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卢比汇率跌至历史新低、投资者撤离…印度的麻烦真来了
Guan Cha Zhe Wang· 2025-09-15 05:18
Group 1 - The Indian Rupee has become one of the worst-performing currencies in Asia this year, primarily due to mixed signals from U.S. President Trump regarding tariffs on India, which could lead to further depreciation if the trade war with the U.S. is not resolved [1][6] - The Indian Rupee hit a historical low of 88.491 against the U.S. dollar on September 11, exacerbated by a 50% tariff imposed by the U.S., the highest in Asia, leading to foreign investor withdrawals and a negative economic outlook [1][4] - Economists predict that if the U.S. maintains the 50% tariff, the Rupee could depreciate to 89 per dollar by early next year, while a resolution to the tariff dispute could stabilize it around 88 per dollar [1][3] Group 2 - The high tariffs are impacting multiple sectors in India, including textiles, apparel, and seafood, with some exporters lobbying the central bank to allow them to exchange profits at a rate of approximately 103 Rupees per dollar [4][6] - The Indian economy's growth rate could decline by 50 to 60 basis points if the tariffs persist, with the GDP growth rate for the last fiscal year slowing to 6.5% from 9.2% the previous year [6][7] - Despite the challenges, India is projected to remain one of the fastest-growing major economies, but it must enhance its resilience against external shocks, as highlighted by the ongoing tensions with the U.S. [7][8] Group 3 - The Indian government aims for an average annual economic growth rate of around 7.8% over the next few decades to become the world's third-largest economy by 2047 [7][8] - To achieve these goals, India needs to diversify its trade relationships and reduce protectionist barriers, which currently account for about 40% of its trade barriers [8] - Reforming the internal market is essential for India to respond effectively to external pressures, such as the tariffs imposed by the U.S., and to attract private capital for growth [8]
无法让步,印度划“红线”硬刚
Xin Hua Ri Bao· 2025-08-27 21:04
Core Points - The U.S. has implemented a 25% punitive tariff on goods imported from India, raising the total tariff rate to 50% for Indian products [1][2] - The Indian government is taking measures to support farmers and small businesses affected by these tariffs, while also establishing non-negotiable "red lines" in negotiations with the U.S. [1][5] Group 1: Tariff Impact - The new tariffs are a result of an executive order signed by President Trump, citing India's importation of Russian oil as the reason for the additional charges [2] - Approximately 55% of Indian products exported to the U.S. will be at a competitive disadvantage due to the increased tariffs [4] - The textile industry and seafood exporters are particularly affected, with reports of production halts and supply chain disruptions [4] Group 2: Government Response - The Indian government has announced a series of policies aimed at protecting small farmers and businesses, including tax reforms and financial assistance for affected exporters [5] - India is looking to diversify its export markets, targeting nearly 50 countries for growth in sectors like textiles, food processing, leather, and seafood [5] - Indian officials maintain that trade negotiations with the U.S. are ongoing, emphasizing the importance of protecting domestic interests [5]
美对印输美商品关税加至50% 印度划“红线”捍卫利益
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-27 10:08
Core Points - The U.S. has implemented a 25% punitive tariff on goods imported from India, raising the total tariff rate on Indian products to 50% [1][5] - The Indian government is taking measures to support farmers and small business owners in response to the tariff pressures, while also establishing non-negotiable "red lines" in negotiations with the U.S. [1][17] Tariff Impact - Approximately 55% of Indian products exported to the U.S. will be at a competitive disadvantage due to the increased tariffs [10] - The textile industry and seafood exporters are particularly affected, with reports of production halts and supply chain disruptions [10][14] Affected Sectors - Small and medium enterprises, which account for 45% of India's total exports, are significantly impacted by the U.S. tariff policy [14] - The gems and jewelry sector, with exports to the U.S. valued at around $10 billion, is among the most vulnerable [14][16] Government Response - The Indian government is focusing on enhancing support for small farmers, livestock breeders, and fishermen, and has identified 100 agricultural regions for additional assistance [17] - Financial aid will be provided to exporters affected by the tariffs, and there is encouragement to diversify exports to markets in Latin America and the Middle East [17] Ongoing Negotiations - Trade negotiations between India and the U.S. are still ongoing, with Indian officials asserting that the negative impacts on the economy will not be permanent [17] - The Indian government has set clear priorities regarding the protection of farmers and small businesses, indicating a firm stance in negotiations [17]
美对印输美商品关税加至50% 印度划“红线”捍卫利益
Xin Hua She· 2025-08-27 09:28
Core Viewpoint - The U.S. has implemented a 25% punitive tariff on goods imported from India, raising the total tariff rate to 50%, which significantly impacts Indian exports to the U.S. [1][2] Group 1: Tariff Implementation - The U.S. Customs and Border Protection has begun enforcing the 25% tariff on Indian goods as per an executive order signed by President Trump, citing India's import of Russian oil as the reason [2] - The cumulative effect of the tariffs has led to a 50% tariff rate on Indian products entering the U.S. market [2] Group 2: Impact on Indian Exports - Approximately 55% of Indian products exported to the U.S. are now at a competitive disadvantage due to the increased tariffs [4] - The textile industry and seafood exporters are particularly affected, with reports of production halts and supply chain disruptions [4] - The jewelry sector, which exports around $10 billion to the U.S., is also facing significant vulnerabilities due to the tariff policies [4] Group 3: Indian Government Response - The Indian government has announced several policies aimed at supporting farmers and small business owners affected by the tariffs [5] - Measures include financial assistance for exporters and encouragement to diversify markets, particularly towards Latin America and the Middle East [6] - The Indian government has established "red lines" in trade negotiations, emphasizing the protection of farmers and small businesses as non-negotiable [6]