Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index closed at 23,453.16, down 187 points or 0.79%[3] - The Shanghai Composite Index ended at 3,380.82, down 0.68%[3] - The Shenzhen Component Index fell by 1.62%, closing at 10,186.45[3] - The total market turnover was 2002.09 million HKD[3] Key Stock Movements - HSBC Holdings (00005) decreased by 0.2%, closing at 90.6 HKD[3] - Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (00388) dropped 1%, closing at 377.2 HKD[3] - JD.com (09618) fell 4.4%, closing at 135.4 HKD, marking the worst performance among blue chips[3] - Tencent (00700) reported a 13% increase in Q1 revenue but closed down 0.2% at 520 HKD[3] - Alibaba (09988) fell 1.2% to 128.9 HKD ahead of its earnings announcement[3] Economic Indicators - The China Securities Regulatory Commission plans to implement reforms for the Sci-Tech Innovation Board and the ChiNext Board to enhance investor protection and market integrity[6] - In April, Hong Kong welcomed 3.8 million visitors, a 13% year-on-year increase, with mainland visitors totaling 12.05 million, up 8%[8] Company Performance - Samsonite (01910) reported lower-than-expected sales and profit margins, leading to a 20% target price reduction to 20 HKD, maintaining an "outperform" rating[10] - Minhua Holdings (01999) reported a 10.41% decrease in net profit to 2.063 billion HKD, with total revenue down 8.24%[12] - Geely Automobile (00175) saw a 2.64 times increase in net profit to 5.672 billion RMB, with revenue rising 24.51% to 72.495 billion RMB[13]

Group 1: Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index closed at 23,453, down 187 points or 0.8%, with a trading volume of 200.2 billion [3] - The mainland stock market faced pressure, with the Shanghai Composite Index ending its upward trend [2] - The Northbound capital flow turned negative again, indicating a short-term consolidation for the Hang Seng Index [2] Group 2: Macro & Industry Dynamics - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) plans to introduce a series of reform measures for the Sci-Tech Innovation Board and the ChiNext Board, focusing on high-quality development of the capital market [6] - The CSRC aims to enhance investor protection and combat illegal activities such as insider trading and market manipulation [6][7] - The CSRC is also working on improving the legal framework for investor rights protection and enhancing the quality of service provided by securities and fund institutions [7] Group 3: Company News - Samsonite (01910) reported first-quarter results that fell short of expectations, leading to a 20% reduction in target price to 20 HKD, while maintaining an "outperform" rating [10] - The company faces challenges such as macroeconomic factors, increased competition, and uncertainties regarding tariffs [10][11] - Minhua Holdings (01999) reported a 10.41% decrease in net profit for the year ending March, with total revenue down 8.24% [12] - Geely Automobile (00175) announced a significant increase in first-quarter profit, up 2.64 times year-on-year, driven by strong sales growth in the new energy sector [13]

Core Viewpoint - CICC has downgraded Samsonite's revenue and net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 due to weak consumer sentiment amid U.S. tariff uncertainties, with target price reduced by 20% to HKD 20, indicating a 30% upside potential from the current stock price [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Samsonite's Q1 2025 net sales were USD 797 million, a 4.5% year-on-year decline at constant exchange rates; adjusted EBITDA was USD 128 million with a margin of 16.0%, down from 18.8% in the same period last year; adjusted net profit was USD 52 million, compared to USD 87 million last year [2] - Sales and profit margins fell short of expectations primarily due to underperformance in Asia and misalignment of wholesale orders in North America, although stable European performance and cautious marketing spending mitigated some impacts [2] Group 2: Management Insights - Management noted strong performance of the Tumi brand in China and indicated that sales growth in Q2 2025 so far is similar to Q1 2025 [3] - They expect stable gross margins in Q2 2025, with slight improvement in adjusted EBITDA margins; no significant pre-stocking behavior was observed in the luggage industry compared to other consumer goods [3] - As of Q1 2025, 14% of products sold in the U.S. were sourced from China, with expectations to reduce this to 1%-5% by the end of 2025 due to potential tariff increases, prompting the company to implement several measures [3] Group 3: Market Outlook and Strategy - Management believes that a projected 5% growth in global passenger numbers in 2025 could indicate growth potential for luggage demand, given the historical correlation between Samsonite's sales and global travel [3] - As of Q1 2025, the company returned USD 350 million to shareholders through dividends and buybacks, resulting in a net leverage ratio of 1.8 times [3] - The company is actively pursuing a dual listing in the U.S. and is closely monitoring market conditions [3]