一张普通的中报，却揭示了一家快运龙头企业从"周期股"向"价值股"的转型蝶变，这家企业就是安能物 流(09956)。 2025年上半年，在零担物流行业深陷价格战泥潭的背景下，安能物流(09956)交出一份超预期的2025年 中报答卷。 报告期内，公司实现收入56.25亿元，同比增长6.4%;经调整净利润4.76亿元，同比增长10.7%;零担货运 总量达682万吨，同比增长6.2%。这些数据不仅体现了安能物流在市场中的竞争力，更显示出其业务增 长的可持续性。 更令市场瞩目的是，公司宣布首次中期分红派息率达50%，以真金白银回馈股东。在快运行业整体"反 内卷"背景下，公司利润增速明显高于收入增速，验证其"有效规模增长"战略奏效。 能够保持行业领先的高毛利背后，有其深层次的逻辑。 首先是高毛利产品爆发。自"3300"产品(300 公斤以内货物全额免除特殊加收费)推出后，公司中高毛利 产品即迷你小票及小票零担货量增长显著。 报告期内，300公斤以下货量同比激增18.2%，推动票均重从89公斤降至75公斤，适配自动化分拣的小 票零担占比提升，直接拉动单位毛利增长7元/吨。 小票货物更适合标准化操作与自动化分拣，这不仅提高 ...

机构：华源证券 货品结构变化推高增值服务成本，需求疲软致使毛利承压。2025 年Q2 单吨成本为680 元，同比-0.2%， 其中干线运输/分拨中心/增值服务/派送的单吨成本分别为288/138/52/201 元/吨，同比-5%/持 平/+45%/-1%；其中，干线运输成本下滑主因油价下跌以及线路优化带来的效率提升；增值服务的成本 上升主因货品结构变化。 2025 年Q2 单位毛利125 元/吨，同比-11%，主因公司调整价格策略以应对行业需求变化。我们预计公司 未来单位毛利有望随精细化管理及运输成本降低而改善。 盈利预测与评级：全网快运持续增长，加盟网络进入加速整合期。公司为加盟制全网零担快运龙头，战 略转型下公司盈利改善明显，规模效应释放下单位毛利仍有改善空间，长期来看加盟商生态优化推动业 务量增长，服务提价及效率改善有望推动单位毛利上行，看好公司长期发展空间。我们预计公司2025- 2027 年归母净利润分别为9.6/10.6/12.6 亿元，对应PE 分别为9.1x/8.2x/7.0x，维持买入评级。 风险提示。1）宏观经济波动导致运量增速不及预期；2）燃料价格上升导致成本管控不及预期；3）市 场竞争 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [7]. Core Insights - In H1 2025, the company's revenue increased by 6.4% year-on-year to 5.63 billion, and adjusted net profit grew by 10.7% to 480 million [2][4]. - In Q2 2025, revenue rose by 4.4% year-on-year to 3.04 billion, with adjusted net profit increasing by 5.8% to 230 million [2][4]. - The company announced its first interim and special dividend, with a total payout of 231 million Hong Kong dollars, corresponding to a 50% dividend payout ratio, which enhances shareholder returns [4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For H1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 5.63 billion, a 6.4% increase year-on-year, and an adjusted net profit of 480 million, reflecting a 10.7% growth [2][4]. - In Q2 2025, the revenue was 3.04 billion, up 4.4% year-on-year, while adjusted net profit reached 230 million, marking a 5.8% increase [2][4]. Market Strategy - The company is actively adjusting its competitive strategy in response to intensified competition in the less-than-truckload (LTL) industry, optimizing cargo weight structure to drive steady growth in cargo volume [2][8]. - The company reported a 6.3% year-on-year increase in cargo volume to 3.771 million tons in Q2 2025, despite a 1.9% decline in the price per kilogram to 0.81 [8]. Cost Management - In Q2 2025, the company's cost per kilogram increased by 0.03, leading to a decrease in gross profit per kilogram by 0.02 [8]. - The company experienced a rise in transportation costs by 1.4% and distribution costs by 6.0% year-on-year, while the increase in value-added service costs was notably higher at 54.2% [8]. Network Expansion - The number of secondary franchisees increased by 2,000 to 38,000, maintaining the company's leading position in the franchise express network [8]. - The average delivery time decreased by 5.3% year-on-year, and the rate of lost packages dropped by nearly 50% [8]. Dividend and Profitability Outlook - The company’s dividend yield is attractive at 5.3%, with projected net profits for 2025-2027 expected to be 880 million, 1.01 billion, and 1.19 billion respectively, corresponding to PE ratios of 9.6, 8.3, and 7.1 [8].

