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全球服务器 -推出 2027 年预期;随着 ASIC 渗透率上升,上调基于基板的 AI 服务器预期-Global Server_ 2027E estimates introduced; Raising baseboard-based AI servers with rising ASIC penetration
2025-09-28 14:57
Summary of Global Server Market and AI Server Insights Industry Overview - The report focuses on the global server market, particularly the AI server segment, with projections extending to 2027E. The analysis includes various types of servers such as ASIC AI servers, AI training servers, AI inferencing servers, general servers, and HPC servers [1][14]. Key Insights Market Projections - The global server market is projected to grow significantly, with total revenues expected to reach **US$359 billion**, **US$474 billion**, and **US$563 billion** in 2025E, 2026E, and 2027E respectively, reflecting year-over-year growth rates of **42%**, **32%**, and **19%** [14][30]. - AI server shipments are expected to increase, with **10 million**, **14 million**, and **17 million** AI chips required in 2025E, 2026E, and 2027E, respectively. The contribution of ASIC shipments is projected to rise from **38%** in 2025E to **45%** in 2027E [1][8]. AI Server Segment Growth - High power AI servers (powered by **500 TFlops+ ASIC and GPUs**) are forecasted to see a **21%** and **39%** increase in volume estimates for 2025E and 2026E, respectively. Inferencing AI servers are expected to grow by **3%** and **5%** in the same years [3][11]. - Full rack AI servers are estimated to ship **19,000** units in 2025E, increasing to **67,000** units by 2027E, with a total addressable market (TAM) of **US$54 billion**, **US$157 billion**, and **US$232 billion** for 2025E, 2026E, and 2027E respectively [11][30]. Cloud Service Provider (CSP) Capital Expenditure - Leading US CSPs are projected to increase their capital expenditure (capex) by **67%**, **23%**, and **15%** year-over-year from 2025E to 2027E. In contrast, leading Chinese CSPs are expected to grow their capex by **55%**, **8%**, and **6%** in the same period [8][24][27]. AI Chip Demand - The demand for AI chips is expected to reach **9,990 thousand**, **13,631 thousand**, and **16,551 thousand** units for training and inferencing combined in 2025E, 2026E, and 2027E, respectively. The mix of GPU and ASIC chips is projected to shift, with GPUs making up **62%** in 2025E and decreasing to **55%** by 2027E, while ASICs will increase from **38%** to **45%** [3][20]. Additional Insights Revenue Breakdown - The revenue breakdown for AI servers indicates that training servers will generate **US$189.6 billion**, **US$294.6 billion**, and **US$370.6 billion** in 2025E, 2026E, and 2027E, respectively. High power AI servers are expected to generate **US$135.9 billion**, **US$137.9 billion**, and **US$139 billion** in the same years [30]. - General servers are projected to see revenues of **US$133.7 billion**, **US$140.2 billion**, and **US$146.5 billion** from 2025E to 2027E, indicating a recovery in the general server market [30]. Market Dynamics - The growth in AI applications and increased cloud capex are driving the demand for AI servers. OpenAI's user base has quadrupled to **700 million** weekly active users, indicating a broader adoption of AI technologies [3][11]. Competitive Landscape - The report highlights key players in the AI server market, including ODMs like Wiwynn, Wistron, and Hon Hai, as well as companies involved in silicon photonics and liquid cooling technologies [2]. This comprehensive analysis provides a detailed outlook on the global server market, emphasizing the significant growth potential in the AI server segment driven by technological advancements and increased cloud investments.
