Group 1 - In July, the industrial production in China maintained steady growth, with the industrial added value of large-scale enterprises increasing by 5.7% year-on-year, and a month-on-month increase of 0.38% after seasonal adjustment [1] - From January to July, the industrial added value grew by 6.3%, which is 0.4 percentage points higher than the same period last year [1] - Among the three major sectors, the manufacturing industry saw an added value growth of 6.2%, surpassing the overall industrial growth by 0.5 percentage points [1] Group 2 - The equipment manufacturing industry showed robust performance, with an added value growth of 8.4% in July, exceeding the overall industrial growth by 2.7 percentage points [2] - All eight sectors within equipment manufacturing experienced growth, with electronics, electrical machinery, and automotive sectors each growing by 10.2%, 10.2%, and 8.5% respectively [2] - High-end equipment products such as steam turbines for power plants and mobile communication base station equipment saw significant production increases of 52.0% and 43.2% respectively [2] Group 3 - The high-tech manufacturing sector's added value increased by 9.3% in July, with notable growth in integrated circuit manufacturing (26.9%) and electronic special materials (21.7%) [3] - The aerospace and railway industries benefited from strong demand, with added value growth of 17.3% in the aerospace sector and a 1.5 times increase in railway locomotive production [3] - The digital product manufacturing sector also grew by 8.4%, with smart device manufacturing increasing by 13.4% [3] Group 4 - The "Two New" policies have positively impacted various industries, with boiler and prime mover manufacturing increasing by 20.0% and electric motor manufacturing by 15.9% [4] - The production of new energy vehicles rose by 17.1%, supported by vehicle replacement subsidy policies [4] - The production of electric bicycles and 5G smartphones also saw rapid growth, with increases of 45.3% and 8.1% respectively [4]

Core Viewpoint - The economic performance in July 2025 demonstrates resilience and vitality despite external pressures and adverse weather conditions, with steady growth in production, consumption, and investment, alongside stable employment and prices [7][10][20]. Economic Performance Overview - The industrial output in July showed a year-on-year increase of 5.7%, with the equipment manufacturing sector growing by 8.4%, indicating strong industrial growth [7][51]. - The service sector also performed well, with a production index growth of 5.8% in July, driven by increased tourism and related services [7][15]. - Social retail sales increased by 3.7% year-on-year in July, with a notable 4% growth in goods retail [8][14]. - Fixed asset investment grew by 1.6% from January to July, with significant contributions from equipment updates and manufacturing investments [8][45]. Trade and Employment - The total import and export volume increased by 6.7% year-on-year in July, reflecting the resilience of foreign trade despite a complex international environment [8][31]. - The urban unemployment rate remained stable at 5.2%, indicating a steady employment situation [9][20]. New Growth Drivers - High-tech manufacturing saw a 9.3% increase in output, with significant growth in sectors like integrated circuits and new energy vehicles [10][38]. - The digital economy is rapidly developing, with a 8.4% increase in digital product manufacturing in July [10][38]. Consumer Trends - Consumer demand is being stimulated by policies such as the "old for new" consumption initiative, leading to increased sales in home appliances and cultural products [8][14]. - The service sector is experiencing growth, particularly in tourism and digital services, with a notable increase in transportation and cultural service indices [15][56]. Investment Landscape - Investment in manufacturing is growing, with a 6.2% increase in manufacturing investment from January to July, particularly in textiles and automotive sectors [45][46]. - Infrastructure investment is also on the rise, with water management and information transmission sectors seeing significant growth [46][47]. Policy Impact - The implementation of proactive macroeconomic policies is supporting production and investment growth, with a focus on stabilizing employment and market expectations [10][23]. - The government's commitment to deepening reform and opening up is enhancing the resilience and vitality of the economy [21][32].

