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非洲经济在转型中积蓄增长动能(国际视点)
Ren Min Ri Bao· 2026-01-28 23:23
Core Insights - The digital financial service M-Pesa is transforming lives in rural Kenya, providing access to banking services through mobile technology, with over 51 million users across Africa, highlighting the importance of digital financial inclusion in the continent's economic growth [2] - The IMF projects that Africa's economy will show resilience and steady growth, with a forecasted growth rate of over 4% in 2026, surpassing the global average [2][3] - The African Development Bank reports that Africa will remain a hub for high-growth economies, with some countries expected to achieve double-digit growth by 2026 [3][4] Economic Growth Projections - Africa's economic growth is projected at approximately 4.2% in 2025 and 4.3% in 2026, with 13 countries expected to exceed 6% growth [3][4] - Public debt as a percentage of GDP is expected to decrease from 66.3% in 2023 to 65.5% in 2024, maintaining below 65% through 2026, indicating a more stable macroeconomic environment [3] Regional Performance - East Africa is projected to maintain a growth rate of about 6.2% in 2026, driven by investments in agriculture and energy infrastructure [4] - West Africa is undergoing significant economic transformation, with countries like Senegal, Guinea, Côte d'Ivoire, and Ghana expected to see growth rates surpassing 6% [4] - Southern Africa faces slower growth due to challenges such as power shortages and high-interest rates, but a moderate recovery is anticipated in the latter half of 2026 [4] Digital and Green Energy Initiatives - The rapid adoption of digital technology and green energy projects is seen as a key driver of economic growth in Africa, with over 800 million active mobile payment accounts in sub-Saharan Africa [5][6] - The African e-commerce market is growing rapidly, with user numbers expected to reach approximately 518 million by 2025 and a market size of around $84 billion by 2030 [5] Infrastructure and Trade Developments - Significant progress is being made in infrastructure projects, such as the completion of the Guinea Bissau bridge and the activation of the Tanzania-Zambia railway project, enhancing regional connectivity [8] - China remains Africa's largest trading partner, with trade exceeding $300 billion for the first time, reflecting a diverse and dynamic trade relationship [7][8]
多家机构预测,非洲2026年经济增速将在4%以上,高于全球平均水平——非洲经济在转型中积蓄增长动能(国际视点)
Ren Min Ri Bao· 2026-01-28 22:11
Core Insights - The article highlights the transformative impact of digital financial services like M-Pesa on rural farmers in Kenya, showcasing the broader trend of digital financial inclusion across Africa, which has over 51 million users [1] - The International Monetary Fund (IMF) projects that Africa's economy will show resilience and steady growth, with a forecasted growth rate of over 4% in 2026, surpassing the global average [1][2] Economic Growth Projections - Africa is expected to remain a hub for high-growth economies, with at least half of the world's fastest-growing economies located on the continent [2] - The African Development Bank forecasts a 4.2% economic growth rate for 2025, increasing to approximately 4.3% in 2026, with 13 African countries projected to exceed 6% growth [2] Debt and Inflation Trends - The median public debt-to-GDP ratio for African countries is projected to decrease from 66.3% in 2023 to 65.5% in 2024, remaining below 65% through 2026 [2] - The average inflation rate in the region is expected to decline from 13.7% in 2025 to 10.3% in 2026, creating a more favorable fiscal environment [2] Regional Economic Performance - East Africa is projected to maintain a growth rate of about 6.2% in 2026, driven by investments in agriculture and energy infrastructure [3] - West Africa is undergoing significant economic transformation, with countries like Senegal, Guinea, Côte d'Ivoire, and Ghana expected to achieve over 6% growth in 2026 [3] - Southern Africa faces slower growth due to challenges like power shortages and high domestic interest rates, but a moderate recovery is anticipated in the latter half of 2026 [3] Digital and E-commerce Growth - The rapid proliferation of digital technology and e-commerce is significantly contributing to Africa's economic growth, with active mobile payment accounts exceeding 800 million in sub-Saharan Africa [4] - The e-commerce market in Africa is experiencing rapid growth, with user numbers increasing at an annual rate of approximately 18% since 2014, projected to reach about 518 million users by 2025 [4] Renewable Energy Initiatives - African nations are accelerating the development of green energy projects to address energy bottlenecks, with South Africa aiming to attract over 130 billion rand in private investment for renewable energy by 2030 [5] - Ethiopia is exploring various renewable energy sources, while Morocco aims to capture 4% of the global green hydrogen market by 2030 [5] Trade and Investment Dynamics - China remains Africa's largest trading partner, with bilateral trade exceeding $300 billion for the first time in 2025, reflecting a diverse trade structure [6] - The African Continental Free Trade Area is progressing, with 48 countries having ratified the agreement, expected to boost intra-African trade significantly by 2045 [5][6] Infrastructure and Cooperation - Significant progress has been made in infrastructure projects, such as the completion of the Guinea-Bissau bridge and the activation of the Tanzania-Zambia Railway project [7] - Chinese enterprises are increasingly involved in infrastructure and renewable energy projects across Africa, contributing to the continent's industrialization and economic integration [7]
(第八届进博会)从“进博之约”看中国与世界“双向奔赴”
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2025-11-06 07:59
Group 1 - The 8th China International Import Expo (CIIE) and Hongqiao International Economic Forum opened in Shanghai, emphasizing the importance of the event as a bridge connecting the Chinese economy with the world [1][2] - This year's expo features participation from 155 countries and regions, with 4,108 foreign enterprises showcasing their products, marking a record exhibition area of over 430,000 square meters [3] - The expo has consistently attracted international exhibitors, with a cumulative total of 23,000 foreign exhibitors over the past seven years, showcasing approximately 3,000 new products, technologies, and services, and achieving an intended transaction value exceeding $500 billion [3] Group 2 - The expo has introduced a dedicated section for products from the least developed countries and hosted a global South forum, reflecting China's commitment to mutual benefit and cooperation with the world [4] - A total of 461 new products, technologies, and services were presented, highlighting China's market as a launchpad for global innovations and advanced technologies [5] - China aims to expand high-level opening-up and promote comprehensive pilot demonstrations for service industry opening, reinforcing its role in providing stability and opportunities for global development [5] Group 3 - The expo facilitates the influx of high-quality global goods and advanced technologies into China, enhancing consumer choices and fostering economic growth [6] - China has maintained an average contribution rate of around 30% to global economic growth during the 14th Five-Year Plan period, positioning itself as a leading destination for foreign investment [6] - Amid rising unilateralism and protectionism, the event underscores the need for equal and mutually beneficial cooperation, with international leaders expressing a desire to deepen collaboration with China in various sectors [7]
南非牛油果行业看好中国市场:期待零关税带来出口增长
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2025-06-30 16:14
Group 1 - The South African avocado market is rapidly growing, with increasing demand from Chinese consumers for high-quality imported fruits [1][2] - South Africa's avocado exports to China are expected to benefit significantly from the new zero-tariff policy on all products from African countries, enhancing competitiveness against countries like Peru that already enjoy zero tariffs [1] - South Africa's annual avocado production is approximately 160,000 tons, with 40% to 45% of this volume exported, generating an export value of about 5 billion Rand (approximately 225 million USD) [1][2] Group 2 - The avocado production in South Africa is widespread, allowing for nearly year-round supply, with harvesting starting in February and extending to January of the following year [2] - The avocado industry in South Africa consists of around 370 commercial growers, covering a total area of approximately 20,800 hectares, with an annual increase of about 800 hectares in planting area [2] - The avocado export sector significantly contributes to the South African economy by generating substantial income for production areas and creating numerous job opportunities [2]