小米集团-7 Pro 系列销售占比创纪录,高端化执行稳健;买入
2025-09-28 14:57
Summary of Xiaomi Corp. (1810.HK) Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Xiaomi Corp. (1810.HK) - **Industry**: Smartphone and Consumer Electronics Key Points and Arguments Sales Performance - The Xiaomi 17 series launched on September 27, 2025, with the Xiaomi 17 Pro Max accounting for over 50% of sales volume on the first day [1][2] - The Xiaomi 17 series broke the first-day sales volume and GMV record for domestic smartphone models in 2025 YTD within 5 minutes of launch [1] - The 17 Pro series is estimated to have accounted for over 80% of the Xiaomi 17 series sales volume on Day 1, with 33% for Pro and 54% for Pro Max [3][9] Pricing Strategy - The starting price for the 17 Pro is Rmb4,999, which is Rmb200-500 lower than previous versions, while the 17 Pro Max is 50% cheaper than the iPhone 17 Pro Max in China [1] - This competitive pricing strategy is expected to attract consumers from the base model and expand the consumer base [1] Market Dynamics - Xiaomi's share price experienced high volatility, dropping 8% on September 26 and rising 4% on September 25, attributed to high investor expectations and market concerns regarding sales volume of the base model [2] - The favorable sales mix of the 17 Pro/Pro Max is expected to reverse concerns about soft sales volume of the base model [2] Premiumization Strategy - The favorable sales mix could drive a mid-teen percentage increase in average selling price (ASP) compared to the previous generation [3] - Xiaomi's premiumization execution is supported by enhanced R&D investments, expanding retail channels, and an integrated "Human x Car x Home" ecosystem [3] Competitive Landscape - The iPhone 17 base model recorded the highest sales volume increase in its first week, indicating strong competition in the smartphone market [3][11] Long-term Outlook - Xiaomi is positioned as the world's 3 smartphone brand with a projected 13.8% of 2024 shipments and is in the early stages of a multi-year ecosystem expansion [13] - The company is expected to achieve revenue and EPS CAGRs of 26% and 37% respectively from 2024 to 2027 [13] - Xiaomi's robust balance sheet and capabilities in software-hardware integration are expected to enhance its competitiveness in the EV market [13] Price Target and Risks - The 12-month target price for Xiaomi is set at HK$66, representing an upside of 20.8% from the current price of HK$54.65 [16] - Key downside risks include intense competition, higher GPM pressure, execution risks in brand premiumization, geopolitical risks, and softer macroeconomic conditions [14] Additional Insights - The company is leveraging its interconnected consumer terminals to build one of the largest consumer physical intelligence ecosystems globally [13] - The sales volume mix may change based on pricing strategy and competitive landscape [3] This summary encapsulates the critical insights from the conference call regarding Xiaomi Corp.'s recent performance, market dynamics, and strategic outlook.
小米支持PPS,会成为厂商走出私有拥抱开放的开始吗?
Hu Xiu· 2025-09-28 11:35
本文来自微信公众号:爱范儿 (ID:ifanr),作者:马扶摇,题图来自:AI生成 OPPO的超级闪充,vivo的超快闪充、华为的超级快充,以及小米的澎湃有线秒充等等,一片勃勃生机、万物竞发的景象。 然而快充协议五花八门、互不兼容的后果,最终其实还是由消费者承担的。 比如有些机型支持高功率快充、附赠的充电头却是低功率的款式,想要满血充电只有一句话——得加钱。又或者购买第三方品牌的多协议充电头,就得忍 受无法激活厂商私有协议带来的充电掉速、频繁断连问题。 除开改名对标,以及背后高原副屏,今年的小米其实还做了一件我们认为颇有格局的事情: 小米17系列全系兼容100W通用PPS协议,小米充电器、非小米充电器,都能疾速充电,通用性大幅提升。 长久以来,包括小米在内的主流国产手机厂商,虽然在电池技术和充电技术上遥遥领先于海外同行,但是在开放程度和兼容性上却始终不情不愿,并最终 造就了国内手机厂商各自为战的结果。 小米17系列的发布,填补了九月末"后苹果发布会时期"到国庆节之后国产新机潮之间的空虚。 这也是我们认为小米今年宣布兼容PPS协议是很有意义的原因: 长久以来,公有的充电协议始终都存在,但大多数(私有协议的)厂商 ...
AI普惠成手机“第二赛道”,荣耀公布无障碍领域AI方案
Nan Fang Du Shi Bao· 2025-09-28 07:51
在智能手机硬件性能趋于同质化的当下,以AI驱动的"科技普惠"正成为头部厂商开辟的"第二赛道"。 9月27日,在国际聋人日前夕,荣耀在其即将开业的位于深圳的全球旗舰店公布了其在信息无障碍领域 的AI应用成果。 据荣耀官方披露的数据,截至2024年底,其AI字幕功能月活用户近120万,通话字幕功能月活用户近19 万。这组数据首次量化了荣耀在无障碍功能上的用户基本盘。 宏大的普惠理念之下,执行层面的挑战同样存在。对于无障碍功能而言,真正的难点并非技术研发本 身,而是用户的"发现与触达"。 综合行业现状,许多强大的无障碍功能常被深埋于系统设置的多层菜单之下,导致"功能很强,但用户 不知"。如何有效引导有需求的用户发现并学会使用这些功能,成为所有手机厂商面临的核心课题。 对此,荣耀提供了一种新的解题思路:将零售终端转化为无障碍体验的"触点"。 分析认为,将旗舰店这一核心线下渠道作为科技普惠的常态化阵地,是荣耀试图破解"用户触达"难题的 关键一步。相较于线上教程,线下面对面的体验和指导,降低了特殊群体学习和使用新技术的门槛。未 来,如何系统性地将这种"触点"模式推广,并撬动更多社会力量参与,将是其面临的下一阶段挑战。 南 ...