Economic Overview - The national economy shows a steady growth trend, with industrial added value above designated size increasing by 5.7% year-on-year in July and 6.3% from January to July [1][3] - The service industry continues to grow rapidly, contributing significantly to economic stability [6] Industrial Production - Industrial production maintains robust growth, with high-quality development progressing steadily, showcasing resilience and potential [1] - High-tech manufacturing added value increased by 9.3% year-on-year in July, with significant growth in integrated circuits and electronic materials [2] - Equipment manufacturing and high-tech manufacturing sectors are key contributors, with respective growth rates of 8.4% and 9.3% [1][2] Investment Trends - Fixed asset investment continues to expand, with a total of 288,229 billion yuan from January to July, marking a 1.6% year-on-year increase [3] - Manufacturing investment grew by 6.2%, with high-tech industries such as aerospace and information services seeing substantial increases [3] Consumer Market - Retail sales showed positive growth, with total retail sales reaching 38,780 billion yuan in July, up 3.7% year-on-year [4] - Online retail sales increased by 9.2%, indicating a strong shift towards e-commerce [4][5] - The consumption upgrade policy, including trade-in programs, has positively impacted sales of upgraded goods [5] Service Sector Growth - The service sector's contribution to economic growth is significant, with a 5.5% year-on-year increase in added value in the first half of 2025 [6] - The service production index rose by 5.8% in July, with information technology services growing at 11.9% [6]

Report Overview - The report is an event review of the economic data for July 2025 released by the National Bureau of Statistics on August 15, 2025, covering production, consumption, investment, market, and bond market views [1]. Industry Investment Rating - No industry investment rating is provided in the report. Core Viewpoints - In the second half of 2025, the economic growth rate may not decline significantly; structural issues such as prices are trending towards improvement; the allocation between stocks and bonds will continue to shift, with bond yields and the stock market expected to rise continuously [6]. Summary by Section Production - In July, the year - on - year growth rate of the added value of industrial enterprises above the designated size was 5.7%, 1.1 percentage points slower than that in June, and the month - on - month growth rate was 0.38%. The growth rate slowed down slightly due to seasonal factors [2]. - The equipment manufacturing industry continued to play a key role in industrial production. In July, the year - on - year growth rate of the added value of the equipment manufacturing industry above the designated size was 8.4%, significantly supporting the growth of industrial enterprises above the designated size [2]. - The high - end trend of the manufacturing industry continued. In July, the year - on - year growth rates of the added value of the high - tech manufacturing industry and the digital product manufacturing industry above the designated size were 9.3% and 8.4% respectively, both higher than the growth rate of industrial enterprises above the designated size. The integrated circuit and electronic special material manufacturing industries grew by 26.9% and 21.7% respectively [2]. Consumption - In July, the year - on - year growth rate of the total retail sales of consumer goods was 3.7%, 1.1 percentage points slower than that in June, and the month - on - month decline was 0.14%. The year - on - year decline in total retail sales was mainly due to the suspension of national subsidies in some regions [3]. - In July, the year - on - year growth rates of catering revenue and catering revenue of units above the designated size were 1.1% and - 0.3% respectively, up 0.2 and 0.1 percentage points from June. With the cooling of subsidies on food delivery platforms, catering revenue is expected to bottom out and rebound [3]. Investment - From January to July, the year - on - year growth rate of fixed asset investment was 1.6%, 1.2 percentage points lower than that from January to June; after excluding real estate development investment, the year - on - year growth rate of national fixed asset investment was 5.3%, 1.3 percentage points lower than that from January to June [4]. - The investment in water conservancy management and information transmission industries from January to July increased by 12.6% and 8.3% respectively. The investment in equipment and tools increased by 15.2% year - on - year, accounting for 16.2% of the total investment and driving the overall investment growth by 2.2 percentage points [4]. - From January to July, the year - on - year decline in real estate development investment was 12%, 0.8 percentage points wider than that from January to June. The sales area and sales volume of newly built commercial housing decreased by 4.0% and 6.5% respectively year - on - year, with the decline rates 0.5 and 1.0 percentage points wider than those from January to June, both at the lowest growth rates of the year. The real estate investment is searching for the bottom. The national real estate climate index further declined to 93.34, still in a low - level climate range [4]. Market - After the economic data were released at 10:00, the yields fluctuated downward under the push of the fundamentals and the support of funds. However, after the mid - day break, affected by the strong performance of the stock market, the yields fluctuated upward again [5]. Bond Market Viewpoints - Under the revision of economic expectations, bond yields are expected to rise trendingly. For the allocation between stocks and bonds, the report maintains the view that in the second half of 2025, the economic growth rate may not decline significantly; structural issues such as prices are trending towards improvement; the allocation between stocks and bonds will continue to shift, with bond yields and the stock market expected to rise continuously [6].

