Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index closed at 26,384 points, down 188 points or 0.71%[6] - The total turnover was HKD 217.61 billion, a decrease of 6.5% from the previous day[6] - The US Dow Jones Index fell to 46,590 points, down 557 points or 1.18%[6] Key Stock Performances - Ctrip (9961.HK) reported a net profit of RMB 19.89 billion for Q3, a year-on-year increase of 194%[6] - China Hongqiao (1378.HK) plans to place up to 400 million shares at a price of HKD 29.2, raising approximately RMB 11.49 billion for project development and debt repayment[6] - Lithium stocks surged, with Ganfeng Lithium (1772.HK) rising about 9.0% and Tianqi Lithium (9696.HK) increasing by 5.7%[6] Economic Indicators - Foreign investors have reduced their holdings in Chinese bonds for six consecutive months[2] - The US two-year bond yield is currently at 3.6018%, with a year-to-date change of -63.98 basis points[21] - The US ten-year bond yield stands at 4.1328%, down 43.62 basis points year-to-date[21] Commodity Prices - New York crude oil closed at USD 59.91 per barrel, down 0.3%[6] - Brent crude oil also fell by 0.3%, closing at USD 64.20[6] - New York gold futures increased by 52.87% year-to-date, closing at USD 4,074.50[4] IPO and New Listings - The IPO for "Innovation Industry" (2788.HK) is set to begin subscription on November 14 and will close on November 19, with the listing date on November 24[18]

消息面上，11月10日，贛鋒鋰業發佈公告，關於本公司與Lithium Argentina共同開發合併專案的相關事宜。近日，阿根廷薩爾塔省礦業和能源秘書處已為合 併專案一期頒發了《環境影響評估報告》(DIA)，標誌著合併專案取得關鍵進展。花旗：將 贛鋒鋰業 A股評級上調至買進；目標價85.51元人民幣。市場上， 投資者看至60元。 贛鋒鋰業股價近期隨鋰價走勢震盪，昨日（10日）收報54元，單日上升2.47%，成交金額20.62億元，顯示市場交投活躍。今日（11日）升1.02%，股價報 54.55元。從技術走勢觀察，股價目前正處於關鍵轉捩點，短期支持位在49元，若調整加深可能下探43.7元水準。上方阻力方面，59.1元構成重要關卡，突破 後下一目標將看向64.3元。 | 10:27 | | | 11 2 6 11 10:27 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | AL Q C. ( | | | | 圖表 輪脂 評論 | 資訊 | | 圖表 輪證 評論 | | 資訊 | | 22130 贛鋒星展六五購A.C | | | | 14802 贛鋒匯豐六五購 ...

Group 1 - The Hang Seng Index (HSI) experienced a slight decline, closing at 26,241 points, which is a minor drop of less than 1% after a significant rise the previous day [1][2] - Technical signals indicate a majority "sell" signal, with support around 25,700 points and resistance at approximately 26,700 points, suggesting a potential trading range of about 1,000 points [2] - Investors are advised to choose safer products with recovery prices further from the current levels, such as 25,600 or 25,500 for bullish options, and above 26,700 for bearish options [2] Group 2 - Semiconductor company Hua Hong Semiconductor (01347.HK) showed a slight price drop, closing at 79.45 HKD, with support at around 73 HKD and resistance at 87.5 HKD [6] - Technical signals for Hua Hong indicate a slight majority of "buy" signals, with 8 buy signals compared to 6 sell signals [6][10] - CNOOC (00883.HK) is experiencing an upward trend, closing at 21.18 HKD, with resistance at 21.6 HKD and potential for further gains if it breaks this level [12][16] Group 3 - Bilibili (09626.HK) is showing weak performance, closing at 216 HKD, with potential further declines to 205 HKD if the downward trend continues [18] - China Mobile (00941.HK) is performing well, closing at 87.15 HKD, close to the upper Bollinger Band, with resistance at 88.1 HKD [19][22] - Ganfeng Lithium (01772.HK) closed at 52.7 HKD, near the upper Bollinger Band, with resistance at 55.9 HKD and a prevailing "sell" signal in the market [24][27]

