Group 1 - The market shows significant divergence regarding the telecommunications industry, with optimism for the computing power sector until 2026, but concerns over AI applications and capital expenditure slowing down [1] - The report suggests that while short-term divergences may persist, there is no evidence to support that concerns will materialize, indicating a need for selective investment in the computing power sector [1] - Telecommunications operators are considered stable and high-quality dividend assets, with a recommendation to focus on H-shares over A-shares due to better dividend yields and valuations [1] Group 2 - The computing power infrastructure sector remains strong, with a positive long-term outlook despite the absence of blockbuster applications, suggesting a focus on high-quality North American companies [2] - Specific companies in the optical module and CPO segments are recommended for investment, including names like NewEase, Zhongji Xuchuang, and Tianfu Communication [2] - Attention is drawn to the military communication, controller, IoT, and submarine cable sectors, which are expected to see marginal changes and growth opportunities due to evolving international dynamics and military needs [3] Group 3 - The military demand is expected to remain rigid as China aims to achieve its military goals by 2027, with potential recovery in military-related industries [3] - Companies involved in smart controllers and IoT modules are actively entering new markets, which may lead to new growth opportunities [3] - The offshore wind power sector is anticipated to recover, with improvements in deep-sea technology providing new development opportunities for submarine cables and marine communication systems [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy-B" rating for the company, indicating an expected price increase of over 15% compared to the benchmark index [4][15]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 353 million yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 12.97%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of -124 million yuan, improving by 34.71% year-on-year. In Q1 2025, revenue surged to 126 million yuan, reflecting an 84.41% year-on-year growth, with a net profit of 13 million yuan, marking a positive turnaround [4][5]. Market Performance - As of May 5, 2025, the company's closing price was 21.27 yuan, with a total share capital of 628 million shares and a market capitalization of 13.357 billion yuan [3]. Business Developments - The company is significantly involved in the construction of the "Qianfan" satellite constellation, with 90 satellites currently in orbit and plans to launch 648 satellites by the end of 2025, aiming for global network coverage by 2030. The company is a key supplier for satellite communication systems, contributing to a projected revenue of 1.5 billion yuan from satellite business in 2024 [5][6]. Financial Performance and Projections - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 136 million yuan in 2025, 282 million yuan in 2026, and 444 million yuan in 2027, with corresponding year-on-year growth rates of 209.4%, 107.9%, and 57.4% respectively. The earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 0.22 yuan in 2025, 0.45 yuan in 2026, and 0.71 yuan in 2027 [9][11]. Cost Management - The company effectively controlled its expenses, with total expenses of 65 million yuan in 2024, a decrease of 11.3% year-on-year. The company is expected to achieve profitability in the coming year due to improved cost management and the anticipated growth in satellite and military communication businesses [9][10].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy-B" rating for the company, indicating an expected price increase of over 15% compared to the benchmark index [3][8]. Core Views - The satellite business is showing significant results, with a competitive advantage as the company participates in the construction of the "Qianfan" satellite constellation, which aims to provide global network coverage by 2030 [4][6]. - The military communication industry is gradually recovering, with the company positioned well in new fields such as military 5G and broadband data links, leading to a positive outlook for future growth [6][7]. - Effective cost control measures are in place, with expectations of turning profitable in the coming year as the satellite business scales up [8]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved revenue of 353 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 13.0%, and a net profit of -124 million yuan, improving by 34.7% year-on-year [10]. - The forecast for 2025 estimates a revenue of 853 million yuan, representing a significant year-on-year growth of 141.3%, with a projected net profit of 136 million yuan [10]. - The company's gross margin is expected to stabilize around 42.0% in 2025, with a net profit margin turning positive at 15.9% [10]. Market Position and Strategy - The company has secured multiple contracts, including a significant project with Shanghai Yanshin for an integrated gateway station system, indicating strong market demand and operational capabilities [5][6]. - The company is expected to supply a substantial portion of the payloads for the Qianfan satellite constellation, which will contribute to rapid revenue growth [4][8]. Future Outlook - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 1.36 billion yuan, 2.82 billion yuan, and 4.44 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, reflecting a robust growth trajectory [8][10]. - Earnings per share (EPS) are expected to rise from 0.22 yuan in 2025 to 0.71 yuan by 2027, indicating strong profitability potential [10].