Core Insights - The city has effectively utilized the "Two New" working group to promote four major actions: equipment updates, trade-in programs, recycling, and standard upgrades, resulting in significant achievements in the first half of the year [1][2] Group 1: Economic Performance - The value added of regulated equipment manufacturing and digital product manufacturing industries increased by 10.5% and 14.3% year-on-year, respectively, while the automotive manufacturing industry saw a 17.3% increase [1] - The total retail sales of consumer goods grew by 6.3% year-on-year, driven by the trade-in programs that released consumer potential [1] Group 2: Policy and Project Development - The city has developed a comprehensive policy framework and project reserve, implementing 11 specialized work plans to support the "Two New" initiatives [1] - The city has established a task list for the "Two Heavy" and "Two New" initiatives, clarifying key tasks and support standards [1] Group 3: Recycling and Standards - As of now, the city has applied for a total of 566 million yuan in funding for trade-in programs, which has driven sales of related subsidized products exceeding 4.3 billion yuan [2] - The city has recycled 55,000 scrapped vehicles, 150,000 household appliances, and 36,000 electric bicycles [2] - The "Two New" standards have led to the formulation of 8 national standards and 4 local standards [2] Group 4: Future Plans - The city plans to enhance coordination and improve the awareness and satisfaction of policies among enterprises, ensuring smooth implementation of trade-in funding [2] - The development department will collaborate with relevant industry authorities to focus on key support areas, planning high-quality projects in advance [2]

Economic Overview - The core viewpoint of the article emphasizes that despite facing risks and challenges, China's economy is showing steady progress with supportive macro policies and expanding market demand [3][12]. New Productive Forces - In July, the added value of high-tech manufacturing above designated size increased by 9.3% year-on-year, outpacing the overall industrial growth by 3.6 percentage points [4]. - The digital economy is rapidly developing, with the added value of digital product manufacturing increasing by 8.4% year-on-year in July [4]. - Production of green low-carbon products is also on the rise, with new energy vehicles, lithium-ion batteries, and wind turbine generators seeing year-on-year growth of 17.1%, 29.4%, and 19.3%, respectively [4]. Foreign Trade - In July, the total value of goods imports and exports increased by 6.7% year-on-year, with exports growing by 8% and imports by 4.8% [5]. - The diversification of trade partners is evident, with exports to ASEAN, the EU, and Belt and Road countries increasing by 14.8%, 8.2%, and 11.7%, respectively [5]. - The export of integrated circuits saw significant growth of 21.8%, indicating enhanced international competitiveness [5]. Consumption - In July, the total retail sales of consumer goods increased by 3.7% year-on-year, with service retail sales growing by 5.2% in the first seven months [6]. - The sales of home appliances, furniture, and communication equipment saw substantial growth, with increases of 28.7%, 20.6%, and 14.9%, respectively [7]. - The tourism and leisure sectors experienced rapid growth, with retail sales in related services maintaining double-digit growth [7]. Investment - Fixed asset investment grew by 1.6% year-on-year in the first seven months, with actual growth (adjusted for price factors) estimated between 4% and 5% [8][9]. - Manufacturing investment increased by 6.2%, significantly outpacing overall investment growth [9]. - Investment in high-tech industries, such as aerospace and information services, saw substantial increases of 33.9% and 32.8%, respectively [9]. Price Trends - In July, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) showed positive changes, with a month-on-month increase of 0.4% [10]. - The core CPI, excluding food and energy, rose by 0.8% year-on-year, indicating a strengthening market demand [10]. - The Producer Price Index (PPI) saw a month-on-month decline of 0.2%, but the rate of decline has narrowed, marking the first reduction in the rate since March [10].

