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研报掘金|中金:上调心动公司目标价至82.5港元 上调今明两年盈利预测
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-05 09:42
Core Viewpoint - The report from CICC indicates that Xindong Company forecasts a year-on-year revenue growth of over 37% and a net profit growth of over 215% for the first half of this year, outperforming both the bank's and market expectations [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The company's revenue and net profit margins from "Ragnarok: Origin" exceeded expectations [1] - TapTap's revenue and profit margins also performed better than anticipated [1] Group 2: Future Outlook - The company has solid gaming profit margins, with upcoming releases to watch including "Yise" on September 25, "Little Town" overseas, and the core product "RO2" set for its first test in 2026 [1] - CICC has raised its net profit forecasts for Xindong by 66% and 81% for this year and next, respectively, to 1.65 billion and 1.95 billion yuan [1] Group 3: Valuation - The current stock price corresponds to a projected price-to-earnings ratio of 15 times for this year and 13 times for next year [1] - The target price has been increased by 49% to 82.5 HKD, maintaining an "outperforming the industry" rating [1]
中金:维持心动公司跑赢行业评级 升目标价至82.5港元
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-08-05 01:30
Core Viewpoint - The report from CICC indicates an upward revision of the net profit forecast for Xindong Company (02400) for 2025 and 2026 by 66% and 81% to 1.65 billion and 1.95 billion yuan respectively, reflecting a strong performance from TapTap and better-than-expected game results [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The company forecasts a revenue of no less than 3.05 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of over 37% [1] - The net profit for the same period is expected to be no less than 790 million yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of over 215% [1] - The performance is better than both the company's and market's expectations, with a previous net profit estimate of 500 million yuan [1] Group 2: Game Performance and Releases - The revenue growth in the first half of 2025 is primarily driven by the games "Ragnarok M: Beginning" and "Heart Town," along with "Torchlight" improving gross margin levels [1] - For the second half of 2025, profit growth is expected from the anniversary celebration of "Heart Town" and the launch of "Iser" [2] - The core product "Ragnarok RO: Eternal Love" is set for its first round of testing in December 2025, with a pre-release already launched on TapTap [2] Group 3: TapTap Platform Development - TapTap has shown steady revenue growth in the first half of 2025, driven by improvements in advertising algorithms and increased user engagement [3] - The company aims to enhance its platform with new features and a desktop version, focusing on major game updates and user experience [3] - Future developments will include a mini-game platform and AI game creation tools [3]
中金:维持心动公司(02400)跑赢行业评级 升目标价至82.5港元
智通财经网· 2025-08-05 01:29
Core Viewpoint - The company has raised its profit forecasts significantly for 2025 and 2026, reflecting better-than-expected performance from TapTap and game titles, leading to an upgraded target price and a maintained outperform rating [1][2]. Group 1: Profit Forecasts - The company has increased its net profit expectations for 2025 and 2026 by 66% and 81% respectively, reaching 1.65 billion and 1.95 billion yuan, corresponding to P/E ratios of 15x and 13x [1]. - The company anticipates a revenue of no less than 3.05 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of over 37% [2]. - The net profit for the same period is expected to be no less than 790 million yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of over 215% [2]. Group 2: Game Performance - The solid performance in the first half of 2025 is attributed to titles such as "Ragnarok M: Beginners' Server," "Heart Town," and "Torchlight," which have driven revenue growth and improved gross margins [3]. - The second half of 2025 is expected to see profit growth from the anniversary celebration of "Heart Town" and the launch of "Iser" on September 25, with the international version performing better than market expectations [3]. Group 3: TapTap Growth - TapTap has shown steady revenue growth in the first half of 2025, driven by improvements in advertising algorithms and increased user engagement [4]. - The company plans to focus on significant updates for games and the development of a PC version of TapTap, which has already garnered a user base [4]. - Future initiatives include enhancing the TapTap mini-game platform and exploring AI-driven game development [4].