Group 1: Ganfeng Lithium (01772) - Ganfeng Lithium's stock price has been declining for three consecutive days, currently at 47.5 HKD, close to the middle line of the Bollinger Bands [1] - Investors speculate that the stock may drop further to around 41 HKD, with a support level at approximately 43.5 HKD; if it breaks this level, it could fall to about 37.6 HKD [1] - Some investors are optimistic about its future performance and are considering purchasing relatively priced call options [1] Group 2: China Merchants Bank (03968) - China Merchants Bank's stock has risen for three consecutive days, currently at 50.9 HKD, with increased trading volume [4] - There are options available with a strike price of 59 HKD, which is over 10% out of the money; it may take time for the stock to reach this level [4][5] - The available products show significant differences in leverage, with some having a leverage of 8.2 times and others up to 11 times [5][6] Group 3: Luoyang Molybdenum (03993) - Luoyang Molybdenum's stock price has dropped for three days, currently at 15.45 HKD, with expectations of further decline [7] - Investors are advised to wait for the stock to reach a support level of around 14.5 HKD before considering buying [7] - There are options available with strike prices around 14.88 HKD, with leverage ranging from 3.3 to 3.6 times [7][8] Group 4: Hua Hong Semiconductor (01347) - Hua Hong Semiconductor's stock price has slightly decreased to 75.8 HKD, with a bearish outlook from investors [9] - There are options available with strike prices closer to the current market price, around 69 to 70 HKD, with leverage of approximately 2.3 times [10] - Investors are cautioned against options with strike prices too far from the current price, as they may not track the stock effectively [10]

現時精選的兩款認購證各有針對性亮點：麥銀認購證（18261）槓桿 3.4 倍，行使價 41.772 元，核心優勢係「溢價最低，引伸波幅及槓桿都比較理想」—— 3.4 倍槓桿在周期股窩輪中屬於「高性價比」水平，既能在股價突破 42 元時放大收益，又不會因過高槓桿導致小幅回調就大幅虧損；行使價 41.772 元與現 價差距不大，只要股價再漲 5.9% 就能達到行使價，若周期風口延續，很快就能進入「實際收益區」。至於摩通認購證（19574），槓桿 2.1 倍，行使價 41.79 元，雖槓桿略低，但「槓桿及引伸波幅較為理想」，適合對周期走勢偏謹慎、想以更低波動跟進的投資者 ——2.1 倍槓桿能減少短期超買回調帶來的 虧損壓力，引伸波幅穩定也能降低時間值損耗風險。 | 相關資產 名稱 | 產品 | 植桿 | 行使價 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 贛鋒鋰業(01772) 摩通認購證 | 19574 | 2.1 | 41.79 | | | 贛鋒鋰業(01772) 麥銀認購證 | 18261 | 3.4 ! | 41.772 | | | | | | | 国商餐汇 | 9 月 25 ...

Core Viewpoint - Ganfeng Lithium has recently shown strong upward momentum, with its stock price reaching 30.8 HKD, marking a significant increase of 10.39% on Thursday (24th) with a trading volume of 1.568 billion HKD, indicating a bullish technical pattern [1][3] Technical Analysis - The stock price has encountered key technical levels, with immediate support at 26.3 HKD and strong support at 24.2 HKD, while the upper resistance is at 34.7 HKD, which is a critical psychological barrier [3] - Multiple indicators are signaling overbought conditions, with an RSI of 78, suggesting a higher probability of short-term pullbacks when RSI exceeds 75 [1] - The volatility has been significant, with a 5-day price fluctuation of 22.7%, and the implied volatility has surged by 25 percentage points, indicating potential for continued volatility [1] Market Sentiment - The recent surge in Ganfeng Lithium's stock has positively impacted related derivative products, with notable increases in warrants, such as Huatai's warrant rising by 34% and Bank of China's warrant increasing by 30% following a 7.5% rise in the underlying stock [3] - The market sentiment has improved significantly, driven by a rebound in lithium carbonate prices and a recovery in electric vehicle sales [3] Investment Products - Investors may consider bullish strategies with warrants like JPMorgan's warrant (exercise price 29.29 HKD, leverage 3.3) and Bank of China's warrant (exercise price 29.34 HKD, leverage 3.4), which are deemed relatively stable [5] - Caution is advised as the implied volatility of Ganfeng Lithium has increased, necessitating careful comparison of time decay when selecting warrants [5]