丨证券研究报告丨 戴清 胡飞 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 市场策略丨专题报告 [Table_Title] 复盘供给侧改革："反内卷"如何催生产能出清 主升浪 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 近期政策再次提及要规范企业低价无序竞争，推动落后产能有序退出，我们复盘历史类似的政 策推动供给端出清案例，结果发现，在政策推动下的供给端出清，第一阶段的行情起于政策预 期，后续主升浪则需行业格局改善配合。落地到本轮"反内卷"政策，策略应对上，关注两条 主线，一是本身供给端出清时间比较久，供需格局有望改善即自然出清的行业；二是或受益于 政策预期推动加速出清的行业。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] SAC：S0490524010002 SFC：BTR264 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 [Table_Summary2] 政策信号明确：规范企业低价无序竞争，推动落后产能有序退出 政策信号明确，整治"内卷式"竞争。近年来，市场竞争"内卷化"之所以愈演愈烈，其核心 症结在于许多行业长期累积的产能过剩。当供给远大于需求，存量市场的博弈便不可避免地异 化为内卷。这种恶性竞争不 ...

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Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the public utility and environmental protection sectors [6][9]. Core Views - The environmental sector's revenue in 2024 is projected to decline by 0.6% to CNY 364.236 billion, with net profit decreasing by 14.7% to CNY 23.058 billion. However, in Q1 2025, the sector is expected to see a revenue increase of 3.5% to CNY 81.243 billion and a net profit growth of 3.8% to CNY 8.232 billion [3][21]. - The report highlights the impact of the new market-oriented pricing reforms for renewable energy in Shandong, aiming for full market integration by the end of 2025 [2][16]. - The report emphasizes the importance of the carbon neutrality context, recommending investments in the new energy industry chain and comprehensive energy management [41][42]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 2.00%, while the public utility index increased by 2.22%, and the environmental index rose by 2.93% [1][43]. Important Policies and Events - Shandong's new pricing reform aims for full market integration of wind and solar energy by 2025, with differentiated policies for existing and new projects [2][16]. Financial Overview of the Environmental Sector - In 2024, only the solid waste management and water treatment sectors showed positive growth, while the environmental equipment sector saw a decline of over 30% [3][21]. - The atmospheric governance sector reported a loss increase, while the comprehensive environmental governance sector shifted from profit to loss [21][24]. Investment Strategy - Recommendations include major thermal power companies like Huadian International and regional electricity firms like Shanghai Electric, as well as leading renewable energy firms such as Longyuan Power and Three Gorges Energy [4][41]. - The report suggests focusing on "utility-like investment opportunities" within the environmental sector, recommending companies like China Everbright Environment and Zhongshan Public Utilities [42][41]. Key Company Profit Forecasts and Investment Ratings - Several companies, including Huadian International and Longyuan Power, are rated as "Outperform" with projected earnings per share (EPS) growth for 2025 [9][41].