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the communication industry, indicating expected growth exceeding the benchmark index by over 10% [1]. Core Insights - The North American optical communication companies such as Coherent, Lumentum, AAOI, Fabrinet, and Macom have shown significant revenue growth, particularly in optical modules and related products, suggesting a strong rebound in the second quarter [2][3][4][5][6][7]. - The demand for optical communication is driven by the growth of AI data centers and telecommunications, with companies like Coherent and Lumentum reporting substantial increases in revenue due to these sectors [3][4][5][6]. - The ongoing geopolitical tensions, such as the India-Pakistan conflict, have heightened confidence in defense equipment and military communication capabilities, which are expected to see increased demand [8]. Summary by Sections Industry Dynamics - Coherent reported Q3 2025 revenue of $1.5 billion, a 24% year-on-year increase, with 60% of this from the communication market, which grew by 46% [3][16]. - Lumentum's Q3 2025 revenue reached $425.2 million, up 16% year-on-year, driven by hyperscale cloud growth [4][17]. - Fabrinet's Q3 2025 revenue was $872 million, a 19.2% increase, with optical communication revenue at $657 million, up 11.1% [5][18]. - AAOI's Q1 2025 revenue surged to $99.9 million, a 145% increase, largely due to strong CATV market demand [6][19]. - Macom's Q2 2025 revenue was $236 million, a 30% increase, with data center market revenue up 67.3% [7][20]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies in the optical communication sector, including Zhongji Xuchuang, Xinyi Technology, and Shijia Photon [9][22]. - It also highlights companies in copper connections and military communication sectors as potential investment opportunities [22]. Market Overview - The overall market performance from May 6 to May 9, 2025, showed mixed results, with the Shenwan Communication Index up by 4.96% [22]. - The optical module sector led the gains with a 15.3% increase, followed by controllers and liquid cooling technologies [22][23]. Notable Trends - The report emphasizes the resilience of the optical communication market, driven by the increasing demand for AI-related applications and private cloud deployments [20][21]. - The military communication sector is expected to benefit from advancements in technology and increased defense spending, particularly in the context of recent military conflicts [8][21].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for the communication industry, suggesting an expected increase in the industry index by more than 5% over the next 3-6 months compared to the benchmark index [28]. Core Viewpoints - The ongoing escalation of the India-Pakistan conflict highlights the importance of military and satellite sectors, with a recommendation to focus on these areas for potential investment opportunities [14][20]. - The communication industry has shown resilience, with a 4.96% increase in the past week, outperforming the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index by 2.95 percentage points [7][8]. - The report emphasizes the growing significance of national defense and military capabilities, particularly in the context of low-orbit satellites, which have gained attention during the recent conflict [20]. Industry Overview - The communication industry consists of 124 listed companies with a total market capitalization of approximately 45,863.87 billion and a circulating market value of about 20,038.81 billion [3]. - The industry has experienced a year-to-date decline of 3.21%, underperforming the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index, which has decreased by 2.26% [7]. Stock Performance - The top five performing stocks in the communication sector for the week include Jialitu (+27.01%), Youfang Technology (+23.40%), and Xinyi Technology (+21.63%) [11]. - Conversely, the stocks with the largest declines include Aojie Technology-U (-12.69%) and Shengke Communication-U (-6.81%) [11]. Investment Recommendations - Key recommendations include major operators such as China Mobile, China Telecom, and China Unicom [21]. - For optical modules and related components, the report recommends Xinyi Technology, Tianfu Communication, and Zhongji Xuchuang, while suggesting attention to Yuanjie Technology and Shijia Photon [21]. - In the military/satellite communication sector, the report highlights Haige Communication, Shanghai Hanhua, and Qiyi Er as key investment opportunities [21].

Summary of Haige Communication Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Haige Communication - **Industry**: Military and Civil Communication, Satellite Navigation Key Points and Arguments Military Business Outlook - Haige Communication maintains a leading position in the military sector in 2025, despite procurement pressures in 2024. Initial signs of order recovery have been observed in early 2025. Full recovery of orders will take time, impacting revenue and profitability in the military segment [2][4][5] - The company has reclassified its business into three categories: communication, navigation, and innovation, with a focus on low-altitude, low-orbit unmanned systems and AI technology. The technological leadership in unmanned systems is a critical evaluation metric [4][10] Civil Business Expansion - Future civil business will focus on the BeiDou satellite navigation system and low-orbit satellite constellations, particularly in the smartphone and vehicle networking markets, which present larger market opportunities compared to previous military operations. Products include navigation and communication functionalities [3][10] Strategic Partnerships - Collaboration with China Mobile began at the end of 2023, enhancing ties and advancing satellite chip projects for smartphones and vehicle networking solutions. This partnership is expected to significantly drive growth between 2026 and 2027 [2][6] International Market Development - Haige Communication has been expanding its international market presence since 2012, with several billion yuan in overseas export orders. Recent international events, such as tensions between China and India, may catalyze overseas demand and accelerate business growth in low-altitude and satellite communication sectors [2][7] Impact of Satellite Internet - The development of satellite internet is expected to significantly benefit Haige's terminal-side business, with low-orbit satellite networking expected to accelerate in the second half of 2026. The company will also benefit from the completion of the BeiDou network, with a focus on commercial partnerships with smartphone manufacturers, operators, and automotive companies [2][8] Investment Considerations - Investors should monitor several factors: military order recovery, civil navigation and communication product development, strategic partnerships, international market catalysts, and progress in low-orbit satellite networking and BeiDou commercial cooperation. These factors could drive stock price increases [2][10] Business Reclassification - The company has re-evaluated its business segments, now categorized into wireless communication, BeiDou navigation, aerospace, and digital ecosystems, with a new classification into communication, navigation, and innovation categories [10][11] Achievements in Unmanned Systems - Haige Communication has achieved notable success in unmanned systems, ranking highly in industry competitions and gaining recognition from various institutions and listed companies for its systems [11][13]

