We came across a bullish thesis on Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited on Beat the TSX (BTSX-20)’s Substack by Beat the TSX-27 Strategy. In this article, we will summarize the bulls’ thesis on CP. Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited's share was trading at $73.43 as of September 29th. CP’s trailing and forward P/E were 22.75 and 18.80 respectively according to Yahoo Finance. ankush-minda-7KKQG0eB_TI-unsplash Canadian Pacific Kansas City (CPKC) delivered a solid Q2 2025 performance, reporting EPS of $1. ...

CSX Corp. (NASDAQ:CSX) former CEO Joe Hinrichs was reportedly fired last month after his board felt he mishandled a takeover approach from Union Pacific (UNP) last year. The firing came after some informal outreach from railroad rival Union Pacific (UNP ...

Canadian National today announced changes to its senior leadership, naming Patrick Whitehead as its chief operating officer and Janet Drysdale as chief commercial officer. Whitehead’s appointment as COO ends CN’s unique approach to developing the operating plan, planning the network of the future, and managing day-to-day operations. The company’s shares (NYSE: CNR) were up 16% in intra-day trading. Patrick Whitehead (Photo: CN) Traditionally railroads have a lone chief operating officer responsible for ...

Appointments Confirm Experienced Railroaders in Critical RolesMONTREAL, Oct. 20, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- CN (TSX: CNR) (NYSE: CNI) announced today the appointments of Patrick Whitehead as Executive Vice-President and Chief Operating Officer as well as Janet Drysdale as Executive Vice-President and Chief Commercial Officer, effective immediately. Patrick’s appointment follows the departure of Derek Taylor from the Company. “Janet and Pat are key drivers of CN's efforts to achieve new levels of operational, ...

MONTREAL, Oct. 20, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- CN (TSX: CNR) (NYSE: CNI) announced today the appointments of Patrick Whitehead as Executive Vice-President and Chief Operating Officer as well as Janet Drysdale as Executive Vice-President and Chief Commercial Officer, effective immediately. Patrick’s appointment follows the departure of Derek Taylor from the Company. “Janet and Pat are key drivers of CN's efforts to achieve new levels of operational, commercial and customer service excellence. Their proven cross ...

Core Insights - Union Pacific (UNP) is expected to report quarterly earnings of $2.99 per share, an increase of 8.7% year-over-year, with revenues projected at $6.23 billion, reflecting a 2.3% increase compared to the same period last year [1] Earnings Projections - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 1% higher in the last 30 days, indicating a collective reevaluation by analysts [2] - Changes in earnings projections are crucial for predicting investor reactions, as empirical studies show a strong correlation between earnings estimate trends and short-term stock price movements [3] Revenue Estimates - Analysts project 'Freight Revenues- Bulk' to reach $1.92 billion, a 6.2% increase year-over-year [5] - 'Operating Revenues- Other revenues' are estimated at $311.90 million, suggesting a decline of 3.4% year-over-year [5] - 'Freight Revenues- Industrial Products' is expected to be $2.23 billion, indicating a 5.2% increase year-over-year [5] - 'Freight Revenues- Premium' is forecasted at $1.76 billion, reflecting a decrease of 4.4% from the prior year [6] Operational Metrics - The 'Operating Ratio' is expected to be 59.0%, an improvement from 60.3% in the previous year [6] - 'Revenue Ton-Miles' is projected at 106.18 billion, up from 104.04 billion year-over-year [6] - 'Revenue Carloads - Total' is estimated at 2.17 million, consistent with the same quarter last year [7] - 'Gross Ton-Miles (GTMs)' is expected to reach 223.58 billion, an increase from 215.99 billion year-over-year [8] Fuel Consumption - Analysts expect 'Locomotive Fuel Statistics - Fuel consumed in gallons' to be 233 million gallons, compared to 229 million gallons in the same quarter last year [8] Additional Metrics - 'Revenue Ton-Miles - Bulk' is projected at 49.79 billion, up from 47.88 billion year-over-year [9] - The consensus for 'Average revenue per car - Bulk' is $3684.18, compared to $3641.00 in the same quarter last year [9] Stock Performance - Union Pacific shares have increased by 2.5% over the past month, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite, which rose by 1.1% [9]

Wall Street analysts expect Norfolk Southern (NSC) to post quarterly earnings of $3.18 per share in its upcoming report, which indicates a year-over-year decline of 2.2%. Revenues are expected to be $3.09 billion, up 1.3% from the year-ago quarter.Over the last 30 days, there has been a downward revision of 2.5% in the consensus EPS estimate for the quarter, leading to its current level. This signifies the covering analysts' collective reconsideration of their initial forecasts over the course of this timef ...

Looking at a network map of Union Pacific and Norfolk Southern, there’s a region of significant overlap in the Midwest, a triangular nexus between Kansas City, Chicago, and St. Louis. Chemical shippers in that region with a choice between the two railroads would lose their choice and be ‘captive’ to a single railroad, which could then wield monopolistic pricing power while allowing service to degrade.The letter raises concerns about the current state of the U.S. freight rail system, which is dominated by se ...

