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锂电产业链调研
数说新能源· 2025-11-24 03:03
Group 1: 嘉元科技 - Shipment target for 2026 is 17wt, with expected capacity of 13-14wt by the end of 2025, considering cautious expansion due to current profits [1] - Solid copper foil shipments are projected at approximately 100t in 2025 and 1kt in 2026 [1] - Single order prices have increased by 1-2k, while long-term contracts with major clients have not yet adjusted; net profit per ton is expected to be 2-3k next year, potentially higher if price increases are realized [1] Group 2: 中一科技 - Lithium battery and electronic shipments are targeted at 6wt+ and 1-1.5wt for 2025, with 6-6.5wt and 2wt for 2026; current capacities are 4wt and 1.5wt [1] - Price increases of 1-2k have been implemented for small clients, while major clients' prices are determined through semi-annual bidding; a planned price increase of 2k is expected in December [1] - The company aims to establish a self-generated negative electrode pilot line by mid-2026 [1] Group 3: 诺德股份 - Monthly shipments have increased from 5-5.5kt before August to 6k in September and 7kt in October, with projections of 8kt+ in November and December [1] - Total capacity is currently 14wt, with an expected increase of 1.5wt next year; price increases are anticipated due to supply-demand gaps [1] - High-end products, particularly 4.5μm, accounted for over 60% in H1 2025 and are expected to exceed 70% currently [1] Group 4: 天际股份 - Shipment target for next year is over 5wt, with current shipments between 3.8w-3.9wt and monthly shipments around 3.8-4k [2] - Some core clients have accepted monthly price negotiations, with December prices expected to be no lower than 15w [2] - Lithium sulfide production is expected to reach 20-30 tons next year, with a unit price exceeding 200w [2] Group 5: 安达科技 - Shipment targets are set at 11wt for 2025 and 15wt for 2026, with full production expected by Q1 2026 [2] - The company plans to finalize pricing for H1 2026 by mid-December, with small clients currently paying 2-3k more than large clients [2] - Expected processing fee for iron lithium in 2026 is around 1.6w, with a price increase of 2k anticipated [2] Group 6: 英联股份 - A procurement agreement for composite aluminum foil for solid-state applications has been signed, with expected production of 2kw in 2026 and 3kw in 2027 [2] - The total value of the agreement is estimated at 3-4 billion, with the first batch expected to ship in December [2] - The lithium metal negative electrode production line is set to begin installation in December, with plans for batch product supply by Q1 2026 [2]
上海洗霸拟参竞拍有研稀土硫化锂相关资产,多家公司固态铜箔供应 | 投研报告
Core Insights - The solid-state battery index decreased by 0.8% from June 30 to July 4, with a cumulative increase of 18.2% expected by 2025, outperforming the CSI 300 index which is projected to increase by 17.0% [1][4] - Among the solid-state battery-related stocks, the average decline was 1.3%, with only the current collectors segment showing an increase of 7.0% [1][4] Stock Performance - Top five gainers: Zhongyi Technology (+21.1%), Defu Technology (+21.0%), Honggong Technology (+21.0%), Yuanhang Precision (+12.2%), and Jiayuan Technology (+6.7%) [1][4] - Top five losers: Yinglian Co. (-17.7%), Nuode Co. (-12.9%), Tianji Co. (-11.3%), Jinlongyu (-9.2%), and Zhonglun New Materials (-8.5%) [1][4] Industry Developments - Shanghai Xiba plans to participate in the auction for Yuyuan Rare Earth's lithium sulfide business assets [2] - Several companies have secured orders for solid-state battery copper foil products, including Defu Technology with a significant order from a leading power battery customer [2] - Anwa Technology has successfully launched the first GWh-level solid-state battery production line, marking a significant advancement in solid-state battery development [2] - The industry is transitioning from laboratory stages to mass production validation, with expectations for small batch vehicle testing by the end of 2025 and widespread testing in 2026-2027 [2]