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A股节前最后一周!六大机构研判来了
Zhong Guo Zheng Quan Bao· 2026-02-08 15:02
八部门发文,强化虚拟货币监管 日前,中国人民银行、国家发展改革委、工业和信息化部、公安部、市场监管总局、金融监管总局、中 国证监会、国家外汇管理局印发《关于进一步防范和处置虚拟货币等相关风险的通知》,进一步防范和 处置虚拟货币、RWA代币化相关风险,明确虚拟货币相关业务活动属于非法金融活动,严格监管赴境 外开展RWA代币化相关业务活动。 央行连续第15个月增持黄金 国家外汇管理局2月7日发布的数据显示,截至2026年1月末,中国黄金储备为7419万盎司,环比增加4万 盎司,为中国央行连续第15个月增持黄金。 我国成功发射可重复使用试验航天器 下周,A股将迎来春节前的最后一个交易周。业内机构认为,春节前市场或维持区间震荡,建议均衡配 置;春节后市场焦点可能重新转向具备产业催化、业绩确定性的成长板块。 大宗商品市场方面,国际金价继续宽幅震荡。在业内机构看来,尽管调整可能意味着出现布局良机,但 黄金的波动性已显著加大,投资者应将其作为资产配置的一部分,而非单一投机工具。 影响后市投资大事件 兴业证券:持股过节兼具胜率与赔率 近期全球叙事变化对市场情绪冲击最大的时刻或正逐步过去,后续事件催化增多、"春节效应"等因素, ...
2025年A股四季度策略:系统性慢牛再看高,把握行业三大预期差
ZHESHANG SECURITIES· 2025-09-15 11:21
Group 1 - The report maintains an optimistic outlook on the market, predicting a "systematic slow bull" trend with the Shanghai Composite Index expected to challenge the 0.618 retracement level of the largest decline since 2015, indicating ample bullish potential [4][68][69] - The report emphasizes a market style rotation favoring mid to large-cap stocks, with a focus on growth-oriented valuations, particularly in the consumer, cyclical, and growth sectors [5][81] - The report identifies three key "expectation gaps" for industry allocation: the dominance of large financials in market height, the need for investment and consumption to meet GDP growth targets, and the potential shift in technology investments from hardware to software sectors [6][84] Group 2 - The report highlights that the macroeconomic environment is expected to improve for growth, consumption, and cyclical styles, while financial and stable styles may see a decline [84] - The report notes that the recent policy measures have been supportive, with a focus on technology, real estate, and consumption, aligning with the current economic characteristics [12][18] - The report suggests that the construction of new policy financial tools is likely to support infrastructure investment growth, which may positively impact related sectors [18][84]