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哔哩哔哩(09626.HK):利润率提升趋势向好 社区建设助力商业循环
Ge Long Hui· 2025-11-14 21:28
Core Insights - The company reported a better-than-expected performance in Q3 2025, with revenue of 7.69 billion yuan, a 5% year-on-year increase, and Non-GAAP net profit of 787 million yuan, exceeding expectations due to strong advertising revenue growth and improved gross margin [1][2] Performance Review - Q3 2025 revenue reached 7.69 billion yuan, surpassing the forecast of 7.61 billion yuan - Non-GAAP net profit was 787 million yuan, significantly above the expected 563 million yuan - Advertising revenue grew by 23% year-on-year to 2.57 billion yuan, contributing to the overall revenue increase [1] - Gross margin improved by 0.2 percentage points to 36.7%, while adjusted net profit margin increased by 2.6 percentage points to 10.2% [1] Development Trends - The upward trend in profit margins is driven by strong advertising business growth - The company anticipates Q4 2025 advertising revenue to increase by 23% to 2.93 billion yuan, with a projected gross margin of 37% and adjusted operating profit margin of 9% [1] - Long-term profit margin improvement is expected due to revenue growth, better revenue structure, and operational leverage [1] Game Revenue and New Releases - Game revenue in Q3 2025 decreased by 17% year-on-year to 1.511 billion yuan due to a high base from Q3 2024 - New game projects are underway, including "Escape from Duckkov" and "Three Kingdoms: Hundred Generals Card," with potential revenue contributions starting from Q2 2026 [2] - The company reported a 7% increase in value-added service revenue to 3.02 billion yuan, with a 17% rise in paid user count to 35 million [2] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The net profit forecast for 2025 and 2026 has been raised by 7.8% and 2.3% to 2.44 billion yuan and 3.06 billion yuan, respectively - Current stock prices correspond to P/E ratios of 40/29 times and 36/26 times for 2025/2026 [2] - Target prices have been adjusted upward by 7.4% and 7.8% to 29 USD and 220 HKD, indicating potential upside of 6.7% and 3.4% from current prices [2]
哔哩哔哩-W(09626.HK):广告继续快速增长 关注下半年新游进展
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-23 12:00
Core Viewpoint - The company reported a slight beat in 2Q25 Non-GAAP net profit, driven by lower-than-expected sales and R&D expenses, with revenue growth primarily from advertising and gaming sectors [1][2]. Financial Performance - 2Q25 revenue reached 7.338 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 19.8%, aligning with Bloomberg consensus (7.330 billion yuan) and internal expectations (7.321 billion yuan) [1]. - Non-GAAP net profit for 2Q25 was 562 million yuan, slightly above Bloomberg consensus (520 million yuan) and internal expectations (539 million yuan) [1]. - Advertising revenue grew by 20.2% year-on-year to 2.449 billion yuan, with a notable increase in eCPM [1]. - Gaming revenue surged by 60.1% year-on-year to 1.612 billion yuan, although a decline of 16-17% is expected in 2H25 due to high base effects [1][2]. Development Trends - The company is advised to focus on new game projects such as the繁中版 of "三谋", "代号:三国Ncard", "嘟嘟脸恶作剧", and self-developed "逃离鸭科夫", with revenue contributions anticipated from 4Q25 to 2026 [2]. - Value-added services revenue increased by 10.6% year-on-year to 2.837 billion yuan [2]. Profitability and Cost Management - 2Q25 gross margin improved by 0.2 percentage points to 36.5%, attributed to strong growth in performance advertising revenue and operational leverage [2]. - Sales and management expenses slightly decreased, while R&D expenses saw a modest increase, indicating cost control [2]. - The company expects gross margin to gradually rise to 37% by 4Q25, with long-term potential reaching 40-45% [2]. User Engagement - 2Q25 MAU, DAU, and average daily usage time all showed year-on-year growth, with DAU reaching 109 million [3]. - The company maintains a strong community attribute and user stickiness, with advertising budgets shifting towards core platforms [3]. Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The company maintains its Non-GAAP net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026, with current trading multiples at 33/25 times 2025/2026 Non-GAAP P/E [3]. - The target price for Hong Kong stocks has been raised by 5.7% to 204 HKD, and for US stocks by 8.0% to 27 USD, indicating an upside potential of 3.7%/6.7% [3].