Core Insights - Aneng Logistics reported strong growth in its H1 2025 performance, with total freight volume reaching 6.82 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 6.2%, and revenue of 5.625 billion yuan, up 6.4% [1] - The company announced its first dividend post-IPO, with a payout ratio of 50%, reflecting its commitment to shareholder returns [1][2] - The logistics industry is experiencing a "Matthew Effect," with market share increasingly concentrated among leading firms, and Aneng is positioned to dominate this trend [1][3] Company Performance - Aneng Logistics achieved an adjusted net profit of 476 million yuan, a 10.7% increase year-on-year, and a gross profit of 880 million yuan, with a gross margin of 15.6% [1] - The average delivery time decreased by 5.3%, while the number of lost shipments and complaints dropped significantly, by 50% and 46% respectively [2] - The company expanded its network to over 38,000 outlets, maintaining the largest network in the industry, with a 99.6% coverage rate in rural areas [2] Competitive Advantages - Aneng's digital transformation efforts have enhanced its cost efficiency, with transportation and distribution costs decreasing by 9 yuan per ton year-on-year [2] - The company focuses on a value-driven competition strategy, emphasizing both profit and quality, which has helped it build a sustainable competitive advantage [1][2] - As the industry consolidates, Aneng's scale and brand advantages are expected to become more pronounced, increasing its market value [3]

Core Viewpoint - Aneng Logistics reported steady growth in its performance metrics for the first half of the year, driven by enhancements in service quality, digital upgrades, and network expansion [1][2][4]. Financial Performance - In the first half of the year, Aneng Logistics achieved a total freight volume of 6.82 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 6.2% - The company's revenue reached 5.625 billion yuan, up 6.4% year-on-year - Adjusted net profit was 476 million yuan, reflecting a growth of 10.7% - Gross profit stood at 880 million yuan, with a gross margin of 15.6% [1]. Service Quality and Product Enhancement - The company focused on optimizing service quality and enhancing product offerings, leading to an 18.2% increase in freight volume for shipments under 300 kg - Average delivery time decreased by 5.3% year-on-year, and the rate of lost shipments dropped by 50% [1][2]. Network Expansion and Digitalization - Aneng Logistics expanded its network to over 38,000 outlets, maintaining the largest coverage in the industry with a 99.6% coverage rate in rural areas - The management emphasized that strong product capabilities and extensive network coverage are driving growth in freight volume and market share [2]. - The company is investing in digital upgrades to enhance operational efficiency across the entire logistics chain [2][3]. Automation and Cost Reduction - The implementation of automated sorting lines in distribution centers has led to a 6% reduction in cost per kilogram and significantly improved sorting efficiency - The company has introduced autonomous driving trucks and plans to invest in more smart vehicles to enhance operational efficiency and reduce transportation costs [3]. Industry Context - The logistics industry is experiencing a "Matthew Effect," where leading companies like Aneng Logistics are gaining market share due to their advantages in network coverage, product capability, and service quality - The regulatory environment is shifting towards promoting high-quality development, moving away from price competition to value competition [4]. Dividend Policy - Aneng Logistics announced its first dividend plan post-IPO, with a mid-term dividend payout ratio of 50% - The board expressed a commitment to sharing operational success with shareholders through stable dividends [5][6].

