云智能业务增长显著，全栈AI 产品落地凸显增长潜力 （1）基石业务：ICT 服务是公司的基石业务，贡献主要收入和利润，2024 年下半年基石业务营收修 复，公司员工总人数回暖，大客户数达到2020 年来第二高，大客户拓展效果显著。（2）云智能业务： 疫情引发的市场波动已回归常态，随着云计算与原生人工智能、大模型以及算力资源的深度整合，下游 需求将快速增长。 公司在行业场景化领域占据优势，深度合作华为云能力，拓展全栈AI 产品落地可能性，2024 年公司全 栈AI 产品收入达9.57 亿元，增长曲线初步显现，未来将加速云智能业务增长。 机构：开源证券 研究员：陈宝健 国内IT 服务领军者，维持"买入"评级 公司是国内IT 服务领军者，是华为深度合作伙伴，华为贡献公司40%以上收入。 公司云智能业务增长显著，鸿蒙生态闭环初步完成，随着与华为云合作深入，公司有望持续受益。考虑 鸿蒙生态、AI 业务发展均在初期阶段，我们下调2025 年并新增2026-2027 年盈利预测，预计公司2025- 2027 年归母净利润为5.64、6.28、7.08亿元（2025 原值为13.42 亿元），对应EPS 分别为0.21、0. ...

Core Insights - China Software International (00354) is a leading IT service provider in China and a deep partner of Huawei, with over 40% of its revenue contributed by Huawei [1] Group 1: Business Performance - The cloud intelligence business shows significant growth, with full-stack AI products highlighting growth potential [1] - The cornerstone business, ICT services, is the main source of revenue and profit, with a recovery in revenue expected in the second half of 2024 [1] - The total number of employees is rebounding, and the number of major clients has reached the second highest level since 2020, indicating effective client expansion [1] Group 2: Strategic Partnerships - The company is a top-level partner of Huawei Cloud and is expected to benefit from the development of the HarmonyOS ecosystem [1] - The partnership with Huawei began in 2009, and the company has been deeply involved in Huawei's various strategic layouts, making it one of Huawei's core IT service outsourcing providers in China [1] - The company is closely tied to the construction of the Harmony IoT ecosystem, with expectations for further collaboration in 2024 [1]

Core Viewpoint - The report from Kaiyuan Securities highlights China Software International (00354) as a leading IT service provider in China, significantly benefiting from its deep partnership with Huawei, which contributes over 40% of the company's revenue [1] Group 1: Business Performance - The company's cloud intelligence business is experiencing significant growth, with a notable increase in full-stack AI product deployment, indicating strong growth potential [2] - The ICT service remains the cornerstone of the company's business, contributing the majority of revenue and profit, with a recovery in revenue expected in the second half of 2024 [2] - The total number of employees is rebounding, and the number of major clients has reached the second-highest level since 2020, showcasing effective client expansion [2] Group 2: Strategic Partnerships - The company is a key partner in Huawei's "Together We Thrive" initiative, having collaborated with Huawei since 2009 and playing a crucial role in various fields [3] - The company is deeply integrated into the development of the HarmonyOS ecosystem, with expectations of benefiting from the recovery of Huawei's terminal business and the completion of the "1+8+N" IoT ecosystem [3] - The company has launched tools for HarmonyOS developers and is collaborating with institutions like Shenzhen Angel Fund to support entrepreneurial developers, positioning itself as a core service provider in the Harmony ecosystem [3] Group 3: Financial Projections - The company has revised its profit forecasts for 2025 and introduced projections for 2026-2027, expecting net profits of 564 million, 628 million, and 708 million yuan respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.21, 0.23, and 0.26 yuan per share [1] - The original profit forecast for 2025 was 1.342 billion yuan, indicating a significant downward adjustment [1] - The projected price-to-earnings ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 26.9, 24.1, and 21.4 times, respectively [1]

Core Viewpoint - Company is a leading IT service provider in China and a deep partner of Huawei, with over 40% of its revenue contributed by Huawei [1] Group 1: Business Performance - The company's cloud intelligence business is experiencing significant growth, with a notable increase in full-stack AI product deployment, indicating growth potential [2] - The core ICT service business is recovering, with a projected revenue rebound in the second half of 2024 and a notable increase in the number of major clients [2] Group 2: Strategic Partnerships - Company has been a core IT service outsourcing partner for Huawei since 2009, deeply involved in Huawei's various business layouts [3] - The company is positioned to benefit from the development of the Harmony ecosystem, with the completion of the "1+8+N" IoT ecosystem expected to drive rapid growth in software ecosystem reconstruction demand [3] Group 3: Financial Projections - The company has revised its profit forecasts for 2025-2027, expecting net profits of 564 million, 628 million, and 708 million yuan respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.21, 0.23, and 0.26 yuan per share [1]

