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Academy Sports Analysts Increase Their Forecasts Following Q3 Results - Academy Sports (NASDAQ:ASO)
Benzinga· 2025-12-10 17:14
Core Viewpoint - Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc reported mixed third-quarter results, with adjusted earnings per share exceeding analyst expectations but quarterly sales falling short of projections [1][2]. Financial Performance - The company reported third-quarter adjusted earnings per share of $1.14, surpassing the analyst consensus estimate of $1.06 [1]. - Quarterly sales reached $1.384 billion, reflecting a 3.0% year-over-year increase, but missed the expected $1.403 billion [1]. Fiscal Guidance - Academy Sports revised its fiscal 2025 adjusted EPS guidance to a range of $5.65–$6.15, slightly down from the previous forecast of $5.60–$6.30, while the consensus estimate stands at $5.80 [2]. - The company increased its fiscal 2025 sales outlook to between $6.025 billion and $6.200 billion, compared to the prior guidance of $6.000 billion to $6.265 billion, with the analyst estimate at $6.128 billion [2]. Stock Performance - Following the earnings announcement, Academy Sports and Outdoors shares rose by 1.7%, trading at $53.96 [2]. Analyst Ratings and Price Targets - B of A Securities analyst Robert Ohmes maintained a Neutral rating and raised the price target from $55 to $58 [4]. - Barclays analyst Adrienne Yih maintained an Equal-Weight rating and increased the price target from $51 to $59 [4]. - UBS analyst Michael Lasser also maintained a Neutral rating, raising the price target from $52 to $54 [4].
Academy(ASO) - 2026 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-12-09 16:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Net sales for Q3 2025 were approximately $1.4 billion, up 3% year-over-year, with a comparable store sales (comp) decrease of 0.9% [27][31] - Gross margin increased to 35.7%, up 170 basis points from the previous year, driven by merchandise margin growth and improved freight costs [10][28] - Operating income grew 9.7% to approximately $100 million, and diluted earnings per share increased over 14% to $1.05 [31][32] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Sports and recreation division saw a 6% increase, driven by growth in baseball, outdoor cooking, fitness equipment, and bicycles [10] - Apparel sales grew 3%, supported by strong performance from national brands like Nike and Jordan, as well as private brands [10] - Footwear business grew 2%, with strong contributions from performance running brands [11] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The top two income quintiles (households earning over $100,000) now represent roughly 40% of sales, with high single-digit growth in traffic from these cohorts [12][13] - The company continues to see market share gains across key categories, including apparel, footwear, and sporting goods [15] - Firearms market share has grown for over 18 consecutive months, despite softness in the ammunition segment [15] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company plans to open 20-25 new stores in 2026, focusing on legacy and existing markets [18][17] - E-commerce sales grew 22% in Q3, with a penetration rate of 10.4% of total sales, indicating a strong omnichannel strategy [18][19] - The company is enhancing its product assortment and technology in stores, including RFID scanners to improve inventory accuracy [24][20] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that consumers are shopping more selectively, with a focus on value amid rising prices [5][7] - The company is optimistic about the upcoming holiday season, supported by strong promotional pricing and inventory management [10][34] - Management highlighted the importance of adapting to consumer behavior and maintaining competitive pricing strategies [10][38] Other Important Information - Free cash flow was negative $9 million due to tariff payments, but the company maintains strong liquidity with $290 million in cash [32][31] - The company is committed to balanced capital allocation, having paid $8.7 million in dividends and invested $54 million in strategic initiatives during the quarter [32] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you discuss the average ticket increase and pricing dynamics? - Management indicated that average unit retails (AUR) were up mid- to high-single digits, while units per transaction (UPT) were down mid-single digits, reflecting a trade-off between AUR and unit sales [36][37] Question: What is the contribution of the Jordan brand at the store level? - The Jordan and Nike brands combined saw high single-digit comp growth, with plans to expand apparel and footwear offerings in stores [44][45] Question: How does the company view the health of its customer base? - Management noted that upper-income customers continue to grow, while lower-income customers are pulling back, but the overall customer base is becoming healthier [58][60] Question: What are the expectations for e-commerce growth and new store openings? - E-commerce growth of 22% exceeded expectations, and the company plans to continue leveraging new stores to drive online demand [62][63] Question: How do Black Friday promotions compare to last year? - Promotions were consistent with last year, and management is optimistic about customer engagement with promotions during the holiday season [77][78]
