Core Viewpoint - The credit rating agency maintains the long-term credit rating of Keshun Waterproof Technology Co., Ltd. at AA, with a stable outlook, despite challenges in the waterproof materials industry due to reduced downstream demand and increased competition [1][3]. Company Overview - Keshun Waterproof Technology Co., Ltd. is a leading manufacturer and seller of waterproof materials in China, with a production capacity of 317 million square meters of waterproof membranes and 500,000 tons of waterproof coatings as of the end of 2024 [4][10]. - The company has a strong brand recognition and technical advantage, being ranked second among the top 500 preferred suppliers in the waterproof materials category by the China Real Estate Association for 12 consecutive years [21][22]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved an operating revenue of 6.829 billion yuan, with a profit of 55 million yuan, marking a turnaround from previous losses [10][11]. - The company's total assets reached 14.044 billion yuan, with total liabilities of 5.769 billion yuan, resulting in a debt-to-asset ratio of 64.55% [6][11]. - The company has a significant short-term debt burden, with short-term liabilities accounting for 54.53% of total debt [6]. Industry Analysis - The waterproof materials industry is facing a downturn in demand due to a decline in housing construction area, which fell by 12.7% year-on-year in 2024 [19]. - The industry is experiencing increased concentration as smaller companies exit the market, leading to a more competitive landscape for larger firms [4][20]. - The price of upstream raw materials, particularly asphalt, has been on a downward trend, which may positively impact the profit margins of waterproof material manufacturers [17][20]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to maintain its leading position in the industry by capturing market share from smaller competitors that are exiting the market [4][20]. - The introduction of new regulations aimed at improving the quality of waterproofing in construction is anticipated to boost future demand for high-quality waterproof materials [20]. - The company plans to enhance its production capacity through investment projects, which are expected to significantly increase output once operational [4][10].

Core Viewpoint - The announcement of a change in control at Zhenan Technology (震安科技) following the signing of a share transfer agreement between its controlling shareholder Huachuang Sanxin and Shenzhen Dongchuang Technology Co., Ltd. has led to significant market reactions, including a 20% increase in stock price despite the company's declining performance and revenue [2][3][4]. Group 1: Company Performance - Zhenan Technology has raised over 840 million yuan through three rounds of fundraising since its IPO, but these investments have not yielded expected returns, resulting in a cumulative loss of 22.95 million yuan from its six major projects by the end of 2024 [3][4]. - The company's revenue has halved from 897 million yuan in 2022 to 417 million yuan in 2024, with a record net loss of 144 million yuan, attributed to adjustments in sales and collection policies [4][5]. - The stock price has shown a "V" shaped decline, dropping from a peak of 105.62 yuan in October 2021 to around 10 yuan in recent months, reflecting ongoing financial struggles [4][5]. Group 2: Share Transfer and Control Change - The share transfer involves Shenzhen Dongchuang acquiring 100% of Huachuang Sanxin for 616 million yuan, while the current actual controller Li Tao relinquishes voting rights on 12% of his shares, retaining 5.28% voting rights [3][4]. - Following the transaction, Shenzhen Dongchuang will indirectly control 18.12% of Zhenan Technology, with new controllers Ning Huaxiang and Zhou Jianqi taking over [3][4]. Group 3: Market Reactions and Expectations - The market has reacted positively to the news of the control change, with Zhenan Technology's stock hitting the daily limit up, indicating investor optimism about potential restructuring or revitalization under new management [2][5]. - There are strong expectations of a "backdoor listing" as Shenzhen Dongchuang enters Zhenan Technology, given its previous failed attempts to sell itself and the lack of success in its IPO efforts [5][6].

Core Viewpoint - The company experienced a decline in revenue for 2024, with a 14% year-on-year decrease, while net profit showed a significant increase of 113% year-on-year, indicating a potential improvement in operational efficiency despite challenging market conditions [1][4]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved revenue of 6.8 billion, a 14% decrease year-on-year, with a net profit of approximately 44 million, reflecting a 113% increase year-on-year [1]. - The first quarter of 2024 saw revenue of 1.4 billion, down 6% year-on-year, and a net profit of 40 million, down 23% year-on-year [1]. - The company's gross margin improved to approximately 21.8% for 2024, up 0.6 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to stable sales prices and reduced unit costs [3]. Group 2: Market Conditions - The waterproofing industry remains under significant pressure in 2024, with total production of waterproof materials in China declining by 17% year-on-year, and a cumulative decline of 38% compared to the historical peak in 2021 [2]. - The company's main business revenue decreased by 12%, with specific declines in waterproof membrane revenue (15%), waterproof coating revenue (6%), and engineering construction revenue (17%) [2]. Group 3: Strategic Initiatives - The company has implemented a multi-brand distribution strategy targeting different market segments, establishing long-term partnerships with over 3,200 distributors [2]. - In 2024, the company began exploring overseas markets, contributing approximately 2% to total revenue [2]. - Some fundraising projects have been postponed, with the company extending the timeline for certain expansion projects to the end of 2028 due to declining terminal demand and production efficiency improvements [4]. Group 4: Cash Flow and Debt Management - The company's operating cash flow has shown gradual improvement, with a cash collection ratio of 1.08 in the past three years, indicating better revenue structure [3]. - By the end of 2024, accounts receivable and notes amounted to 4.1 billion, slightly down from the end of 2023, while the net cash flow from operating activities was 320 million [3].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Recommended" [1][10] Core Views - The company has shown continuous improvement in gross margin and is actively engaging in dividend distribution and share buybacks to reward the market [1][10] - The company reported a revenue of 6.83 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 14.0%, but managed to turn a profit with a net profit of 0.4 billion yuan [5][10] - The gross margin improved by 0.6 percentage points to 21.8% in 2024, attributed to stable sales prices and reduced operating costs through technological innovation [8][10] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 68.3 billion yuan, down 14.0% year-on-year, while the net profit was 0.4 billion yuan, marking a turnaround from losses [5][10] - The fourth quarter of 2024 saw a revenue decline of 0.6% to 16.9 billion yuan, with a net profit of -0.8 billion yuan [5] - For Q1 2025, revenue decreased by 6.1% to 14.0 billion yuan, and net profit fell by 23.2% to 0.4 billion yuan [5] Margin and Cost Management - The gross margin for 2024 was 21.8%, an increase of 0.6 percentage points, due to stable sales prices and reduced costs [8][10] - The company has focused on transforming retail channels and expanding engineering channels amidst a declining demand in the waterproofing industry [8][10] Cash Flow and Shareholder Returns - The company generated a net cash flow from operating activities of 3.2 billion yuan in 2024, an increase from 1.9 billion yuan in the previous year [9] - A total of 7.8 billion yuan is planned for dividends and share buybacks in 2024, with a cash dividend of 3 yuan per 10 shares [9][10] Future Outlook - The company is expected to see a recovery in net profit, with projections of 2.0 billion yuan in 2025 and 3.3 billion yuan in 2026 [10] - The gross margin is anticipated to improve further, supported by a decline in raw material costs due to falling oil prices [8][10]