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大行评级丨摩根大通:澳门10月赌收存在明显潜在上行趋势 短期看好永利澳门
Ge Long Hui· 2025-10-28 07:44
Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley's research report indicates a significant potential upward trend in Macau's gaming revenue, with October's total revenue possibly reaching 23 billion MOP, marking a 71-month high [1] Group 1: Gaming Revenue Insights - As of October 26, Macau's gaming revenue reached 20.4 billion MOP, with an average daily revenue of 785 million MOP, showing an acceleration to 793 million MOP in the previous week [1] - The report suggests that the increased revenue may reflect pent-up demand during the Golden Week, as many players shortened their trips due to the typhoon and Mid-Autumn Festival [1] - Morgan Stanley forecasts that starting from December, gaming revenue is expected to record double-digit growth, maintaining low double-digit increases in the first quarter of next year [1] Group 2: Company Ratings - Morgan Stanley has a positive short-term outlook on Wynn Macau, assigning an "Overweight" rating, anticipating that its third-quarter performance may exceed expectations [1] - The firm also maintains an "Overweight" rating on Galaxy Entertainment, indicating a favorable mid-term outlook [1] - Conversely, Morgan Stanley is less optimistic about SJM Holdings and Melco International, assigning "Neutral" and "Underweight" ratings respectively, citing their valuations as high relative to fundamentals and limited shareholder returns over the next 12 months [1]
电诈帝国坍塌:陈志的千亿黑金谜局与全球围猎
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-28 03:55
导语:从"网吧网管"到"柬埔寨公爵",陈志缔造的太子帝国一度横跨地产、金融与博彩。如今,随着多国执法机构介入调查,这场"东南亚黑金神话"正在 迅速崩塌。 在东南亚电诈版图的灰色地带,有一个名字曾让各国执法机构头疼多年——陈志。 这位出身福建连江小镇的男子,从网吧网管一路攀升为柬埔寨"太子集团"掌门人,曾被外界称为当地"影子政府"。 在柬埔寨商界,陈志最擅长的,是模糊合法与非法的边界。 他通过政商关系稳固地位——据公开资料,陈志与柬埔寨副首相苏庆之子苏速卡共同成立"金贝公司",后者持有多家赌场与园区资产;同时,他还借助洪 森家族人脉,为旗下太子银行获取金融牌照。 他甚至参与首相洪森出访古巴的官方代表团,并在会谈期间入股哈瓦那雪茄公司。此后,陈志捐赠疫苗、设立奖学金,被授予"公爵"头衔。 然而,2025年10月,一场由美英联合发起的跨国执法行动,让他的千亿黑金帝国瞬间瓦解:12.7万枚比特币(市值逾150亿美元)被没收,伦敦、新加坡 等地豪宅被冻结,伪装成合法投资机构的家族办公室也被揭穿。 这场行动不仅终结了陈志的"公爵神话",也揭开了东南亚电诈产业与全球金融系统之间盘根错节的隐秘联系。 01 从网吧少年到"太子 ...
NBA赌博风波凸显体育博彩合作风险,美国会两党议员呼吁加强博彩监管
Huan Qiu Shi Bao· 2025-10-26 22:52
Core Points - The NBA is currently embroiled in an unprecedented gambling scandal involving over 30 individuals, including coaches and players, arrested by the FBI for illegal gambling and match-fixing [1] - NBA Commissioner Adam Silver has publicly stated that the league is taking measures to limit "proposition betting" on marginal players to reduce the risk of game manipulation [3] - The relationship between professional sports leagues and the gambling industry has fundamentally changed since the U.S. Supreme Court overturned the federal ban on sports betting in 2018, leading to significant partnerships and revenue opportunities for leagues like the NBA [3] - There are calls from bipartisan lawmakers for increased regulation of gambling in sports, with concerns about the integrity of games due to the potential for manipulation by players and coaches [3][4] Industry Analysis - The NBA's partnership with gambling entities has raised concerns about the integrity of the sport, as the influx of new revenue sources comes with increased risks to public trust [3] - Legal experts suggest that affected gamblers may pursue collective lawsuits against the NBA, potentially amounting to nine or even ten-figure sums [3] - A former federal prosecutor emphasized the need for a comprehensive reform of compliance systems within professional sports, particularly regarding the betting market structure that targets player performance [4]
