Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" outlook on the defense and military industry, indicating a turning point in profitability and growth potential [6][4]. Core Insights - The military industry is expected to enter a new growth cycle driven by the initiation of the "14th Five-Year Plan" equipment construction, military trade, and commercial aerospace advancements [2][3]. - The overall revenue for the military sector increased by 3.07% year-on-year in the first three quarters of 2025, while net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 9.89%, showing a narrowing decline compared to the previous year [6][11]. - Key segments such as components, sub-systems, and assembly levels have shown signs of recovery, with revenue growth turning positive for the first time since 2021 [18][25]. Summary by Sections 1. Performance Analysis - In Q3 2025, revenue growth rates for components, sub-systems, and assembly levels were 8.30%, 3.37%, and 1.16% respectively, marking a positive shift from negative growth in 2024 [18][19]. - The net profit for the components level increased by 6.94% year-on-year, while sub-systems and assembly levels saw declines of 28.98% and 19.48% respectively [18][23]. 2. Cash Flow Improvement - The cash flow from operations for sub-systems and assembly levels improved, while components faced temporary pressure [40][42]. - The sales collection ratio for assembly levels rose significantly by 23.23 percentage points to 92.50% in Q3 2025, indicating better cash flow management [40][41]. 3. Prepayments and Inventory - Prepayments (including contract liabilities) across all levels showed an upward trend, with assembly levels increasing by 21.85% to 63.345 billion yuan [48][49]. - Inventory levels for components, sub-systems, and assembly increased by 12.57%, 8.81%, and 19.82% respectively, suggesting a positive outlook for future performance [53][54]. 4. Segment Performance - The weaponry segment led revenue growth with a remarkable 27.52% increase, while the aerospace segment grew by 6.17% and the information technology segment by 5.37% [35][36]. - The information technology segment achieved a net profit growth rate of 136.38%, indicating strong performance and future growth potential [36][39].

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index increased by 0.21% as of the morning close, with a trading volume of 785.02 million shares and a transaction amount of 1,359.50 billion yuan, representing a decrease of 13.67% compared to the previous trading day [1] Industry Performance - The top-performing industries included: - Comprehensive sector with a rise of 3.38% and a transaction amount of 44.35 billion yuan, led by Nanjing Public Utilities with a gain of 10.06% [1] - Communication sector increased by 1.29% with a transaction amount of 862.64 billion yuan, led by Lian Te Technology with a gain of 12.57% [1] - Defense and military industry rose by 1.25% with a transaction amount of 470.35 billion yuan, led by Aerospace Development with a gain of 9.95% [1] - The worst-performing industries included: - Non-ferrous metals sector decreased by 0.89% with a transaction amount of 864.12 billion yuan, led by Tongling Nonferrous Metals with a decline of 8.19% [2] - Beauty and personal care sector fell by 0.79% with a transaction amount of 38.60 billion yuan, led by Shanghai Jahwa with a decline of 8.15% [2] - Coal industry decreased by 0.73% with a transaction amount of 92.32 billion yuan, led by Dayou Energy with a decline of 9.48% [2] Stock Performance - A total of 3,061 stocks rose, with 65 hitting the daily limit up, while 2,146 stocks fell, with 6 hitting the daily limit down [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" outlook for the defense and military industry, indicating a favorable investment environment [5]. Core Insights - The military industry is expected to see a significant increase in fund allocation, with a focus on military trade and new combat capabilities. The report suggests that the military trade sector will continue to catalyze growth, and there is still room for upward movement in holdings [2][34]. - The report highlights that the pessimistic expectations for the military industry's upstream have already been reflected in stock prices, and an increase in market confidence regarding the sustainability of the industry will likely enhance upstream holdings [34]. Summary by Sections 1. Fund Allocation Trends - In Q2 2025, the active funds' heavy allocation in the military sector increased significantly, with a rise in the allocation ratio from 0.57 percentage points to 0.92 percentage points. The total market value of active funds in the military sector grew by 20.77% [12][8]. - The report notes that the allocation ratio for component stocks decreased significantly, but it is expected to rebound as orders materialize and market conditions improve [18][22]. 2. Focus Areas for Investment - The report recommends focusing on specific sub-sectors within the military industry, including: - Military Electronics: Companies like Zhenhua Technology (000733, Buy), Aerospace Electronics (002025, Buy), and others [2][34]. - Key Materials and Components: Companies such as Western Superconducting (688122, Buy) and others [2][34]. - Engine Chain: Companies like Aero Engine Corporation (600893, Not Rated) and others [2][34]. - Military Trade: Companies such as AVIC Shenyang Aircraft Corporation (600760, Not Rated) and others [2][34]. - New Quality Productivity: Companies like Aerospace Electronics (600879, Not Rated) and others [3][34]. 3. Market Dynamics - The report indicates that the military trade business is expected to accelerate, with a positive outlook for military trade stocks. The active funds are increasingly focusing on sectors benefiting from military trade and new combat capabilities [7][22]. - The report emphasizes that the market's understanding of the marginal elasticity of military trade for military enterprises is still insufficient, suggesting that future catalysts and performance releases will strengthen the military trade logic [22][34].