虽然政策"反内卷"方向明确，但不同行业的命运正走向分岔路。7月12日，华泰证券报告显示，不同行业"反内卷"成效将显著分化，光伏电池等亏 损严重行业短期筑底机会明确；钢铁煤炭等国企主导行业期待更高层级的统一指导；而家电机械等民企占比高的行业，产能前景还有待观察。 华泰证券预计光伏、电池等行业企业配合意愿高，有望形成短期的价格底，但是否反复取决于企业能否持续配合、兼并重组等能否顺 利推进；钢铁、煤炭、汽车整车等行业期待更高层级的统一指导，弹性更多在于需求端；家电、机械等行业民企占比较高、利润尚有 坚持余地，产能前景还有待观察。 亏损越严重越愿意"反内卷"：比如电池、光伏行业 亏损越严重越愿配合、国企主导行业响应最快、民企密集领域前景待察——华泰证券五维指标揭示"反内卷"政策下的行业生存法则，分别是企业 所有制结构、行业集中度、利润状况、成本曲线、需求前景。 反内卷——今年最热词汇之一，也正在成为当前政策的重要方向。 在企业所有制结构方面，华泰证券认为，国企占比越高的行业，越具备政策协调的优势，在控能耗、淘汰落后产能、减产、收储基金、兼并收购 等各方面的配合度均更高。截至2024年，煤炭行业国企占比高达84%，钢铁 ...

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry analyzed [2]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes the focus on "supply-side optimization" and "anti-involution" competition, with potential policy implementations expected in the second half of the year [3][8]. - Key industries identified for "anti-involution" include those with high inventory, high CAPEX, low capacity utilization, and low price levels, particularly in sectors such as chemicals, non-ferrous metals, coal, steel, and various manufacturing and consumer goods [3][11][13]. - The report outlines five perspectives for identifying potential beneficiaries of the "anti-involution" policies, including state-owned enterprise (SOE) share, industry concentration, tax revenue impact, labor intensity, and price elasticity post-capacity reduction [5][6]. Summary by Relevant Sections Policy Focus - The report highlights that the Central Financial Committee meeting on July 1 emphasized supply-side optimization and "anti-involution" competition, referencing past supply-side reforms from 2015-2016 as a model for future policy actions [3][8]. Key Industry Characteristics - Industries with high inventory, high CAPEX, low capacity utilization, and low price levels are targeted for policy intervention. These include: - Cyclical industries: Chemicals (chemical products, rubber, non-metallic materials), non-ferrous metals (energy metals), coal, and steel (common steel, steel raw materials) [3][11]. - Manufacturing: Electric new (motors, grid equipment, batteries, photovoltaics), machinery (automation equipment), automotive (passenger vehicles), military electronics, and construction [3][11]. - Consumer goods: Home appliances (appliance components), food and beverage (food processing, liquor, snacks) [3][11]. Five Perspectives for Industry Selection - **State-Owned Enterprise (SOE) Share**: Industries with higher SOE shares are expected to have stronger policy execution efficiency, including coal, common steel, cement, glass, and consumer sectors like liquor [3][5]. - **Industry Concentration**: Higher concentration industries are more likely to achieve supply clearing through stronger pricing power and quicker policy response, particularly in energy metals, non-metallic materials, and consumer goods like liquor [3][5]. - **Tax Revenue Impact**: Industries with lower tax revenue contributions will have a smaller impact on local finances during capacity reduction, focusing on sectors like glass, energy metals, and common steel [3][5]. - **Labor Intensity**: Industries with lower labor intensity will have a reduced impact on employment during capacity reduction, including non-metallic materials, chemical products, and energy metals [3][5]. - **Price Elasticity Post-Capacity Reduction**: Industries with a strong correlation between asset turnover and gross margin are expected to see greater price and margin expansion post-capacity reduction, including glass, chemical products, and energy metals [3][5]. Potential Beneficiary Industries - The report identifies several industries as potential beneficiaries of the "anti-involution" policies based on the five perspectives, including: - Coal mining, common steel, precious metals, glass fiber, coke, energy metals, steel raw materials, cement, chemical products, non-metallic materials, and various manufacturing sectors [6][7].

