今日盘间，周期板块延续强势，基本金属、化工原料等行业涨势不俗，助推相关ETF走高。截至发 稿，富国基金旗下的标普油气ETF（513350）涨超7.4%，石油ETF富国（159148）、有色ETF富国 （159168）、化工50ETF（516120）分别上涨5.70%、3.08%、2.54%。 消息面上，A股春节休市期间，美伊紧张局势加剧，市场对原油供应中断的担忧升温，同时地缘风 险也推高了有色及化工品的价格。 研究机构表示，在地缘冲突仍存在不确定性的前提下，中长期原油供需格局仍具备景气基础，在长 期主义视角下，持续看好"三桶油"及油服板块。此外，宏观经济修复提振化工需求，长期来看化工品产 能出清利好龙头企业。 对相关板块感兴趣的投资者，可以关注富国基金旗下的标普油气ETF（513350）、石油ETF富国 （159148）、有色ETF富国（159168）、化工50ETF（516120）等产品。 石油ETF富国（159148）跟踪国证石油天然气指数，聚焦于A股市场中与石油、天然气全产业链相 关的上市公司，覆盖勘探开发、设备服务、燃气输配及综合性能源运营等核心环节；标普油气ETF （513350）则聚焦美股油气勘探 ...

石油ETF富国（159148）跟踪国证石油天然气指数，聚焦于A股市场中与石油、天然气全产业链相关的 上市公司，覆盖勘探开发、设备服务、燃气输配及综合性能源运营等核心环节；标普油气ETF （513350）则聚焦美股油气勘探和生产领域的个股。 今日盘间，周期板块延续强势，基本金属、化工原料等行业涨势不俗，助推相关ETF走高。截至发稿， 富国基金旗下的标普油气ETF（513350）涨超7.4%，石油ETF富国（159148）、有色ETF富国 （159168）、化工50ETF（516120）分别上涨5.70%、3.08%、2.54%。 消息面上，A股春节休市期间，美伊紧张局势加剧，市场对原油供应中断的担忧升温，同时地缘风险也 推高了有色及化工品的价格。 研究机构表示，在地缘冲突仍存在不确定性的前提下，中长期原油供需格局仍具备景气基础，在长期主 义视角下，持续看好"三桶油"及油服板块。此外，宏观经济修复提振化工需求，长期来看化工品产能出 清利好龙头企业。 对相关板块感兴趣的投资者，可以关注富国基金旗下的标普油气ETF（513350）、石油ETF富国 （159148）、有色ETF富国（159168）、化工50ETF（51 ...

（责任编辑：董萍萍 ） 每日经济新闻 2月6日，A股整体延续震荡态势，化工板块逆势上扬，极速反弹超3%，截至发稿的最新涨幅为 2.74%！标的指数成分股中，浙江龙盛、多氟多、华峰化学等多个成分股涨超6%，带动指数走强。 研究机构认为，展望2026年，本轮行业扩产已近尾声，"反内卷"等措施有望催化行业盈利底部修 复，预计"十五五"期间，化工行业将从规模扩张向高质量增长转变，供需格局有望改善，行业景气度有 望提升。 若想布局化工板块，投资者可考虑关注化工50ETF（516120）及其联接基金（A类020273/C类 020274），紧密跟踪中证细分化工产业主题指数（000813.CSI），重点覆盖化学制品、农化制品、化学 原料及炼化贸易等顺周期领域。 【免责声明】本文仅代表作者本人观点，与和讯网无关。和讯网站对文中陈述、观点判断保持中立，不对所包含内容 的准确性、可靠性或完整性提供任何明示或暗示的保证。请读者仅作参考，并请自行承担全部责任。邮箱： news_center@staff.hexun.com ...

Core Viewpoint - The chemical sector is experiencing a strong performance, with a notable increase in stock prices and trading volumes, indicating potential growth opportunities in the industry [1]. Group 1: Market Performance - On January 6, the chemical sector saw a peak increase of 3.63%, closing with a gain of 3.52% [1]. - Nine out of ten stocks in the sector showed positive performance, with Salt Lake Co. leading in trading volume at 5.067 billion yuan [1]. - Companies such as Hengli Petrochemical and Luxi Chemical reported approximately 9% gains, while other firms like Tongkun Co. and Longbai Group also experienced significant increases [1]. Group 2: Future Outlook - Research institutions predict that the basic chemical sector may enter an upward phase by 2026, driven by resilient domestic and foreign demand [1]. - A significant decline in industry capital expenditure growth since June 2025, combined with a "de-involution" trend, is expected to facilitate supply-side coordination and the elimination of outdated production capacity [1]. - Domestic demand is anticipated to recover further, supported by exports to regions such as Asia, Africa, and Latin America, leading to a gradual recovery in bulk chemical products [1]. Group 3: Investment Opportunities - The Chemical 50 ETF (516120) closely tracks the CSI sub-sector chemical industry theme index (000813.CSI), focusing on core areas of the chemical industry [1]. - The ETF aims to help investors efficiently allocate resources within the core tracks of the chemical industry, primarily emphasizing basic chemicals and petrochemicals [1].

