1、恆指：看多投資者認為上26400，上面還有大量近熊要殺的。持有牛證，收回價25840點。看淡投資者表示 科技股隻隻放血，選擇在26250點開恆指。 Simon：大家好，歡迎來到我們今天（7日）的講股回顧，咱們還是先從恆指說起。很明顯能看到，今天恆指在昨天迎來一波較大升幅後，出現了回落情 況，按收盤價計算，最終回到了26241點，比昨天稍微跌了一點。整體來看，跌幅不算特別大，還不到1%，所以波動幅度不算顯著。不過和昨天相比，升勢 沒能延續，這或許會讓一部分投資者感到些許失望。 從技術信號來看，目前"賣出"信號稍微占多數。恆指的支持位大概在25700點左右，阻力位則大概在26700點左右，兩者之間相差約1000點。如果有投資者想 買入牛證，建議選擇收回價稍遠一些的產品，比如25600點甚至25500點附近的，這樣相對會更安全；要是考慮熊證相關操作，熊證的阻力位大概在26700點 附近，若想做空頭相關產品，建議選擇收回價在26700點之上，甚至27000點附近的產品，因為一旦升穿26700點的阻力位，恆指有可能上沖到27000點。要知 道市場波動有時會比較大，所以買賣牛證、熊證時得更加謹慎，過於貼價的產品風險較 ...

Group 1: Ganfeng Lithium (01772) - Ganfeng Lithium's stock price has been declining for three consecutive days, currently at 47.5 HKD, close to the middle line of the Bollinger Bands [1] - Investors speculate that the stock may drop further to around 41 HKD, with a support level at approximately 43.5 HKD; if it breaks this level, it could fall to about 37.6 HKD [1] - Some investors are optimistic about its future performance and are considering purchasing relatively priced call options [1] Group 2: China Merchants Bank (03968) - China Merchants Bank's stock has risen for three consecutive days, currently at 50.9 HKD, with increased trading volume [4] - There are options available with a strike price of 59 HKD, which is over 10% out of the money; it may take time for the stock to reach this level [4][5] - The available products show significant differences in leverage, with some having a leverage of 8.2 times and others up to 11 times [5][6] Group 3: Luoyang Molybdenum (03993) - Luoyang Molybdenum's stock price has dropped for three days, currently at 15.45 HKD, with expectations of further decline [7] - Investors are advised to wait for the stock to reach a support level of around 14.5 HKD before considering buying [7] - There are options available with strike prices around 14.88 HKD, with leverage ranging from 3.3 to 3.6 times [7][8] Group 4: Hua Hong Semiconductor (01347) - Hua Hong Semiconductor's stock price has slightly decreased to 75.8 HKD, with a bearish outlook from investors [9] - There are options available with strike prices closer to the current market price, around 69 to 70 HKD, with leverage of approximately 2.3 times [10] - Investors are cautioned against options with strike prices too far from the current price, as they may not track the stock effectively [10]

現時精選的兩款認購證各有針對性亮點：麥銀認購證（18261）槓桿 3.4 倍，行使價 41.772 元，核心優勢係「溢價最低，引伸波幅及槓桿都比較理想」—— 3.4 倍槓桿在周期股窩輪中屬於「高性價比」水平，既能在股價突破 42 元時放大收益，又不會因過高槓桿導致小幅回調就大幅虧損；行使價 41.772 元與現 價差距不大，只要股價再漲 5.9% 就能達到行使價，若周期風口延續，很快就能進入「實際收益區」。至於摩通認購證（19574），槓桿 2.1 倍，行使價 41.79 元，雖槓桿略低，但「槓桿及引伸波幅較為理想」，適合對周期走勢偏謹慎、想以更低波動跟進的投資者 ——2.1 倍槓桿能減少短期超買回調帶來的 虧損壓力，引伸波幅穩定也能降低時間值損耗風險。 | 相關資產 名稱 | 產品 | 植桿 | 行使價 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 贛鋒鋰業(01772) 摩通認購證 | 19574 | 2.1 | 41.79 | | | 贛鋒鋰業(01772) 麥銀認購證 | 18261 | 3.4 ! | 41.772 | | | | | | | 国商餐汇 | 9 月 25 ...

Core Viewpoint - Ganfeng Lithium has recently shown strong upward momentum, with its stock price reaching 30.8 HKD, marking a significant increase of 10.39% on Thursday (24th) with a trading volume of 1.568 billion HKD, indicating a bullish technical pattern [1][3] Technical Analysis - The stock price has encountered key technical levels, with immediate support at 26.3 HKD and strong support at 24.2 HKD, while the upper resistance is at 34.7 HKD, which is a critical psychological barrier [3] - Multiple indicators are signaling overbought conditions, with an RSI of 78, suggesting a higher probability of short-term pullbacks when RSI exceeds 75 [1] - The volatility has been significant, with a 5-day price fluctuation of 22.7%, and the implied volatility has surged by 25 percentage points, indicating potential for continued volatility [1] Market Sentiment - The recent surge in Ganfeng Lithium's stock has positively impacted related derivative products, with notable increases in warrants, such as Huatai's warrant rising by 34% and Bank of China's warrant increasing by 30% following a 7.5% rise in the underlying stock [3] - The market sentiment has improved significantly, driven by a rebound in lithium carbonate prices and a recovery in electric vehicle sales [3] Investment Products - Investors may consider bullish strategies with warrants like JPMorgan's warrant (exercise price 29.29 HKD, leverage 3.3) and Bank of China's warrant (exercise price 29.34 HKD, leverage 3.4), which are deemed relatively stable [5] - Caution is advised as the implied volatility of Ganfeng Lithium has increased, necessitating careful comparison of time decay when selecting warrants [5]