假期间的事件驱动较难预判，今天的涨幅一次性释放后需要关注持续性。 ☁AI软件：春节期间，美股软件股继续暴跌，Adobe、CRM、Autodesk的最大回撤已经达到30%，驱动因素还是 多个大模型的密集发布，而Claude宣称具备的Cobol改造能力更是直逼IBM的心理防线（后者昨夜大跌13%，Cobol 语言起源于上世纪50年代，至今仍是美国政府和银行系统的核心底层支柱，因程序语言较为陈旧，稀缺维保能力 是IBM的护城河之一），但值得注意的是，这波计提的跌幅本质上是华尔街在等待一个尚未横空出世的杀手级产 品，何时到来、是否会到来都是未知数。 ☁AI硬件：不管软件板块有多腥风血雨，卖铲人的逻辑依然可靠。 "易中天"分别上涨1%、4%、12%，折射出的是市场对新技术的抢跑，CPO（光电共封装）技术有望在年底实现量 产，增量环节的光引擎、硅光芯片、光源、光纤、耦合乃至存储都是最大受益者，而业务模式单一、专注传统光 模块厂商的份额可能遭到挤占。 【春节后首个交易日，市场普涨，机构赎回含权资产】202602224 ☁春节假期海外事件频出，16号至23号期间恒生科技、纳斯达克整体微涨，对比之下A股表现更强，早盘高开、 午 ...

Market Overview - A-shares continued to rise, with the Shanghai Composite Index up 0.12%, the Shenzhen Component Index up 0.44%, and the ChiNext Index up 0.96% on July 28 [6][7] - A total of 2,781 stocks rose, while 2,438 stocks fell, with 62 stocks hitting the daily limit up [8][9] Commodity Market - Domestic commodity futures saw a collective decline, with coking coal, glass, coke, soda ash, industrial silicon, and lithium carbonate futures hitting the limit down [4] - Coking coal prices fell by 11% to 1,100.5 yuan/ton, while glass and soda ash dropped by 9% and 8.04% respectively [4] - The market sentiment weakened following new trading limits introduced by exchanges, leading to a significant withdrawal of long positions in coking coal [5] Policy Impact - The Shanghai Municipal Economic and Information Commission issued measures to expand AI applications, including a 600 million yuan subsidy for computing power and a maximum 30% rent subsidy for AI computing resources [10] - This policy is expected to support companies in the AI sector, leading to a surge in related stocks such as Dazhu CNC and Chip Microelectronics, which hit the daily limit up [10] Pharmaceutical Sector - Innovative drug concept stocks were active, with companies like Heng Rui Medicine and Lian Huan Pharmaceutical hitting the daily limit up [13] - Heng Rui Medicine announced a potential $12.5 billion licensing deal with GlaxoSmithKline, covering a clinical-stage respiratory drug and multiple candidates [13][14] Resource Sector - Resource stocks, particularly in coal and steel, experienced adjustments, with companies like Liu Steel and Shanxi Coking Coal seeing declines of over 5% [15][16]