Market Strategy - The A-share market is currently experiencing adjustments, showing a weak oscillating trend, with expectations not significantly improving and index heights being limited [7] - In December, the overall performance of various asset classes is expected to be stable, with a neutral to slightly bullish outlook on stocks, commodities, and gold, while bonds and US stocks are neutral [7] - The report suggests focusing on mid-cap blue chips, which are undervalued and have lower institutional allocation, as well as sectors with improving marginal prosperity [7] Industry Strategy - The non-ferrous metals and telecommunications sectors are expected to maintain strong performance, while opportunities exist in agriculture and chemicals [4][7] - The industry is undergoing a market-driven and policy-supported capacity reduction phase, with a left-side layout window potentially emerging [7] - The current pig price has dropped to 11 yuan per kilogram, leading to widespread losses in the industry, which is expected to force high-cost production capacity to exit, setting a solid foundation for future price stabilization [7] Thematic Strategy - In agriculture, the accelerated reduction of pig stocks presents a left-side layout opportunity, with expectations of a cyclical rebound once the capacity reduction is solidified [5][7] - The report emphasizes that the valuation of the agriculture sector is at historical lows, indicating a potential entry point for investors [7]

Group 1 - A-shares maintained volatility in early trading, with the chemical sector showing strong performance, particularly in chemical raw materials and fine chemicals [1] - The Chemical 50 ETF (516120) opened high and rose by 3.93% at one point, with a current increase of 3.68%, achieving three consecutive days of gains and a cumulative increase of 6.65% over three days [1] - Over 90% of the constituent stocks in the index were in the green, with notable performers including Multi-Fluor (涨停), Enjie Co., and Tianci Materials, which rose over 8% [1] Group 2 - The yellow phosphorus index increased by 4% on November 4, with a cumulative increase of over 7% in the past two weeks [1] - The average market price of thionyl chloride surged by 8.61% to 1552 yuan/ton, with a total increase of 19.38% since August [1] - The phosphate chemical industry is expected to maintain its favorable outlook due to the non-renewable nature of phosphate rock resources and increasing environmental requirements during mining [1]

Core Viewpoint - The phosphorus chemical sector experienced significant market activity, leading to a 2.60% increase in the Chemical 50 ETF (516120), with over 90% of constituent stocks showing gains, driven by rising phosphorus prices and structural recovery in the industry [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The Chemical 50 ETF (516120) saw a rise of 2.60%, with a current increase of 2.47% at the time of reporting [1] - Major stocks such as Xin Fengming and Yuntianhua hit the 10% daily limit, while other constituents like Yangnong Chemical and Tongkun Co. also performed strongly [1] Group 2: Price Movements - The yellow phosphorus index increased by 4% on November 5, with a cumulative rise of over 7% in the past two weeks [1] - The price surge is attributed to the reduction in wet-process phosphoric acid production and the recovery in demand for downstream electrolyte raw materials [1] Group 3: Industry Outlook - Structural optimization is expected in the supply side of the basic chemical industry, supported by domestic "anti-involution" policies and rising overseas raw material costs [1] - The closure of European and American enterprises due to Asian capacity shocks allows China's chemical industry to fill international supply chain gaps, reshaping the global landscape [1] - In the medium to long term, demand recovery is anticipated under supportive policies, with significant growth potential in emerging fields such as semiconductors and new energy materials [1] Group 4: Sector Composition - The Chemical 50 ETF (516120) closely tracks the chemical sub-index (000813.CSI), with the top three sectors being chemical products (25.7%), agricultural chemicals (22.7%), and chemical raw materials (15%) [1] - The top ten weighted stocks include Wanhua Chemical, Salt Lake Co., Tianci Materials, Juhua Co., Cangge Mining, Jinfat Technology, Baofeng Energy, Hualu Hengsheng, Hengli Petrochemical, and Yuntianhua [1]