航空物流领先服务商，业绩稳健增长可期待 ——东航物流首次覆盖报告 物流 东航物流（601156.SH） 证券研究报告/公司深度报告 2025 年 11 月 25 日 | 评级： | 买入（首次） | 公司盈利预测及估值 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 指标 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | 分析师：杜冲 | | 营业收入（百万元） | 20,621 | 24,056 | 25,371 | 28,099 | 30,501 | | | | 增长率 yoy% | -12% | 17% | 5% | 11% | 9% | | 执业证书编号：S0740522040001 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 2,488 | 2,688 | 2,629 | 2,810 | 3,115 | | Email：duchong@zts.com.cn | | 增长率 yoy% | -32% | 8% | -2% | 7% | 11% | | | | 每股收益（元） | 1.57 ...

Core Viewpoint - Insurance capital is actively entering the market, with China Post Life Insurance acquiring a 5% stake in Eastern Airlines Logistics, reflecting a broader trend of insurance companies increasing their market presence due to supportive policies [1][5]. Company Overview - Eastern Airlines Logistics is a key player in the aviation logistics sector under the Eastern Airlines Group, benefiting from the growth of cross-border e-commerce and increasing international air logistics demand [1][8]. - In 2024, Eastern Airlines Logistics reported a revenue of 24.056 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 16.66%, and a net profit of 2.688 billion yuan, up 8.01% [1][9]. Business Performance - The cross-border e-commerce solutions segment generated a revenue of 5.920 billion yuan in 2024, representing a 26.01% increase and accounting for 24.58% of the company's total revenue [2][9]. - The total volume of cross-border e-commerce imports and exports reached 75.39 million orders, a 40.94% increase year-on-year, with a cargo volume of 16.22 million tons, up 47.52% [2][9]. Shareholder Activity - China Post Life Insurance announced its acquisition of 79.42 million shares of Eastern Airlines Logistics at a price of 10.944 yuan per share, totaling 869 million yuan [4][5]. - Following this transaction, China Post Life Insurance holds a 5% stake in Eastern Airlines Logistics, marking a significant investment move [3][4]. Industry Context - The insurance sector has seen increased activity, with seven insurance companies making 13 stake acquisitions in listed companies this year, driven by policy encouragement [5][6]. - The global air cargo demand grew by 11.3% in 2024, with China's air cargo transport volume increasing by 22.1%, indicating a robust market environment for logistics companies [8]. Dividend Policy - Eastern Airlines Logistics announced a cash dividend plan of 1.88 yuan per share, totaling 457 million yuan, which represents 40% of the company's net profit for 2024 [10].