Economic Overview - The core viewpoint is that despite facing risks and challenges, China's economy is showing steady progress with new growth drivers emerging, supported by effective macro policies and expanding market demand [2][10]. New Productive Forces - In July, the added value of high-tech manufacturing above designated size increased by 9.3% year-on-year, outpacing the overall industrial growth by 3.6 percentage points [3]. - The digital economy is rapidly developing, with the added value of digital product manufacturing increasing by 8.4% in July [3]. - Production of green and low-carbon products is also on the rise, with new energy vehicles, lithium-ion batteries, and wind turbine generators seeing year-on-year growth of 17.1%, 29.4%, and 19.3% respectively [3]. Foreign Trade - In July, the total value of goods imports and exports grew by 6.7% year-on-year, with exports increasing by 8% and imports by 4.8% [4]. - The diversification of trade partners is evident, with exports to ASEAN, the EU, and Belt and Road countries growing by 14.8%, 8.2%, and 11.7% respectively from January to July [4]. - The export of high-tech products increased by 7.2%, with integrated circuit exports rising by 21.8% [4]. Consumption - Retail sales of consumer goods in July grew by 3.7% year-on-year, with service retail sales increasing by 5.2% from January to July [5][6]. - The "trade-in" policy has positively impacted sales, with significant growth in home appliances, furniture, and communication equipment retail sales [5]. - Tourism and leisure-related consumption saw double-digit growth, indicating a recovery in consumer demand [6]. Investment - Fixed asset investment grew by 1.6% year-on-year from January to July, with actual growth (adjusted for price factors) estimated between 4% and 5% [7][8]. - Manufacturing investment increased by 6.2%, with high-tech industries such as aerospace and information services seeing substantial investment growth of 33.9% and 32.8% respectively [8]. - Infrastructure investment in key areas like water management grew by 12.6%, indicating ongoing support for economic transformation [8]. Price Trends - In July, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) showed positive changes, with a month-on-month increase of 0.4% and a core CPI year-on-year increase of 0.8% [9]. - The Producer Price Index (PPI) saw a month-on-month decline of 0.2%, but the rate of decline has narrowed, marking the first reduction in the rate since March [9].

Economic Overview - In July, major economic indicators maintained overall stability, with new growth drivers emerging, supporting steady economic development despite existing risks and challenges [1] - The macroeconomic policies are showing effectiveness, leading to expanded market demand and enhanced market vitality [1] New Quality Productivity - The added value of high-tech manufacturing above designated size increased by 9.3% year-on-year in July, outpacing the overall industrial growth by 3.6 percentage points [2] - The digital economy is rapidly developing, with the added value of digital product manufacturing increasing by 8.4% year-on-year in July [2] - Production of green low-carbon products is also on the rise, with new energy vehicles, lithium-ion batteries, and wind turbine generators seeing production increases of 17.1%, 29.4%, and 19.3% respectively [2] Foreign Trade - In July, the total value of goods imports and exports grew by 6.7% year-on-year, with exports increasing by 8% and imports by 4.8% [3] - The diversification of trade is evident, with exports to ASEAN, the EU, and Belt and Road countries growing by 14.8%, 8.2%, and 11.7% respectively from January to July [3] - The export of integrated circuits surged by 21.8%, reflecting enhanced international competitiveness due to improved R&D capabilities [3] Consumption - Retail sales of consumer goods increased by 3.7% year-on-year in July, with service retail sales growing by 5.2% from January to July [4] - The "old-for-new" policy has positively impacted sales, with significant growth in retail sales of home appliances, furniture, and communication equipment [4] - Tourism and leisure-related consumption saw rapid growth during the summer, with double-digit increases in retail sales for travel services and recreational activities [5] Investment - Fixed asset investment grew by 1.6% year-on-year from January to July, with actual growth (adjusted for price factors) estimated between 4% and 5% [6] - Manufacturing investment rose by 6.2%, significantly outpacing overall investment growth [6] - Investment in high-tech industries, particularly in aerospace and information services, saw substantial increases of 33.9% and 32.8% respectively [6] Price Trends - In July, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) showed positive changes, with a month-on-month increase of 0.4% [7] - The core CPI, excluding food and energy, rose by 0.8% year-on-year, indicating a strengthening market demand [7] - The Producer Price Index (PPI) saw a month-on-month decline of 0.2%, but the rate of decline has narrowed, marking the first reduction in the decline since March [7]