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview: Global Logistics Core Insights and Arguments - **Deceleration in Demand**: Signs of deceleration in ocean and air freight demand are emerging as ocean volume growth slowed to +3% globally in August, with a significant decline of -12% in Transpacific Eastbound volumes [1][3]. Air freight volumes also showed a modest deceleration in September, likely due to the expiration of the de minimis exemption [5][23]. - **Pressure on Ocean Rates**: Ocean freight rates are at their lowest levels since 2023, with the SCFI down over 50% year-to-date [3][20]. Key indicators such as the SCFI and WCI have seen declines of 54% and 58% respectively [20]. - **Orderbook Expansion**: The container shipping orderbook grew by +6% in Q3, with new orders equivalent to 3.4% of the in-service fleet, indicating continued investment despite oversupply risks [4][21]. - **Airfreight Performance**: Airfreight demand grew by 4% in August, but the growth rate moderated in September, with revenues below last year's levels [5][23]. The expiration of the US de minimis exemption is expected to impact future demand [23]. - **Surface Freight Outlook**: U.S. surface rates contracted in June and are expected to remain flat or decline in the second half of the year due to a softer freight outlook [6][24]. Additional Important Insights - **Global Trade Volumes**: Global trade volumes increased by 4.9% YoY in July, driven by a 6% rise in emerging market exports, while U.S. and European exports remained largely unchanged [2][18]. - **PMI Indicators**: September PMIs showed an increase in China (+0.7pt to 51.2) and the U.S. (+0.4pt to 49.1), while Europe saw a decrease for the first time this year (-0.9pt to 49.8) [2][18]. - **Market Sentiment**: The sentiment in the logistics sector remains weak, with companies expressing pessimism regarding international ocean demand and potential challenges in achieving a meaningful peak season [3][19]. Company Ratings and Valuations Key Company Ratings - **DSV**: Rated Outperform with a target price of DKK 1,700. Expected to become the largest freight forwarder post-acquisition of DB Schenker [9]. - **DHL**: Rated Outperform with a target price of €42.00. Strongly levered to e-commerce and world trade, with a solid long-term holding outlook [10]. - **Kuehne+Nagel**: Rated Market-Perform with a target price of CHF 165. Underperformance in volume growth noted, with execution issues impacting investor sentiment [11]. - **AP Moller - Maersk**: Rated Underperform with a target price of DKK 10,600. Facing challenges in container shipping with declining spot rates and a high orderbook [12]. Valuation Comparisons - **Valuation Metrics**: DSV shows a strong growth trajectory with an expected EPS of DKK 100+ by 2028, while Maersk's strategy has been criticized for failing to deliver promised synergies [9][12]. - **Market Cap and Share Buybacks**: DSV is projected to repurchase DKK 24 billion of shares annually, compared to its current market cap of DKK 310,654 million [9]. Conclusion The global logistics industry is experiencing a notable deceleration in demand across both ocean and air freight sectors, with significant pressure on rates and a growing orderbook despite oversupply risks. Companies like DSV and DHL are positioned favorably, while others like Maersk face challenges. The overall sentiment in the logistics sector remains cautious as companies navigate a complex market landscape.

Market Overview - Major indices are experiencing upward movement, with the Dow up approximately 300 points, S&P 500 and NASDAQ both up about 0.6% [1][2][3] - Over the past week, all major indices have risen about 12%, indicating a recovery from previous volatility [3] - The VIX index, a measure of market volatility, has decreased from around 28-29 to 22, suggesting reduced market anxiety [5][6] US-China Trade Relations - President Trump has expressed optimism regarding US-China trade talks, stating that threatened tariffs are "not sustainable" [9][10] - Upcoming meetings between US Treasury Secretary and Chinese officials are expected to solidify discussions for a broader trade deal [12][14] - Despite Trump's previous threats of a 100% tariff on China, he has not completely ruled it out, indicating ongoing tensions [13][14] Regional Banks and Credit Quality - Regional banks are showing signs of recovery, with Huntington Bank reporting a 12% year-over-year revenue growth and nearly 20% increase in earnings [109][110] - Credit quality remains stable, with charge-offs reported at 22 basis points, consistent with previous quarters [112] - Concerns about systemic issues in the banking sector are viewed as idiosyncratic, with the overall banking sector remaining strong since the financial crisis [115] Earnings Season Insights - American Express reported better-than-expected earnings, driven by a successful refresh of its platinum card, which saw initial demand exceed expectations [45][46] - CSX railroad company exceeded revenue estimates for Q3, with analysts optimistic about the new CEO's strategic direction [50][52] - The focus on profit margins in Q3 and Q4 is critical, as companies may face challenges in passing tariff costs to consumers [29][30] Cryptocurrency Market Impact - The cryptocurrency market has seen a significant decline, with Bitcoin dropping approximately 12% over the past 10 days, attributed to increased trade tensions and market volatility [103][104][107] - The overall crypto market has shrunk by $600 billion since last Friday, indicating a broader sell-off in risk-on assets [103][104]