Core Viewpoint - Zhaofeng Co., Ltd. is a leading enterprise in the automotive hub bearing unit sector, with advanced R&D technology and production processes, and its product quality and performance are among the best in the industry [1] Group 1: Business Performance - In Q3 2025, Zhaofeng achieved revenue of 511 million yuan, ranking 20th among 21 companies in the industry, significantly lower than the top company Zhongce Rubber's 33.683 billion yuan and second-ranked Sailun Tire's 27.587 billion yuan [2] - The main business composition includes hub bearing units at 329 million yuan, accounting for 95.64%, while net profit for the same period was 304 million yuan, ranking 9th in the industry [2] Group 2: Financial Ratios - As of Q3 2025, Zhaofeng's debt-to-asset ratio was 12.78%, lower than the previous year's 13.89% and significantly below the industry average of 49.47%, indicating strong solvency [3] - The gross profit margin for the same period was 27.96%, slightly down from 29.08% year-on-year but still above the industry average of 16.40% [3] Group 3: Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, the number of A-share shareholders decreased by 40.25% to 6,687, while the average number of circulating A-shares held per household increased by 67.37% to 15,300 [5] - Notable shareholders include Yongying Advanced Manufacturing Mixed Fund and Penghua Carbon Neutral Theme Mixed Fund, with significant increases in holdings [5] Group 4: Strategic Insights - Zhaofeng's core logic includes steady growth in the hub bearing unit business, investment returns from industrial funds, and expansion into humanoid robot screw production [6] - The company plans to produce 300,000 sets of electric vehicle control systems by the end of 2025 and is developing high-end industrial bearings [6] - Projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 170 million, 200 million, and 250 million yuan, with a CAGR of approximately 21.1% [6]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [7] Core Views - The company achieved a slight decline in net profit of approximately 0.2% in 2024, but saw a growth of about 6% in Q1 2025. The revenue for 2024 was 740 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 13.53%, while the net profit was 120 million yuan [1][5] - The company is expanding into the screw rod sector through the acquisition of 51% of Tongzhan Precision Technology, which is expected to enhance its competitive edge and extend its industrial chain [3] - The growth in the new energy vehicle (NEV) market is anticipated to drive rapid performance growth for the company, with projections indicating a market size of approximately 104.2 billion yuan for wheel hub units and reducer bearings by 2026 [4] Financial Summary - In 2024, the company reported a gross margin of approximately 31.61% and a net margin of 16.24%, both showing a decline compared to the previous year. The gross margin for Q1 2025 was 30.82%, down 4.67 percentage points year-on-year [2] - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 are 1.052 billion, 1.483 billion, and 1.740 billion yuan, representing year-on-year growth rates of 42%, 41%, and 17% respectively. The net profit is expected to be 128 million, 147 million, and 154 million yuan for the same period [5][12]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a slight decline in net profit for 2024 but anticipates growth in Q1 2025, driven by revenue increases across various product lines and strategic acquisitions in the precision machinery sector [1][3][4]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved operating revenue of 740 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 13.53%, with a net profit of 120 million yuan, a slight decline of 0.18% [1] - For Q1 2025, the company reported operating revenue of 186 million yuan, a year-on-year growth of 23.55%, and a net profit of 34.94 million yuan, up 6.22% [1] - The gross profit margin for 2024 was approximately 31.61%, down 0.41 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 16.24%, down 2.23 percentage points [2][3]. Product Performance - Revenue from the hub unit in 2024 was 264 million yuan, up 14.35%, accounting for 35.64% of total revenue; cone bearings generated 126 million yuan, up 5.85%, with a 17.06% revenue share; separation bearings saw a decline of 9.33% to 105 million yuan, with a 14.18% share; hub bearings increased by 16.68% to 138 million yuan, representing 18.59%; and tension wheels generated 51.16 million yuan, up 15.99%, with a 6.91% share [1]. Cost and Expenses - The company’s expense ratio for 2024 was 13.03%, an increase of 0.92 percentage points year-on-year, with specific increases in management and R&D expenses [3]. Strategic Acquisitions - The company signed an agreement to acquire 51% of Tongzhan Precision Technology, aiming to enhance its capabilities in the micro-screw and precision linear module markets, thereby extending its industrial chain and improving competitiveness [3]. Market Outlook - The domestic market for hub units and reducer bearings is projected to reach approximately 104.2 billion yuan by 2026, with the new energy vehicle front-end market expected to grow to around 10 billion yuan [4]. - The company is positioned to benefit from industry growth and domestic substitution, with a market share in the new energy vehicle hub unit and reducer bearing front-end market expected to exceed 20% post-capacity ramp-up [4]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 1.05 billion, 1.48 billion, and 1.74 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 42%, 41%, and 17%, respectively [5]. - Net profit forecasts for the same period are 128 million, 147 million, and 154 million yuan, with corresponding growth rates of 7%, 15%, and 4% [5].