具体来看，2025年前11个月，美国雇主累计裁员117.08万人，较2024年同期增长54%。仅11月单月裁员 7.13万人，为2022年以来同期最高，远超疫情前水平。 "滚动式裁员"：温水煮青蛙的威胁 Glassdoor首席经济学家丹尼尔·赵指出，实际裁员规模可能被低估。联邦JOLTS（编者注：职位空缺与 劳动力流动调查）数据显示，同期实际裁员人数约170万。他表示："裁员形态正在变化——过去是一次 性大规模裁员，如今则是频繁的小规模'滚动式裁员'。" 这一现象需结合2025年矛盾的经济信号理解：一方面，人工智能泡沫与就业焦虑并存；另一方面，"可 负担性"政治议题折射出底层工人的不满。企业财报亦揭示出"K型经济"（编者注：高收入与低收入群 体分化加剧的经济结构）特征——最富裕的10%人群贡献近半消费，而低收入者愈发拮据。 摩根士丹利分析师迈克·威尔逊认为，2025年经济先经历"滚动式衰退"，随后自4月起开启"滚动式复 苏"。但高盛与美银分析师指出，当前复苏仅体现在金融层面：股价与利润飙升，白领岗位需求却持续 萎缩。随着"永久裁员潮"愈演愈烈，一个"无就业增长"的时代以及流程优于人力的趋势，正逐渐显现。 20 ...

Core Insights - The U.S. stock market is exhibiting two major contradictions: tech giants are driving indices to new highs, yet market breadth has narrowed to extreme levels, with U.S. stocks lagging behind global markets for 18 consecutive months [1][5]. Group 1: Market Performance - The Nasdaq index recorded a 5% increase for two consecutive months, but market concentration has reached historical extremes [1][6]. - On a recent Tuesday, the ratio of advancing to declining stocks in the S&P 500 hit the lowest level on record, indicating that large tech stocks are dominating while the other 493 components remain stagnant [1][8]. - Despite the strong performance of U.S. tech giants, the overall U.S. market has underperformed compared to global markets, failing to generate excess returns over the past 18 months [5][6]. Group 2: Tech Giants and Investment Trends - The seven major tech companies (Mag-7) significantly outperformed the remaining S&P 500 components, which remained nearly flat during the same period [6]. - Meta is facing investor skepticism regarding its return on investment, yet its $125 billion bond issuance received record demand, indicating its continued investment capability [7]. - Following the third-quarter earnings report, the capital expenditure plans for the seven giants may be adjusted upward by $60 billion for 2026, with Nvidia becoming the first company to surpass a $5 trillion market cap [7][9]. Group 3: Global Market Dynamics - The global market breadth is impressive, supported by valuation and positioning, suggesting a continuation of this trend [3][12]. - Significant changes are occurring in the European market, with companies like Airbus and Thales merging satellite businesses, indicating a shift in traditional industries towards AI efficiency [10]. - The Asian market is also showing positive trends, with expectations for earnings per share and overall market performance supported by the dollar's trajectory and an upward revision of China's GDP forecast [12].

Core Viewpoint - The FAA has not considered replacing telecommunications systems with Elon Musk's Starlink in air traffic control systems [1] Group 1 - The FAA administrator informed Congress that there are no current plans to integrate Starlink into the aviation control system [1]

Core Insights - Insurance capital is increasingly favoring high-dividend assets in the Hong Kong stock market, with significant increases in investment ratios and participation levels [1][3]. Group 1: Investment Trends - The investment balance in the Hong Kong market accounts for 51% of the total overseas investment balance of insurance institutions, making it the preferred choice for overseas stock and bond investments [3]. - 63% of institutions plan to increase their investment scale in Hong Kong stocks by 2025, with funds concentrated in the financial, energy, and telecommunications sectors [3]. - Insurance capital has made 19 significant investments this year, involving 15 listed companies, with two-thirds being H-shares, which are characterized by low valuations, high dividend yields, and stable dividends [3]. Group 2: Market Characteristics - H-shares are particularly attractive due to their price discount advantages and tax benefits, as dividends from H-shares held for over 12 months are exempt from corporate income tax [3]. - The Hang Seng AH-share premium index fell nearly 10% in the first half of the year but remained close to 130, indicating that A-shares are approximately 30% more expensive than H-shares [3]. - The internationalization of the Hong Kong stock market allows insurance capital to reduce portfolio volatility through dynamic balance holdings [3]. Group 3: Asset Reallocation - In the context of declining interest rates and the expiration of high-yield assets, insurance capital is under pressure to reallocate assets, favoring stable long-term returns from high-dividend Hong Kong stocks [4]. - Several insurance companies have also increased their positions in high-dividend A-shares in the first quarter of this year [4]. - The new accounting standards implemented in 2023 significantly impact insurance capital investments, leading to increased volatility in profit statements and prompting companies to focus on OCI-type assets to mitigate this volatility [4].