得，去 okx 撸点理财吧，老实过冬。好歹这个闪赚还有 17% 的利息顺带挂了点低于 100k 接货的双币，接不到吃利息，接到了就长拿数字黄金。前阵子看的震荡市策略还是有效的，至少能守住本金目前看上个月判断后续会是一个巨大的宽幅震荡模式是及时的，参与聪明人的 PVP 就得低买高卖比聪明人更快，不然就老实点 😂Yuyue 🥊 (@yuyue_chris):最热的涨幅榜币过两天成为跌幅榜告诉我现在是什么阶段了。。。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the interconnectedness of life principles and investment strategies, advocating for a non-discriminatory approach to both people and investment varieties, suggesting that those who cannot embrace the former are unlikely to succeed in the latter [1]. Group 1: Investment Philosophy - The essence of investment is seen as arbitrage, with a belief that only highly skilled individuals can share in the growth dividends of enterprises [3]. - A stable dividend is considered the only justification for stock trading, and maintaining a low expectation is crucial for a healthy mindset [4]. - The financial market is likened to a large breeding ground, where only a small percentage of participants (5%) manage to survive and maintain equilibrium [9]. Group 2: Market Behavior and Psychology - Many investors mistakenly attribute their financial success to personal ability, overlooking the role of luck and external factors [11]. - The article suggests that most individuals view the market from a self-centered emotional perspective, rather than understanding the underlying logic and behavior of capital [12]. - It highlights the importance of learning from masters and maintaining humility, as even simple insights can provide profound understanding [13].

Core Viewpoint - The capital operations of Jing Sheng Co., Ltd. have raised market concerns regarding the potential "buy low, sell high" strategy, as the company is simultaneously planning a private placement and acquisition while facing shareholder reductions in holdings [1][2]. Group 1: Capital Operations - Jing Sheng Co., Ltd. has been active in capital operations, announcing on October 9, 2025, plans for issuing shares and cash to acquire assets while raising matching funds [1]. - The major shareholder, Xin Rui Ji Cheng, announced a plan to reduce holdings by up to 4,150,900 shares, representing 3% of the total share capital, citing "personal funding needs" [1]. - The timing of the shareholder reduction and the company's major asset restructuring announcement, which led to a trading suspension, has drawn attention [1]. Group 2: Pricing Discrepancies - The difference between the shareholder reduction price and the company's private placement price is critical in assessing the "buy low, sell high" scenario [2]. - Xin Rui Ji Cheng's minimum reduction price is set at 31.82 yuan per share, while the asset purchase issuance price is 28.93 yuan per share, indicating a 9.1% lower entry point for new investors [2]. - As of September 9, 2025, the stock price was 37.97 yuan per share, which is 31.2% higher than the private placement price and 19.4% higher than the reduction price, creating an arbitrage opportunity for private placement participants [2]. Group 3: Business Challenges - Jing Sheng Co., Ltd. faces significant challenges in its core business, reporting a revenue of 158 million yuan in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year decline of 20.29% [3]. - The company recorded a net loss of 7.45 million yuan, marking a 121.29% decline from profitability [3]. - The gross margin has drastically decreased to 3.87%, down nearly 90% from 35.22% in 2022 [3]. - The company raised 1.016 billion yuan through its initial public offering, with 540 million yuan in excess funds, and has allocated 160 million yuan of this to permanently supplement working capital, raising questions about the simultaneous push for acquisitions [3].