金沙中国有限公司(01928):边注玩法协助总GGR恢复高于行业
HTSC· 2025-10-24 11:33
Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Buy" for the company with a target price of HKD 24.00 [1][9]. Core Insights - The company's total Gross Gaming Revenue (GGR) for Q3 2025 reached USD 1.837 billion, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 9% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 7%, recovering to 90% of the levels seen in Q3 2019, which is above the industry average of 88% [6][9]. - The report highlights that while the overall GGR recovery is strong, the recovery in VIP and mass market segments is lagging behind the industry, with VIP GGR at USD 148 million, recovering only to 34% of 2019 levels compared to the industry average of 54% [7]. - The company is expected to increase its dividend to HKD 0.50 in 2025, compared to HKD 0.25 in 2024, indicating a positive outlook for shareholder returns [6][9]. Financial Performance - Projected revenue for the company is expected to grow from HKD 55.224 billion in 2024 to HKD 66.820 billion by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 9.72% [5]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to increase from HKD 8.340 billion in 2024 to HKD 11.878 billion in 2027, reflecting a significant growth trajectory [5]. - The report anticipates an increase in the company's EBITDA from USD 6.01 billion in Q3 2025, which is 80% of the levels seen in Q3 2019, indicating a recovery in operational efficiency [8]. Market Dynamics - The company is leveraging innovative gaming solutions such as smart gaming tables and side betting to enhance market share, particularly in the mass market segment [6][7]. - The report notes that the Londoner property has maintained its attractiveness, with a year-on-year GGR increase, and is expected to benefit from upcoming non-gaming events, including concerts and sports events, which could drive additional foot traffic [8][9]. - The report suggests that the overall gaming sector in Macau is likely to continue its upward trend in the second half of 2025, supported by favorable policies and increased consumer spending [9].
澳门2024年流入外来直接投资共137.6亿澳门元 同比上升54.9%
智通财经网· 2025-10-24 10:32
投资在中国内地的境外直接投资累计总额同比上升0.5%至829.1亿元,其中大湾区城市的同比上升1.5% 至688.1亿元,占中国内地的83.0%;在香港特区的投资亦同比增加14.4%至85.9亿元。按有关企业在澳 经营的行业分析,批发及零售业的累计总额较2023年上升1.3%至186.5亿元,而不动产发展及租售业的 则下跌5.5%至235.1亿元。 直接投资统计目的是了解澳门与其他经济体的直接投资状况,直接投资是指持有企业股权比重达10%或 以上的投资,主要统计指标有累计总额和流量,前者指直接投资的历年滚存总值,后者指参考年内直接 投资变动的金额,包括企业的股本、收益和借贷等财务数据。 智通财经APP获悉,澳门统计暨普查局资料显示,在2024年流入澳门的外来直接投资共137.6亿元(澳门 元,下同),同比上升54.9%,主要是部分企业将利润用作再投资的金额增加所致。全年外来直接投资收 益录得539.2亿元,上升1.9%。截至2024年底外来直接投资累计总额共3,953.6亿元,同比增加4.5%。 按行业分析的外来直接投资累计总额,金融业(1,430.0亿元)和不动产发展及租售业(239.6亿元)的分别增 加9 ...