Economic Overview - In July, key economic indicators showed fluctuations due to multiple factors, but overall growth remained stable, reflecting strong resilience and vitality in high-quality development [2] - The international environment remains complex and severe, with trade protectionism and extreme weather impacting economic operations [2] Industrial Production - In July, the industrial added value above designated size grew by 5.7% year-on-year, with manufacturing value-added increasing by 6.2%, indicating continued rapid growth [3] - The equipment manufacturing sector showed significant growth, with an 8.4% increase in added value, supporting overall industrial growth [3] - High-tech manufacturing added value rose by 9.3%, with notable growth in integrated circuits (26.9%) and electronic materials (21.7%) [3] Consumption Trends - Retail sales of consumer goods increased by 3.7% year-on-year in July, with a notable impact from the "old-for-new" consumption policy [5] - Sales of home appliances and communication devices saw significant growth, with increases of 28.7% and 14.9% respectively [5] - The service retail sector also experienced growth, particularly in tourism and cultural services, driven by increased consumer demand during the summer [6] Future Outlook - Despite facing risks and challenges, the foundation of the economy remains strong, with the International Monetary Fund raising China's economic growth forecast by 0.8 percentage points [7] - The expansion of market demand is supported by ongoing consumption initiatives and diversification in foreign trade [7] - Continued emphasis on technological innovation and digital transformation is expected to foster new growth points in the economy [8]

Economic Overview - In July, key economic indicators showed fluctuations due to multiple factors, but overall growth remained stable, reflecting strong resilience and vitality in high-quality development [1] - The international environment remains complex and severe, with trade protectionism and extreme weather impacting economic operations [1] Industrial Growth - In July, the industrial added value of large-scale enterprises grew by 5.7% year-on-year, with manufacturing value-added increasing by 6.2% [2] - The equipment manufacturing sector showed robust growth, with an 8.4% increase in added value, significantly supporting overall industrial growth [2] - High-tech manufacturing saw a 9.3% increase, with notable growth in integrated circuits (26.9%) and electronic materials (21.7%) [2] Digital and Intelligent Transformation - The digital product manufacturing sector grew by 8.4% year-on-year, outpacing overall industrial growth [3] - The production of industrial robots and service robots increased by 24% and 12.8%, respectively, indicating rapid advancement in artificial intelligence applications [3] Consumer Market Dynamics - Retail sales of consumer goods increased by 3.7% year-on-year in July, with a notable impact from the "old-for-new" consumption policy [4] - Sales of home appliances and cultural products saw significant growth, with increases of 28.7% and 13.8%, respectively [4] - The service retail sector also experienced growth, particularly in tourism and cultural services, driven by increased consumer demand during the summer [5] Emerging Consumption Trends - Online retail and new consumption models, such as live streaming sales, are gaining traction, with physical goods online retail growing by 6.3% year-on-year [6] - The demand for digital entertainment and information services continues to expand, contributing to a robust service retail environment [6] Economic Support Factors - The International Monetary Fund has raised its growth forecast for China's economy by 0.8 percentage points, reflecting increased confidence in China's economic development [7] - The expansion of market demand, driven by consumption and diversified export markets, is creating favorable conditions for stable economic operation [7] Policy and Reform Initiatives - The government is committed to deepening reforms and expanding high-level openness, which is improving economic circulation and enhancing foreign trade resilience [8] - Active macroeconomic policies are being implemented to boost production demand and stabilize economic growth [8]