每日港股評析 港股早晨快訊 2025 年 10 月 8 日星期三 2012-01- 17 市場回顧 中港股市短期展望 恒指上望 28,000 點：中美雙方同意延長 5 月中旬達成的 90 天關稅休戰 協議，同時美國與更多國家達成協議，關稅戰局勢緩和。另外，聯儲局主 席鮑威爾在全球央行年會上表示，風險平衡轉變可能需要調整政策立場， 同時美國就業數據轉弱，減息預期升溫。惟聯儲局 9 月鷹派減息，明年減 息空間少於預期。儘管港股企業盈利未見改善，但 AI 行情再起，科技股 領漲大市，加上 10 月四中全會事前料有政策憧憬，恒指上望 28,000 點。 短期看好板塊 宏觀焦點 ➢ 中國外滙儲備按月升0.5%，央行連續11個月增持黃金； 世銀調高中國今年經濟增長預測至4.8%，料明年放緩； 世貿大幅下調2026年貨物貿易增長預期，指單邊關稅帶來逆風； 特朗普威脅不向聯邦僱員補發政府停擺期間薪資； 特斯拉Model Y標準版美國售價低於4萬美元； AMD與OpenAI達成數百億美元晶片合作協議； 企業消息 陳樂怡 tracy.chan@cinda.com.hk | 各國指數 | 收市價 | | 變動% 年初至今% | | ...

香港交易及結算所有限公司、香港聯合交易所有限公司（「聯交所」）及香港中央結算有限公司 （「香港結算」）對本公告的內容概不負責，對其準確性或完整性亦不發表任何聲明，並明確表示 概不會就因本公告全部或任何部分內容而產生或因倚賴該等內容而引致的任何損失承擔任何責 任。 本公告不得直接或間接於或向美國（包括其領土及屬地、美國任何州以及哥倫比亞特區）發佈、 刊發或派發。本公告並不亦無意構成或組成在美國境內或於任何其他司法管轄區購買或認購 證券任何要約或招攬的一部分。發售股份並無亦不會根據《1933年美國證券法》（經不時修訂） （「美國證券法」）或美國任何州或其他司法管轄區的證券法登記，且不得於美國境內提呈發售、 出售、質押或以其他方式轉讓，惟獲豁免遵守美國證券法登記規定及符合任何適用的州證券法 或不受該等規定所規限的交易則除外。發售股份不會在美國公開發售。發售股份僅可依據美國 證券法S規例以及發售及出售發生的各司法權區適用法律在美國境外以離岸交易方式提呈該等 發售及出售。 本公告僅作說明用途，並不構成收購、購買或認購證券的邀請或要約。潛在投資者於決定是否 投資發售股份前，應細閱招股章程有關下文所述本公司及全球發售的詳細 ...

港股點評 2025年9月17日9:30 a.m 恒指跌 8 點，滬指升 1 點，標普 500 跌 8 點 中美經貿中方牽頭人、國務院副總理何立峰表示，中方維護自身正當權益的決 心堅定不移，將會堅決維護國家利益和海外中資企業的合法權益。對於 TikTok 問題，中方將依法依規展開技術出口審批。同時，中央政府充分尊重中資海外 企業意願，支持企業在符合市場原則基礎上，與合作方展開平等商業談判。 中國汽車生產商奇瑞汽車(09973.HK)公布在港招股詳情，將於 17 日起至 22 日 招股，計劃全球發行 2.97 億 H 股，招股價介乎每股 27.75 至 30.75 元，預料集 資最多 91.45 億元。 根據政府統計處 16 日發表的最新勞動人口統計數字，今年 6 月至 8 月經季節性 調整的失業率為 3.7%，與今年 5 月至 7 月的數字相同，低於市場預期的 3.8%。 就業不足率則由 5 月至 7 月的 1.4%上升至 6 月至 8 月的 1.6%。 京東集團-SW(09618.HK) (JD.US) 創始人、董事局主席劉強東在京東品酒會上 透露，後續將公布全新的酒店發展計劃。劉強東強調，不希望把酒店再拉進 ...