Core Viewpoint - Aneng Logistics reported a strong performance in the first half of 2025, with significant growth in freight volume, revenue, and adjusted net profit, while also announcing its first dividend plan post-IPO [1] Financial Performance - Total freight volume reached 6.82 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 6.2% [1] - Revenue amounted to 5.625 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 6.4% [1] - Adjusted net profit was 476 million yuan, up 10.7% year-on-year [1] - Gross profit and gross margin were 880 million yuan and 15.6%, respectively [1] Service Quality Improvement - The company focused on product enhancement, upgrading the "3300 Ace Product," leading to an 18.2% increase in cargo volume under 300 kg [2] - Average delivery time decreased by 5.3% year-on-year, with a 50% reduction in lost packages and a 46% decrease in complaints per 100,000 shipments [2] - Customer satisfaction significantly improved, with over 6.8 million end customers served [2] Network Expansion and Digitalization - Aneng Logistics expanded its network to over 38,000 outlets, maintaining the largest industry scale with a 99.6% coverage rate in rural areas [2] - Investments in digital upgrades have enabled full-process information management, enhancing efficiency and reducing costs [3] - Automation in sorting centers has led to a 6% reduction in per-kilogram costs and improved sorting efficiency [3] Technological Advancements - The company is exploring advanced technologies, including the deployment of autonomous heavy trucks and smart route planning, enhancing safety and operational efficiency [3] - The unit transportation and sorting costs decreased by 9 yuan per ton, providing more room for profit release [3] Brand Development - Aneng Logistics is launching its first brand IP, the "Aneng Logistics Carnival," aimed at enhancing brand recognition and creating a differentiated competitive edge [3][4] - The company is shifting the industry competition focus from "price wars" to "value wars," establishing a solid foundation for long-term high-quality development [4]

Core Viewpoint - Aneng Logistics reported a strong performance for the first half of 2025, with significant growth in freight volume, revenue, and adjusted net profit, alongside a new dividend plan, indicating a solid competitive position in the domestic express delivery industry [1] Financial Performance - Total freight volume reached 6.82 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 6.2% - Revenue amounted to 5.625 billion yuan, reflecting a 6.4% year-on-year growth - Adjusted net profit was 476 million yuan, up 10.7% year-on-year - Gross profit and gross margin were 880 million yuan and 15.6%, respectively - The company announced a mid-term dividend payout ratio of 50% [1] Service Quality Improvement - The company focused on product enhancement, upgrading the "3300 Ace Product" to capture the high-margin small parcel market, resulting in an 18.2% year-on-year increase in shipments under 300 kg - Implemented a "100-day quality rebirth campaign" to enhance service quality across the entire logistics chain, leading to a 5.3% reduction in average delivery time and significant decreases in lost shipments and complaints [2] Network Expansion and Digitalization - Aneng Logistics expanded its network to over 38,000 locations, maintaining the largest coverage in the industry with a 99.6% coverage rate in towns - Investments in digital upgrades have improved operational efficiency, with notable enhancements in customer response times and cargo tracking [2] Automation and Technology Adoption - The company deployed automated sorting lines in distribution centers, resulting in a 6% reduction in per-kilogram costs and increased sorting efficiency - Aneng is pioneering the use of autonomous heavy trucks and smart route planning, with over 36 smart driving vehicles and more than 200 LNG vehicles in operation, enhancing safety and reducing transportation costs [3][4] Cost Reduction and Brand Development - Digital initiatives led to a 9 yuan/ton decrease in unit transportation and distribution costs, allowing for greater profit margins - The company is launching the "Aneng ANE Logistics Carnival" to enhance brand recognition and create a differentiated competitive edge [4] Strategic Direction - Aneng Logistics is shifting the industry competition from a "price war" to a "value war," focusing on balancing profit and quality, which lays a solid foundation for long-term high-quality development [4]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a mixed performance in the first half of 2025, with revenue growth but significant declines in net profit, indicating challenges in profitability despite revenue increases [1][2]. Revenue Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 20.555 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 11.43% [1]. - The core express delivery business drove revenue growth, contributing 18.613 billion yuan, up 11.89% year-on-year, accounting for 90.55% of total revenue [2]. - Excluding the network integration project with JD Logistics, the express business's internal revenue grew by 13.51% [2]. - The supply chain business showed strong performance with revenue of 999.4 million yuan, a significant increase of 34.49% year-on-year [2]. Profitability Challenges - The company reported a net profit attributable to shareholders of 52 million yuan, down 84.34% year-on-year, and a non-recurring net profit of -33 million yuan, a decline of 116.92% [1]. - The gross margin decreased by 2.30 percentage points to 5.33% due to a higher growth rate in operating costs compared to revenue [3]. - Operating costs were approximately 19.460 billion yuan, up 14.20% year-on-year, with transportation costs rising by 30.20% to about 9.765 billion yuan [3]. Cost Management and Strategic Investments - The company effectively managed period expenses, which totaled 1.059 billion yuan, down 6.03% year-on-year, leading to a decrease in the expense ratio by 0.96 percentage points to 5.15% [4]. - The increase in transportation costs was attributed to strategic investments in transportation resources to enhance service efficiency and changes in product structure [3]. Future Outlook - The company is positioned as a leading express delivery player in China, with expectations for revenue growth driven by JD Group's support and network integration [4]. - Profit forecasts for 2025-2027 indicate a gradual recovery in net profit, with estimates of 714 million yuan, 866 million yuan, and 1.020 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year change of -17.1%, +21.3%, and +17.8% respectively [4].