Academy(ASO) - 2026 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-12-09 16:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Net sales for Q3 2025 were approximately $1.38 billion, up 3% year-over-year, with a comparable store sales (comp) decrease of 0.9% [25][28] - Gross margin increased to 35.7%, up 170 basis points from the previous year, driven by merchandise margin growth and improved freight costs [9][26] - Operating income grew 9.7% to approximately $100 million, and diluted earnings per share increased over 14% to $1.05 [28][30] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Sports and recreation division saw a 6% increase, driven by growth in baseball, outdoor cooking, fitness equipment, and bicycles [9] - Apparel sales grew 3%, supported by strong performance from national brands like Nike and Jordan, as well as private brands [9] - Footwear business grew 2%, with strong sales from performance running brands [10] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The top two income quintiles (households earning over $100,000) now represent approximately 40% of sales, with traffic from these cohorts growing in the high single digits [12] - The company continues to see market share growth across key categories, including apparel, footwear, and sporting goods [13] - Firearms market share has grown for over 18 consecutive months, despite softness in the ammunition segment [13] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company plans to open 20-25 new stores in 2026, focusing on legacy and existing markets [16][15] - E-commerce sales grew 22% in Q3, with a penetration rate of 10.4% of total sales, indicating a strong omnichannel strategy [16][25] - The company is investing in technology and talent to enhance the customer experience and drive growth in the dot-com business [17][18] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that consumers are shopping episodically and seeking value due to rising prices [4] - The company is optimistic about the upcoming holiday season, with strong promotional pricing and inventory management strategies in place [9][31] - Management expects trends of upper-income consumers trading into Academy to continue, despite challenges in the lower-income segments [50][51] Other Important Information - Free cash flow was negative $9 million due to tariff payments, but the company maintains strong liquidity with $290 million in cash [29][30] - The company has over $530 million remaining on its share repurchase authorization and plans to resume repurchases in Q4 [30] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you discuss the average ticket increase and pricing dynamics? - Management indicated that average unit retails (AUR) were up mid- to high-single digits, while units per transaction (UPT) were down mid-single digits, reflecting a trade-off between AUR and unit sales [34][35] Question: What is the contribution of the Jordan brand at the store level? - The Jordan and Nike brands combined saw high single-digit comp growth, with plans to roll out more apparel and footwear in spring [42] Question: How does the company view the health of its customer base? - The company is seeing continued growth in upper-income consumers, while lower-income consumers are pulling back, but the overall customer base is becoming healthier [50][51] Question: How did Black Friday promotions compare to last year? - Promotions were consistent with last year, and the company is monitoring customer response to promotions as a key factor for the holiday season [65] Question: What are the potential pressure points for Q4 gross margin? - The health of the consumer and their response to promotions will be critical for Q4 gross margin outlook [61]
花旗:对滔搏(06110)开展30日上行观察期 评级“买入”
智通财经网· 2025-12-04 07:06
智通财经APP获悉,花旗发布研报称,对滔搏(06110)开展为期30日的上行催化剂观察期,指出Nike近日 宣布推行重大高层调整,将品牌总裁与地区领导置于同一层级,旨在精简架构。花旗预料,Nike中国领 导团队未来将可取得更多全球授权、更大的营运灵活性及更丰富的品牌资源,推动中国市场业务(占滔 搏销售额约50%至60%)在明年复苏。花旗给予滔搏目标价3.75港元,评级为"买入"。 ...
花旗:对滔搏开展30日上行观察期 评级“买入”
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-12-04 07:03
花旗发布研报称,对滔搏(06110)开展为期30日的上行催化剂观察期,指出Nike近日宣布推行重大高层 调整,将品牌总裁与地区领导置于同一层级,旨在精简架构。花旗预料,Nike中国领导团队未来将可取 得更多全球授权、更大的营运灵活性及更丰富的品牌资源,推动中国市场业务(占滔搏销售额约50%至 60%)在明年复苏。花旗给予滔搏目标价3.75港元,评级为"买入"。 ...
大行评级丨花旗:对滔搏开展为期30日的上行催化剂观察期 目标价3.75港元
Ge Long Hui· 2025-12-04 03:48
花旗发表研究报告指,对滔搏开展为期30日的上行催化剂观察期,指出耐克近日宣布推行重大高层调 整,将品牌总裁与地区领导置于同一层级,旨在精简架构。花旗预料,耐克中国领导团队未来将可取得 更多全球授权、更大的营运灵活性及更丰富的品牌资源,推动中国市场业务(占滔搏销售额约50%至 60%)在明年复苏。花旗给予滔搏目标价3.75港元,评级为"买入"。 ...
