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永金证券晨会纪要-20250730
永丰金证券· 2025-07-30 00:03
Market Overview - The US stock market reached record highs last week, with the S&P 500 gaining 1.5% and up 28% year-to-date, while the Nasdaq rose 1.3% and is up 38% for the year [10] - The Hang Seng Index has risen for three consecutive weeks, gaining 1,472 points (+6.16%), but is expected to consolidate at high levels due to overbought technical indicators [8][10] - The onshore RMB reached a nearly 9-month high at around 6.92, indicating significant capital inflows [8] Economic Indicators - The US is expected to release July non-farm payroll data, with a forecast increase of 102,000 jobs, down from 147,000 in the previous month [10] - The preliminary estimate for Q2 GDP is expected to show a 3% year-on-year increase, significantly better than the 0.5% contraction in Q1 [10] - The core PCE price index is anticipated to rise by 0.3% month-on-month and 2.7% year-on-year [10] Company Focus - Major tech companies including Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, and Meta are set to announce their quarterly earnings this week, with market attention on whether AI capital expenditures will yield returns [8][10] - The report highlights the strong performance of the Hong Kong stock market, with significant inflows into traditional high-yield stocks and local real estate stocks [12] - The report notes that the stock of Miniso (9896) is recommended for purchase, leveraging its global expansion and operational efficiency [20] Sector Analysis - The healthcare sector is highlighted, with China National Pharmaceutical Group (1099) benefiting from favorable government policies and holding a 33.3% market share in China's pharmaceutical distribution market [20] - The report mentions the performance of Comfort Systems USA, Inc. (FIX), which reported a 20.05% year-on-year revenue increase to $2.173 billion, exceeding market expectations [22]
恒指升129點,滬指升23點,標普500升4點
宝通证券· 2025-07-25 01:59
Market Performance - The Hang Seng Index rose by 129 points or 0.5%, closing at 25,667 points, marking a five-day consecutive increase[1] - The Shanghai Composite Index increased by 23 points or 0.7%, closing at 3,605 points, reaching a nine-month high[2] - The S&P 500 index gained 4 points, closing at 6,363 points, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by 316 points or 0.7%[2] Economic Indicators - The People's Bank of China conducted a 331 billion yuan reverse repurchase operation at a steady rate of 1.4%, resulting in a net withdrawal of 119.5 billion yuan for the day[2] - The RMB/USD midpoint rose by 29 pips to 7.1385, the highest since November of the previous year[2] Automotive Industry - In June 2025, sales of Chinese brand passenger cars reached 1.707 million units, a month-on-month increase of 5.3% and a year-on-year increase of 19.3%, capturing 67.3% of total passenger car sales[3] Corporate Earnings - Kintor Pharmaceutical (00148.HK) expects a net profit increase of over 70% for the six months ending June 2025, exceeding approximately 2.56 billion yuan[4] - Lingbao Gold (03330.HK) anticipates revenue between 7.492 billion to 7.92 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of approximately 75% to 85%[4]