上 市 公 司 公用事业 2025 年 08 月 26 日 中泰股份 (300435) ——深冷设备盈利能力提升 多领域应用前景广阔 | 报告原因：有业绩公布需要点评 | | --- | | 买入（首次评级） | | 事件： | | --- | ⚫ 公司发布 2025 年中报业绩，2025 年上半年公司实现营收 13.02 亿元，同比-4.79%，归母净利润 1.35 亿元，同比+9.14%；2025 年第二季度单季公司实现营收 5.84 亿元，归母净利 0.34 亿元，分别同比 +5.88%和-35.26%，业绩略低于预期，主要原因系燃气板块收入下滑叠加销售费用增加所致。 投资要点： 财务数据及盈利预测 | | 2024 | 2025H1 | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 2,717 | 1,302 | 3,368 | 4,112 | 5,132 | | 同比增长率（%） | -10.9 | -4.8 | 24.0 | 22.1 | 24.8 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | -78 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company is actively expanding its overseas market presence, with nearly 40% of current orders coming from international clients and over 50% of new orders signed this year being from overseas [3]. Group 1: Company Performance - As of July 31, 2025, the company's stock price closed at 15.51 yuan, reflecting a 1.17% increase, with a turnover rate of 2.35% and a trading volume of 86,500 shares, amounting to a transaction value of 134 million yuan [1]. - The company has not yet disclosed its second-quarter performance, with investors advised to await the upcoming semi-annual report for detailed financial results [2][3]. Group 2: Product and Market Development - The company produces liquid oxygen coolers that enhance rocket payload capacity and has entered the Chinese aerospace system with its independently operated specialty gases [2]. - The company has successfully operated air separation devices in high-altitude areas like Tibet, addressing challenges related to oxygen supply in harsh environments [2]. - The company is involved in ammonia methanol projects, claiming to have a mature technology path and successful operational experience, contributing to the "dual carbon" goals [2]. Group 3: Financial and Market Dynamics - The company anticipates that the recent drop in natural gas futures prices to $3, a near five-year low, will have a limited short-term impact on its gas segment profits due to existing annual procurement contracts with major suppliers [2]. - The company has experienced a decline in revenue for two consecutive years, prompting concerns about market participation and the need for enhanced company value management and promotion [2][3]. Group 4: Investor Relations - The company acknowledges the importance of improving operational efficiency and increasing promotional efforts to enhance its value for investors [3].

Core Viewpoint - The company Fosda has experienced significant growth in revenue and net profit in the first quarter of 2024, driven by the booming coal chemical industry, particularly in Xinjiang, which has favorable resources, policies, and economic conditions [1][2][3][4] Company Performance - In Q1 2024, Fosda reported a revenue of 594 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 69.04%, and a non-net profit of 115.35%, indicating strong sales growth and improved profit margins [4] - The company distributed a cash dividend of 79.21 million yuan, accounting for 30.33% of the net profit attributable to shareholders, reflecting a balance between shareholder returns and future business expansion [3][4] Industry Trends - The coal chemical industry is gaining momentum, with a projected investment of 1,032.9 billion yuan by the end of 2024, translating to an average annual investment of 206.58 billion yuan over five years [2] - Xinjiang's coal production is expected to reach 54 million tons in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 17.5%, positioning it as a key contributor to China's coal supply and coal chemical development [1][2] Market Opportunities - The coal chemical sector, including coal-to-oil, coal-to-olefins, and coal-to-natural gas, is increasingly seen as a viable alternative to traditional oil and gas due to high international oil prices [2] - Fosda, as a manufacturer of cryogenic equipment essential for coal chemical processes, stands to benefit significantly from the growing demand for industrial equipment in this sector [1][3]

Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 718 million, a year-on-year decrease of 12.01%, primarily due to a nearly 30% decline in the city gas segment's revenue [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 100 million, with a year-on-year increase of 42.83%, mainly driven by accelerated order delivery in the equipment segment [1] - The non-recurring net profit was 96 million, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 42.45% [1] Strategic Planning - The company aims to strengthen its position in equipment manufacturing, focusing on both domestic and international markets over the next 3-5 years [1] - Plans include leveraging the Zhongyi Gas platform to stabilize city gas operations and enhance the natural gas business [1] - The company will cautiously select quality projects and clients in the gas operation sector due to intensified domestic competition [1] Order Situation - As of Q1 2025, the company had an order backlog of approximately 2.4 billion, with overseas orders accounting for 40% [3] - The sales target for 2025 is a 20% increase in new orders compared to 2024, with proportional growth across domestic and international product lines [4] Product Applications - The company's cryogenic technology is applicable in controlled nuclear fusion, with helium refrigerants successfully used in experimental setups [5] Market Impact - The U.S. restrictions on ethane exports could significantly impact China's ethylene industry, as the country heavily relies on U.S. imports for ethane [6] - The company has been involved in natural gas extraction and coal-to-olefins projects, which may benefit from potential domestic ethane production needs [6] Raw Material Pricing - The company has not locked in prices for major raw materials due to the short price fluctuation cycles of aluminum and the long project execution periods [8]