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3月策略观点与金股推荐:布局“涨价”扩散,博弈政策催化
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2026-03-01 10:25
证券研究报告 | 策略报告 gszqdatemark 2026 03 01 年 月 日 投资策略 3 月策略观点与金股推荐:布局"涨价"扩散,博弈政策催化 一、3 月市场观点:布局"涨价"扩散,博弈政策催化 二月以来,多重因素正在推动资金定价向"涨价"条线倾斜。其一,叙事层面,AI 科技革命的叙事定价逻辑开始向实物资产"外溢";其二,供需层面,在逆全球化 的大背景下,地缘变数的增多进一步带动了各国的资源战略调整,致使生产端实 际供需偏紧的局面可能将在更多商品中陆续显现;其三,价格数据层面,无论是海 外还是国内,通胀数据呈现同步上行,产业链中的涨价环节也有所扩散;其四,资 金轮动视角下,尽管 AI 产业的长期趋势无虞,但融资扩张与资本回报的矛盾越久, 资金定价的分歧也将更易放大。每一次科技条线的颠簸,都难免引发资金分流,而 在非 AI 需求尚未确认转强之前,兼顾供给约束基础和需求改善预期的"涨价"条 线显然比其他方向更具吸引力,也更容易在资金轮动中受益。 大势层面,中期趋势向好,市场有望震荡再向上。中期维度,分子与分母共振向好 的期待没有改变。盈利层面,供需双向发力的政策路径明确,价格端修复的趋势延 续,上游向 ...
收购秦淮数据,液冷放量在即,持续看好东阳光
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-10-13 03:09
Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Buy" for Dongyangguang [5] Core Viewpoints - The basic chemical sector is experiencing a configuration opportunity, with the index having adjusted from a high of 9565.18 points to a low of 3876.11 points, a cumulative decline of 59.5% from September 2021 to February 2024. The sector has shown a strong performance with a cumulative increase of 20.9% from July 11 to October 10 [1][3] - Dongyangguang's strategic acquisition of Qinhuai Data is expected to enhance its capabilities in AI infrastructure and cooling solutions, positioning the company to leverage high-performance computing demands [2][7] - The integration of Qinhuai Data is anticipated to facilitate a transition from single product offerings to ecosystem development, enhancing collaboration across multiple dimensions [2] Summary by Sections Industry Trends - The basic chemical sector has seen a continuous decline in construction project growth rates, with a negative growth rate of -7.3% expected by Q1 2025. However, the sector is currently experiencing a resurgence due to a trend against excessive competition [1] - The report highlights the increasing importance of liquid cooling solutions in the context of AI infrastructure development, with Dongyangguang positioned as a leading player in the fluorochemical industry [7] Company Analysis - Dongyangguang is projected to achieve an EBITDA close to 4 billion RMB by 2025 following the acquisition of Qinhuai Data, which will provide access to major internet clients and enhance its market presence [2] - The company is focusing on developing comprehensive cooling solutions and energy management systems, leveraging its expertise in capacitors and strategic partnerships [7]