雪山下的自然邀约:迪卡侬亚洲首家户外概念店落地成都来福士
Xiao Fei Ri Bao Wang· 2025-12-02 04:09
在成都,松弛与力量共同定义着城市的面貌:城市的一面,是午后阳光下喝茶漫步的惬意;转向蓉 城西岭的"雪山",便展现出另一种景象——清冽、辽阔,充满向自然迸发的力量。 这种独特的地理与生活跨度,催生出独特的消费需求,也让成都人得以在两种节奏之间自如切换: 上午还在市区处理日常工作,下午便能在雪山脚下开启徒步、越野跑或滑雪的另一种运动生活姿态。悠 闲与强劲、松弛与野性,在这里相得益彰。 也因此,2025年11月29日,迪卡侬选择在这座"雪山下的公园城市"揭幕其亚洲首家户外概念店。门 店落位成都来福士广场,不仅是一处零售空间,更像是连接城市与户外的"生活入口":让专业装备与真 实场景在这里汇集,让自然以更可触、更贴近的方式真正"走进"城市生活。 迪卡侬户外概念店的开业得到了四川省商务厅、成都市商务局、成都市体育局、法国驻成都总领事 馆的支持;中国欧盟商会、四川省登山户外协会、成都市冰雪运动协会、成都市攀岩协会、成都市登山 运动协会、成都市飞盘运动协会、天府新区长跑运动爱好协会等外商协会和本地运动协会亦对本次开业 表示支持与祝贺。 为什么是成都?这座城市正在焕新户外生活版图 成都,这座"窗含西岭千秋雪"的城市,正以山水 ...
迪卡侬背叛了工人阶级
3 6 Ke· 2025-12-01 23:36
在中国市场风光了几年,迪卡侬最终还是没禁住打工人的马屁,在开店和打折之间选择了涨价。 按照第三方统计,2022到2024年,迪卡侬中国产品均价从128提到196元,涨幅52%[1],个别抓绒衣涨幅达100%。 去年,迪卡侬更推出一辆69999元的公路自行车,有种不知道五菱宏光MINIEV官方指导价3.58万的美感。 涨价是个正常的经营决策,消费品公司涨价也不是新鲜事,但迪卡侬的特殊性在于,它是一家以性价比路线起家的运动用品公司,沙县小吃突然要转型 Omakase,被消费者骂得晕头转向也能理解。 消费品零售商通常分为两种,一种是纯粹的经销商:用自己的店卖别人的货,比如国内的滔搏体育,80%的收入来自卖耐克和阿迪达斯;二是用自己的店 卖自己的货,比如胖东来和山姆,迪卡侬也在此列。 创办之初,迪卡侬是一个纯粹的体育用品经销商,销售阿迪达斯、标志等品牌的产品。迪卡侬的开创性是在城乡结合部开直营大门店,通过大规模采购和 高周转模式,压低价格。 凭借低廉的价格,迪卡侬在法国大本营一炮打响,但也遇到了一个严重的问题:低价破坏了品牌的价格体系。 对大部分消费品来说,产品定价与品牌形象高度绑定,也与经销商体系的稳定运行息息相关 ...
迪卡侬亚洲首家户外概念店落地成都 共建更可持续的户外生态
Zheng Quan Ri Bao Wang· 2025-11-30 12:33
11月29日,迪卡侬亚洲首家户外概念店落地成都来福士广场,这里不仅是一处零售空间,更像是连接城 市与户外的"生活入口":让专业装备与真实场景在这里汇集,让自然以更可触、更贴近的方式真正"走 进"城市生活。 在成都,松弛与力量共同定义着城市的面貌:城市的一面,是午后阳光下喝茶漫步的惬意;转向蓉城西 岭的"雪山",便展现出另一种景象——清冽、辽阔,充满向自然迸发的力量。 迪卡侬/供图 焕新户外生活版图 2023年,《成都市户外休闲运动总体规划》正式发布,系全国首个超大城市户外休闲运动专项规划。从 西岭雪山到青城后山,从城市绿道到社区公园,成都正以产业化、系统化的方式重塑人们与自然的关 系。 迪卡侬将亚洲首家户外概念店落地成都,打造户外爱好者的前哨集结地,这不仅是市场判断,更是精准 洞察:当户外运动从"远足探险"变为"城市日常",当装备不再是专业玩家的专属,而是每个周末体验自 然的伙伴。 走进门店入口,独特的户外空间氛围便扑面而来。由山形线条勾勒的视觉语言层叠延展,像是把远处的 西岭雪山轻轻"搬"入城市中央,让人一入店便自然切换到户外模式。 继续向内,中央区域被打造为这家户外概念店的"体验核心",山野实验室与攀岩指 ...
Dick’s Sporting Goods Shares Gain Despite Q3 Miss as Company Raises Full-Year Outlook
Financial Modeling Prep· 2025-11-25 22:52
Group 1 - Dick's Sporting Goods Inc. experienced a 2% increase in shares despite missing third-quarter earnings expectations [1] - Adjusted EPS for the quarter was $2.07, significantly below the consensus estimate of $2.71 [1] - Revenue for the quarter was $4.17 billion, missing expectations of $4.43 billion, which included results from the newly acquired Foot Locker business [1] Group 2 - Comparable sales for the core DICK'S business rose by 5.7%, driven by higher average ticket prices and increased transactions [2] - The company raised its full-year 2025 forecast for the DICK'S business, now expecting comparable sales growth of 3.5% to 4.0%, up from a previous range of 2.0% to 3.5% [2] - Earnings outlook for the DICK'S segment was lifted to $14.25 to $14.55 per share, compared to prior guidance of $13.90 to $14.50 [2]