Core Insights - The EU's recent shift in policy towards China, particularly regarding rare earth magnets, reflects a response to significant supply chain pressures rather than a purely emotional reaction [1][10] - China's dominance in the rare earth processing sector, controlling over 70% of global capacity, makes it nearly impossible for the EU to bypass Chinese resources in the current industrial landscape [3][5] Group 1: EU's Policy Shift - The EU is seeking to ease export restrictions from China to address a shortage of rare earth magnets critical for high-end manufacturing, including electric vehicles and wind power [1][3] - Following the introduction of export licensing by China, European companies have experienced increased pressure, leading to longer supply cycles and rising costs [3][5] - The EU has initiated 13 rare earth industry projects to establish a localized supply chain, but it will take at least 3 to 5 years to achieve significant production capabilities [3][5] Group 2: Trade Relations and Tensions - The EU has tightened trade policies against China, including imposing a temporary tariff of 35.3% on Chinese electric vehicles, reflecting a "de-risking" strategy [5] - Despite the EU's tough stance, there is a recognition of the severe impact of rare earth shortages on European industries, prompting calls for cooperation from China [5][10] - The EU's internal divisions regarding its approach to China complicate its ability to form a cohesive strategy, with some officials advocating for a confrontational stance while others seek dialogue [8][10] Group 3: China's Position - China has indicated a willingness to cooperate but has not shown signs of conceding on the rare earth issue, emphasizing a balanced and legal approach to export regulation [6][10] - The Chinese government stresses the importance of mutual respect and cooperation in its dealings with the EU, highlighting the need for trust rebuilding within a rules-based framework [6][10] - The future of EU-China relations regarding rare earths will depend on whether the EU opts for a confrontational adjustment or seeks to redefine its cooperative framework based on shared interests [10]

Group 1 - The Shanghai Composite Index has recently surpassed the annual high set on March 18, 2025, and is approaching the high from October 8, 2024, indicating a significant market movement [1] - There is a noticeable divergence among various sectors, with banking, agriculture, personal care, military, chemical, transportation, and petrochemical industries showing a higher proportion of stocks exceeding their March 18, 2025 closing prices [1] - Conversely, sectors such as steel, electronics, home appliances, telecommunications, computers, and electrical equipment have a lower proportion of stocks exceeding their March 18, 2025 levels [1] Group 2 - In the secondary industry analysis, financial (banking, insurance, diversified finance), military (naval equipment, ground weaponry), agriculture (animal health, agricultural products, planting, feed), precious metals, personal care products, and chemical pharmaceuticals show a higher proportion of stocks exceeding their March 18, 2025 closing prices [4] - Sectors like home appliances, electrical equipment, TMT (television broadcasting, communication services, consumer electronics, semiconductors, optical electronics), general steel, and machinery (engineering machinery, automation equipment) have a lower proportion of stocks exceeding their March 18, 2025 levels [4] - Comparing to the October 8, 2024 closing prices, banking, motorcycles, military (ground weaponry, aerospace equipment), chemicals (plastics, non-metallic materials), and new consumption (entertainment products, personal care products, retail, accessories) show a higher proportion of stocks exceeding their previous levels [4]