Group 1: Cloud Industry Insights - The four major North American cloud providers reported a total capital expenditure (capex) of $77.3 billion, representing a year-on-year increase of 62% [1] - Companies like Google, Amazon, and Microsoft maintained their optimistic capex guidance for 2025, while Meta raised its full-year capex guidance from $60 billion-$65 billion to $64 billion-$72 billion, alleviating market concerns [1] - The report suggests focusing on stocks with strong performance growth and low valuations for Q1 2024 and 2025, quality dividend assets in telecom operators, and sectors like military communication and submarine cables that may see performance and valuation recovery [1] Group 2: Consumer Sector Outlook - The consumer sector is experiencing a recovery, with steady growth in holiday consumption across most provinces and cities, driven by trade-in programs and emotional value consumption [2] - Increased travel willingness and diversified cultural tourism consumption are noted, alongside a boost in inbound tourism due to tax refund policies [2] - The report remains optimistic about the gradual improvement of the consumer sector's fundamentals and the revaluation of leading companies by 2025, supported by consumption stimulus policies [2] Group 3: Aviation Industry Forecast - The aviation industry is expected to see a rise in both volume and price, with increased international flight schedules and domestic demand being stimulated by the "924" policy [3] - The demand for civil aviation travel is anticipated to be further released in 2025, supported by an improved supply-demand balance and favorable oil and exchange rates [3] - The market is expected to open up further for ticket pricing, leading to enhanced profitability for airlines [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Buy" for the industry, specifically recommending the computing power sector and military communication [4][9]. Core Viewpoints - The release of tariff exemptions is expected to alleviate concerns in the optical communication sector, leading to a potential valuation recovery for companies like Zhongji Xuchuang, Xinyi Sheng, and Tianfu Communication, which have international production capabilities [2][21]. - Domestic demand for computing power continues to grow, driven by significant investments from major internet companies and telecom operators, indicating a sustained narrative for AI growth [3][22]. - Military communication companies are anticipated to benefit from geopolitical tensions and increased defense budgets, with firms like Jiexun Feihong and China Satcom positioned to gain [23]. Summary by Sections Investment Strategy - Focus on the computing power and military communication sectors, recommending companies such as Zhongji Xuchuang, Xinyi Sheng, Tianfu Communication, and military firms like Jiexun Feihong and China Satcom [4][12]. Market Review - The communication sector experienced a decline, with the operator index performing relatively better compared to other segments [16][19]. Tariff Impact - The U.S. Customs and Border Protection announced tariff exemptions for specific communication electronic products, which is expected to positively impact the optical communication industry [20][21]. Computing Power Demand - Major companies like Alibaba and ByteDance are significantly increasing their investments in AI infrastructure, indicating a robust growth trajectory for domestic computing power demand [3][22]. Key Companies - Recommended stocks include Zhongji Xuchuang, Xinyi Sheng, Tianfu Communication, and military communication firms such as Jiexun Feihong and China Satcom, among others [4][9].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Buy" for the industry, specifically recommending the computing power sector and military communication [4][9]. Core Insights - The release of tariff exemptions is expected to alleviate concerns in the optical communication sector, leading to a potential recovery in valuations. Companies with overseas production capabilities will have a tax rate advantage, while those with international layouts will be less impacted by tariff uncertainties [2][21]. - Domestic demand for computing power continues to grow, driven by significant investments from major internet companies and telecom operators. The AI narrative remains strong, indicating explosive growth in computing power demand [3][22]. - Military communication companies are anticipated to benefit from geopolitical tensions and increased defense budgets, as national security strategies drive demand [23]. Summary by Sections Investment Strategy - Focus on the computing power and military communication sectors, recommending companies such as Jiaxun Feihong, China Communication Construction, China Satellite, and Haige Communication, along with optical module leaders like Zhongji Xuchuang, Xinyi Sheng, and Tianfu Communication [4][12]. Market Review - The communication sector experienced a decline, with the operator index performing relatively better compared to other segments. The overall market sentiment improved following government announcements of stock buybacks and support measures [16][19]. Key Companies and Recommendations - Key companies recommended include Zhongji Xuchuang (300308.SZ), Xinyi Sheng (300502.SZ), Tianfu Communication (300394.SZ), and others in the computing power and optical communication sectors. The report suggests monitoring companies like Weiteng Electric, which have seen significant price drops but possess growth potential [4][9][12]. Future Outlook - The report emphasizes the ongoing investment in AI infrastructure, with major players like Alibaba and ByteDance planning substantial expenditures over the next few years. The anticipated growth in AI and computing power is expected to drive the market forward [3][22][39].