中信证券发布研报称，预计煤炭板块Q3业绩随煤价回暖而环比提升，而四季度在旺季月份加持下，煤 价整体或进一步上涨;若供给收缩政策执行力度强化，煤价还有望超预期。在政策、煤价、业绩预期均 有改善的背景下，板块Q4反弹的概率在增加。一方面建议关注动力煤红利龙头，另一方面也可关注低 估值且业绩弹性好的公司。目前板块的政策、煤价以及业绩预期都在改善，未来随着市场风格轮动或政 策催化，板块有望出现持续超额收益。 宏观经济波动，影响煤炭需求和煤价;供给收缩执行力度不及预期，或安监力度有所放松，导致供给增 加;海外能源价格系统性下跌，压制我国煤价。 样本上市公司Q3净利润环比增长18% 国家统计局数据显示，2025年前8月全国规模以上煤炭开采和洗选业累计实现利润总额1937.3亿元，同 比下降53.5%。该行主要跟踪的煤炭样本上市公司，2025年前三季度净利润同比降幅约27%，其中动力 煤/冶金煤/无烟煤同比降幅分别为24%/53%/39%。Q3单季盈利环比改善明显，该行预计样本上市公司 Q3净利润加总环比增长约为18%，其中动力煤/焦煤/无烟煤公司环比17%/32%/43%，显示焦煤、无烟煤 公司在Q2低盈利的基数上，煤价 ...

1—8月份，规模以上工业企业每百元营业收入中的成本为85.58元，同比增加0.19元；每百元营业收入中 的费用为8.37元，同比减少0.08元。8月末，规模以上工业企业每百元资产实现的营业收入为74.0元，同 比减少2.0元；人均营业收入为183.5万元，同比增加5.7万元；产成品存货周转天数为20.5天，同比增加 0.1天；应收账款平均回收期为70.1天，同比增加3.7天。8月份，规模以上工业企业利润同比由上月下降 1.5%转为增长20.4%。 1—8月份，采矿业营业成本23281.7亿元，同比下降8.5%。煤炭开采和洗选业营业成本12079.2亿元，同 比下降13.4%。 1—8月份，规模以上工业企业实现营业收入89.62万亿元，同比增长2.3%；发生营业成本76.70万亿元， 增长2.5%；营业收入利润率为5.24%，同比下降0.06个百分点。8月末，规模以上工业企业资产总计 185.08万亿元，同比增长5.0%；负债合计107.34万亿元，增长5.4%；所有者权益合计77.73万亿元，增长 4.4%；资产负债率为58.0%，同比上升0.2个百分点。8月末，规模以上工业企业应收账款27.24万亿元， 同 ...

Group 1: Metal Sector - Zijin Mining's net profit forecast for 2025 is 475 million CNY, with a PE ratio of 15.46[12] - Luoyang Molybdenum's net profit forecast for 2025 is 168.65 million CNY, with a PE ratio of 17.35[12] - The copper production of Zijin Mining is expected to increase by 7% to 115,000 tons in 2025[20] Group 2: Chemical Sector - Wanhua Chemical's net profit forecast for 2025 is 141.75 million CNY, with a PE ratio of 0.00[12] - Longbai Group's net profit forecast for 2025 is 23.01 million CNY, with a PE ratio of 19.75[12] - The MDI market is expected to improve as supply and demand conditions stabilize[48] Group 3: Transportation Sector - China Merchants Highway's net profit forecast for 2025 is 55.01 million CNY, with a PE ratio of 12.10[12] - Haitong Development's net profit forecast for 2025 is 4.43 million CNY, with a PE ratio of 18.87[12] Group 4: Construction Sector - Sichuan Road and Bridge's net profit forecast for 2025 is 82.86 million CNY, with a PE ratio of 8.79[12] - Honglu Steel Structure's net profit forecast for 2025 is 7.96 million CNY, with a PE ratio of 15.35[12]

