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7月用电创新高,关注能源上游电价变化
Hua Tai Qi Huo· 2025-08-27 07:38
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. 2. Core Viewpoints - In July, China's monthly electricity consumption exceeded 1 trillion kWh for the first time, and in 2024, China's annual power generation reached 10,086.9 billion kWh, ranking first in the world and accounting for 32.27% of global power generation. Attention should be paid to the electricity price changes in the upstream energy sector [1]. - On August 26, the State Council conducted the 15th special study on "accelerating the innovative development of service trade and actively cultivating new drivers for foreign trade development." The focus is on the development of emerging import - export business in the service industry [1]. 3. Summary by Directory A. Middle - level Event Overview - **Production Industry**: In July, China's single - month electricity consumption exceeded 1 trillion kWh for the first time. In 2024, China's annual power generation was 10,086.9 billion kWh, ranking first in the world. Attention should be paid to the electricity price changes in the upstream energy sector [1]. - **Service Industry**: On August 26, the State Council carried out the 15th special study. The Prime Minister pointed out to expand high - quality service imports, promote institutional opening - up of service trade, and enhance the competitiveness of service exports, especially in emerging fields [1]. B. Industry Overview - **Upstream**: The price of glass in the black industry is falling; the price of eggs in the agricultural industry is falling; the price of PTA in the chemical industry is rising, while the price of urea is falling [2]. - **Mid - stream**: The PX operating rate in the chemical industry is rising; the coal consumption of power plants in the energy industry is increasing; the operating rate of pig products in the agricultural industry is rising [2]. - **Downstream**: The sales of commercial housing in first - and second - tier cities in the real estate industry are seasonally falling; the number of domestic flights in the service industry remains stable at a high level [2]. C. Key Industry Price Index Tracking - **Agriculture**: On August 26, the spot price of corn was 2,305.7 yuan/ton, down 0.43% year - on - year; the spot price of eggs was 6.5 yuan/kg, down 3.42% year - on - year; the spot price of palm oil was 9,638.0 yuan/ton, down 0.54% year - on - year; the spot price of cotton was 15,330.8 yuan/ton, up 0.57% year - on - year; the average wholesale price of pork was 20.0 yuan/kg, down 0.99% year - on - year; the spot price of copper was 79,638.3 yuan/ton, up 0.68% year - on - year; the spot price of zinc was 22,276.0 yuan/ton, up 0.44% year - on - year [37]. - **Non - ferrous Metals**: The spot price of aluminum was 20,790.0 yuan/ton (H frequency) and 16,868.8 yuan/ton (daily frequency), up 0.89% and 1.20% year - on - year respectively; the spot price of nickel was 121,750.0 yuan/ton, down 0.15% year - on - year [37]. - **Ferrous Metals**: The spot price of rebar was 3,247.0 yuan/ton, up 0.03% year - on - year; the spot price of iron ore was 795.9 yuan/ton, up 1.94% year - on - year; the spot price of wire rod was 3,405.0 yuan/ton, with no year - on - year change; the spot price of glass was 13.9 yuan/square meter, down 2.80% year - on - year [37]. - **Non - metals**: The spot price of natural rubber was 15,066.7 yuan/ton, up 0.72% year - on - year; the China Plastics City price index was 804.2, down 0.32% year - on - year [37]. - **Energy**: The spot price of WTI crude oil was 64.8 US dollars/barrel, up 2.18% year - on - year; the spot price of Brent crude oil was 68.8 US dollars/barrel, up 3.30% year - on - year; the spot price of liquefied natural gas was 3,910.0 yuan/ton, down 1.21% year - on - year; the coal price was 783.0 yuan/ton, up 0.13% year - on - year [37]. - **Chemical Industry**: The spot price of PTA was 4,922.5 yuan/ton, up 4.16% year - on - year; the spot price of polyethylene was 7,440.0 yuan/ton, up 0.02% year - on - year; the spot price of urea was 1,712.5 yuan/ton, down 3.04% year - on - year; the spot price of soda ash was 1,290.0 yuan/ton, with no year - on - year change; the national cement price index was 130.0, up 0.05% year - on - year [37]. - **Real Estate**: The building materials composite index was 115.2 points, down 0.05% year - on - year; the national concrete price index was 93.0 points, down 0.29% year - on - year [37].
关注中游制造业开工情况
Hua Tai Qi Huo· 2025-08-20 05:40
Group 1: Report Core View - Focus on the start - up situation of mid - stream manufacturing industries, including the "anti - involution" progress in the production industry and pension policies in the service industry [1][2] - Provide an overview of the upstream, mid - stream, and downstream industries, including price and start - up rate changes [3] Group 2: Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided Group 3: Summary by Directory Production Industry - In the photovoltaic industry, on August 19, multiple departments jointly held a symposium to further standardize the competition order, including strengthening industrial regulation, curbing low - price disorderly competition, and standardizing product quality [1] Service Industry - From January to July 2025, the stamp duty was 255.9 billion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 20.7%. The securities trading stamp duty was 93.6 billion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 62.5%. In July 2025, the securities trading stamp duty was 1.51 billion yuan, a month - on - month increase of 29% and a year - on - year increase of 1.25 times [2] - Starting from September 1, 2025, three new personal pension withdrawal situations are added, related to medical expenses, unemployment insurance benefits, and minimum living security [2] Upstream Industry - In the black industry, glass prices have dropped significantly; in the agricultural industry, egg and palm oil prices have rebounded; in the energy industry, liquefied natural gas prices have dropped [3] Mid - stream Industry - In the chemical industry, the PX start - up rate has increased, while the start - up rates of urea and PTA have slightly decreased; in the energy industry, the coal consumption of power plants has increased; in the agricultural industry, the start - up rate of pig products has increased [3] Downstream Industry - In the real estate industry, the sales of commercial housing in first - and second - tier cities have seasonally declined; in the service industry, the number of domestic flights has remained stable at a high level [3] Key Industry Price Indicators - In the agricultural industry on August 19, the spot price of eggs increased by 5.16% year - on - year, and the spot price of palm oil increased by 4.55% year - on - year; in the non - ferrous metal industry, most metal prices decreased year - on - year; in the black metal industry, most product prices decreased year - on - year; in the energy industry, the price of liquefied natural gas decreased by 3.32% year - on - year [37]