Group 1 - The company, Tiezhong Express, announced the suspension of all operations and services starting from August 7, 2025, due to strategic adjustments and internal business optimization needs [1] - Tiezhong Express, established in 2015, focuses on the transportation of goods over 50kg and has been recognized as one of the most valuable investment companies in the logistics industry in 2018 [1] - The company is headquartered in Wuxi and covers regions including Jiangsu, Zhejiang, Shanghai, Anhui, Guangdong, Guangxi, Henan, and Hebei, with over 60 distribution centers and more than 2,000 service points [1] Group 2 - The logistics industry has shifted from a focus on scale expansion and price wars to a more comprehensive evaluation of competitive strength, emphasizing stable national networks, consistent cargo volume, and reasonable profit margins [2] - Key factors for competitive advantage now include efficient management teams and moving away from low-price competition, marking a critical turning point for leading companies to establish competitive barriers [2]

Core Insights - The structural adjustments of Aneng Logistics have been completed by the end of last year, and the company now faces increasing market competition, with the introduction of unmanned vehicles and smart heavy trucks being key factors for future profit support [1][5]. Group 1: Operational Performance - Aneng Logistics' Anhui distribution center has seen a growth in throughput, nearing last year's peak levels, with expectations of reaching a daily operational volume of 6,000 tons during peak periods this year [1]. - The "3300" product line, which was launched last May, has significantly contributed to operational efficiency and profitability, with its volume growth outpacing total cargo volume [3][5]. - The average weight per ticket has improved to approximately 75 kg this year, down from about 84 kg last year, indicating a successful optimization strategy [3]. Group 2: Cost Management - Aneng Logistics has implemented automation at its Linyi distribution center, resulting in a 6% reduction in cost per kilogram [4]. - The company plans to enhance operational efficiency through refined management practices, aiming to meet the challenges posed by the anticipated 6,000 tons throughput without major changes in personnel or service quality [4][5]. Group 3: Technological Advancements - The company is exploring the application of unmanned vehicles in the express delivery sector, with 300 units of the Z10 unmanned vehicle already deployed in Anhui [6][7]. - Aneng Logistics has introduced nearly 20 smart heavy trucks equipped with advanced driving systems in Q1, with plans to scale up to 300-500 units by the end of this year [9][10]. - The use of smart heavy trucks can reduce labor costs by 50% and improve fuel efficiency by 3%-5% compared to traditional trucks, addressing the challenges of driver recruitment and operational costs [9].