Market Performance - The Hang Seng Index (HSI) rose by 539 points or 2.2%, closing at 25,617 points, driven by Alibaba's influence[1] - The National Index increased by 174 points or 1.9%, closing at 9,121 points[1] - The Hang Seng Tech Index gained 124 points or 2.2%, ending at 5,798 points[1] - Total market turnover reached HKD 380.23 billion[1] Economic Indicators - The People's Bank of China conducted a 182.7 billion yuan reverse repurchase operation at a rate of 1.4%[1] - The USD/CNY midpoint was adjusted down by 42 points to 7.1072[1] - In July, the total retail sales value in Hong Kong was estimated at HKD 29.7 billion, a year-on-year increase of 1.8%, below the expected 2.5%[2][3] Automotive Sector Insights - BYD reported a production of 353,090 new energy vehicles in August, a year-on-year decrease of 3.8%[3] - Li Auto delivered 28,529 vehicles in August, a decrease of approximately 7.2% from July[4] - NIO delivered 31,305 vehicles in August, marking a year-on-year growth of 55.2%[4]

附 屬 公 司 中 國 重 汽 集 團 濟 南 卡 車 股 份 有 限 公 司 截 至 2 0 2 5 年 6 月 3 0 日 止 6 個 月 之 未 審 核 財 務 資 料 之 公 佈 中國重汽（香港）有限公司（「本公司」）附屬公司中國重汽集團濟南卡車股份有限公司 （「濟南卡車」）（其股份於中華人民共和國（「中國」）深圳證券交易所上市）將於2025 年8月28日公告其以中國會計準則編製的截至2025年6月30日之未審核財務資料（「未審核 財務資料」）。未審核財務資料摘要連同去年同期之比較數字載列如下： | 濟南卡車 | 截至6月30日止6個月 | | | --- | --- | --- | | 未審核財務資料摘要 | 2025年 | 2024年 | | | 人民幣元 | 人民幣元 | | 營業總收入 | 26,161,569,226.76 | 24,400,520,664.24 | | 利潤總額 | 1,190,408,162.14 | 1,030,853,534.36 | | 所得稅費用 | 250,500,316.05 | 186,311,482.32 | | 淨利潤 | 939,907,846.09 ...

Market Overview - Hang Seng Index (HSI) fell by 53 points or 0.2%, closing at 25,122 points[1] - Shanghai Composite Index (SSE) decreased by less than 1 point or 0.02%, ending at 3,727 points[2] - S&P 500 dropped by 37 points or 0.6%, closing at 6,411 points[2] Trading Activity - Total market turnover in Hong Kong was 278.2 billion HKD[1] - SSE's trading volume reached 1.06 trillion CNY, while Shenzhen Component Index had a turnover of 1.53 trillion CNY[2] Economic Indicators - The unemployment rate in Hong Kong rose from 3.5% to 3.7% from April-June to May-July 2023, exceeding market expectations[3] - The People's Bank of China conducted a 580.3 billion CNY reverse repo operation at a steady rate of 1.4%[2] Corporate Earnings - ZTO Express reported a revenue of 22.723 billion CNY, up 9.8% year-on-year, with a net profit of 3.932 billion CNY, down 2.6%[4] - Xiaomi Group's revenue reached 227.249 billion CNY, a 38.2% increase, with a net profit of 22.829 billion CNY, up 146%[5] - XPeng Motors reported total revenue of 34.085 billion CNY, a 132.5% increase, with a narrowed net loss of 1.142 billion CNY[5]

Group 1: Hang Seng Index (HSI) - Investors believe that 25,200 is a strong support level, with expectations to test 25,500 next week [1] - Technical signals indicate a "buy" recommendation, with resistance levels at 25,600 and 26,100, and support levels at 24,779 and 24,400 [1] - For bullish investors, a call option with a redemption price of 24,618 is considered relatively safe, while a more conservative option at 24,400 is also available [1] Group 2: China International Capital Corporation (CICC) - The stock price has been steadily rising since August, with a closing price surpassing the upper Bollinger Band, indicating a "buy" signal [6] - Resistance levels are identified at 24.7 and 25.5, while a potential entry point on a pullback is suggested at 20.6, which is lower than investor expectations [6] Group 3: Great Wall Motors (GWM) - The stock has risen for 10 consecutive days, closing above the upper Bollinger Band, indicating an upward trend and a "buy" signal [9] - Resistance levels are at 16.7 and 17.8, with support levels at 14.2 and 13.6 for potential entry points [9] Group 4: NetEase (NTES) - The stock has shown high volatility with a 9% price range over the last three days, currently signaling a "strong sell" [16] - Support levels are at 195.6 and 189.3, and investors are advised to consider options closer to the market price rather than out-of-the-money options [16] Group 5: China Mobile (CHL) - The stock closed at 88.25, with a "buy" signal, but holding a call option with a redemption price of 84.5 is considered risky [22] - The first support level is at 84.8, and a safer option would be to consider the second support level at 81.5 [22] Group 6: AAC Technologies (AAC) - The stock has broken above the upper Bollinger Band, indicating a "buy" signal, with short-term positive momentum [27] - Resistance levels are at 48.5 and 51.7, with potential to break the 50 yuan mark as anticipated by investors [27]

Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index is expected to challenge the 26,000 point mark due to stable economic performance in mainland China and improved corporate earnings, particularly in heavyweight technology stocks [2] - The market is currently active with a positive risk appetite, as evidenced by the lively trading across various sectors [2] Macro Focus - The People's Bank of China conducted a reverse repurchase operation of 128.7 billion yuan, maintaining the interest rate at 1.4% [9] - The National Bureau of Statistics plans to deploy pilot projects for data industry clusters, indicating a focus on optimizing industrial layout and fostering new growth drivers [9] - The U.S. PPI for July rose by 3.3%, exceeding expectations, which may influence future interest rate decisions by the Federal Reserve [10] Corporate News - JD Group reported a 49% year-on-year decline in adjusted profit for Q2, attributed to losses in its food delivery business, although total revenue increased by 22.4% [11] - NetEase's Q2 revenue grew by 9%, with adjusted profit rising by 22%, but both figures fell short of market expectations [11] - China Telecom's net profit for the first half of the year increased by 6%, with an interim dividend up by 8% [11] - Geely's interim profit fell by 14%, but the company raised its annual sales target to 3 million vehicles [11] - CK Hutchison's basic profit increased by 11% in the interim period, while Cheung Kong Property's profit dropped by 27% [11] Sector Insights - Technology stocks are expected to see valuation improvements following better-than-expected earnings from leading companies [8] - The smartphone equipment sector anticipates the launch of the iPhone 17 by Apple on September 9 [8] - The biotech sector may benefit from adjustments to the commercial insurance catalog for innovative drugs, facilitating the market entry of high-value products [8] International Market Outlook - The U.S. Federal Reserve maintained interest rates in July, indicating a cautious approach towards future rate cuts amid economic uncertainties [5] - The trade war has slowed down oil demand growth, with OPEC+ increasing supply, which may limit the upward movement of international oil prices [5]

香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告的內容概不負責，對其準確性或完整性亦不發表任何聲明，並明確表示，概不對 因本公告全部或任何部分內容而產生或因依賴該等內容而引致的任何損失承擔任何責任。 | | | | 產 | 量（輛） | | | | | 銷 | 量（輛） | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 單 位 | | | 月度同比 | | | 累計同比 | | | 月度同比 | | | 累計同比 | | | 本月數 | 去年同期 | 增減 | 本年累計 | 去年累計 | 增減 | 本月數 | 去年同期 | 增減 | 本年累計 | 去年累計 | 增減 | | | | | （%） | | | （%） | | | （%） | | | （%） | | 廣汽傳祺汽車 有限公司 | 23,414 | 32,949 | -28.94% | 176,537 | 226,552 | -22.08% | 24,079 | 25,797 | -6.66% | 170,366 | 2 ...

Group 1 - The Hang Seng Index shows mixed signals with a neutral summary, indicating no clear direction, with resistance at 25,230 and support at 24,100 [1] - Investors in Hua Hong Semiconductor are optimistic about a potential rise to 50, needing to break resistance at 44.1 and 48.3 [3] - Kingdee International's stock price closed at 18.82, indicating a buy signal with resistance at 19.7 and potential to reach 21.4 [6][7] - Great Wall Motors has seen a rebound, closing at 13.36, with a buy signal and resistance at 13.8 and 14.4 [10][13] - Xiaomi Group's trading signal is a sell, with overall bearish sentiment and support at 52.7 and resistance at 56.9 [16] - XPeng Motors shows a neutral signal with no clear direction, suggesting caution before entering, with support levels at 70.1 and 68.6 [20]