Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the significant increase in non-bank deposits and the shift of funds from fixed-income products to equity markets, driven by the rising stock market and the phenomenon of "deposit migration" [1][3][5]. Group 1: Financial Data Overview - In the first seven months of the year, RMB deposits increased by 18.44 trillion yuan, with household deposits rising by 9.66 trillion yuan and non-bank financial institution deposits increasing by 4.69 trillion yuan [3]. - In July alone, RMB deposits increased by 500 billion yuan, with household deposits decreasing by 1.11 trillion yuan and non-bank deposits increasing by 2.14 trillion yuan [3]. - The year-on-year comparison shows that in July, household deposits decreased by 7.8 billion yuan while non-bank deposits increased by 1.39 trillion yuan [3]. Group 2: Factors Driving Deposit Migration - The migration of deposits is attributed to several factors, including the end of the mid-year bank assessment, a significant return of household deposits to wealth management products, and the recent rise in the stock market [3][4]. - The trend of deposit activation is evident, with M1 growth rising to 5.6% in July, up from 2.3% in May, indicating a shift away from fixed-term deposits [4]. - The increase in non-bank deposits is also linked to the rapid growth of margin accounts at brokerage firms, suggesting that funds are being prepared for entry into the stock market [4]. Group 3: Market Activity and Fund Adjustments - The A-share market has seen a surge in trading activity, with daily trading volumes exceeding 2 trillion yuan since August, indicating a more active capital market [4]. - A total of 54 funds or asset management products have adjusted their net asset value precision due to large redemptions, reflecting the impact of the shift from fixed-income to equity markets [6][8]. - The recent trend shows that over 70% of newly established funds are equity-based, with many funds ending their fundraising early to quickly enter the market [9].

Group 1 - The article highlights signs of deposits moving towards the stock market since May, driven by factors such as increased M1 growth and a shift in deposit trends [1] - M1 growth reached 5.6% year-on-year in July, up from 2.3% in May, indicating a trend of deposit activation [1] - There is a notable increase in the popularity of equity funds, with a slowdown in fixed-income wealth management products compared to last year [1][9] Group 2 - The capital market has become more active, with daily trading volumes in A-shares exceeding 2 trillion yuan since August [2] - The number of new accounts opened on the Shanghai Stock Exchange increased by 26% in July compared to May, although it remains below the peak in October of the previous year [2] Group 3 - The article discusses the sources of deposits, including fiscal spending and international balance of payments, which have contributed to deposit creation [15] - The contribution of fiscal measures to deposit creation rose from 25% at the end of 2023 to 53% currently, while the contribution from entity credit decreased from 73% to 41% [15][23] Group 4 - Factors driving the movement of deposits to the stock market include improved risk appetite due to government stimulus policies and a recovery in stock market returns [31] - The average return on A-shares over the past 12 months has reached around 20%, prompting a shift in investment strategies [31][33] Group 5 - The potential for deposits to move into the stock market is estimated at 5-7 trillion yuan, based on excess savings, maturing deposits, and the activation of deposits [45][46] - The article notes that the actual movement of deposits will depend on macroeconomic conditions, policy expectations, and external factors [45][46] Group 6 - The shift of deposits to the stock market is expected to benefit banks by expanding interest margins and improving the outlook for credit demand [48] - The article suggests that while the stock market's attractiveness may reduce the appeal of high-dividend yields, it remains attractive for long-term funds [48]