Core Viewpoint - The global AI ecosystem is structured as a "five-layer cake," consisting of energy, chips, cloud, AI models, and applications, with various companies leading each layer, presenting investment opportunities across the ecosystem [1]. Layer 1: Energy - Constellation Energy is the largest producer of reliable, clean energy in the US, with nuclear power accounting for approximately two-thirds of its output [2]. - In 3Q2025, operating revenues increased by 0.31% YoY to US$6.6 billion, while adjusted non-GAAP operating earnings rose by 10.7% YoY due to fewer nuclear outage days [2]. - For 9M2025, operating cash flow turned positive at US$3.4 billion, a significant improvement from an outflow of US$1.44 billion the previous year [3]. - The company aims for a long-term growth target of 13% per year in operating earnings through 2030 [4]. Layer 2: Chips - NVIDIA has evolved from a GPU provider for gaming to a leader in AI architecture, now dominating the networking business for generative AI models [5]. - In 3QFY2026, revenue grew by 62.5% YoY to US$57 billion, with net income increasing by over 65% to nearly US$32 billion [6]. - Free cash flow for the same period rose by 31.5% YoY to US$22.1 billion, driven by the demand for NVIDIA's advanced GPU architecture [6]. - The company's CUDA platform supports virtually all current and emerging AI models, establishing a strong competitive moat [7]. Layer 3: Infrastructure - Microsoft’s Azure holds a 20% share of the global cloud market, ranking second after AWS [8]. - In 1QFY2026, Microsoft's revenue and net income increased by 18.4% YoY to US$77.67 billion and 12.5% YoY to US$27.75 billion, respectively [9]. - Operating cash flow surged nearly 32% YoY to US$45.1 billion, driven by cloud strength [9]. - Microsoft integrates AI into its enterprise ecosystem, enhancing demand for Azure and achieving over 100% growth in commercial bookings [10]. Layer 4: AI Models - Alphabet employs a proprietary full-stack approach to AI model development, distinguishing itself from competitors [11]. - In 3Q2025, Alphabet's revenue rose by nearly 16% YoY to US$102.3 billion, with net income increasing almost 33% YoY to US$35 billion [11]. - The company’s vertically integrated AI ecosystem allows for innovation and monetization across multiple layers with high efficiency [11]. Layer 5: Applications - Salesforce leads the CRM technology market with a 20.7% share, reporting an 8.6% revenue increase to US$10.3 billion in 3QFY2026 [12]. - Net earnings and free cash flow surged by 36.6% and 22.3% YoY to US$2.1 billion and US$2.2 billion, respectively [12]. - The deployment of agentic AI through the Agentforce Platform has enabled clients to automate up to 98% of manual activities [13]. - Agentforce accounted for six out of ten deals in the latest quarter, showcasing strong market momentum [14].

Group 1 - Shenzhen Niao Cloud Technology Co., Ltd. has been established recently, focusing on cloud computing equipment manufacturing and sales, as well as technical services related to cloud computing [1] - The company is co-owned by Sanwang Communication (688618) and other stakeholders [1]

Investment Rating - The report estimates that Alibaba Cloud's revenue CAGR is expected to exceed 30% over the next three years [5]. Core Insights - Alibaba's Tongyi series models lead globally through an open-source strategy and continuous investment in iteration, enhancing its model engineering capabilities [4][15]. - The company has announced a capital expenditure plan of 380 billion RMB over three years to enhance its infrastructure, which is currently distributed across 29 regions and 92 availability zones globally [4][60]. - Alibaba Cloud is building a developer ecosystem through the Bailian platform and the Modao community, creating a unique business model that integrates model open-sourcing, computing power monetization, and ecosystem value addition [4]. Summary by Sections Full-Stack Technology and Infrastructure - Alibaba Cloud's full-stack technology establishes a strong competitive moat in the AI era, with significant investments in infrastructure and self-developed GPU chips [4][15]. - The company aims to enhance its overseas infrastructure layout, leveraging its global data center expansion and AI product internationalization [7]. Revenue Growth and Profitability - The report anticipates a significant increase in profitability, with profit margins expected to exceed 15% due to the rising proportion of AI revenue and high-margin overseas business [6]. - The domestic market is experiencing accelerated intelligent transformation across industries such as internet, finance, and automotive, allowing Alibaba Cloud to continuously increase its market share [7]. Competitive Positioning - Alibaba Cloud maintains a leading position in model iteration, scenario adaptation, and understanding of B2B customers, with a robust global infrastructure that supports its AI development [15]. - The Tongyi series models have established a comprehensive technology matrix, serving over 1 million enterprise customers globally and demonstrating strong commercial viability [23][29]. AI Ecosystem and Applications - The report highlights the importance of open-source strategies in building a robust AI ecosystem, with Alibaba's Tongyi models being the most downloaded globally [26][45]. - Alibaba is advancing its C-end applications and hardware ecosystem, aiming to create a super app that integrates various services and enhances user engagement [47].