Group 1 - The "Investment China 2025 Tianjin Summer Davos Multinational Enterprise Leaders Exchange Conference" facilitated discussions among over 300 business leaders, fostering a consensus on future development directions and laying the groundwork for practical cooperation [1] - Global business leaders are optimistic about China's economic prospects, with a shared belief in the country's growth potential, particularly in the green development and "dual carbon" goals, which have positioned China's new energy market to account for over 40% of the global market [1] - Flender Group has invested over 1 billion yuan in Tianjin over the past four years, establishing a significant presence with a 26.4 MW wind turbine drive chain test bench, making it the largest gearbox manufacturing base and R&D center for Flender outside of Germany, with a localization rate exceeding 95% [1] Group 2 - China is accelerating its transition towards high-quality economic development, with a focus on green, digital, and intelligent transformations, creating vast opportunities for foreign enterprises [2] - DHL Global Forwarding is exploring the establishment of an electric vehicle excellence center in Shanghai, aiming to create a complete ecosystem for the electric vehicle industry, leveraging China's robust manufacturing capabilities and infrastructure [2] - SEW-Eurodrive is transitioning from a single factory to a production cluster with two manufacturing bases and ten assembly centers, investing 500 million USD in a new manufacturing base in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area, which is expected to serve as an export base for the company [2] - The competitive market landscape necessitates innovation and the transformation of technology into core competitive advantages, with Synchron's founder highlighting China's advancements in brain-computer interface technology and the potential for future collaborations [2]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided 2. Core Views - In the bond market, the central bank conducted 4065 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations yesterday, with 1973 billion yuan of reverse repurchases maturing. On June 25, it will conduct 3000 billion yuan of 1 - year MLF operations. The central bank adheres to a supportive monetary policy stance, and the transformation of the monetary policy framework is a continuous process [4]. - In the stock index market, due to the easing of the geopolitical conflict between Iran and Israel and the expectation of expanded market liquidity, the stock index rose with heavy volume yesterday, and the Shanghai Composite Index broke through the previous high of 3417. In the short term, the market liquidity is acceptable, and with the alleviation of macro - negatives, the stock index is expected to run strongly [5]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Bond Market - **Price and Change**: DRO01 closed at 1.37 with a 0.04 bp change, DR007 at 1.67 with a 16.09 bp change, GC001 at 1.60 with a 7.50 bp change, GC007 at 1.90 with a 12.00 bp change, SHBOR 3M at 1.63 with no change, LPR 5 - year at 3.50 with no change, 1 - year treasury at 1.36 with a 0.71 bp change, 5 - year treasury at 1.52 with a 0.97 bp change, 10 - year treasury at 1.65 with a 0.80 bp change, and 10 - year US treasury at 4.34 with a - 4.00 bp change [4]. - **Market Operation**: This week, there are 9603 billion yuan of reverse repurchases maturing in the central bank's open market, with 1563 billion, 2035 billion, and 1612 billion yuan maturing from Wednesday to Friday respectively. The central bank governor said that the central bank has introduced multiple monetary policy measures in the past year [4]. Stock Index Market - **Index Price and Change**: At yesterday's close, the CSI 300 rose 1.2% to 3904, the SSE 50 rose 1.16% to 2715.9, the CSI 500 rose 1.62% to 5765.8, and the CSI 1000 rose 1.92% to 6194.7. The trading volume of the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets reached 14146 billion yuan, a significant increase of 2920 billion yuan from the previous day [5]. - **Sector Performance**: Most industry sectors rose. The motor, battery, auto parts, game, and packaging materials sectors led the gains, while the mining, petroleum, gas, shipping port, and precious metals sectors led the losses [5]. - **Contract Information**: The trading volume and open interest of IF, IH, IC, and IM contracts all increased. The IF contract had a trading volume increase of 22.6% and an open interest increase of 4.3%, the IH contract had a trading volume increase of 14.9% and an open interest increase of 3.2%, the IC contract had a trading volume increase of 23.3% and an open interest increase of 3.1%, and the IM contract had a trading volume increase of 16.6% and an open interest increase of 1.6%. The IF, IH, IC, and IM contracts also have different levels of premium and discount rates [5]. - **Market Driver**: The rapid reversal of the Iran - Israel situation and the expectation of interest rate cuts in the US led to the rise of the stock index with heavy volume. The Shanghai Composite Index broke through the previous high [5].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight," indicating that the industry index is expected to outperform the market index by more than 10% in the next six months [48]. Core Viewpoints - The report highlights the recent announcement by the National Energy Administration regarding the initiation of hydrogen energy pilot projects in regions rich in wind, solar, hydro, nuclear, and biomass resources. This initiative aims to promote large-scale renewable energy hydrogen production and explore diverse pathways for hydrogen industry development [3][42]. - The report suggests focusing on leading companies in the hydrogen technology sector, as the pilot projects are expected to drive innovation in hydrogen management models and support the entire hydrogen supply chain development [3][42]. Summary by Sections 1. Market Review - As of June 19, 2025, the Shenwan Electric Equipment industry has seen a decline of 1.06% over the past two weeks, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 0.17 percentage points, ranking 11th among 31 industries. Year-to-date, the industry has decreased by 6.44%, lagging behind the CSI 300 index by 4.11 percentage points, ranking 26th [11][15]. 2. Valuation and Industry Data - As of June 19, 2025, the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio for the electric equipment sector is 24.13 times. Sub-sector PE ratios include: - Electric Motor II: 46.20 times - Other Power Equipment II: 39.37 times - Solar Equipment: 16.37 times - Wind Equipment: 32.12 times - Battery: 24.08 times - Grid Equipment: 23.41 times [22][25]. 3. Industry News - The report discusses the National Energy Administration's recent data release indicating that total electricity consumption in May reached 809.6 billion kWh, a year-on-year increase of 4.4%. Cumulative electricity consumption from January to May was 39,665 billion kWh, up 3.4% year-on-year [38]. 4. Company Announcements - The report includes various company announcements, such as share reduction plans by major shareholders and updates on procurement projects, indicating ongoing corporate activities within the sector [41]. 5. Weekly Perspective on Electric Equipment Sector - The report emphasizes the importance of the hydrogen energy pilot projects and suggests that companies with advanced hydrogen technology should be closely monitored for potential investment opportunities [41][42].

