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基础化工周报:乙烷供应链风险彻底解除-20250706
Soochow Securities· 2025-07-06 12:44
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the content 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report The report presents a weekly data briefing on the basic chemical industry, covering price and profit changes in various sectors such as polyurethane, oil - gas - olefin, and coal - chemical industries, as well as the performance of related listed companies [2][8][10] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Basic Chemical Weekly Data Briefing - **Related Company Performance** - The basic chemical index had a weekly increase of 0.8%, a monthly increase of 3.3%, a quarterly increase of 3.1%, and an annual increase of 15.9% as of July 4, 2025. Among related companies, Wanhua Chemical had a weekly increase of 1.3%, Baofeng Energy had a weekly decrease of 1.5%, Satellite Chemical had a weekly increase of 4.0%, and Huarun Hengsheng had a weekly increase of 1.0% [8] - In terms of profitability, Wanhua Chemical's estimated归母净利润 in 2025 is 13966 million yuan, Baofeng Energy's is 12360 million yuan, Satellite Chemical's is 7004 million yuan, and Huarun Hengsheng's is 4265 million yuan [8] - **Polyurethane Industry Chain** - The average prices of pure MDI, polymer MDI, and TDI this week were 16940, 15220, and 12000 yuan/ton respectively, with week - on - week changes of - 100, - 430, and + 775 yuan/ton. Their respective gross profits were 3718, 3061, and 897 yuan/ton, with week - on - week changes of + 162, - 116, and + 1177 yuan/ton [2][8] - **Oil - Gas - Olefin Industry Chain** - Raw material prices: The average prices of ethane, propane,动力煤, and naphtha this week were 1198, 4071, 470, and 4108 yuan/ton respectively, with week - on - week changes of + 25, - 118, + 0, and - 114 yuan/ton [2][8] - Product prices and profits: The average price of polyethylene was 7946 yuan/ton, with a week - on - week decrease of 29 yuan/ton. The theoretical profits of ethane cracking, CTO, and naphtha cracking to produce polyethylene were 1365, 2091, and 189 yuan/ton respectively, with week - on - week changes of - 50, - 19, and + 94 yuan/ton. The average price of polypropylene was 7120 yuan/ton, with a week - on - week decrease of 16 yuan/ton. The theoretical profits of PDH, CTO, and naphtha cracking to produce polypropylene were 56, 1742, and 20 yuan/ton respectively, with week - on - week changes of + 94, - 11, and + 101 yuan/ton [2] - **Coal - Chemical Industry Chain** - The average prices of synthetic ammonia, urea, DMF, and acetic acid this week were 2242, 1797, 4020, and 2349 yuan/ton respectively, with week - on - week changes of + 28, - 5, + 60, and - 32 yuan/ton. Their respective gross profits were 352, 144, - 186, and 6 yuan/ton, with week - on - week changes of + 16, - 12, + 28, and + 2 yuan/ton [2][10] 3.2 Basic Chemical Weekly Report - **2.1 Basic Chemical Index Trend** - No detailed content provided in the given text - **2.2 Polyurethane Plate** - Analyzes the price and profit trends of pure MDI, polymer MDI, and TDI [2][8] - **2.3 Oil - Gas - Olefin Plate** - Discusses the price trends of raw materials such as ethane, propane,动力煤, and naphtha, as well as the profit situations of different production processes for polyethylene and polypropylene [2][8] - **2.4 Coal - Chemical Plate** - Covers the price and profit trends of coal - chemical products such as synthetic ammonia, urea, DMF, and acetic acid [2][10]
基础化工周报:聚氨酯价格继续承压-20250420



Soochow Securities· 2025-04-20 06:21
请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 投资要点 证券研究报告 基础化工周报:聚氨酯价格继续承压 能源化工首席证券分析师:陈淑娴,CFA 执业证书编号:S0600523020004 联系方式:chensx@dwzq.com.cn 能源化工研究助理:周少玟 执业证书编号:S0600123070007 联系方式:zhoushm@dwzq.com.cn 2025年04月20日 2 ◼ 【聚氨酯板块】本周纯MDI/聚合MDI/TDI行业均价为17140/14330/10653元/吨,环比分别-350/- 1240/-915元/吨,纯MDI/聚合MDI/TDI行业毛利分别为3688/2066/-910元/吨,环比分别-164/- 929/-733元/吨。 ◼ 【油煤气烯烃板块】①本周乙烷/丙烷/动力煤/石脑油均价分别为1234/4521/540/4061元/吨,环比分 别-132/+509/+0/+209元/吨。②本周聚乙烯均价为7918元/吨,环比-97元/吨,乙烷裂解/CTO/石脑 油裂解制聚乙烯理论利润分别为1268/1889/182元/吨,环比分别+80/-63/-215元/吨。③本周聚丙烯 均价为7200元/吨,环 ...