中金:维持哔哩哔哩-W跑赢行业评级 升目标价至204港元
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-08-22 01:32
Core Viewpoint - The report from CICC maintains the Non-GAAP net profit forecast for Bilibili-W (09626) for 2025/2026, with target prices raised by 5.7% to HKD 204 and by 8.0% to USD 27, reflecting a positive outlook based on user ecosystem and AI empowerment [1] Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, the company's revenue reached RMB 7.338 billion, a year-on-year increase of 19.8%, aligning closely with institutional expectations [2] - The Non-GAAP net profit for Q2 2025 was RMB 562 million, slightly exceeding institutional consensus of RMB 520 million, attributed to lower-than-expected sales and R&D expenses [2] Advertising and Gaming Revenue - Advertising revenue in Q2 2025 grew by 20.2% to RMB 2.449 billion, with significant improvement in eCPM, and gaming remains the largest advertising sector [3] - Gaming revenue surged by 60.1% to RMB 1.612 billion in Q2 2025, with stable DAU performance for "Three Kingdoms: Strategy of the World" and potential contributions from upcoming game releases expected in Q4 2025 to 2026 [3] Profitability and Cost Management - The gross margin in Q2 2025 increased by 0.2 percentage points to 36.5%, driven by strong growth in performance advertising revenue and operational leverage [4] - The company anticipates a gradual increase in gross margin, potentially reaching 37% by Q4 2025, with long-term targets of 40% to 45% [4] User Engagement and Community Growth - In Q2 2025, the company reported year-on-year growth in MAU, DAU, and average daily usage time, with DAU reaching 109 million [5] - The company emphasizes its strong community attributes and user stickiness, with a focus on enhancing commercial capabilities and the potential for growth in advertising, gaming, and charging plans [5]
中金:维持哔哩哔哩-W(09626)跑赢行业评级 升目标价至204港元
智通财经网· 2025-08-22 01:25
Core Viewpoint - The report from CICC maintains the Non-GAAP net profit forecast for Bilibili-W (09626) for 2025/2026, with target prices raised by 5.7% to HKD 204 and by 8.0% to USD 27, reflecting an upward potential of 3.7% and 6.7% respectively [1] Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, the company's revenue reached RMB 7.338 billion, a year-on-year increase of 19.8%, aligning closely with institutional expectations [2] - The Non-GAAP net profit for Q2 2025 was RMB 562 million, slightly exceeding institutional consensus of RMB 520 million, attributed to lower-than-expected sales and R&D expenses [2] Advertising and Gaming Revenue - Advertising revenue in Q2 2025 grew by 20.2% to RMB 2.449 billion, with significant improvement in eCPM and gaming remaining the largest advertising sector [3] - Gaming revenue surged by 60.1% to RMB 1.612 billion, with stable DAU performance for "Three Kingdoms: Strategy of the World" and potential contributions from upcoming games expected in Q4 2025 to 2026 [3] Profitability and Cost Management - The gross margin in Q2 2025 increased by 0.2 percentage points to 36.5%, driven by strong growth in performance advertising revenue and operational leverage [4] - The company anticipates a gradual increase in gross margin to 37% by Q4 2025, with long-term potential reaching 40%-45%, supported by stable costs and expenses [4] User Engagement and Community Growth - In Q2 2025, the company reported year-on-year growth in MAU, DAU, and average daily usage time, with DAU reaching 109 million [5] - The company emphasizes its strong community attributes and user stickiness, with a focus on enhancing commercial capabilities and the development potential of advertising, gaming, and charging plans [5]