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英国2025年三季度GDP环比增速放缓至 0.1% 服务业成增长主要支撑
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-11-13 09:25
Economic Growth Overview - The UK economy continues to slow down, with a 0.1% quarter-on-quarter GDP growth in Q3 2025, down from 0.3% in the previous quarter, and a year-on-year growth of 1.3%, indicating moderate expansion [1][6] - Nominal GDP increased by 1.2% quarter-on-quarter and 5.1% year-on-year, primarily driven by rising employee compensation [1] Sector Performance - The production sector experienced a significant decline, with a 0.5% quarter-on-quarter and 0.9% year-on-year decrease, marking two consecutive quarters of decline [4] - The services sector showed resilience, with a 0.2% quarter-on-quarter and 1.6% year-on-year growth, becoming the core driver of economic growth [3] - Construction output grew by 0.1% quarter-on-quarter, relying mainly on maintenance activities, while new construction projects saw a decline [3] Consumer and Investment Trends - Household final consumption expenditure rose by 0.2% quarter-on-quarter and 0.7% year-on-year, with clothing and entertainment being key growth areas [4] - Gross fixed capital formation (GFCF) increased by 1.8% quarter-on-quarter and 3.8% year-on-year, although corporate investment showed a slight decline [4] Trade and International Comparison - Exports and imports both saw slight declines, with trade deficit accounting for 0.6% of nominal GDP [4] - Compared to other G7 economies, the UK's Q3 growth rate of 0.1% is lower than the US (0.9%) and Canada (0.1%), but on par with Germany and Italy [4] Future Outlook - Analysts suggest that the UK's GDP slowdown reflects pressures from both production and demand sides, but the resilience of the services sector and capital formation may prevent economic contraction [6] - Wage growth and moderate inflation could reduce the urgency for further interest rate hikes by the Bank of England [6]
英国7月经济增长近乎停滞:工业产出显著下滑 贸易逆差创五个月新高
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-09-12 08:06
Economic Overview - The UK's GDP growth for July was flat at 0.0% month-on-month, significantly slowing from June's 0.4% increase, with a year-on-year growth rate of 1.4%, slightly below the market expectation of 1.5% [1][4] - The economic structure shows a pattern of "moderate support from services, continuous expansion in construction, significant drag from industry, and pressure on external demand" [4] Sector Performance - The services sector experienced a slight growth of 0.1%, supported mainly by transportation and storage (1.4% growth) and health and social work (0.4% growth), while the information and communication sector declined by 0.7% [2] - The construction sector demonstrated resilience with a month-on-month output increase of 0.2% and a year-on-year growth rate accelerating to 2.4%, surpassing the market expectation of 1.9% [2] - Industrial production faced significant downward pressure, with a month-on-month decline of 0.9%, reversing the previous month's 0.7% increase, and manufacturing output fell by 1.3%, marking the steepest contraction since July of the previous year [2] Trade Dynamics - The trade deficit widened to £5.26 billion in July, the largest since February, with exports rising by 2.3% to £76.45 billion and imports increasing by 2.4% to £81.71 billion, reaching a historical high [3] - Notably, goods exports grew by 6.6%, with a 4.6% increase in exports to the EU, driven by increased aircraft exports to Germany, and an 8.5% rise in exports to non-EU countries [3] - Service exports decreased by 0.4% to £45.83 billion, hitting a three-month low, while goods imports reached a 13-month high at £50.89 billion, primarily due to increased imports of ships from South Korea and aircraft and cars from Germany [3]