Workflow
原油2512合约
icon
Search documents
宝城期货原油早报-20251107
Bao Cheng Qi Huo· 2025-11-07 02:00
Group 1: Report's Industry Investment Rating - The short - term rating for the crude oil 2512 contract is weak, the medium - term rating is volatile, and the intraday rating is weak [1]. Group 2: Report's Core View - The crude oil market is dominated by weak supply - demand fundamentals and is expected to run weakly. The 2512 contract of domestic crude oil futures may maintain a weak trend on Friday [1][5]. Group 3: Summary by Related Content Price and Performance - On Thursday night, the 2512 contract of domestic crude oil futures maintained a weak trend, with the futures price closing down 1.32% to 454.4 yuan per barrel [5]. Driving Factors - After the meeting between Chinese and US leaders in Busan, South Korea, the positive macro - sentiment has been digested, and the driving force of macro - factors has weakened, leading to profit - taking in the market. As geopolitical sentiment fades, the crude oil futures market returns to a supply - demand - driven market [5].
宝城期货原油早报-20251106
Bao Cheng Qi Huo· 2025-11-06 01:05
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided on industry investment rating 2. Report's Core View - The crude oil 2512 contract is expected to run weakly, with short - term and medium - term trends being oscillatory and oscillatory - weak respectively, and the intraday trend also being oscillatory - weak [1][5] 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Time - period Views - **Short - term**: The crude oil 2512 contract shows an oscillatory trend [1] - **Medium - term**: The crude oil 2512 contract shows an oscillatory - weak trend [1] - **Intraday**: The crude oil 2512 contract shows an oscillatory - weak trend [1][5] 3.2 Price and Driving Logic - After the meeting between the leaders of China and the US, the overall results were slightly lower than market expectations. As the macro - bullish sentiment was digested, the driving force of macro factors weakened, and there was a profit - taking phenomenon. The escalation of the South American geopolitical conflict due to the US troop increase in the Caribbean Sea last weekend boosted the international crude oil premium, which hedged geopolitical risks to some extent. On Wednesday night, the domestic crude oil futures 2512 contract maintained an oscillatory - weak trend, with the futures price slightly down 0.95% to 457.7 yuan/barrel. It is expected that on Thursday, the contract will maintain an oscillatory - weak trend [5]
宝城期货原油早报-20251024
Bao Cheng Qi Huo· 2025-10-24 01:24
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content 2. Core View of the Report - The crude oil 2512 contract is expected to run strongly, with a short - term view of oscillation, a medium - term view of oscillation and weakening, and an intraday view of oscillation and strengthening [1][5] 3. Summary by Related Contents 3.1 Price Movement and Reference Views - The opening price and closing price calculation methods for varieties with and without night trading are specified [2] - Criteria for defining rising, falling, oscillating strongly, and oscillating weakly are provided [3] - Oscillation strength or weakness is only applicable to intraday views, not short - term and medium - term views [4] - The intraday view of crude oil (SC) is oscillating strongly, the medium - term view is oscillating weakly, and the reference view is strongly running. The 2512 contract of domestic crude oil futures closed up 3.48% to 469.8 yuan/barrel on Thursday night and is expected to maintain an oscillating and strong trend on Friday [5] 3.2 Driving Logic - Geopolitical premiums are prominent as the US President Trump cancelled the recent meeting plan between the US and Russian leaders, the US imposed sanctions on Russian oil producers, and South American geopolitical risks emerged. The supply - side expectations are also disturbed, giving support to the prices of domestic and foreign crude oil futures [5] - The current supply - demand situation of the crude oil market is weak. Supply surplus pressure is increasing, demand has entered a seasonal off - peak, and the crude oil inventory accumulation cycle has arrived [5]