基础化工周报:尿素价格持续上涨-2025-03-30
Soochow Securities· 2025-03-30 06:57
Report Information - Report Title: Weekly Report on Basic Chemical Industry: Continuous Increase in Urea Price [1] - Report Date: March 30, 2025 [1] - Analyst: Chen Shuxian, CFA [1] - Research Assistant: Zhou Shaowen [1] Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the report Core Viewpoints - The report presents the weekly data of the basic chemical industry, including the price and profit changes of various chemical products, as well as the performance of related listed companies [2][8][10] Summary by Directory 1. Basic Chemical Weekly Data Briefing - **Related Company Performance** - The basic chemical index had a 0.0% change in the past week, 0.9% in the past month, 2.8% in the past three months, 9.6% in the past year, and 5.3% since the beginning of 2025 [8] - Among related companies, Satellite Chemical had a significant increase in stock price, with a 7.2% increase in the past week, 6.8% in the past month, 23.9% in the past three months, and 38.1% in the past year [8] - The report also provides the profit tracking data of related companies, including total market value, net profit attributable to the parent company, PE, and PB [8] - **Polyurethane Industry Chain** - The average prices of pure MDI, polymer MDI, and TDI this week were 17,870 yuan/ton, 16,280 yuan/ton, and 11,983 yuan/ton respectively, with a week-on-week change of -170 yuan/ton, -420 yuan/ton, and +18 yuan/ton [2][8] - The corresponding gross profits were 3,971 yuan/ton, 3,407 yuan/ton, and 199 yuan/ton, with a week-on-week change of -100 yuan/ton, -336 yuan/ton, and -44 yuan/ton [2][8] - **Oil, Gas, and Olefin Industry Chain** - The average prices of ethane, propane, steam coal, and naphtha this week were 1,531 yuan/ton, 4,523 yuan/ton, 540 yuan/ton, and 4,593 yuan/ton respectively, with a week-on-week change of -34 yuan/ton, +165 yuan/ton, +0 yuan/ton, and +35 yuan/ton [2][8] - The theoretical profits of ethylene production from ethane cracking, CTO, and naphtha cracking were 1,162 yuan/ton, 2,055 yuan/ton, and -197 yuan/ton respectively, with a week-on-week change of +76 yuan/ton, +47 yuan/ton, and -4 yuan/ton [2][8] - The theoretical profits of propylene production from PDH, CTO, and naphtha cracking were -333 yuan/ton, 1,610 yuan/ton, and -453 yuan/ton respectively, with a week-on-week change of -159 yuan/ton, +0 yuan/ton, and -49 yuan/ton [2][8] - **Coal Chemical Industry Chain** - The average prices of synthetic ammonia, urea, DMF, and acetic acid this week were 2,671 yuan/ton, 1,905 yuan/ton, 4,150 yuan/ton, and 2,642 yuan/ton respectively, with a week-on-week change of -29 yuan/ton, +64 yuan/ton, +110 yuan/ton, and -25 yuan/ton [2][10] - The corresponding gross profits were 725 yuan/ton, 218 yuan/ton, -291 yuan/ton, and 12 yuan/ton, with a week-on-week change of +50 yuan/ton, +68 yuan/ton, +213 yuan/ton, and -28 yuan/ton [2][10] 2. Basic Chemical Weekly Report - **2.1 Basic Chemical Index Trend** - Not provided in the report - **2.2 Polyurethane Sector** - The report shows the price and profit trends of pure MDI, polymer MDI, and TDI [2][8] - **2.3 Oil, Gas, and Olefin Sector** - It presents the price trends of raw materials such as ethane, propane, and naphtha, as well as the profit comparison of different production processes [2][8] - **2.4 Coal Chemical Sector** - The report shows the price and profit trends of coal chemical products such as synthetic ammonia, urea, and DMF [2][10]