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投资的道是什么?
集思录· 2025-10-27 14:33
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the interconnectedness of life principles and investment strategies, advocating for a non-discriminatory approach to both people and investment varieties, suggesting that those who cannot embrace the former are unlikely to succeed in the latter [1]. Group 1: Investment Philosophy - The essence of investment is seen as arbitrage, with a belief that only highly skilled individuals can share in the growth dividends of enterprises [3]. - A stable dividend is considered the only justification for stock trading, and maintaining a low expectation is crucial for a healthy mindset [4]. - The financial market is likened to a large breeding ground, where only a small percentage of participants (5%) manage to survive and maintain equilibrium [9]. Group 2: Market Behavior and Psychology - Many investors mistakenly attribute their financial success to personal ability, overlooking the role of luck and external factors [11]. - The article suggests that most individuals view the market from a self-centered emotional perspective, rather than understanding the underlying logic and behavior of capital [12]. - It highlights the importance of learning from masters and maintaining humility, as even simple insights can provide profound understanding [13].
博时基金宏观策略部王橹舟:下半年关注两大资产配置主线
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-08-28 03:39
Group 1: Market Outlook and Strategies - The current stock market shows a recovery in risk appetite, but fundamental pressures maintain a range-bound pattern, with overall trends positive but subject to periodic corrections and sector rotations [2] - The driving forces behind market movements are primarily capital flows and policy expectations, with sustainability dependent on corporate earnings and overall demand improvements [2] - The "barbell strategy" remains relevant, with adjustments suggested for both sides based on risk-reward considerations and trend analysis [2] Group 2: Asset Allocation Insights - In a low-interest-rate environment, the focus should be on emerging market equities and gold or short-term U.S. Treasuries as key asset allocation themes [1] - The importance of low-correlation strategies is emphasized, as single strategies struggle to manage drawdowns effectively; integrating various strategies can enhance overall portfolio Sharpe ratios [1][4] - The shift in bond market strategy from "yield-driven" to "portfolio optimization" is noted, with an emphasis on maintaining liquidity and managing duration to reduce volatility [6] Group 3: Risk Management Approaches - The risk of losses can be managed through both preemptive and reactive measures, with a focus on strategic asset allocation and tactical short-term signals to mitigate "missing out" risks [5] - The bond market faces multiple pressures, including capital diversion to equities and inflation expectations, necessitating a defensive approach with a focus on short to medium-term credit bonds [6]