Core Insights - The National Football League (NFL) is the world's most profitable professional sports league, with significant viewership growth and a strong fan base in the U.S. [1][2] - The NFL's total revenue for fiscal year 2024 exceeded $23 billion, with each of the 32 teams receiving a distribution of $416 million, reflecting an 8.9% increase from the previous year [2] Group 1: NFL and Technology Partnerships - The NFL is known for adopting technology to enhance fan experience and improve profitability [2] - Amazon Web Services (AWS) has been the NFL's primary cloud partner since 2017, utilizing AI and machine learning to analyze player data and provide real-time insights [5][6] - In 2024, the NFL and AWS expanded their partnership to include generative AI capabilities [6] Group 2: Amazon's Role - Amazon is the exclusive streamer of "Thursday Night Football" (TNF) and has invested approximately $1 billion annually for these rights [7][9] - Amazon's cloud computing service, AWS, is crucial for the NFL's data analysis and injury prevention efforts [5][8] - The NFL's choice to partner with Amazon over other major cloud providers indicates a strong commitment to AWS [8] Group 3: Nvidia's Contributions - Nvidia's GPUs are widely used in the NFL for AI training and virtual reality applications [9][10] - Various NFL teams utilize Nvidia technology for VR training simulations, particularly for quarterbacks [11][12] - Nvidia's technology is also employed by broadcasters to enhance the viewing experience through augmented reality [12]

Core Insights - The PGA Tour has enhanced its partnership with Amazon Web Services (AWS) to modernize operations and improve production capabilities using AWS AI infrastructure [1][4][7] Group 1: Partnership Development - The PGA Tour and AWS have been collaborating since 2021, with AWS serving as the official cloud provider and AI partner for the Tour [10] - The expanded partnership aims to transform how golf content is created, distributed, and experienced globally [4][7] Group 2: New Features and Enhancements - A "favorite players hub" will be introduced on the Tour's app and website, allowing fans to track their favorite players' stats and storylines [4] - Real-time shot-by-shot commentary will be provided throughout the season, along with enhanced graphics and statistics for the Tour's "World Feed" [5][7] Group 3: Vision and Future - The PGA Tour aims to connect fans with players, events, and content more effectively, leveraging AWS's vision for personalized sports experiences [7][8] - AWS's commitment to supporting golf is further reinforced by its partnership with the DP World Tour, which also named AWS as its official cloud provider in 2025 [10]

Core Insights - OpenAI has rapidly transformed from a relatively unknown entity to a tech giant valued at approximately $830 billion, currently seeking $100 billion in new capital to support its extensive commitments to cloud computing resources [1] Group 1: Partnerships and Financial Commitments - Microsoft has a long-standing relationship with OpenAI, having invested early in 2019 and now holding a 27% equity stake, with $250 billion in commitments for Azure cloud services [2] - OpenAI has also signed significant deals with Oracle, including a $300 billion commitment over five years for Oracle's cloud infrastructure [3] - The combined commitments from Microsoft and Oracle amount to $550 billion, although these are not guaranteed [8] Group 2: Financial Performance and Funding Needs - OpenAI plans to spend over half a trillion dollars with Microsoft and Oracle, in addition to approximately $800 billion in commitments with other cloud and chip providers [4] - The company generated $4.3 billion in revenue in the first half of 2025, with a $20 billion annualized run rate reported by CEO Sam Altman [4] - OpenAI's substantial spending necessitates outside funding, often negotiated through vendor financing methods such as equity and stock warrants [5] Group 3: Market Risks and Considerations - Critics have raised concerns about the circular financing deals that enable OpenAI to fund its infrastructure needs, highlighting the potential risks if the company fails to succeed [6] - The success of OpenAI is crucial not only for its own future but also for the broader industry, as its failure could have significant repercussions [6] - Investors are advised to consider the relative risks associated with Microsoft and Oracle stocks, given their similar valuations but differing risk profiles [7]

