4][15] Group 2 - Zhiyuan AI went public on January 8, 2026, with a goal to become a leading global model enterprise by 2026, as stated by its founder and chief scientist, Tang Jie [2] - Vanke A announced the resignation of Yu Liang due to retirement, effective January 8, 2026, marking a significant leadership change in the company [4] - The founder's family of Maogeping plans to reduce their stake by 3.51%, amounting to approximately 1.41 billion HKD, to improve personal finances and invest in the beauty industry [4][7] Group 3 - Xiaomi's Lei Jun announced a significant investment in R&D, committing 200 billion CNY over the next five years to enhance core technologies, including AI and chips [7] - Multiple car manufacturers are launching promotional activities to counter the impact of new electric vehicle purchase taxes, with Tesla and GAC Group leading the charge [8] - Alphabet Inc. has surpassed Apple in market capitalization, becoming the second-largest company globally, reflecting its strong position in the AI sector [8] Group 4 - JD.com established the "Chameleon Business Unit" to accelerate the commercialization of AI technologies, with new AI products set to launch soon [13] - Alibaba Cloud introduced a multimodal interaction development kit aimed at AI hardware, integrating various foundational models for diverse applications [20] - Ford plans to launch an L3 level driving assistance system by 2028, initially in a new affordable electric pickup truck [21]