荣耀高通联手破局 端侧AI攻克算力与能效瓶颈
Core Insights - Qualcomm's fifth-generation Snapdragon 8 Elite Gen5 processor was officially unveiled at the 2025 Snapdragon Summit, expected to power flagship models from major brands like Honor, Xiaomi, iQOO, and OnePlus in the second half of 2025 [1] - The smartphone market is entering a phase of stock competition, leading to a "deep integration" battle among processor chips, with manufacturers increasingly collaborating with Qualcomm for customized solutions [1][2] - Honor's collaboration with Qualcomm has achieved significant breakthroughs in edge AI, enhancing computational efficiency and energy consumption for large-scale AI models on devices [2][3] Industry Trends - The edge AI market in China is projected to exceed 250 billion yuan by 2025, growing nearly 30% from 193.9 billion yuan in 2023, with a potential to reach 1.2 trillion yuan by 2030 [3] - Smartphones are identified as the most viable platform for edge AI due to their widespread use, hardware capabilities, and mature ecosystems [3] Technological Innovations - Honor and Qualcomm's joint efforts have led to breakthroughs in edge AI model deployment, including a 30% reduction in storage space and a 15% increase in inference speed through low-bit quantization technology [4] - The new vector retrieval technology enhances retrieval performance by up to 400% by encoding data into dense vectors for efficient semantic indexing [4] Product Developments - Honor has introduced an AI-driven color tracking feature, allowing users to retrieve and process images with simple voice commands, showcasing the practical applications of their edge AI advancements [5] - Upcoming products, including the Honor Magic8 series and Honor MagicPad3 Pro, will be the first to feature the Snapdragon 8 Elite Gen5 platform, positioning them as advanced AI-native devices [7] Strategic Collaborations - Honor and Qualcomm have established a joint laboratory for chip-level innovations, achieving advancements in chip cache management and AI energy efficiency over the past three years [6] - The newly launched super fusion architecture integrates Honor's Turbo X performance engines with Qualcomm's Oryon architecture, optimizing resource management for enhanced performance [6] Competitive Landscape - The competition among smartphone manufacturers has shifted from hardware specifications to deep optimization of underlying technologies, with a focus on understanding user needs and creating differentiated application scenarios [8]
Tesla Pi phone: is Elon Musk’s rumored smartphone actually real?
The Economic Times· 2025-09-26 18:12
Core Viewpoint - The speculation surrounding a Tesla smartphone, often referred to as the "Tesla Pi phone," is largely unfounded and remains a fan theory without any official confirmation from Tesla or Elon Musk [1][3][8]. Group 1: Tesla's Position on Smartphones - Elon Musk has consistently stated that Tesla would only consider developing a smartphone if Apple or Google restricted Tesla's apps or services [2][8]. - Currently, Tesla's vehicles and energy products are compatible with iOS and Android, negating the need for a dedicated Tesla phone [2][8]. Group 2: Rumors and Speculations - The rumors about the Tesla Pi phone gained traction around 2021 and 2022, fueled by concept images that aligned with Tesla's futuristic branding [3][8]. - Alleged features of the Tesla Pi phone include direct Starlink connectivity, solar charging, Neuralink integration, and MarsCoin mining, but none of these have been confirmed by Tesla [9][10][11]. Group 3: Existing Products and Market Presence - There are rugged Android smartphones branded as Tesla phones available in Europe and Asia, such as the Tesla EXPLR 9, but these are produced by a different company under license and have no affiliation with Tesla, Inc. or Elon Musk [7][11]. - The focus of Tesla and SpaceX remains on electric vehicle production, battery storage, and energy solutions rather than entering the smartphone market [10][11].
一加发布全新一代风驰游戏内核,中国区总裁李杰:手机行业进入165超高帧时代
Xin Lang Ke Ji· 2025-09-26 11:47
新浪科技讯 9月26日晚间消息,在一加游戏大会2025上,一加中国区总裁李杰宣布,将引领手机行业迈 入 165 超高帧时代,与《三角洲行动》、《英雄联盟手游》、《王者荣耀》、《和平精英》等多家手游 共同布局 165 超高帧游戏生态。同时,一加 15 还将首发搭载自研芯片级游戏技术——全新一代风驰游 戏内核。 据介绍,一加全新一代风驰游戏内核首次协同调度 CPU、GPU 与 NPU 三大核心处理单元,在自研能量 感知模型、智能复合队列、一体化融合调频三大技术的加持下,实现满血 165 帧全栈部署,并在能效管 理、帧率稳定与画质表现三大维度实现突破,实现芯片内核调度器效率优化 29.8%,内核负载降低 15.6%,整机功耗降低 11.7%。全新一代风驰游戏内核还带来了 1% Low 帧, 在《王者荣耀》 120 帧模 式下,可带来 1% low 帧 119.5 帧的体验。 基于全新一代风驰游戏内核,一加首次在行业带来了 165 超高帧游戏体验。165 帧每秒可比 120 帧多输 出 45 帧画面,单帧面显示速度提升 27%,同时 165 帧的操作响应速度也大幅提升,全链路延迟降低 10ms。OPPO 游戏中心负责 ...