Core Insights - Li Ka-shing, at 97 years old, has been named Hong Kong's richest person for the 23rd time with a net worth of $37.3 billion (approximately HKD 290.94 billion), but has recently faced significant financial setbacks [1] - The half-year report from CK Hutchison Holdings revealed a 92% drop in net profit to HKD 852 million, marking the largest decline since the company's restructuring in 2015 [1] - Li Ka-shing emphasized the need to continue advancing port transactions and alleviating regulatory scrutiny to restore market confidence during the earnings call [1] Group 1: Business Background - Li Ka-shing began his entrepreneurial journey at the age of 15, establishing a toy factory and later achieving significant success in the plastic flower industry, which led to a rapid expansion of his business [3] - His wealth significantly increased after he pivoted to real estate in 1958, making strategic acquisitions during market downturns, which later appreciated in value [3] - Li has demonstrated a keen ability to capitalize on market opportunities, exemplified by his sale of the Shanghai Century Link complex for HKD 20 billion in 2020 and the transfer of the Chengdu South City project for HKD 3.8 billion in 2021 [3] Group 2: Family and Succession - Concerns have arisen regarding the ability of Li Ka-shing's sons to inherit and manage the family business, as both have not exhibited the same entrepreneurial spirit [10] - Eldest son Li Zeju, once seen as the primary successor, has become more cautious following a traumatic kidnapping incident in 1996, leading to missed investment opportunities [10] - Younger son Li Zekai has distanced himself from the family business amid recent controversies, although he has made strides in the insurance sector and is focusing on health-related investments [12] Group 3: Future Prospects - Li Ka-shing is actively exploring investments in cutting-edge life sciences, including a significant investment in the NAD+ sector, which has shown promise in cellular rejuvenation [6][7] - The optimized "Yao-Hao-Sheng" product has successfully entered the market through major retail channels, receiving positive feedback from consumers [7] - Despite his wealth, Li Ka-shing is increasingly concerned about the sustainability of his empire across generations, reflecting a common challenge faced by wealthy families [14]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses three methods to control market volatility risk: dollar-cost averaging, diversification, and position control [2][11]. Group 1: Methods to Control Volatility Risk - **Method 1: Dollar-Cost Averaging** Persisting with dollar-cost averaging during periods of unrealized losses helps to lower the average cost of holdings, allowing for profitability without needing the market to return to previous levels [2]. - **Method 2: Diversification** Different types of stock assets exhibit varying levels of volatility risk, with individual stocks being the most volatile, followed by sectors, broad indices, and fund combinations. A diversified portfolio can mitigate risk by investing in a basket of undervalued funds [2][11]. - **Method 3: Position Control** The article presents a table showing the relationship between stock-bond ratios, maximum drawdown, and annualized returns. Higher stock ratios generally lead to higher long-term returns but also increase volatility risk [3][11]. Group 2: Monthly Treasure Combination - **Composition of Monthly Treasure** The Monthly Treasure combination consists of 40% stock funds and 60% bond funds, designed to meet the needs of conservative investors [5][11]. - **Stock Portion Characteristics** The stock portion focuses on value styles, characterized by lower volatility in bear markets and higher dividend yields, providing stable income regardless of market fluctuations [6][11]. - **Bond Portion Characteristics** The bond portion primarily invests in short- to medium-term bonds, which are less affected by interest rate changes. The current yield for 10-year government bonds is around 1.7%-1.8%, indicating lower attractiveness for long-term pure bonds [6][11]. Group 3: Rebalancing Strategy - **Automatic Rebalancing** The Monthly Treasure combination employs an automatic rebalancing strategy based on valuation, which facilitates "buy low, sell high" actions without requiring investor intervention [8][11]. - **Recent Rebalancing Actions** The article details two recent rebalancing actions, highlighting the strategy of selling outperforming assets and reallocating to underperforming ones to maintain the target asset allocation [9][11]. Group 4: Cash Flow Feature - **Flexible Cash Flow Functionality** The Monthly Treasure combination includes a feature for periodic cash flow distribution, which can be easily turned on or off based on the investor's needs, providing flexibility for long-term investment [10][11].

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of managing investment risks and optimizing potential returns in the current market environment, suggesting strategies for both risk reduction and return enhancement [1][10]. Risk Reduction Strategies - Utilize short-term funds for investment in funds to avoid the "recency effect" and prevent hasty decisions driven by market trends [2]. - Prioritize investing with funds that are not needed for at least one year, and avoid going all-in [3]. - Implement the "lifecycle method" to determine the appropriate allocation to equity assets based on age, suggesting a formula of (80 - age) / 80 * 100% for equity allocation [6][7]. - Diversify investments across low-correlation funds to smooth out volatility, focusing on both the number of funds and the sectors/styles of investment [8][9]. Return Enhancement Strategies - Choose better trading times, emphasizing the principle of "buy low, sell high" and the importance of patience in holding investments [11][13][15]. - Extend the investment horizon to capture higher returns, as many successful investments require time to realize gains [14][16]. - Select superior investment targets, recommending passive indices during certain market phases and suggesting a diversified approach to index investments [17][18]. Conclusion - The article concludes that successful investing is fundamentally about "buying low and selling high," yet many investors struggle with emotional biases that lead to poor decision-making [19][20][21].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the strategic sale of Li Ka-shing's global port assets by Cheung Kong Holdings to a consortium led by BlackRock, with the involvement of China Ocean Shipping Group (COSCO), highlighting the implications for both parties and the broader market dynamics [4][6][8]. Group 1: Transaction Details - On July 28, Cheung Kong Holdings announced plans to invite mainland Chinese strategic investors to join the sale of its port assets, emphasizing that no transaction would occur without regulatory approvals [4]. - The deal involves the sale of 80% of Cheung Kong's port assets and 90% of its Panama port company, expected to generate $19 billion in cash for the company [6]. - The consortium led by BlackRock, which includes Italian shipping magnate Gianluigi Aponte's "Port Investment Company," is positioned to acquire significant control over key global ports [7]. Group 2: Strategic Implications - The entry of COSCO into the consortium is seen as a stabilizing factor, allowing for a mutually beneficial arrangement where both parties can achieve their strategic goals [8]. - The transaction is viewed as a potential win-win situation, with Cheung Kong receiving a cash influx comparable to its market value, while BlackRock secures valuable global port assets [8]. - The involvement of a strong mainland investor like COSCO is expected to facilitate the deal and provide a strategic asset for the state-owned enterprise [8]. Group 3: Historical Context - Li Ka-shing's history with port assets dates back to the 1970s, when he began acquiring significant holdings in the port sector, establishing a global network of operations [10][15]. - The article notes that the port business has been a core asset for Li Ka-shing, contributing to his wealth and business empire, with a global presence in 53 ports across 24 countries [15]. - The decision to sell these assets comes amid changing market dynamics and the need to optimize the company's asset portfolio, as the port business has become less aligned with Cheung Kong's overall revenue contributions [17].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses Li Ka-shing's decision to sell his global port assets to a U.S. consortium, highlighting the strategic entry of Chinese state-owned enterprises as a solution to facilitate the transaction and create a win-win situation for all parties involved [3][10]. Group 1: Transaction Details - On July 28, 2023, Cheung Kong Holdings announced plans to invite major mainland Chinese strategic investors to join the sale of its port assets, emphasizing that no transactions would occur without regulatory approvals [3][10]. - The deal involves the sale of 80% of Cheung Kong's port assets and 90% of its Panama port company, expected to generate $19 billion in cash for the company [8][10]. - The consortium led by BlackRock and Italian shipping magnate Gianluigi Aponte's "Port Investment Company" is involved in the transaction, which includes 43 ports across 23 countries [8][10]. Group 2: Market Context and Implications - The entry of China Ocean Shipping Group (COSCO) into the consortium is seen as a strategic move, providing a reference price for the deal and potentially enhancing the transaction's feasibility [10][11]. - The sale is positioned against a backdrop of geopolitical tensions, with initial criticism surrounding the decision to sell port assets during a sensitive period [9][10]. - The transaction could result in Cheung Kong Holdings receiving cash equivalent to its total market value, which was approximately HKD 148 billion ($19.03 billion) at the time of the announcement [10]. Group 3: Historical Background and Business Strategy - Li Ka-shing's business acumen is highlighted through his historical investments in Hong Kong's real estate and port sectors, which have been foundational to his wealth [13][21]. - The article outlines how Li Ka-shing built his port empire, starting from the acquisition of significant stakes in Hutchison Whampoa and expanding globally through strategic purchases [16][22]. - The complexity and lower revenue contribution of port operations compared to other sectors like telecommunications and retail may have influenced the decision to divest these assets [23][24].