科中心 A 座 16 楼 杭州市西湖区学院路 77 号黄龙万 邮编： 电话：（86-571） 传真：（86-571） 北京君合（杭州）律师事务所关于 卧龙电气驱动集团股份有限公司 差异化权益分派事项之法律意见书 致：卧龙电气驱动集团股份有限公司 北京君合（杭州）律师事务所（以下简称"本所"）接受卧龙电气驱动集团股份有限公 司（以下简称"公司"）的委托，就公司 2024 年度差异化权益分派相关事项（以下简称"本 次差异化权益分派"）出具本法律意见书。 本所律师根据《中华人民共和国公司法》（以下简称"《公司法》"）、《中华人民共 和国证券法》（以下简称"《证券法》"）、《上市公司股份回购规则》（以下简称"《回 购规则》"）、《上海证券交易所上市公司自律监管指引第 7 号——回购股份》（以下简 称"《回购股份指引》"）、《上海证券交易所交易规则》（以下简称"《交易规则》"） 等中国（为本法律意见书之目的，不包括香港特别行政区、澳门特别行政区及台湾地区） 现行法律、法规和规范性文件以及《卧龙电气驱动集团股份有限公司章程》（以下简称 "《公司章程》"）的有关规定，按照律师行业公认的业务标准、道德规范和勤勉尽责 精神出具 ...

Group 1 - The company plans to issue shares (H-shares) and list on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange to enhance its global strategy, international image, and overall competitiveness [1][2] - The specific details of the H-share issuance and listing are yet to be determined, and discussions with relevant intermediaries will take place [1] - The issuance and listing will require approval from the company's board and shareholders, as well as regulatory review by the China Securities Regulatory Commission and the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, indicating significant uncertainty in the process [2]

Market Overview - As of June 15, 2025, there are 267 companies listed on the Beijing Stock Exchange (BSE), with a total share capital of 37.331 billion shares and a circulating share capital of 23.848 billion shares [2] - For the week of June 9 to June 15, the BSE recorded a trading volume of 7.448 billion shares, a week-on-week increase of 63.81%, and a trading value of 1630.50 billion yuan, up 64.09% from the previous week [3] Index Performance - The BSE 50 Index fell by 3.11% to 1382.74 points during the same week, with 10 stocks rising, none remaining flat, and 35 stocks declining [3] - The top performer was Air China Ocean (833171), which increased by 24.44%, while the largest decline was seen in Binhang Technology (839493), which dropped by 12.60% [3] New Listings and Applications - One company successfully listed on the BSE during the week, bringing the total to 267 [6] - There are currently 83 companies awaiting approval, with 15 under review, 57 in inquiry, and 10 submitted for registration [5] Company Highlights - **Jiaoda Iron Development Co., Ltd. (920027)**: Listed on May 13, 2025, with a first-day trading surge of 295.91%, closing at 31.90 yuan, a 262.09% increase. The company focuses on intelligent products and equipment for rail transit [8][9] - **Sanxie Electric Co., Ltd. (873669)**: Passed the listing committee meeting on June 9, 2025, aiming to raise 1.59 billion yuan for expansion and R&D projects [12][13] - **New Hengtai New Materials Co., Ltd. (874327)**: Received listing application acceptance on June 10, 2025, with plans to raise 3.80 billion yuan for new material projects [15][16] - **Koleidi Medical Equipment Co., Ltd. (873414)**: Listed application accepted on June 12, 2025, seeking to raise 2.99 billion yuan for product development and production [17][18] - **Ying's Holdings Group Co., Ltd. (874431)**: Received listing application acceptance on June 13, 2025, with plans to raise 3.34 billion yuan for various projects [19][20] Financial Performance - **Jiaoda Iron Development**: Reported revenues of 2.35 billion yuan, 2.73 billion yuan, and 3.35 billion yuan from 2022 to 2024, with net profits of 337.99 million yuan, 476.56 million yuan, and 533.92 million yuan respectively [9] - **Sanxie Electric**: Expected to achieve revenue of 2.35 billion to 2.48 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, with a net profit forecast of 28.80 million to 30.50 million yuan [13] - **New Hengtai**: Achieved revenues of 5.30 billion yuan, 6.79 billion yuan, and 7.74 billion yuan from 2022 to 2024, with net profits of 450.00 million yuan, 1.01 billion yuan, and 917.64 million yuan respectively [16] - **Koleidi Medical**: Reported revenues of 2.33 billion yuan, 2.38 billion yuan, and 2.85 billion yuan from 2022 to 2024, with net profits of 693.67 million yuan, 599.18 million yuan, and 672.15 million yuan respectively [18] - **Ying's Holdings**: Reported revenues of 12.96 billion yuan, 17.58 billion yuan, and 19.74 billion yuan from 2022 to 2024, with net profits of 1.17 billion yuan, 2.20 billion yuan, and 2.11 billion yuan respectively [20][21]