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前三季度GDP同比增长5.2% 四季度促消费政策有望进一步加码
Zhong Guo Jing Ying Bao· 2025-10-20 12:54
中经记者 谭志娟 北京报道 10月20日,国家统计局发布的数据显示,前三季度国内生产总值(GDP)同比增长5.2%,比上年全年 和上年同期分别加快0.2、0.4个百分点。这为全年实现目标打下了良好基础。 东方金诚研究发展部执行总监冯琳对《中国经营报》记者表示,前三季度宏观经济延续去年四季度以来 的偏强增长态势,预计在稳增长政策发力带动下,四季度GDP增速有望达到4.7%左右,进而顺利完成 全年"5.0%左右"的经济增长目标,以高技术制造业为代表的新质生产力领域将延续较快增长势头。 国家统计局新闻发言人答记者问时表示,今年以来,我国经济发展历程很不平凡。面对外部压力加大和 内部困难较多的复杂局面,我国经济发展顶住压力,取得了难能可贵的发展成绩,经济运行持续保持总 体平稳、稳中有进发展态势。 新质生产力发展成效逐渐显现 前三季度,工业生产实现较快增长,其中装备制造业和高技术制造业增势较好。 来自国家统计局数据显示,前三季度,工业增加值同比增长6.2%,增速较上年同期和上年全年均加快 0.4个百分点,高于同期实际GDP累计同比增速。 东方金诚研究发展部执行总监冯琳对记者表示,这是各类"抢出口""转出口"效应下出口表 ...
供需循环逐步改善 8月工业利润大增19.1%
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-08-08 06:59
Core Insights - The industrial profit of large-scale enterprises in China reached 612.81 billion yuan in August, marking a year-on-year increase of 19.1%, although the growth rate decreased by 0.5 percentage points compared to July [1] - From January to August, cumulative profits saw a year-on-year decline of 4.4%, but the decline rate narrowed by 3.7 percentage points compared to the first seven months [2] Group 1: Production and Demand Improvement - Continuous improvement in production and demand has driven sales growth for industrial enterprises, with industrial added value increasing by 5.6% year-on-year in August, accelerating by 0.8 percentage points from July [3] - The fixed asset investment decline has further narrowed, nearly returning to last year's levels, and the retail sales of consumer goods saw a positive growth rate for the first time this year [3] - The industrial producer price index continued to rise in August, with operating revenue for industrial enterprises increasing by 4.9% year-on-year, up by 1.6 percentage points from July [3] Group 2: Cost Reduction Policies - A series of cost-reduction policies have been implemented to alleviate pressure on enterprises, including significant tax cuts and reductions in electricity, land, and rental costs [3] - In August, the cost per 100 yuan of operating revenue for large-scale industrial enterprises decreased by 0.47 yuan year-on-year, and expenses per 100 yuan of operating revenue decreased by 0.02 yuan [3] Group 3: Sector Performance - The internal supply and demand cycle in the industrial sector improved, with downstream recovery boosting upstream industries [4] - Mining industry profits fell by 11.9% year-on-year in August, but the decline was significantly reduced by 28.7 percentage points compared to July; raw material manufacturing profits grew by 32.5%, accelerating by 17.8 percentage points from July [4] - The petroleum processing industry saw profits increase by 148.2% year-on-year, while the steel industry profits grew by 68.3%, both showing significant acceleration compared to July [4] - Equipment manufacturing profits rose by 23.1% year-on-year, contributing 8.1 percentage points to the overall industrial profit growth [4] Group 4: Future Outlook - Future policy support is expected to accelerate, with a focus on demand-side recovery, although global economic uncertainties may pose challenges to manufacturing [5] - Despite the stable recovery of industrial profits in August, the revenue and profit growth rates from January to August have not turned positive, indicating ongoing pressures [5] - The emphasis will remain on supply-side structural reforms to stimulate domestic demand and enhance market vitality [5]