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中金:维持心动公司(02400)跑赢行业评级 升目标价至82.5港元
智通财经网· 2025-08-05 01:29
Core Viewpoint - The company has raised its profit forecasts significantly for 2025 and 2026, reflecting better-than-expected performance from TapTap and game titles, leading to an upgraded target price and a maintained outperform rating [1][2]. Group 1: Profit Forecasts - The company has increased its net profit expectations for 2025 and 2026 by 66% and 81% respectively, reaching 1.65 billion and 1.95 billion yuan, corresponding to P/E ratios of 15x and 13x [1]. - The company anticipates a revenue of no less than 3.05 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of over 37% [2]. - The net profit for the same period is expected to be no less than 790 million yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of over 215% [2]. Group 2: Game Performance - The solid performance in the first half of 2025 is attributed to titles such as "Ragnarok M: Beginners' Server," "Heart Town," and "Torchlight," which have driven revenue growth and improved gross margins [3]. - The second half of 2025 is expected to see profit growth from the anniversary celebration of "Heart Town" and the launch of "Iser" on September 25, with the international version performing better than market expectations [3]. Group 3: TapTap Growth - TapTap has shown steady revenue growth in the first half of 2025, driven by improvements in advertising algorithms and increased user engagement [4]. - The company plans to focus on significant updates for games and the development of a PC version of TapTap, which has already garnered a user base [4]. - Future initiatives include enhancing the TapTap mini-game platform and exploring AI-driven game development [4].