1—8月份，全国规模以上工业企业实现利润总额46929.7亿元，同比增长0.9%。 1—8月份，规模以上工业企业中，国有控股企业实现利润总额15156.5亿元，同比下降1.7%；股份制企业实现利润总额34931.9亿元， 增长1.1%；外商及港澳台投资企业实现利润总额11723.6亿元，增长0.9%；私营企业实现利润总额13076.1亿元，增长3.3%。 1—8月份，采矿业实现利润总额5661.1亿元，同比下降30.6%；制造业实现利润总额35233.5亿元，增长7.4%；电力、热力、燃气及水 生产和供应业实现利润总额6035.1亿元，增长9.4%。 1—8月份，主要行业利润情况如下：电力、热力生产和供应业利润同比增长13.0%，有色金属冶炼和压延加工业增长12.7%，农副食 品加工业增长11.8%，电气机械和器材制造业增长11.5%，计算机、通信和其他电子设备制造业增长7.2%，专用设备制造业增长 6.9%，通用设备制造业增长5.8%，石油煤炭及其他燃料加工业同比减亏，黑色金属冶炼和压延加工业同比由亏转盈，汽车制造业下 降0.3%，非金属矿物制品业下降2.2%，化学原料和化学制品制造业下降5.5%，纺织业下 ...

1—8月份，全国规模以上工业企业实现利润总额46929.7亿元，同比增长0.9%。 1—8月份，规模以上工业企业中，国有控股企业实现利润总额15156.5亿元，同比下降1.7%；股份制企业实现利润总额34931.9亿元， 增长1.1%；外商及港澳台投资企业实现利润总额11723.6亿元，增长0.9%；私营企业实现利润总额13076.1亿元，增长3.3%。 1—8月份，采矿业实现利润总额5661.1亿元，同比下降30.6%；制造业实现利润总额35233.5亿元，增长7.4%；电力、热力、燃气及水 生产和供应业实现利润总额6035.1亿元，增长9.4%。 1—8月份，主要行业利润情况如下：电力、热力生产和供应业利润同比增长13.0%，有色金属冶炼和压延加工业增长12.7%，农副食 品加工业增长11.8%，电气机械和器材制造业增长11.5%，计算机、通信和其他电子设备制造业增长7.2%，专用设备制造业增长 6.9%，通用设备制造业增长5.8%，石油煤炭及其他燃料加工业同比减亏，黑色金属冶炼和压延加工业同比由亏转盈，汽车制造业下 降0.3%，非金属矿物制品业下降2.2%，化学原料和化学制品制造业下降5.5%，纺织业下 ...

1—8月份，黑色金属冶炼和压延加工业利润总额837亿元。 | 行 业 | 营业收入 | | 营业成本 | | 利润总额 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 金额 | 同比增长 | 金额 | 同比增长 | 我都 | 同比增长 | | | (亿元) | (%) | (亿元) | (%) | (亿元) | (%) | | 분+ | 896231.9 | 2.3 | 766960.8 | 2.5 | 46929.7 | 0 d | | 煤炭开采和洗选业 | 16559.1 | -20.8 | 12079.2 | -13.4 | 1937.3 | -53.6 | | 石油和天然气开采业 | 7706.5 | -5.7 | 4236.6 | 1.8 | 2364.7 | -12.4 | | 黑色金属矿采选补 | 3056.4 | -12.6 | 2461.2 | -11.3 | 295.0 | -30.3 | | 有色金属矿采选业 | 2664.1 | 13.2 | 1530.1 | 6.0 | 809.3 | 33.9 | | 非美属矿关进补 | 23 ...