Core Viewpoint - Wall Street is underestimating the growth potential of Nvidia's Rubin architecture, which is expected to drive significant advancements in AI and related fields [1] Group 1: Company Performance - Nvidia has gained 38.9% in 2025, outperforming Amazon, which only gained 5.2% and was the worst performer among the "Magnificent Seven" stocks [2] - Nvidia's data center sales account for approximately 90% of its total revenue, with the remaining 10% coming from high-margin sectors such as gaming and robotics [5] - Nvidia's gross margin stands at 70.05%, indicating strong profitability [8] Group 2: Amazon's Business Model - Amazon's operating margin for its non-AWS business is only 4.1%, while AWS contributes 60% of Amazon's operating income despite being less than one-fifth of total sales [3][4] - AWS has high operating margins of 35.6%, but its growth has slowed due to increased competition from Microsoft, Google Cloud, and Oracle [4] Group 3: Future Growth Potential - Nvidia's new Rubin architecture, which includes six different chips, is designed for advancements in agentic AI, robotics, and autonomous driving, with deployments expected in the second half of 2026 [6][7] - Nvidia's innovation allows it to maintain high margins and continue growing earnings rapidly, suggesting strong future performance [7] - The potential for new revenue streams from the Rubin architecture could further enhance Nvidia's growth prospects [5] Group 4: Valuation Comparison - Nvidia is considered a better long-term investment compared to Amazon, despite Amazon's recent affordability due to faster earnings growth [8][10] - Nvidia's forward price-to-earnings ratio is 39, compared to Amazon's 30.1, justifying a higher valuation for Nvidia based on its growth potential [8][10] - Overall, Nvidia is viewed as the better buy for 2026, although Amazon is becoming more attractive as a value investment [11]

Core Insights - The cloud computing market has seen mixed stock performance over the past year, but the Fidelity Cloud Computing ETF (FCLD) is positioned for potential outsized performance in 2026 as the next iteration of cloud computing, termed Cloud 3.0, approaches [2][3] Industry Overview - The global cloud computing market is projected to grow from nearly $944 billion in 2025 to approximately $3.35 trillion by 2033, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 16% [3][4] - Major drivers of this growth include the transition from legacy on-premises infrastructure to scalable and cost-efficient cloud environments, as well as the modernization of applications and data platforms across industries [4] Cloud 3.0 Characteristics - Cloud 3.0 is characterized by the integration of AI, advanced automation, distributed infrastructure, serverless microservices, and orchestration of APIs and web services [4][5] - Organizations are expected to adapt their enterprise architecture and upgrade processes to leverage Cloud 3.0 technologies effectively [5] Investment Potential - The Fidelity Cloud Computing ETF has gained 49% since the market bottomed in April 2023 and is rated as a Moderate Buy by analyst consensus, with a low volatility beta of 1.01 [5]

Core Viewpoint - First Trust Cloud Computing ETF (SKYY) provides thematic exposure to companies involved in cloud services, capturing trends in enterprise IT modernization and software delivery models [1] Group 1: Investment Proposition - SKYY targets companies that develop, enable, or deliver cloud services across various segments including infrastructure, platforms, and software [1] - The portfolio is primarily composed of technology and communication services firms, which may exhibit varying growth, profitability, and capitalization profiles [1] - SKYY serves as a satellite investment for growth-oriented investors, offering targeted participation in digital transformation and innovation [1] Group 2: Market Dynamics - The fund is likely to perform well when long-duration growth assets are favored, corporate IT budgets increase, and subscription models gain traction [1] - Potential challenges for SKYY include rising discount rates, cyclical spending pauses, and competitive disruptions in key subsectors [1] Group 3: Risk Considerations - A specific risk associated with SKYY is thematic concentration, which can lead to increased idiosyncratic risk due to narrow leadership or rapid product obsolescence [1]

Core Viewpoint - A class action lawsuit has been filed against CoreWeave, Inc. and its senior executives for securities fraud following significant stock drops attributed to potential violations of federal securities laws [1][3]. Company Overview - CoreWeave is an AI-focused cloud computing company that operates data centers providing high-performance GPU infrastructure, relying on partners like Core Scientific for development [4]. Allegations of Securities Fraud - The lawsuit claims that CoreWeave misrepresented its ability to meet customer demand and concealed construction delays at its data centers, despite assurances of being able to capitalize on strong demand [5]. Stock Performance and Impact - On October 30, 2025, CoreWeave's stock dropped by $8.87 (over 6%) after the termination of a merger agreement with Core Scientific due to insufficient shareholder votes, falling from $139.93 to $131.06 per share [6]. - Following a revenue guidance reduction on November 10, 2025, due to delays from a third-party developer, the stock fell by $17.22 (over 16%), from $105.61 to $88.39 per share [7]. - A report on December 15, 2025, regarding delays in a major data center project led to an additional drop of $2.85 (over 3%), from $72.35 to $69.50 per share [8].