《三谋》繁中版
Search documents
哔哩哔哩(09626.HK):利润率提升趋势向好 社区建设助力商业循环
Ge Long Hui· 2025-11-14 21:28
公司公布3Q25 业绩:收入76.9 亿元,同增5%,超我们预期(76.1 亿元);Non-GAAP 净利润7.87 亿 元,超我们预期(5.63亿元),我们判断主要因广告收入增速高,毛利率好于此前预期。 发展趋势 利润率提升趋势向好,广告业务增势驱动明显。公司3Q25 广告收入同增23%至25.7 亿元;毛利率环增 0.2ppt 至36.7%;经调整净利率环增2.6ppt 至10.2%。我们认为:1)公司3Q25 广告收入高增速助力驱动 毛利率提升,主要得益于效果广告eCPM 的持续提升和品牌广告的快速增长;2)伴随商业化成熟,公 司中长期利润率提升趋势整体向好,营收增长、营收结构改善和经营杠杆释放或共同助力。我们判断, 公司4Q25 广告收入或同增23%至29.3 亿元,2026 年增速有望保持行业领先,后续重点关注多屏多终端 广告场景释放潜力;4Q25 公司毛利率有望达37%,调整后营业利润率有望达9%。公司于业绩会表示, 中期毛利率目标为40~45%,调整后经营利润率目标为15~20%。 机构:中金公司 研究员:张雪晴/白洋/焦杉/肖俨衍/魏萌 业绩回顾 3Q25 Non-GAAP 净利润高于我们预期 ...
哔哩哔哩-W(09626.HK):广告继续快速增长 关注下半年新游进展
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-23 12:00
Core Viewpoint - The company reported a slight beat in 2Q25 Non-GAAP net profit, driven by lower-than-expected sales and R&D expenses, with revenue growth primarily from advertising and gaming sectors [1][2]. Financial Performance - 2Q25 revenue reached 7.338 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 19.8%, aligning with Bloomberg consensus (7.330 billion yuan) and internal expectations (7.321 billion yuan) [1]. - Non-GAAP net profit for 2Q25 was 562 million yuan, slightly above Bloomberg consensus (520 million yuan) and internal expectations (539 million yuan) [1]. - Advertising revenue grew by 20.2% year-on-year to 2.449 billion yuan, with a notable increase in eCPM [1]. - Gaming revenue surged by 60.1% year-on-year to 1.612 billion yuan, although a decline of 16-17% is expected in 2H25 due to high base effects [1][2]. Development Trends - The company is advised to focus on new game projects such as the繁中版 of "三谋", "代号:三国Ncard", "嘟嘟脸恶作剧", and self-developed "逃离鸭科夫", with revenue contributions anticipated from 4Q25 to 2026 [2]. - Value-added services revenue increased by 10.6% year-on-year to 2.837 billion yuan [2]. Profitability and Cost Management - 2Q25 gross margin improved by 0.2 percentage points to 36.5%, attributed to strong growth in performance advertising revenue and operational leverage [2]. - Sales and management expenses slightly decreased, while R&D expenses saw a modest increase, indicating cost control [2]. - The company expects gross margin to gradually rise to 37% by 4Q25, with long-term potential reaching 40-45% [2]. User Engagement - 2Q25 MAU, DAU, and average daily usage time all showed year-on-year growth, with DAU reaching 109 million [3]. - The company maintains a strong community attribute and user stickiness, with advertising budgets shifting towards core platforms [3]. Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The company maintains its Non-GAAP net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026, with current trading multiples at 33/25 times 2025/2026 Non-GAAP P/E [3]. - The target price for Hong Kong stocks has been raised by 5.7% to 204 HKD, and for US stocks by 8.0% to 27 USD, indicating an upside potential of 3.7%/6.7% [3].
中金:维持哔哩哔哩-W跑赢行业评级 升目标价至204港元
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-08-22 01:32
Core Viewpoint - The report from CICC maintains the Non-GAAP net profit forecast for Bilibili-W (09626) for 2025/2026, with target prices raised by 5.7% to HKD 204 and by 8.0% to USD 27, reflecting a positive outlook based on user ecosystem and AI empowerment [1] Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, the company's revenue reached RMB 7.338 billion, a year-on-year increase of 19.8%, aligning closely with institutional expectations [2] - The Non-GAAP net profit for Q2 2025 was RMB 562 million, slightly exceeding institutional consensus of RMB 520 million, attributed to lower-than-expected sales and R&D expenses [2] Advertising and Gaming Revenue - Advertising revenue in Q2 2025 grew by 20.2% to RMB 2.449 billion, with significant improvement in eCPM, and gaming remains the largest advertising sector [3] - Gaming revenue surged by 60.1% to RMB 1.612 billion in Q2 2025, with stable DAU performance for "Three Kingdoms: Strategy of the World" and potential contributions from upcoming game releases expected in Q4 2025 to 2026 [3] Profitability and Cost Management - The gross margin in Q2 2025 increased by 0.2 percentage points to 36.5%, driven by strong growth in performance advertising revenue and operational leverage [4] - The company anticipates a gradual increase in gross margin, potentially reaching 37% by Q4 2025, with long-term targets of 40% to 45% [4] User Engagement and Community Growth - In Q2 2025, the company reported year-on-year growth in MAU, DAU, and average daily usage time, with DAU reaching 109 million [5] - The company emphasizes its strong community attributes and user stickiness, with a focus on enhancing commercial capabilities and the potential for growth in advertising, gaming, and charging plans [5]
中金:维持哔哩哔哩-W(09626)跑赢行业评级 升目标价至204港元
智通财经网· 2025-08-22 01:25
Core Viewpoint - The report from CICC maintains the Non-GAAP net profit forecast for Bilibili-W (09626) for 2025/2026, with target prices raised by 5.7% to HKD 204 and by 8.0% to USD 27, reflecting an upward potential of 3.7% and 6.7% respectively [1] Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, the company's revenue reached RMB 7.338 billion, a year-on-year increase of 19.8%, aligning closely with institutional expectations [2] - The Non-GAAP net profit for Q2 2025 was RMB 562 million, slightly exceeding institutional consensus of RMB 520 million, attributed to lower-than-expected sales and R&D expenses [2] Advertising and Gaming Revenue - Advertising revenue in Q2 2025 grew by 20.2% to RMB 2.449 billion, with significant improvement in eCPM and gaming remaining the largest advertising sector [3] - Gaming revenue surged by 60.1% to RMB 1.612 billion, with stable DAU performance for "Three Kingdoms: Strategy of the World" and potential contributions from upcoming games expected in Q4 2025 to 2026 [3] Profitability and Cost Management - The gross margin in Q2 2025 increased by 0.2 percentage points to 36.5%, driven by strong growth in performance advertising revenue and operational leverage [4] - The company anticipates a gradual increase in gross margin to 37% by Q4 2025, with long-term potential reaching 40%-45%, supported by stable costs and expenses [4] User Engagement and Community Growth - In Q2 2025, the company reported year-on-year growth in MAU, DAU, and average daily usage time, with DAU reaching 109 million [5] - The company emphasizes its strong community attributes and user stickiness, with a focus on enhancing commercial capabilities and the development potential of advertising, gaming, and charging plans [5]