中泰国际每日晨讯-20251024
Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market opened lower but closed higher, with the Hang Seng Index reaching 25,968 points, up 0.7%. The National Enterprises Index rose 0.8% to 9,301 points. Total trading volume increased to HKD 245.3 billion from HKD 227.5 billion the previous day [1] - In sector performance, Energy, Consumer Discretionary, and Telecommunications sectors rose by 1.6%, 1.0%, and 0.8% respectively, while Industrials, Consumer Staples, and Healthcare sectors declined by 0.1%, 0.2%, and 1.2% respectively [1] Company Performance - Li Ning (2331 HK) and China Hongqiao (1378 HK) were the top gainers, increasing by 6.6% and 4.5% respectively. Conversely, Pop Mart (9992 HK) and CSPC Pharmaceutical Group (1093 HK) were the biggest losers, falling by 9.4% and 3.0% respectively [1] - In the beverage sector, the price war in the mainland's ready-to-drink tea market intensified, leading to a decline in leading companies such as Mixue Ice City (2097 HK) by 4.5% and Gu Ming (1364 HK) by 6.9% [5] - In the gaming sector, Sands China (1928 HK) reported a 7.5% year-on-year increase in total revenue for Q3, with net profit up 1.5% and adjusted property EBITDA up 2.7%. This positive performance led to a more than 4% increase in Sands China's stock price [5] Industry Dynamics - The energy sector saw a rise in crude oil prices, with WTI rebounding to USD 61.5 per barrel amid concerns over tight supply due to sanctions on Russian oil companies [2] - The electricity consumption in China for September was reported at 888.6 billion kWh, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 4.5%, which is lower than the 5.0% growth in August. This indicates a potential slowdown in the energy sector [6]
2024年科特迪瓦营业额前十大企业仍以能源类企业为主
Shang Wu Bu Wang Zhan· 2025-10-24 06:06
Core Insights - In 2024, five out of the top ten companies by revenue in Côte d'Ivoire are in the oil and gas sector, indicating a strong presence of energy companies in the economy [1] - The top ten companies have a total revenue growth of 8.2% year-on-year, reflecting a vibrant economic growth in Côte d'Ivoire [1] Company Summaries - The leading company is Société Ivoirienne de Raffinage (SIR) with a revenue of $4.48 billion, holding a 48% state ownership and monopolizing the processing of crude oil from the "Whale" oil field, which produces 50,000 to 60,000 barrels per day [1] - TotalEnergies Côte d'Ivoire ranks second with a revenue of $1.1 billion, followed closely by Vivo Energy CI, a Shell distributor, with a revenue of $1.06 billion [1] - Other notable companies include France Telecom Côte d'Ivoire ($1.06 billion), Côte d'Ivoire National Lottery ($1.02 billion), and distributors like SDTM and Côte d'Ivoire National Oil Company, each with revenues of $1.02 billion [1] - New entrants to the top ten include Olam Cocoa Processing CI with $640 million and ITY Mining Company with $690 million, highlighting the reliance on primary products like cocoa and gold [1]
高盛:金沙中国第三季业绩稳健 目标价升至24.2港元
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-10-24 05:42
Core Viewpoint - Goldman Sachs reports that Sands China (01928) showed robust performance in Q3, with a significant reversal in EBITDA and market share decline observed earlier this year [1] Financial Performance - EBITDA recorded at $601 million, with adjusted VIP win rate leading to $599 million, representing a 7% quarter-on-quarter growth [1] - Adjusted EBITDA margin slightly improved to 31.5% [1] Management Outlook - The management of Sands China expresses a positive attitude and increased confidence in further growth of market share in the gaming sector [1] Analyst Rating - Goldman Sachs reiterates a "Buy" rating for Sands China, raising the target price from HKD 23.6 to HKD 24.2, and continues to list it as a preferred stock [1]
高盛:金沙中国(01928)第三季业绩稳健 目标价升至24.2港元
智通财经网· 2025-10-24 05:36
Core Viewpoint - Goldman Sachs reports that Sands China (01928) showed robust performance in Q3, with a significant reversal from the decline seen earlier this year [1] Financial Performance - EBITDA recorded at $601 million, with adjusted VIP win rate leading to an adjusted EBITDA of $599 million, representing a quarter-on-quarter growth of 7% [1] - Adjusted EBITDA margin slightly improved to 31.5% [1] Market Outlook - Management's positive attitude indicates increased confidence in further growth of market share in the gaming sector [1] - Goldman Sachs maintains a "Buy" rating on the company, raising the target price from HKD 23.6 to HKD 24.2 [1] - Sands China continues to be listed as a preferred stock by Goldman Sachs [1]
10.23日报
Ge Long Hui· 2025-10-24 05:09
Group 1 - In September, China's foreign exchange settlement surplus reached 55 billion USD, indicating a trend where companies and individuals are bringing overseas income back to China, contributing to the stock market's rise [1] - China Unicom reported Q3 revenue of 92.78 billion CNY, flat year-on-year, with a net profit of 2.42 billion CNY, up 5.4% year-on-year. The significant profit increase is attributed to the release of profits from previous large-scale investments [2] - Sands China experienced a Q3 revenue increase of 7.5% year-on-year and a net profit increase of 1.5%. Although the recovery speed of Macau casinos is slower than expected, the market remains optimistic due to the return to growth and dividends [3] Group 2 - The Shanghai Composite Index approached a 10-year high, nearing the 4000-point mark, despite other indices showing an average decline of over 5% this month. The market's strength was attributed to the announcement of important economic discussions with the West [1][3] - The total trading volume for the day was 1.7 trillion CNY, indicating a weak market sentiment as investors await a return to a trading volume of over 2 trillion CNY [3]