宏观日报 | 2025-08-27 7月用电创新高，关注能源上游电价变化 中观事件总览 生产行业：关注能源上游电价变化。 1）国新办新闻发布会上，国家能源局局长指出，我国7月单月用电量首次突 破1万亿千瓦时大关，相当于日本全年的用电量总和。数据显示，2024年，我国全年发电量达100869亿千瓦时，位 居世界第一，接近全球第二至第七位的总和，占全球发电量的32.27% 风险 经济政策超预期，全球地缘政治冲突 2025年期货市场研究报告 第1页 请仔细阅读本报告最后一页的免责声明 服务行业：关注新兴进出口业务发展。 1）8月26日，国务院以"加快服务贸易创新发展，积极培育外贸发展新动能" 为主题，进行第十五次专题学习。李强总理指出，要主动扩大优质服务进口，推动服务贸易制度型开放，优化跨 境资金管理，促进数据跨境流动。要依托比较优势提升服务出口竞争力，扩大优势制造领域生产性服务业出口， 推进新兴领域服务出口，深入挖掘特色领域服务出口潜力。。 数据来源：iFind，华泰期货研究院 行业总览 上游：1）黑色：玻璃价格维持回落。2）农业：鸡蛋价格回落。3）化工：PTA价格增长，尿素价格回落 中游：1）化工：PX开工率上 ...

Group 1: Report Core View - Focus on the start - up situation of mid - stream manufacturing industries, including the "anti - involution" progress in the production industry and pension policies in the service industry [1][2] - Provide an overview of the upstream, mid - stream, and downstream industries, including price and start - up rate changes [3] Group 2: Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided Group 3: Summary by Directory Production Industry - In the photovoltaic industry, on August 19, multiple departments jointly held a symposium to further standardize the competition order, including strengthening industrial regulation, curbing low - price disorderly competition, and standardizing product quality [1] Service Industry - From January to July 2025, the stamp duty was 255.9 billion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 20.7%. The securities trading stamp duty was 93.6 billion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 62.5%. In July 2025, the securities trading stamp duty was 1.51 billion yuan, a month - on - month increase of 29% and a year - on - year increase of 1.25 times [2] - Starting from September 1, 2025, three new personal pension withdrawal situations are added, related to medical expenses, unemployment insurance benefits, and minimum living security [2] Upstream Industry - In the black industry, glass prices have dropped significantly; in the agricultural industry, egg and palm oil prices have rebounded; in the energy industry, liquefied natural gas prices have dropped [3] Mid - stream Industry - In the chemical industry, the PX start - up rate has increased, while the start - up rates of urea and PTA have slightly decreased; in the energy industry, the coal consumption of power plants has increased; in the agricultural industry, the start - up rate of pig products has increased [3] Downstream Industry - In the real estate industry, the sales of commercial housing in first - and second - tier cities have seasonally declined; in the service industry, the number of domestic flights has remained stable at a high level [3] Key Industry Price Indicators - In the agricultural industry on August 19, the spot price of eggs increased by 5.16% year - on - year, and the spot price of palm oil increased by 4.55% year - on - year; in the non - ferrous metal industry, most metal prices decreased year - on - year; in the black metal industry, most product prices decreased year - on - year; in the energy industry, the price of liquefied natural gas decreased by 3.32% year - on - year [37]