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财务与运营风险暴露,冲刺港股的博车网没有护城河
Jin Rong Jie· 2025-05-22 07:37
Core Viewpoint - 博车网, a leading player in the domestic accident vehicle auction market, is facing significant operational challenges despite its market share and transaction volume, raising questions about its upcoming IPO and overall business model sustainability [1][9]. Financial Performance - 博车网's revenue grew from 3.88 billion RMB in 2022 to 5.18 billion RMB in 2023, marking a 33.6% increase, but the growth rate slowed to 3.32% in the first three quarters of 2024, with revenue at 4.04 billion RMB [1][2]. - The company reported losses of 1.8 billion RMB in 2022 and 1.21 billion RMB in 2023, achieving a slight profit of 142.5 million RMB in the first three quarters of 2024 [1][2]. - Cost-cutting measures contributed to the profit in 2024, with reductions in sales, marketing, administrative, and R&D expenses totaling 12 million RMB [2]. Market Dynamics - The accident vehicle auction market is becoming increasingly competitive, particularly with the influx of low-priced new energy accident vehicles, which has pressured auction prices [2][4]. - 博车网's core business revenue from accident vehicle auctions decreased from 2.59 billion RMB in the first three quarters of 2023 to 2.18 billion RMB in 2024, with its revenue share dropping from 66.3% to 54% [2][4]. Accounts Receivable and Cash Flow - 博车网's accounts receivable surged by 227% from 1.156 billion RMB in 2023 to 3.782 billion RMB in the first three quarters of 2024, indicating a reliance on upstream suppliers and potential collection issues [4]. - The company's net cash flow from operating activities plummeted over 95%, from 1.25 billion RMB in 2023 to 545.6 million RMB in 2024, reflecting a deteriorating financial health [5]. Business Model Challenges - 博车网's business model heavily relies on upstream sources, with 71.4% of accident vehicle transactions coming from insurance companies and leasing firms, which poses risks if these sources decide to establish their own platforms [9][10]. - The average auction price for accident vehicles dropped from 42,666 RMB in 2022 to 37,559 RMB in the first three quarters of 2024, despite an increase in transaction volume [11]. User Engagement and Complaints - The number of active members decreased from 99,100 in 2023 to 77,000 in the first three quarters of 2024, with a decline in repurchase rates from 74.1% to 70.7% [14]. - 博车网 has faced numerous complaints regarding vehicle quality and transparency, with 43.14% of related legal cases involving auction contract disputes [18].