Core Viewpoint - Li Ka-shing's company is selling the residential project Yushuiyuan at a significant discount, with prices dropping to 70% of the original price, raising concerns and interest in the market [2][3][5]. Summary by Sections Project Overview - Yushuiyuan, developed by Cheung Kong Holdings, has been under development for over 20 years and is the first residential project by Li Ka-shing in Beijing [4]. - The project covers a total area of approximately 400,000 square meters, acquired in 2001 for 700 million yuan, resulting in a land cost of only 1,750 yuan per square meter [2][9]. Pricing and Sales Strategy - The average selling price for high-rise units has been reduced to 70,000 yuan per square meter, with total prices starting from 9.8 million yuan, a decrease of nearly 1 million yuan compared to last year's opening price [2][5]. - The current selling price represents a reduction of approximately 20,000 to 29,000 yuan per square meter from the previous record price of 90,700 to 99,700 yuan per square meter [5]. - The project is offering various unit types, including 140 square meter and 185 square meter apartments, with total prices below 10 million and 13 million yuan respectively [3]. Market Context and Implications - Analysts suggest that the price reduction is a response to current market conditions and aims to accelerate sales, given the project's long development cycle and low land costs [7]. - The project is strategically located near key commercial areas and transportation hubs, enhancing its attractiveness despite the price drop [8]. - This sale is part of Li Ka-shing's ongoing strategy of "buying low and selling high," as the current price is still nearly 40 times the original land acquisition cost [8]. Compensation for Existing Owners - To address concerns from previous buyers who purchased at higher prices, the developer is offering compensation options, including renovation subsidies or cash differences ranging from 800,000 to 1 million yuan [6].

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes that while valuation is a crucial concept in equity investment, its direct impact on stock prices is inconsistent and influenced by various factors [2][6]. Valuation and Market Conditions - Valuation's influence on stock prices is unstable, as shown in a study by Everbright Securities, which analyzed the relationship between valuation and stock price movements across different industries from January 2013 to February 2025 [2]. - Market tolerance for valuation varies under different conditions, particularly in relation to earnings growth rates [4][5]. - High-growth scenarios (earnings growth above 30%) show minimal differences in returns between high and low valuation combinations, especially when growth exceeds 100% [5]. - Conversely, in low-growth scenarios, market tolerance for high valuations decreases, leading to better performance from lower valuation combinations [5]. Market Sentiment and Valuation Preferences - Market sentiment, represented by turnover rates, affects investor preferences for valuation. During bullish sentiment, investors favor high-valuation sectors, while in bearish conditions, they lean towards low-valuation sectors [5]. - The combination of market sentiment with valuation metrics significantly enhances the effectiveness of industry grouping based on PE ratios [5]. Complexity of Valuation - Valuation is important for providing a long-term perspective on investment levels, but the "reasonable valuation" at any given moment is subject to multiple influences [6]. - Acknowledging the complexity of valuation and maintaining a respectful attitude towards market dynamics is essential for assessing investment opportunities related to valuation fluctuations [6].