央视网消息：当前，日本国内经济正陷入重重困局：出口持续低迷、内需疲软、经济负增长。本该收拾国内经济"烂摊子"的日本新任首相 高市早苗，为何正道不走偏走邪路，公然发表涉台错误言论、挑战国际规则？来看财经老王总台央视记者王雷带来的观察。 出口连续4个月萎缩、2万种食品涨价、GDP负增长……日本经济再度亮起红灯。 在这个危急关头，日本新任首相高市早苗本该专注于恢复国内经济、改善民生，以提升民众对她的支持。但她正道不走偏走邪路，发表涉 台错误言论，不惜越过红线挑战国际规则，妄图通过渲染"中国威胁论"来转移公众对国内经济矛盾的关注，骗取民众的支持。 倒行逆施的高市早苗可能早已盘算过，自己并不会魔法，短时间内收拾日本经济这个"烂摊子"谈何容易。 物价持续上涨导致日本国内消费疲软，内需不足。日本核心CPI连续49个月同比上升。一项调查显示，日本今年涨价或计划涨价的食品累 计将超过2万种。 日本大米价格连续刷新历史最高纪录，社交媒体上"改吃意大利面"的调侃折射出日本民众的无奈。 自5月以来，受关税政策影响，日本出口连续4个月萎缩，严重拖累经济。今年第三季度，日本GDP实际按年率计算下降1.8%，这是日本 经济在六个季度中首次 ...

Economic Growth Projections - China's GDP is projected to reach $20 trillion by 2025, supported by a stable economic growth rate of at least 5% [1][3] - In 2024, China's GDP is estimated at $18.94 trillion, with the first half contributing $8.68 trillion, accounting for 45.83% of the total [3] Trade and Surplus - China's trade surplus for the first seven months reached $683.514 billion, a year-on-year increase of 31.2%, marking the highest level for the same period [3] - The trade surplus is expected to exceed $1.2 trillion in 2025, providing strong support for economic growth [3] Domestic Demand and Investment - Social retail sales grew by 4.8% year-on-year in the first seven months, but fixed asset investment growth was only 1.6% due to weak real estate and private investment [4] - The uneven development across industries is a core reason for the moderate economic growth rate of around 5% [6] Structural Challenges - The transition from old to new economic drivers is incomplete, with traditional growth engines losing momentum [6] - There is a need for precise macroeconomic regulation and deeper reforms to stimulate private investment and stabilize the real estate market [6] Future Economic Landscape - By 2025, both China and the U.S. are expected to achieve significant GDP milestones, with the U.S. projected to reach $30.04 trillion [8][10] - The economic growth of both countries will have systemic impacts on global trade, investment, and market confidence [10] Quality of Growth - The focus is shifting towards achieving balanced, efficient, and sustainable development, emphasizing the quality of growth alongside quantity [10] - China's economic transformation is aimed at enhancing the quality of life for its citizens while navigating various challenges [10]