China's Xiaomi is planning a next-gen phone chip, but won't release one yearly like Apple
CNBC· 2025-09-26 10:18
Core Viewpoint - Xiaomi is set to launch its self-developed smartphone SoC, XRING 01, in late May, aiming to enhance its position in the high-end smartphone market, but it will not follow a yearly release schedule like Apple [1][5]. Group 1: Chip Development Strategy - Xiaomi plans to invest at least 50 billion yuan ($7 billion) over the next decade to develop its own chips, indicating a long-term commitment to semiconductor development [5]. - The company aims to produce 1 million units of the XRING 01 initially, but needs to reach 10 million units per chip release to break even, suggesting a cautious approach to scaling production [7][8]. - Xiaomi's strategy includes learning and planning for future chip generations, acknowledging the need for patience in achieving profitability [5][8]. Group 2: Competitive Landscape - Xiaomi's move to develop its own chips aligns with similar strategies from major competitors like Apple, Samsung, and Huawei, as it seeks to capture a larger share of the premium smartphone market [2]. - The company currently relies on Qualcomm and MediaTek for its smartphone chips but intends to continue this partnership while gradually introducing its own semiconductors [12][13]. Group 3: Technological Integration - The XRING 01 is based on a 3-nanometer manufacturing process, one of the most advanced technologies available, which positions Xiaomi competitively in the semiconductor space [3]. - Developing its own SoC allows Xiaomi to better integrate its hardware with its Android-based operating system, HyperOS, and its AI applications, HyperAI, enhancing user experience [9][11].
坚定技术立业!小米17系列手机等新品在京发布
转自:新华网 数据显示,小米手机业务持续站稳国内4000至5000元价位市场份额第一。同时在海外高端化发力,今年 第二季度在欧洲市场份额超越苹果。 随着小米过去五年在底层技术上的高强度投入,以及高端化战略的持续突破,小米成为首家横跨手机、 汽车、家电三大领域的科技公司。 今年5月,小米发布自主研发设计的首款3纳米旗舰处理器"玄戒O1",性能体验跻身全球第一梯队,也 让小米成为全球第四家具备3nm先进制程设计能力的科技公司。雷军在演讲中表示,芯片是小米走向成 功的必由之路,小米将至少坚持投入十年。 雷军表示,2020年小米年营收首次突破2000亿元,并开始高端化探索。站在第二个十年开端的十字路 口,小米坚定了下个阶段的发展道路——持续投入底层核心技术,从"互联网公司"走向"硬核科技公 司",未来五年在核心技术研发上投入1000亿元。 近年来,中国企业以科技创新推动产业创新,特别是在颠覆性技术和前沿技术上持续突破。其中,国产 手机在技术、设计方面不断创新,加速了全球智能手机行业的更新迭代。 "早期中国公司的长处来自应用创新和场景创新,近年来我对中国工业越来越有信心,如今越来越多的 芯片级创新和材料级创新出现在中国 ...
背屏成不了下一个灵动岛
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-09-26 07:39
Core Viewpoint - The return of the back screen in the smartphone market, particularly as a key feature of the Xiaomi 17 Pro series, is unexpected and indicates Xiaomi's strong expectations for this technology [1][3]. Group 1: Back Screen Technology - Xiaomi has invested significant resources into the "Miao Xiang Back Screen" feature, with development and manufacturing costs reaching 1 billion yuan, making it challenging for other brands to follow suit [3]. - The back screen is not a new concept in the smartphone market, as it was first introduced by Meizu in 2017 with the "Intelligent Window" design [5]. - Previous attempts by various manufacturers, including Meizu and Xiaomi, to implement back screens were not successful, leading to a decline in interest in this feature [5][7]. Group 2: Market Position and Differentiation - The functionalities offered by the back screen in the Xiaomi 17 Pro series, such as personalized wallpapers and notifications, could also be effectively managed by the main screen, raising questions about the necessity of the back screen [5][7]. - The introduction of the back screen may be more about creating product differentiation rather than addressing high-frequency user needs or efficiency improvements [7]. - While the back screen provides some unique features for the Xiaomi 17 Pro, it is unlikely to achieve the same level of innovation and market impact as Apple's Dynamic Island, which effectively addressed user interaction challenges [10]. Group 3: Future Outlook - There are concerns that the back screen design may not achieve lasting success and could become a fleeting trend, similar to the previous back screen attempts by Xiaomi [11]. - Xiaomi's software director has assured users that the back screen will not be removed in future iterations, indicating a commitment to this feature [11]. - The market's acceptance of the Xiaomi 17 Pro series will ultimately determine the success of the back screen, with the product being perceived as having good value for money due to its strong battery life and imaging capabilities [11].