Group 1 - Dashi Intelligent signed a smart hospital project contract worth 58.12 million yuan with the First Affiliated Hospital of Bengbu Medical College and Bengbu Urban Construction Investment Development Co., Ltd. [1] - The project aims to create a comprehensive tumor specialty hospital integrating medical care, research, teaching, preventive health care, and rehabilitation, which is expected to positively impact the company's future performance [1] Group 2 - Huahong Company reported a net profit of 22.76 million yuan for Q1 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 89.73%, despite a revenue increase of 18.66% to 3.913 billion yuan [2] - The company specializes in the development and application of embedded/non-volatile memory, power devices, and other semiconductor technologies [2] Group 3 - Jindi Group announced a signed area of 214,000 square meters in April, a year-on-year decrease of 55.14%, with a signed amount of 2.78 billion yuan, down 55.45% [3] - The company focuses on real estate development and sales, commercial real estate, and property management [3] Group 4 - Jinlong Automobile reported a bus production of 4,361 units in April, a year-on-year decrease of 5.79%, with sales of 3,611 units, down 3.91% [4][5] - The company is engaged in the production and sales of bus products [5] Group 5 - Sanyou Medical established a joint venture with CGBio Co., Ltd. with a registered capital of 60 million yuan, focusing on innovative cell biological materials and regenerative medicine [6][7] - The company specializes in the research, production, and sales of orthopedic implant consumables [7] Group 6 - Jinzhi Technology won a bid for projects related to the State Grid with a total amount of 90.73 million yuan, accounting for 5.12% of the company's projected revenue for 2024 [9][10] - The company focuses on smart energy and smart city businesses [10] Group 7 - Pinggao Electric won multiple procurement projects from the State Grid, totaling approximately 1.751 billion yuan, which is 14.12% of the company's projected revenue for 2024 [10] - The company specializes in high-voltage switchgear and power engineering contracting [10] Group 8 - Luantang Pharmaceutical received approval for the raw material drug Celecoxib, which is a selective COX-2 inhibitor with fewer gastrointestinal side effects compared to traditional NSAIDs [11][12] - The company is involved in the research, production, and sales of pharmaceutical products [12] Group 9 - Dongjie Intelligent obtained seven patent certificates related to AGV and conveyor system technologies [13][14] - The company specializes in the research, design, manufacturing, installation, and debugging of intelligent logistics systems [14] Group 10 - XJH Holdings received a government subsidy of 8.69 million yuan, which accounts for 38.67% of the company's projected net profit for 2024 [15][16] - The company focuses on the recycling and dismantling of waste electrical products [16] Group 11 - Huaihua Pharmaceutical's subsidiary received approval for the clinical trial of HZ-J001 ointment for treating non-segmental vitiligo [17][19] - The company is engaged in the research, production, and sales of pharmaceutical products [19] Group 12 - ST Aonong reported a pig sales volume of 132,800 heads in April, a year-on-year decrease of 14.42%, while the stock of pigs increased by 15.06% [22][23] - The company is involved in feed, pig farming, food, and trade [23] Group 13 - Beibu Gulf Port reported a cargo throughput of 31.75 million tons in April, a year-on-year increase of 20.32% [24][25] - The company specializes in port loading, storage, and related services [25] Group 14 - Dongfang Iron Tower won a bid for State Grid projects totaling approximately 100 million yuan, which is 2.39% of the company's projected revenue for 2024 [26] - The company focuses on steel structures and related businesses [26] Group 15 - Huanxu Electronics reported a consolidated revenue of 4.641 billion yuan in April, a year-on-year increase of 0.72% [27] - The company provides design, manufacturing, and related services for brand customers [27] Group 16 - Jincheng Co. announced that part of its bank accounts has been frozen, involving approximately 32.97 million yuan due to contract disputes [28][29] - The company specializes in high-end intelligent equipment for photovoltaic and smart port sectors [29] Group 17 - NAIKE Equipment announced the departure of core technical personnel Wang Xiangguo [30][31] - The company focuses on semiconductor packaging equipment and related products [31] Group 18 - Jiaojian Co. won a construction project in Hefei with a bid amount of approximately 704 million yuan, covering residential buildings and related infrastructure [32][33] - The company specializes in infrastructure construction and related services [33] Group 19 - Hongyuan Green Energy plans to transfer a 27.07% stake in Inner Mongolia Xinyuan Silicon Material Technology Co., Ltd. for 1.245 billion yuan [34][35] - The company focuses on the research, production, and sales of aviation electromechanical products [35] Group 20 - Poly Development reported a signed amount of 24.622 billion yuan in April, a year-on-year decrease of 25.44% [46][48] - The company specializes in real estate development and sales [48]

Group 1 - Kexin Technology plans to repurchase shares worth between 30 million and 50 million yuan, with a maximum repurchase price of 80 yuan per share, for employee stock ownership plans or capital reduction [1] - Jiahua Technology's shareholder plans to reduce holdings by up to 1.5% of the company's total shares, amounting to a maximum of 116,000 shares, between May 28, 2025, and August 25, 2025 [1] - Beiqi Blue Valley's subsidiary reported cumulative sales of 38,041 vehicles this year, representing a year-on-year increase of 192.53% [2] Group 2 - AVIC Finance plans to transfer shares of AVIC Xi'an Aircraft Industry Group and AVIC Onboard Systems, totaling 4.067 billion yuan, to its controlling shareholder [2] - Haide shares' executives plan to increase their holdings by at least 20.73 million yuan within six months [3] - Dabeinong's subsidiary received planting approval for genetically modified soybeans in Brazil, marking significant progress in the South American market [4] Group 3 - Yongan Pharmaceutical's chairman is under investigation, but the company's operations remain normal [4] - Teruid's subsidiary is expected to win a 126 million yuan project from the State Grid, which will enhance the company's brand and industry influence [4][5] - Junxin shares plan to repurchase shares worth between 200 million and 300 million yuan, with a maximum price of 30.57 yuan per share [5] Group 4 - Meinian Health plans to reduce its holdings by up to 3% of the company's total shares, amounting to a maximum of 11.7 million shares, starting from May 27, 2025 [7] - Electric Power Investment is planning a major asset restructuring, leading to a temporary suspension of its stock [9] - Tongda shares are expected to win a 207 million yuan project from the State Grid, which will positively impact future operating performance [10] Group 5 - Xintian Technology's major shareholder plans to reduce holdings by up to 3% of the company's total shares, amounting to a maximum of 580,410 shares [11] - Huizhou Intelligent's controlling shareholder and some executives plan to increase their holdings by between 29.2 million and 58.4 million yuan [12] - Zhongdali De plans to sell a 50% stake in Shanghai Ketaike Transmission System Co., Ltd. for 9.2777 million yuan to optimize its asset structure [14] Group 6 - Jinlitai's stock will be suspended due to the inability to disclose periodic reports within the statutory deadline [15] - Chuhuan Technology's major shareholder plans to reduce holdings by up to 3% of the company's total shares, amounting to a maximum of 239,560 shares [15] - Guilin Sanjin's subsidiary received approval for clinical trials of a new indication for a monoclonal antibody injection [16] Group 7 - Plit plans to sign a strategic supply agreement for sodium-ion batteries, committing to supply at least 1 GWh over four years [17] - Dalian Electric Porcelain's subsidiary is expected to win a project worth approximately 71 million yuan from the State Grid [18]