记者从知情人士处获悉，9月25日上午，中国炼焦行业协会市场委员会召开专题市场分析会，来自山 西、河北、内蒙古、河南、江苏、山东、陕西、宁夏、江西、云南、贵州等地的重点焦化企业代表出席 会议。与会人员结合当前宏观经济环境及行业动态，深入分析了焦炭市场的供需格局及价格走势。 与会企业达成以下决议：一是自9月26日零时起，对钢厂客户执行捣固湿熄焦价格上调50元／吨，捣固 干熄焦价格上调55元／吨，顶装湿熄焦价格上调80元／吨，顶装干熄焦价格上调85元／吨。二是建议焦 炭全行业限产30%以上，对未接受的客户，采取减量或停止发货的方式，共同维护行业利益。建议全体 焦化企业坚持"亏损不生产、亏损不销售、不赊销"原则，坚决维护行业合理利润水平和健康发展秩序。 记者注意到，这两天有不少企业上调焦煤和焦炭价格。 广发期货黑色首席分析师周敏波告诉记者，目前煤焦供需格局偏紧。近期焦煤成交情况好转，竞拍大多 溢价成交。焦煤库存在9月有所累积，不过库存结构出现优化，主要体现在上游煤矿开始去库，下游主 动补库，中间商也在焦煤价格短暂下跌后进行采购，库存向下游转移。进入9月，焦炭连续小幅累库， 目前库存总量约915万吨。在铁水产量相对稳定 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the persistent low inflation in China as a significant challenge for the economy, affecting both macroeconomic stability and microeconomic sentiment [1][8][9] - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) has shown a positive trend, with the core CPI rising by 0.9% year-on-year in August, marking the highest level since February 2024, indicating potential recovery in prices [1][4][3] - The industrial producer price index (PPI) has also shown signs of improvement, with a year-on-year decline of 2.9% in August, a narrowing of the decline by 0.7 percentage points from the previous month [6][8] Group 2 - Experts emphasize the need for a combination of short-term policies and long-term reforms to stabilize prices, suggesting a target CPI growth of 2% as a long-term goal for the 14th Five-Year Plan [11][12] - The "anti-involution" policy is seen as a crucial measure for structural adjustment in the economy, aimed at reducing excess capacity and optimizing supply structures [12][10] - The current economic environment is characterized by insufficient demand, which is expected to continue influencing price trends during the 14th Five-Year Plan period [9][8]

Core Points - The Guizhou Qianxi Energy Development Co., Ltd. was fined ¥30,000 for violating the Production Safety Law of the People's Republic of China [1] - The violation involved the installation of two water pump start switches on a conveyor beam without proper grounding protection, posing significant safety hazards [1] - The penalty was issued by the Qianxi City Energy Bureau on September 18, 2025, based on specific legal provisions [1] Company Information - Guizhou Qianxi Energy Development Co., Ltd. was established on October 19, 2004, with a registered capital of ¥15,500,000 [2] - The company is located in Qianxi County, Bijie City, Guizhou Province, and operates in the coal mining and washing industry [2] - The company's unified social credit code is 91520000745705742C, and its legal representative is Li Hongxian [2]

Industry News - The Ministry of Ecology and Environment reported that the cumulative trading volume of carbon emission allowances in the national carbon market reached 714 million tons, with a total transaction value of 48.961 billion yuan as of September 18, 2025. The number of environmental impact assessments for wind power and new energy vehicles increased by 44.4% and 31.3% year-on-year, respectively [4] - The State Administration for Market Regulation released 56 national metrology technical standards, including those for electric energy, providing a clear traceability path and technical specifications for direct current energy measurement, which will support the development of electric vehicle charging, high-speed rail operations, and photovoltaic power generation [4] - The National Energy Administration issued 271 million green certificates in August 2025, involving 306,500 renewable energy projects, with 155 million certificates available for trading, accounting for 55.99% of the total [5] - The first national standard zero-carbon park was awarded in Xiong'an New Area, marking a significant step in promoting zero-carbon development in the construction sector [5] Corporate News - China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) successfully tackled world-class challenges in the development of offshore reef limestone oil fields, with the Liuhua 11-1/4-1 oil field producing over 700,000 tons of crude oil in its first year of secondary development [6] - The China Electric Power Construction Group's Gansu Survey and Design Institute was established in Guazhou County, aiming to enhance regional cooperation and promote economic transformation in western China [6] - LONGi Green Energy and JinkoSolar announced a joint statement to resolve patent litigation, marking a shift in the photovoltaic industry from price competition to technology-driven high-quality development [7] Local News - A new discovery of 760 million tons of coal resources was reported in the Pan San coal mine in Anhui Province, which will significantly boost the sustainable development of the Huai coalfield [8] - The Xinjiang Dashixia Water Conservancy Hub project officially began water storage, expected to generate over 1.8 billion kilowatt-hours of clean electricity annually, sufficient to meet the annual electricity needs of 650,000 households [8] - Jiangsu Province's largest user-side energy storage station, with a total storage capacity of 240 megawatt-hours, has been officially connected to the grid, marking a significant step towards near-zero carbon transformation for a traditional steel giant [8]