Group 1: Pharmaceutical Industry - The active pharmaceutical ingredient (API) industry has experienced a downturn over the past four years, with prices of various products, including sartans, heparins, and animal health products, reaching historical lows, leading to some leading companies operating at a loss [7][8][10] - In the first half of 2025, the API sector saw a decline in both revenue and net profit due to significant price drops in anti-infective products and increased R&D investments by some companies [7][10] - Domestic API companies are actively transitioning to innovative drug development, with several products in various clinical trial stages, indicating a shift towards higher-value offerings [7][10] Group 2: Real Estate Industry - The stabilization of housing prices is influenced by multiple factors, including monetary policy, supply-demand relationships, and economic expectations, rather than solely by population changes [3][12][15] - Analysis of housing price data from 70 cities shows that both new and second-hand housing prices have been in a downward trend since 2022, with a recent narrowing of year-on-year declines due to supportive policies [12][13] - Recommendations for investment focus on strong credit real estate companies with good fundamentals and leading product capabilities, as well as those benefiting from dual-driven residential and commercial real estate strategies [15] Group 3: IT Services Industry - The company is a leading player in the domestic IT services sector and a key partner of Huawei, with over 40% of its revenue derived from this partnership [4][17][20] - The company's cloud intelligence business is experiencing significant growth, and it is expected to benefit from the development of the HarmonyOS ecosystem and AI technologies [4][17][20] - Profit forecasts for 2025-2027 have been adjusted, with expected net profits of 564 million, 628 million, and 708 million yuan respectively, reflecting a strategic focus on AI and cloud services [4][17][20] Group 4: Alibaba Group - Alibaba is actively advancing its AI infrastructure and plans to increase investments, which is expected to accelerate growth in its cloud business [5][21][22] - The demand for AI infrastructure is exceeding expectations, with plans to invest 380 billion yuan in building AI infrastructure, significantly increasing the energy consumption scale of its global data centers by 10 times by 2032 [5][21][22] - The company aims to enhance its market position through comprehensive AI-driven strategies, including improvements in its e-commerce platform and cloud services [21][22][23]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [4] Core Views - The company is a leading player in the domestic IT services sector and a deep partner of Huawei, with over 40% of its revenue coming from Huawei [4][6] - The cloud intelligence business is experiencing significant growth, and the initial completion of the HarmonyOS ecosystem is expected to benefit the company as its collaboration with Huawei Cloud deepens [4][5] - The report has adjusted the profit forecast for 2025 and introduced forecasts for 2026-2027, estimating net profits of 564 million, 628 million, and 708 million yuan for 2025-2027, respectively [4][7] Summary by Sections Company Overview - Established in 2000, the company has been a strategic partner of Huawei since 2009 and has evolved into a leading comprehensive software and IT service provider in China [15][16] Financial Performance - The company reported a revenue of 17.17 billion yuan in 2024, with a slight decline of 0.3% year-on-year, while net profit was 513 million yuan, down 28.1% [7][20] - The gross margin has been under pressure, dropping from 29.20% in 2020 to 22.07% in 2024, but there are efforts to improve margins through high-value projects and AI product deployment [22][27] Business Segments - The core ICT services business has seen a decline in revenue from 133.87 billion yuan in 2022 to 96.36 billion yuan in 2024, while the cloud intelligence business has grown from 2 billion yuan in 2019 to 73.15 billion yuan in 2024 [27][28] - The company aims to transition from a traditional outsourcing model to an AI technology service provider, leveraging its partnership with Huawei [31][54] Strategic Partnerships - The company is a key partner in Huawei's cloud strategy, benefiting from the growth of the HarmonyOS ecosystem and the increasing demand for AI-driven solutions [6][60] - The collaboration with Huawei has allowed the company to expand its customer base and enhance its service offerings, particularly in sectors like energy, finance, and government [41][42] Market Outlook - The IT services market in China is projected to grow steadily, with a total market size expected to reach 525.6 billion USD in 2024, driven by digital transformation across various sectors [32][36] - The cloud computing market in China is anticipated to exceed 2 trillion yuan by 2027, with significant contributions from AI and big data applications [61][69]